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Your search for Deterrence found 97 results.

Basing Rights and Contested Sovereignty in Greenland and Diego Garcia

/analyses/2019/08/basing-rights-and-contested-sovereignty-in-greenland-and-diego-garcia

On August 21, 2019, CNA’s Strategy and Policy Analysis program hosted an on-the-record event to discuss how recent developments in sovereignty politics could affect US military basing rights around the world, particularly in Greenland and Diego Garcia. Both territories host important US bases but are subject to sovereignty disputes. The event featured CNA senior vice president Mr. Mark Rosen, CNA analyst Dr. Steven Wills, and Ms. Rachel Ellehuus, deputy director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Europe program. Ms. Nilanthi Samaranayake, director of CNA’s Strategy and Policy Analysis program, moderated the conversation. Panelists appraised recent developments with Greenland and Diego Garcia in their historical perspective, as well as the strategic and operational advantages of US access to the two locations. Discussants agreed that the US approach to basing could benefit from both a greater appreciation of long-term strategic needs and a more concerted effort to make US bases acceptable to local populations and their governments.

Air Base may have changed since they were established in the Cold War, but they remain vital as the US projects force overseas, monitors other great powers, and minimizes risks to deterrence

When Nuclear Weapons Return to Belarus

/analyses/2025/10/when-nuclear-weapons-return-to-belarus

The deployment of nonstrategic nuclear weapons to Belarus marks an important shift in Russia’s nuclear posture.

forms of escalation management not seen since the Cold War, including new measures to enhance the credibility of its nucle­ar deterrence capabilities. The deployment of nuclear weapons in Belarus

Five Key Challenges in US-Russian Relations

/our-media/indepth/2021/06/five-key-challenges-in-us-russian-relations

Both US President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin aim to halt the downward spiral of the bilateral relationship when they meet on June 16 in Geneva, Switzerland.

and approaches to deterrence, Russian military thought, and nuclear weapons issues. Both US President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin aim to halt the downward spiral of the bilateral ... . Responding to these actions, as well as Russia's information warfare and propaganda campaigns, the U.S. and allies have introduced sanctions, adopted a stronger military deterrence posture

ai with ai: The Unreasonable Perplexity of Fat Tails

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-3/3-15

Andy and Dave discuss an announcement from Exscientia and Sumitomo that they have the first entirely-AI developed drug that is now entering clinical trials. The Director of the Joint Artificial Intelligence Center, Lt. Gen. Jack Shanahan has announced his retirement. Senator Michael Bennet sends a scathing letter to the U.S. Chief Technology Officer on its recent AI Principles for regulation. DARPA's Habitus program seeks to automate the process of revealing and using local information, to enhance stability operations in under-governed regions. And Washington state legislature has at least one facial recognition bill under consideration. Google Research announces its Meena chatbot, which claims is more Sensible and Specific (a new metric that it developed) than the award-winning Mitsuku, though requiring 30 days to compile on 2,048 tensor processing units. Researchers at the Max-Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems and the University of Florence announce a method for fusing deep learning with combinatorics solvers to create a neural network for combinatorial problems. RAND releases a report on Deterrence in the Age of Thinking Machines. Sejnowski pens thoughts on "the unreasonable effectiveness of deep learning in AI." Taleb takes a detailed look at the statistical consequences of fat tail distributions. Maj. Gen. Mick Ryan pens the final (?) part in his trilogy, AugoStrat Awakenings. Fortune publishes a special magazine on the topic of AI. And Andrew Ng and Geoffrey Hinton sit down for a 40-minute chat on deep learning.

deep learning with combinatorics solvers to create a neural network for combinatorial problems. RAND releases a report on Deterrence in the Age of Thinking Machines. Sejnowski pens thoughts ... of the Week RAND Study - Deterrence in the Age of Thinking Machines (123 page) Report AI Op-ed of the Week The unreasonable effectiveness of deep learning in artificial intelligence (6

Declining Demographics Challenge South Korea’s Defense

/our-media/indepth/2024/08/declining-demographics-challenge-south-koreas-defense

South Korea’s low birth rate threatens to reduce its troop strength. Seoul is exploring options to compensate, with implications for the US-South Korea alliance.

, and multi-lateral exercises that focus on deterrence, logistics, and interoperability. Freedom Edge, Freedom Shield, and Ulchi Freedom Shield are critical exercises that the two have conducted to enhance ... , and logistics in a failed deterrence scenario. South Korea hopes that such support from allies will weaken the demographic decline’s effect on defense. As the US military plans its future defense objectives

Japan Elevates Security Concerns Over Taiwan Strait

/our-media/indepth/2021/07/japan-elevates-security-concerns-over-taiwan-strait

On July 13, the Japanese Ministry of Defense released the latest edition of its annual white paper, Defense of Japan 2021.

that there is considerable behind-the-scenes discussion regarding corresponding deterrence measures. But deterrence will be diminished unless the U.S., Japan and other allies and partners can credibly communicate

cna talks: Nuclear Posture Review

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2018/nuclear-posture-review

CNA analyst Vince Manzo and special guest Elaine Bunn take a deep dive into the Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), released in early February of 2018. They discuss the purpose of the NPR, what makes it unique to previous directives, the strategic challenges that this NPR addresses, the ongoing debate over cost, tradeoffs and strategic value, and more.

Nuclear Posture Review CNA analyst Vince Manzo and special guest Elaine Bunn take a deep dive into the Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), released in early February of 2018. They discuss the purpose of the NPR, what makes it unique to previous directives, the strategic challenges that this NPR addresses, the ongoing debate over cost, tradeoffs and strategic value, and more. Nuclear Posture Review Biographies Vincent Manzo   is an expert in nuclear weapons policy. His research portfolio includes deterrence, extended deterrence, escalation management, strategic stability, and arms control

Beijing Starts to Unpack the US National Security Strategy

/our-media/indepth/2025/12/beijing-starts-to-unpack-the-us-national-security-strategy

Experts in China reacting to the 2025 US National Security Strategy see it as a fundamental recalibration of US grand strategy that emphasizes economic issues.

, citing the fact that the NSS calls out deterring a conflict in the Taiwan Strait as a priority. In the new framework, Fu argues, military deterrence in the Taiwan Strait is not only a means

After APEC: Newly Elected Leaders Seek Engagement Amid Tensions

/our-media/indepth/2025/12/after-apec-newly-elected-leaders-seek-engagement-amid-tensions

The Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit saw intense bilateral negotiations involving South Korea, China, Japan, Russia, and the United States.

and deterrence against Pyongyang also contributed to a fracture in communications between the two Koreas. With Seoul’s sights set on developing nuclear-powered submarines in cooperation with the US

Military Purges at China’s Fourth Plenum Have Implications for Readiness

/our-media/indepth/2025/11/military-purges-at-chinas-fourth-plenum-have-implications-for-readiness

Analysis of the Fourth Plenum of the 20th Chinese Communist Party Central Committee, where nine senior military officials were expelled from the party.

, and by extension for US policymakers grappling with how to “ reestablish deterrence ” in the Indo-Pacific. The plenum, held this year from October 20 to 23, is a procedural meeting of several hundred