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Your search for Deterrence found 89 results.

Subnational-Deterrence-An-Information-Campaign-to-Reduce-Risks-of-a-Nuclear-NK

/analyses/2022/12/subnational-deterrence-an-information-campaign-to-reduce-risks-of-a-nuclear-nk

A campaign of information and influence by the US and South Korea could deter key North Korean personnel, reducing risks of conflict or use of nuclear weapons.

Subnational-Deterrence-An-Information-Campaign-to-Reduce-Risks-of-a-Nuclear-NK Subnational Deterrence: An Information Campaign to Reduce Risks of a Nuclear North Korea A campaign of information ... approaches to help overcome those challenges. This report assesses the likely effects of ongoing rapid changes in the threat environment on deterrence and the ability of the combined maritime and joint forces to successfully accomplish their wartime missions. It then introduces an alternative, non-kinetic approach termed subregime deterrence  (referred to as subnational deterrence in the previous

Deter Compel and Reassure

/analyses/1995/deter-compel-and-reassure

This paper provides some perspectives on the role of naval forces in deterrence, compulsion, and reassurance in the post-Cold War era. In addition to a brief overview of some of the theoretical issues sur­rounding deterrence, this paper focuses on some concrete examples of U.S. Navy and Marine Corps actions in response to or amidst international crises over the past 40 years.

Deter Compel and Reassure To Deter, Compel, and Reassure in International Crises: The Role of U.S. Naval Forces This paper provides some perspectives on the role of naval forces in deterrence, compulsion, and reassurance in the post-Cold War era. In addition to a brief overview of some of the theoretical issues sur­rounding deterrence, this paper focuses on some concrete examples of U.S. Navy ... defense policy are open to questioning. In the Cold War, deterrence was perhaps the key con­cept. The thinking about deterrence-both theoretical and policy­ related consideration-focused on nuclear

Russian Strategy for Escalation Management: Debates

/analyses/2020/04/russian-strategy-for-escalation-management-debates

This report offers an overview of the main debates in Russian military thought on deterrence and escalation management in the post-Cold War period, based on authoritative publications. It explores discussions by Russian military analysts and strategists on “regional nuclear deterrence,” namely the structure of a two-level deterrence system (regional and global); debates on “nonnuclear deterrence” and the role of strategic conventional weapons in escalation management; as well as writings on the evolution of damage concepts toward ones that reflect damage that is tailored to the adversary. Russian military thinking on damage informs the broader discourse on ways and means to shift an opponent’s calculus in an escalating conflict. The report concludes with summaries of recent articles that reflect ongoing discourse on the evolution of Russia’s strategic deterrence system and key trends in Russian military thought on escalation management.

in Russian military thought on deterrence and escalation management in the post-Cold War period, based on authoritative publications. It explores discussions by Russian military analysts and strategists on “regional nuclear deterrence,” namely the structure of a two-level deterrence system (regional and global); debates on “nonnuclear deterrence” and the role of strategic conventional weapons ... strategic deterrence system and key trends in Russian military thought on escalation management. The Russian military’s views on escalation management are a subject of considerable interest, and debate

Russian Strategy for Escalation Management: Key Concepts

/analyses/2020/04/russian-strategy-for-escalation-management-key-concepts

This report examines evolving debates within the Russian military on questions of “escalation management,” or intra-war deterrence.

on questions of “escalation management,” or intra-war deterrence. In the 1990s, the Russian military debated the ways and means by which to carry out deterrence at different levels of conflict, while faced with a limited toolkit and largely dependent on nuclear weapons. Over time they came to consider deterrence levels, damage types, and the specific political and military measures that could ... in deterrence. A reasonably mature system of deterrence emerged as the product of decades of debates and concept development, designed to handle the spectrum of Russian security requirements, from

Stephanie Stapleton

/our-experts/stapleton-stephanie

Stephanie Stapleton is a CNA nuclear policy specialist.

