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russian media analysis: Issue 2, October 24, 2021

/our-media/newsletters/russian-media-analysis/issue-2

Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities

Issue 2 Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities /Newsletters/Russian%20Media%20Analysis/Russian-Media-Analysis-Report-Issue-2_Page_01.png Issue 2, October 24, 2021 NATO-Russia relations NATO’s relations with Russia were a dominant topic of discussion in Russian media during the reporting period. The conversation covered a range of issues, including the continuing deterioration of diplomatic relations, perception of the new NATO Concept for Deterrence and Defense of the Euro-Atlantic Area, NATO military activities near Russia’s borders, the framing of continuing efforts

Insight on Nuclear Escalation from Russia’s War on Ukraine

/our-media/press-releases/2024/03-14

CNA has released a collection of six papers that explore the consequences of the Russia-Ukraine war for strategic stability and the evolving regional and international security landscape.

will need creative solutions to balance the pursuit of crisis stability and arms race stability with the changing needs of deterrence and defense. Visit the Russia Studies Program page on CNA.org

Countering Chinese and Russian Alliance Wedge Strategies Write Up

/analyses/2022/06/countering-chinese-and-russian-alliance-wedge-strategies-write-up

In CNA’s National Security Seminar Series, Timothy Crawford, CNA’s David Wallsh, and others discuss efforts by China and Russia to weaken U.S. alliances.

that there are compelling reasons to peel Russia away from China because of the risks of growing Russia-China alignment, including the joining of their nuclear deterrence capabilities

Space Domain Awareness as a Strategic Counterweight

/analyses/2021/11/space-domain-awareness-as-a-strategic-counterweight

This paper examines the role of space domain awareness (SDA) as a strategic counterweight to potential adversary and competitor actions in space.

findings This study finds that effective SDA can be a strategic counterweight to possible adversary and competitor actions in space in five ways: SDA enhances deterrence and reduces inadvertent

North Korea A Case Study of Asymmetric Relations

/analyses/2021/10/north-korea-a-case-study-of-asymmetric-relations

Examining North Korea as a case study for asymmetric relations and the issue of its nuclear weapons development as the threat to status quo in the international order.

North Korea A Case Study of Asymmetric Relations North Korea: A Case Study of Asymmetric Relations Examining North Korea as a case study for asymmetric relations and the issue of its nuclear weapons development as the threat to status quo in the international order. Asymmetry between the United States and less powerful adversaries creates unique challenges not easily addressed by traditional international security policy precepts. Deterrence and compellence become harder to achieve because asymmetrically weaker powers often have greater interests at stake in bilateral and regional disputes

Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities Oct 11

/analyses/2021/10/russian-perspectives-on-western-military-activities-oct-11

NATO’s relations with Russia were a dominant topic of discussion in Russian media during the reporting period.

Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities Oct 11 Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities: October 11-24, 2021 NATO’s relations with Russia were a dominant topic of discussion in Russian media during the reporting period. The following is an excerpt from the first section of this report: NATO’s relations with Russia were a dominant topic of discussion in Russian media during the reporting period. The conversation covered a range of issues, including the continuing deterioration of diplomatic relations, perception of the new NATO Concept for Deterrence and Defense

NATO Ally Contributions to the Space Domain

/analyses/2021/10/nato-ally-contributions-to-the-space-domain

The emphasis U.S. NATO allies place on space operations presents multiple avenues for the U.S. and its NATO allies to increase and expand capabilities across a range of military space capabilities.

, declaring it on par with the air, land, sea, and cyber domains. Space is now recognized as “essential to the Alliance’s defense and deterrence.” This recognition is intended to make it easier for NATO

Reimagining Defense Strategy

/analyses/2021/10/reimagining-defense-strategy

This event continued a conversation begun at CNA’s September 16, 2021, National Security Seminar, titled “Planning for Tomorrow’s Threats: Overcoming Obstacles to Organize, Adapt, and Innovate.” In this event, we heard insights on defense strategy from Christian Brose, Chief Strategy Officer of Anduril Industries, a defense technology company. Mr. Brose shared his perspective as a former staff director of the Senate Armed Services Committee under Chairman John McCain. He is also the author of The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare. Dr. Carter Malkasian, from CNA, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. The event was recorded and is available online.

 and the ability to generate deterrence: that is, convincing an opponent of their inability to secure objectives by disrupting their capacity to sense, decide, and act. In the book, Brose argues that the US

Prevailing Under the Nuclear Shadow

/analyses/2020/09/prevailing-under-the-nuclear-shadow

The United States has characterized today’s geopolitical environment as a “long-term, strategic competition between nations.” This competition includes renewed emphasis on the role of nuclear weapons in international affairs by the nucleararmed competitors of the US—Russia, China, and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK). These adversaries view competition with the US as having a nuclear dimension that is not confined to high-end warfare. Accordingly, the US must anticipate that nuclear weapons will play a central role in a regional conflict with any of these opponents. This reality underscores the importance of preparing policy-makers to manage escalation during a conflict taking place under the nuclear shadow. The use of nuclear weapons in a war between the US and its allies and Russia, China, or the DPRK would be not only militarily significant, but would also have major political and normative consequences. Yet practical concepts for escalation management are lacking in the post-Cold War, contemporary great power context. To fill that gap, this report proposes foundational elements for a nuclear escalation management framework. This novel framework leverages key concepts from escalation theory and risk management literature to create a structured, analytical process for US policy-makers and planners to evaluate potential courses of action (COAs) that could be employed to achieve favorable escalation management with nucleararmed competitors.

, irrespective of the adversary or scenario. They are: 1. Deterrence operations. 2. Employment of military force. 3. Messaging. 4. Off-ramps/palatable alternative outcomes. Although these tools

Future of Global Competition

/analyses/2019/05/future-of-global-competition

The 2018 National Defense Strategy (NDS) makes clear that competing effectively with state adversaries will be the primary focus of the Department of Defense (DOD) going forward. Irregular warfare (IW) is a key element of modern great power competition (GPC), and our adversaries are deftly exploiting unconventional methodologies— particularly the use of information and intermediaries (i.e., proxies and surrogates)—as mediums of national influence. In March 2019, CNA hosted a cohort of academic, government, and military experts for a discussion on how special operations forces (SOF) can best lead or support US Government (USG) efforts to compete successfully on a global scale using information operations and intermediary partnerships. The discussion is summarized and synthesized in this document.

influence Great powers are approaching a battlespace confined by mutual nuclear and conventional deterrence. This dynamic places greater strategic importance on unconventional actions and challenges