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Your search for Emerging Technologies found 93 results.

AI Emerging Threats

/reports/2020/11/ai-emerging-threats

In January 2017, CNA published a 300-plus page report, AI, Robots, and Swarms, that examines the conceptual, technical, and operational challenges facing the Department of Defense (DOD) as it pursues AI-based technologies. This white paper is a sequel that brings the 2017 report up to date. It begins with a brief summary of the US Federal Government’s and DOD’s most recent AI investments, the establishment of the Joint Artificial Intelligence Center (JAIC), and several significant AI-ethics-related events and trends. The rest of the paper is a long narrative that consists of three interwoven parts: Part One compares (and highlights the lack of consensus between) how the academic research community defines AI and how DOD defines it, provides a short history of AI, and offers two complementary views of AI, one as a categorical taxonomy of algorithms, the other as a field of scientific discovery; Part Two summarizes emerging themes and issues, discusses how the AI research community has responded to the COVID 19 pandemic (along with "lessons learned" for DOD), and concludes with evidence that suggests that AI/ML may be entering (or has already entered) an era of diminishing returns; and Part Three introduces a “template of a framework” designed to help bridge the gap between “understanding AI” and operationalizing its military applications. The appendices provide a stand-alone information resource that consists of over 20 high-resolution mindmaps organized around a variety of study-related topics: e.g., taxonomies of AI methods and algorithms; recent breakthroughs and milestones; and gaps, challenges, and limitations of basic AI research. The mindmaps, collectively, contain 800 plus embedded hot-link references.

AI Emerging Threats Artificial Intelligence: Emerging Themes, Issues, and Narratives In January 2017, CNA published a 300-plus page report, AI, Robots, and Swarms, that examines the conceptual, technical, and operational challenges facing the Department of Defense (DOD) as it pursues AI-based technologies. This white paper is a sequel that brings the 2017 report up to date. It begins with a brief ... Two summarizes emerging themes and issues, discusses how the AI research community has responded to the COVID 19 pandemic (along with "lessons learned" for DOD), and concludes with evidence

AI and Autonomy Understanding and Mitigating Risks

/reports/2018/08/ai-and-autonomy-understanding-and-mitigating-risks

Given the rapid and significant advances in AI, the strong interest in leveraging this technology from advanced militaries, and the urgent concerns voiced in the media, we examined commonly held concerns of AI and autonomy in war. We found that these concerns, on further examination, were not quite what they seemed on first blush. Some concerns were inconsistent with the current state of the technology, such as assuming that general AI is feasible when most estimates place this development many decades away (if ever). Others do not adequately consider the way military systems are actually structured and conducted, in which AI-enabled and autonomous systems would operate as part of a larger process for delivering the use of force. This larger context helps address concerns about accountability and discrimination. Note that we did not argue that these concerns are spurious—they have value because they can lead to much needed debates and discussions regarding ethical issues of this emerging technology. However, we emphasized that the real risk in a military context (expressed in operational outcomes such as civilian casualties and fratricide) is low from these commonly held concerns. This is important from a risk management perspective because a mismatch between efforts to mitigate risk and the actual sources of risk could lead to the pursuit of ineffective solutions.

—they have value because they can lead to much needed debates and discussions regarding ethical issues of this emerging technology. However, we emphasized that the real risk in a military context (expressed ... controversy. There are strong concerns about these technologies, even speculation that they could lead to the end of the world. Important questions to consider are: how do the actual risks of weaponizing ... and discussions regarding ethical issues of this emerging technology. However, the real risk in a military context (expressed in operational outcomes such as civilian casualties and fratricide) is low from

Katherine McGrady Presents Teamwork Award to the Emerging Technology Team

/our-media/indepth/2023/07/katherine-mcgrady-presents-teamwork-award-to-the-emerging-technology-team

The team was applauded for their outstanding performance in a series of UAS challenges organized by the National Institute of Standards and Technology.

Katherine McGrady presented CNA’s 7th Annual Teamwork Award to a group of systems engineers who are adapting emerging technologies to the needs of first responders. McGrady said, “This team thrives ... challenges—both literally and figuratively in this case. It is a fun and exciting avenue to work directly with government sponsors to create solutions using emerging technologies to enhance public ... Katherine McGrady Presents Teamwork Award to the Emerging Technology Team The team was applauded for their outstanding performance in a series of UAS challenges organized by the National Institute

CNA: A Cultural Revolution Empowering Business Transformation

/our-media/indepth/2024/04/cna-a-cultural-revolution-empowering-business-transformation

CNA Chief Information Officer Rizwan Jan is fostering a collaborative culture to drive innovation, efficiency, and cybersecurity.

in shaping the organisation's approach to data management, cybersecurity, and emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning". This is especially important, as technologies ... in the long term without the culture to back it up. "Culture eats strategy for lunch," says Jan. "Every digital transformation is, at its heart, a cultural transformation." Embracing new technologies ... ." This involves investment into advanced technologies, strengthening CNA's incident response processes, and fostering a culture of cybersecurity awareness among its employees. In addition