Stapleton-Stephanie Stephanie Stapleton is a CNA nuclear policy specialist. /images/Experts/Stapleton-Stephanie.webp Stephanie Stapleton is an expert in nuclear policy and strategic deterrence, with a focus on strategic competition within the emerging two-near-peer security environment. Her research supports efforts to increase the United States’ ability to effectively deter two nuclear-armed competitors and assure US allies and partners. Stapleton’s areas of expertise include nuclear deterrence and escalation dynamics, conventional nuclear integration, and the integration of emerging

Tom Woodmansee

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to conduct training on strategic planning for the 93 US Attorneys’ offices. Woodmansee has conducted over 100 presentations on prolific violent offender and deterrence approaches. Prior to joining CNA ... , investigative functions background investigations (with the FBI), and focused deterrence. Tom Woodmansee Principal Advisor Featured Squares white Explore more

cna talks: Not Just Nuclear Weapons: How China Views Strategic Deterrence

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2023/06/not-just-nuclear-weapons-how-china-views-strategic-deterrence

For decades, competition between the United States and Russia has defined strategic deterrence. But as China emerges as the greatest rival to the United States, it is worth examining how Beijing views the concept. In this episode we examine how China’s military and civilian analysts are writing about strategic deterrence, and how new technologies and domains impact their perception.

Not Just Nuclear Weapons: How China Views Strategic Deterrence For decades, competition between the United States and Russia has defined strategic deterrence. But as China emerges as the greatest rival to the United States, it is worth examining how Beijing views the concept. In this episode we examine how China’s military and civilian analysts are writing about strategic deterrence, and how new technologies and domains impact their perception. Not Just Nuclear Weapons: How China Views Strategic Deterrence /images/podcasts/CNA_Talks_414x233.png Guest Biographies Brian Waidelich

Gabriela Rosa Hernandez

/our-experts/rosa-hernandez-gabriela

Gabriela I. Rosa Hernandez is a specialist in Russia's security policy.

Rosa-Hernandez-Gabriela Gabriela I. Rosa Hernandez is a specialist in Russia's security policy. /images/Experts/Hernandez-Gabriela.webp Gabriela I. Rosa Hernandez is a specialist in Russia's security policy. Her recent research has focused on Russian strategic deterrence, security orders, conventional and nuclear arms control in Europe, and the Russian military. She has significant in-country experience in Russia, Latvia, Kyrgyzstan, Georgia, Poland, and other countries in the region. Prior to joining CNA, she was a research associate at the Arms Control Association, where she focused

cna talks: India, Pakistan, and Nuclear Deterrence

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2025/06/india-pakistan-and-nuclear-deterrence

We cover the recent conflict between India and Pakistan, why they were able to desescalate so quickly, and what this tells us about nuclear deterrence and escalation. 

India, Pakistan, and Nuclear Deterrence We cover the recent conflict between India and Pakistan, why they were able to desescalate so quickly, and what this tells us about nuclear deterrence and escalation.  India, Pakistan, and Nuclear Deterrence Guest Biographies Stephanie Stapleton   is a Research Scientist with CNA’s   Strategy and Policy Analysis Program . She is an expert in nuclear policy and strategic deterrence, with a focus on strategic competition within the emerging two-near-peer security environment. Decker Evelth is an Associate Research Analyst with CNA’s

Russian Approaches to Competition

/analyses/2021/10/russian-approaches-to-competition

Russian strategy is best characterized as offensive, seeking to revise the status quo, resulting in an activist foreign policy. The strategy does not eschew selective engagement in areas of mutual interest, but it is not premised on accommodation, concessions, or acceptance of the current balance of power. Instead, it emphasizes building the military means necessary for direct competition, and using them to enable indirect approaches for pursuing state objectives. Direct means range from conventional and nuclear force modernization, expansion of force structure in the European theater, exercises, brinksmanship, and use of force to attain vital interests. They deter US responses, threaten escalation, and create freedom of maneuver for Russian foreign policy. These are principally ways of compressing the opponent, and focusing on the main theater in the competition, which for Moscow is Europe. Indirect means in turn include military deployments abroad to peripheral theaters, covert action, use of proxies and mercenary groups, political warfare and information confrontation. These instruments are interrelated, with direct approaches, tied closely to military capability or classical forms of deterrence, enabling the indirect approach, which is the principal way by which Moscow pursues political aims. The logic of Russian strategy is that absent the ability to generate strong economic or technological means, Moscow is best served with approaches that reduce US performance by disorganizing its opponent's efforts, reducing cohesion, and employing asymmetric means in the competition.

, with direct approaches, tied closely to military capability or classical forms of deterrence, enabling the indirect approach, which is the principal way by which Moscow pursues political aims. The logic ... of deterrence, enabling the indirect approach. A further parsing of Russian approaches categorizes them into forceful and non-forceful means, though the distinction may admittedly be in the eye of the beholder