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Your search for Deterrence found 79 results.

Deter Compel and Reassure

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This paper provides some perspectives on the role of naval forces in deterrence, compulsion, and reassurance in the post-Cold War era. In addition to a brief overview of some of the theoretical issues sur­rounding deterrence, this paper focuses on some concrete examples of U.S. Navy and Marine Corps actions in response to or amidst international crises over the past 40 years.

Deter Compel and Reassure To Deter, Compel, and Reassure in International Crises: The Role of U.S. Naval Forces This paper provides some perspectives on the role of naval forces in deterrence, compulsion, and reassurance in the post-Cold War era. In addition to a brief overview of some of the theoretical issues sur­rounding deterrence, this paper focuses on some concrete examples of U.S. Navy ... defense policy are open to questioning. In the Cold War, deterrence was perhaps the key con­cept. The thinking about deterrence-both theoretical and policy­ related consideration-focused on nuclear

Russian Strategy for Escalation Management: Debates

/reports/2020/04/russian-strategy-for-escalation-management-debates

This report offers an overview of the main debates in Russian military thought on deterrence and escalation management in the post-Cold War period, based on authoritative publications. It explores discussions by Russian military analysts and strategists on “regional nuclear deterrence,” namely the structure of a two-level deterrence system (regional and global); debates on “nonnuclear deterrence” and the role of strategic conventional weapons in escalation management; as well as writings on the evolution of damage concepts toward ones that reflect damage that is tailored to the adversary. Russian military thinking on damage informs the broader discourse on ways and means to shift an opponent’s calculus in an escalating conflict. The report concludes with summaries of recent articles that reflect ongoing discourse on the evolution of Russia’s strategic deterrence system and key trends in Russian military thought on escalation management.

in Russian military thought on deterrence and escalation management in the post-Cold War period, based on authoritative publications. It explores discussions by Russian military analysts and strategists on “regional nuclear deterrence,” namely the structure of a two-level deterrence system (regional and global); debates on “nonnuclear deterrence” and the role of strategic conventional weapons ... strategic deterrence system and key trends in Russian military thought on escalation management. The Russian military’s views on escalation management are a subject of considerable interest, and debate

Gabriela Rosa Hernandez

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Gabriela I. Rosa Hernandez is a specialist in Russia's security policy.

Rosa-Hernandez-Gabriela Gabriela I. Rosa Hernandez is a specialist in Russia's security policy. /images/Experts/Hernandez-Gabriela.webp Gabriela I. Rosa Hernandez is a specialist in Russia's security policy. Her recent research has focused on Russian strategic deterrence, security orders, conventional and nuclear arms control in Europe, and the Russian military. She has significant in-country experience in Russia, Latvia, Kyrgyzstan, Georgia, Poland, and other countries in the region. Prior to joining CNA, she was a research associate at the Arms Control Association, where she focused

What Happened at the Biden-Yoon Summit?

/our-media/indepth/2023/05/what-happened-at-the-biden-yoon-summit

Brian Waidelich examines the US and South Korea’s “Washington Declaration,” and what it means for strategic deterrence on the Korean Peninsula.

What Happened at the Biden-Yoon Summit? Brian Waidelich examines the US and South Korea’s “Washington Declaration,” and what it means for strategic deterrence on the Korean Peninsula. /images ... of the US and South Korea had clear motivations to send strong signals of deterrence and assurance during the state visit. Standing together on the White House lawn, Biden and Yoon released two joint ... to enhance extended deterrence. Several of these measures addressed ways in which Washington would bring Seoul into the fold on nuclear deterrence against Pyongyang, primarily by increasing

Russian Strategy for Escalation Management: Key Concepts

/reports/2020/04/russian-strategy-for-escalation-management-key-concepts

This report examines evolving debates within the Russian military on questions of “escalation management,” or intra-war deterrence.

on questions of “escalation management,” or intra-war deterrence. In the 1990s, the Russian military debated the ways and means by which to carry out deterrence at different levels of conflict, while faced with a limited toolkit and largely dependent on nuclear weapons. Over time they came to consider deterrence levels, damage types, and the specific political and military measures that could ... in deterrence. A reasonably mature system of deterrence emerged as the product of decades of debates and concept development, designed to handle the spectrum of Russian security requirements, from

cna talks: Not Just Nuclear Weapons: How China Views Strategic Deterrence

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2023/06/not-just-nuclear-weapons-how-china-views-strategic-deterrence

For decades, competition between the United States and Russia has defined strategic deterrence. But as China emerges as the greatest rival to the United States, it is worth examining how Beijing views the concept. In this episode we examine how China’s military and civilian analysts are writing about strategic deterrence, and how new technologies and domains impact their perception.

