In The News
Russia, Ukraine showcase loitering munitions at IDEX arms fairDefense News | 20 Feb 2023
Samuel Bendett says, “Of the two loitering munitions, it is the Lancet that has practically dominated Russian headlines and is discussed in large numbers as a key Russian capability — not the KYB.”
How Ukraine uses high-tech anti-drone guns to down Russian drones and recover intelligence from themBusiness Insider | 18 Feb 2023
Samuel Bendett says, "As to their effectiveness, it's hard to judge that based on limited open-source evidence we get. Both sides want it and decry the lack of this technology in large numbers."
Crimean Tatars long to return to a liberated CrimeaThe World | 17 Feb 2023
Jeffrey Edmonds says, “They can certainly shell the peninsula if they got close enough, but it would be very hard militarily to take it.”
Ukraine is burning ammunition faster than the US and NATO can produce. This is the Pentagon's plan to close the gapCNN | 17 Feb 2023
Michael Kofman says, “The war is highly dependent on defense industrial production, and these are critical investments that the United States and ultimately Ukraine will benefit from, but the question is whether they were made too late to affect what could be decisive phases of the conflict this year.”
When will the war in Ukraine end? Experts offer their predictions.Defense News | 13 Feb 2023
Michael Kofman says, “Wars typically tend to go on longer than people expect or hope, but especially interstate conflicts of this length. History tells us that wars which go on this long … are likely to become protracted, lasting several years.”
Tailor-Made Shaheds: Iranian Drones Are Being Modified To Russian SpecificationsForbes | 12 Feb 2023
Samuel Bendett says, "This modified type of warhead can leave a lot of damage in its wake in a strike on a civilian energy installation, making repairs difficult and lengthy, thereby increasing the impact of each drone that gets through Ukrainian defenses."
Bureaucrat’s Gambit: Why Is Dmitry Rogozin Sending Russian Uncrewed Ground Vehicles To Ukraine—And Does It Matter?Modern War Institute | 09 Feb 2023
Samuel Bendett writes, “On February 2, 2023, Russia’s Dmitry Rogozin—a former Roskosmos (space agency) director who has since reinvented himself as a frontline soldier in eastern Ukraine—announced on his Telegram channel that several Marker UGVs (uncrewed ground vehicles) have arrived in the Donbas.”
Starlink Cuts Off Ukrainian DronesForeign Policy | 09 Feb 2023
Samuel Bendett says, “If we gauge how important any given technology is to the Ukrainians based on how it’s discussed across the Russian Telegram ecosystem, then I would say it was rather important.”
Russia attacks east Ukraine as milestone nears; Kyiv seeks armsAl Jazeera | 09 Feb 2023
Michael Kofman says that he believed Russia’s “force quality appears relatively low” and “can likely offer a stubborn defence, but [is] less liable to be suitable for offensive operations.”
Flexing its military muscle, North Korea shows off missiles–and potential new leaderRadio Free Asia | 09 Feb 2023
Ken Gause says, “If something were to happen to Kim, no, she's way too young and this is a Confucian-based society. It's male dominated. If you're going to do something like this, you're probably going to have to get started early and spend not years but probably decades socializing this with the larger leadership.”
Fact check: US expenditure for the Afghanistan War surpasses aid given to UkraineUSA Today | 08 Feb 2023
Michael Kofman says, “I don’t think anyone can say with good confidence how much Russia has spent on the war."
Why Russia Is So Determined To Capture BakhmutTime | 07 Feb 2023
Michael Kofman says that Bakhmut represents “a gateway” to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, both of which have been subject to recent Russian missile strikes .
Defense & Aerospace Daily Podcast [Feb 06, 23] Dr David Asher, Sam Bendett & Byron CallanDefense & Aerospace Report | 06 Feb 2023
Samuel Bendett says, “Russians and the Wagner mercenaries are throwing a lot of soldiers at the Ukrainians. They are trying to grind away at the Ukrainian defenses, and there is indication that in some parts of that front Russian pressure is having an effect.”
Drone Explodes Less Than 100 Miles From Moscow as Fear of Strikes GrowsNewsweek | 06 Feb 2023
Samuel Bendett says, "Whether it was indeed a Tu-141 or another drone is less relevant than the fact that Ukraine is seeking to impose high costs on Russia by apparently launching drones deep inside Russian airspace to attack targets that are supposed to be secure."
New US Long Range Ammo Puts All Russia's Ukraine Positions In Artillery RangeLow-Down | 04 Feb 2023
Jeffrey Edmonds says, “I don’t think the Russians are planning an offensive” from around Zaporizhzhia.
Dmitry Gorenburg describes Russia’s tactics around Vuhledar as “reconnaissance by force—probing and testing.”
Radiant in new photobook, Kim Jong Un’s wife depicted as part of the royal bloodlineRadio Free Asia | 04 Feb 2023
Ken Gause says that being a former singer detracts from the idealized image of a first lady, “especially in a culture like North Korea, where there's a certain harshness and certain purity, where they try to portray the leader as being above the kind of, normal sort of careers that some people would have, especially, dancers and things like that.”