Vincent Manzo
Research Scientist


Vincent Manzo is an expert in nuclear weapons policy. His research portfolio includes deterrence, extended deterrence, escalation management, strategic stability, and arms control.

Prior to joining CNA, Manzo worked in the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, Nuclear and Missile Defense Policy from October 2013 to May 2017. Manzo received the Office of the Secretary of Defense Medal for Exceptional Public Service for his work on U.S. nuclear weapons policy, strategy and planning. Manzo also previously held research positions at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Institute for National Strategic Studies at the National Defense University.

Manzo's articles have been published in Joint Forces Quarterly, Arms Control Today, The National Interest, and Defense One. He has delivered presentations at the University of Virginia, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, and the James Timbie Forum on Arms Control and Non-Proliferation.

Manzo holds an M.A. in international relations from the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University and a B.A. in political science from Kenyon College.


April 11, 2019

Vincent Manzo says, "These treaties help reduce suspicion and fear. They help both countries [The U.S. and Russia] have confidence that they have the forces they need today and out into the future."

WNPV: "Scientist: Tumultuous Time for Arms Control"

April 5, 2019

Vince Manzo writes, "The United States, Russia, and China are all beginning to grapple with the technologies and trends that underlie entanglement."

H-Diplo: "Article Review 113 on 'Escalation through Entanglement: How Vulnerability of Command-and-Control Systems Raises the Risks of an Inadvertent Nuclear War.'"

April 1, 2019

In an article about the CNA study, Nuclear Arms Control Without A Treaty? Risks and Options after New START, Vince Manzo says, "Increased opacity between U.S. and Russian strategic nuclear forces would unfold within the broader context of growing mistrust and diverging perceptions about strategy, intentions, and perceptions."

Reuters: "Treaty's End Would Give U.S., Russia Impetus to Make More Nukes: Study"

April 1, 2019

In a new report, CNA's Vince Manzo analyzes the future of nuclear arms control without a treaty. As of today, there is just one nuclear arms control treaty in place between the U.S. and Russia – New START – and it is uncertain if President Trump or Vladimir Putin are willing to extend or renew the current treaty, set to expire in 2021. Read more.

June 1, 2018

Vince Manzo writes, “If a conflict breaks out in Asia or Europe, an adversary of the United States and its allies may believe it can conduct limited nuclear strikes and, rather than precipitate its own destruction, win the war.”

Survival: “After Nuclear First Use, What?”

February 7, 2018

Vincent Manzo writes, “By treating North Korea’s push toward an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) as a crisis rather than a component of a long-term challenge, the Trump team is stumbling toward an unnecessary war.”

Texas National Security Review: “The Least Bad Option: Damage Limitation and U.S. Deterrence Strategy Toward North Korea”

After Nuclear First Use, What?