Not Just Nuclear Weapons: How China Views Strategic Deterrence For decades, competition between the United States and Russia has defined strategic deterrence. But as China emerges as the greatest rival to the United States, it is worth examining how Beijing views the concept. In this episode we examine how China’s military and civilian analysts are writing about strategic deterrence, and how new technologies and domains impact their perception. Not Just Nuclear Weapons: How China Views Strategic Deterrence Guest Biographies Brian Waidelich is a Research Scientist with CNA’s

Russian Approaches to Competition

/reports/2021/10/russian-approaches-to-competition

Russian strategy is best characterized as offensive, seeking to revise the status quo, resulting in an activist foreign policy. The strategy does not eschew selective engagement in areas of mutual interest, but it is not premised on accommodation, concessions, or acceptance of the current balance of power. Instead, it emphasizes building the military means necessary for direct competition, and using them to enable indirect approaches for pursuing state objectives. Direct means range from conventional and nuclear force modernization, expansion of force structure in the European theater, exercises, brinksmanship, and use of force to attain vital interests. They deter US responses, threaten escalation, and create freedom of maneuver for Russian foreign policy. These are principally ways of compressing the opponent, and focusing on the main theater in the competition, which for Moscow is Europe. Indirect means in turn include military deployments abroad to peripheral theaters, covert action, use of proxies and mercenary groups, political warfare and information confrontation. These instruments are interrelated, with direct approaches, tied closely to military capability or classical forms of deterrence, enabling the indirect approach, which is the principal way by which Moscow pursues political aims. The logic of Russian strategy is that absent the ability to generate strong economic or technological means, Moscow is best served with approaches that reduce US performance by disorganizing its opponent's efforts, reducing cohesion, and employing asymmetric means in the competition.

, with direct approaches, tied closely to military capability or classical forms of deterrence, enabling the indirect approach, which is the principal way by which Moscow pursues political aims. The logic ... of deterrence, enabling the indirect approach. A further parsing of Russian approaches categorizes them into forceful and non-forceful means, though the distinction may admittedly be in the eye of the beholder

pla update: Issue 12, July 17, 2023

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PLA Update, Issue 12, is a CNA China Studies Program monthly newsletter, with summaries of Chinese media coverage of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA).

"hyping" of the strategic environment and highlighted the document's discussion of integrated deterrence. On June 19, China Defense News published a short analysis of the unclassified version ... building and preparations for great power confrontation. Integrated deterrence. The China Defense News article also highlighted the discussion of integrated deterrence within the NMS, stating that the US military believed the effectiveness of deterrence in an era of great power confrontation depended on a reliable and effective nuclear deterrent. The article said it was noteworthy that near

russian media analysis: Issue 3, November 7, 2021

/our-media/newsletters/russian-media-analysis/issue-3

Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities

Review and deterrence Some of the Russian coverage focuses on deterrence issues, including the ongoing US Nuclear Posture Review process and the challenge of deterrence in hybrid warfare. An October 29 article in Nezavisimoe Voennoe Obozrenie by Aleksandr Bartosh and Anatoliy Letyago discusses the challenge of deterrence in a “global hybrid war” and criticizes the US efforts to increase ... on nuclear deterrence against Russia makes waves Several articles between October 25 and October 29 cover Russian defense minister Sergey Shoigu’s response to a statement by Germany’s defense minister

Sino Soviet Border Conflict

/reports/2010/sino-soviet-border-conflict

New archival materials on the 1969 Sino-Soviet border conflict demonstrate how nuclear weapons impact political and military decision-making.

Sino Soviet Border Conflict The Sino-Soviet Border Conflict: Deterrence, Escalation, and the Threat of Nuclear War in 1969 New archival materials on the 1969 Sino-Soviet border conflict demonstrate how nuclear weapons impact political and military decision-making. On 2 March 1969, Chinese troops ambushed and killed a group of Soviet border guards on Zhenbao Island, one of the many disputed islands on the Ussuri River. As Sino-Soviet tensions heightened in the 1960s, ownership of these tiny, uninhabited, and strategically meaningless river islands along the Ussuri, which was designated