Belt and Road Initiative 3.0: Mixed Messages from Beijing

/our-media/indepth/2023/10/belt-and-road-3.0

Belt and Road Initiative 10-year anniversary forum promoted a leaner, greener, “smarter” Belt and Road. But Putin’s prominent role highlighted global divisions.

on infrastructure and fossil fuels, which had attracted critical attention, Xi outlined an eight-point plan explaining how BRI 3.0 will prioritize digital connectivity, emerging technologies, and new energy. These new priorities nevertheless raise concerns in recipient countries about potential People’s Republic of China control over data and the environmental costs of developing new energy technologies ... on the Northern Sea Route , the waterway that spans Russia’s Arctic coast, not the “Polar Silk Road,” the term favored by China to depict an emerging trade route from northeast China to Europe

The China and Indo-Pacific Economic Statecraft Initiative

/centers-and-divisions/cna/cip/china-studies/cip-economic-statecraft-initiative

CIP’s Economic Statecraft Initiative (ESI) analyzes and tracks China's efforts to use economic resources to exert influence overseas in pursuit of its national objectives.

is a CNA limited-series news digest describing the interplay between the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) technology acquisitions efforts and the emerging and critical technology risks for the US ... security implications of the PRC's economic statecraft activities for the United States. Research and analysis includes: Analytic support to investment screening Examination of emerging PRC laws ... successfully obtained foreign defense technologies using a range of legal economic tools. Obtaining these technologies advances China’s national security goals, and undermines the security and commercial

Golden Dome, Nuclear Modernization, and Arms Control: Can the Administration Have It All?

/our-media/indepth/2025/04/golden-dome-nuclear-modernization-and-arms-control

President Trump is simultaneously pursuing the Golden Dome missile defense shield, nuclear modernization, and arms control—a challenging combination.

. However, advances in technologies aligned to the Golden Dome effort may lead to more progress in that priority area than Reagan ever achieved. The revolution in commercial space launch is driving ... Dome architecture—make US interceptors today more efficient and accurate—and cheaper. Advances in emerging technology, from artificial intelligence to quantum sensors and directed energy, also make ... . It would need to integrate an unprecedented number of technologies and functions in networked systems. And as a shield, it is unlikely to cover the entirety of the United States, which is roughly 450

Delivery Drones are Coming. Are We Ready?

/our-media/indepth/2023/09/delivery-drones-are-coming

Controlling the airspace for small package delivery by drones or UAS requires planning that is informed by analysis and modeling with tools such as CNA’s UCATS™.

Yang is a systems engineer in CNA’s Center for Data Management Analytics supporting the future integration of emerging technologies, such as UAS and artificial intelligence, for the FAA. Adam Monsalve is a systems engineer in CNA’s Center for Enterprise Systems Modernization specializing in the intersection of uncrewed technologies and cybersecurity for multiple federal government

ai with ai: Dr. GPT

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-6/6-6

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, starting with an education program from AI that teaches US Air Force personnel the fundamentals of AI across three types: leaders, developers, and users. The US Equal Employment Opportunity Commission unveils its draft Strategic Enforcement Plan to target AI-based hiring bias. The US Department of State establishes the Office of the Special Envoy for Critical and Emerging Technology to bring “additional technology policy expertise, diplomatic leadership, and strategic direction to the Department’s approach to critical and emerging technologies.” Google calls in its founders, Larry Page and Sergey Brin, to help with the potential threat over ChatGPT and other AI technology. Researchers from Northwestern University publish research that demonstrates how ChatGPT can write fake research paper abstracts that can pass plagiarism checkers, and that human reviewers were only able to correctly identify 68% of the generated abstracts. Wolfram publishes an essay on a way to combine the computational powers of ChatGPT with Wolfram|Alpha. CheckPoint Research demonstrates how cybercriminals can use ChatGPT for nefarious exploits (to include people without any experience in generating malicious tools). Researchers at Carnegie Mellon demonstrate that full body tracking is now possible using only WiFi signals, with comparable performance to image-based approaches. Microsoft introduces VALL-E, a text-to-speech AI model that can mimic anyone’s voice with only three seconds of sample input. The Cambridge Handbook of Responsible AI is the book of the week, with numerous essays on the philosophical, ethical, legal, and societal challenges that AI brings; Cambridge has made the book open-access online. And finally, Sam Bendett joins for an update on the latest AI and autonomy-related information from Russia as well as Ukraine.

of the Special Envoy for Critical and Emerging Technology to bring “additional technology policy expertise, diplomatic leadership, and strategic direction to the Department’s approach to critical and emerging technologies.” Google calls in its founders, Larry Page and Sergey Brin, to help with the potential threat over ChatGPT and other AI technology. Researchers from Northwestern University publish research ... U.S. Dept. of State Establishing Office of the Special Envoy for Critical and Emerging Technology Q&A with Center Google Calls In Help From Larry Page and Sergey Brin for A.I. Fight

ai with ai: XLand, Simulation of Sweet Adventures

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-4/4-38

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news, including a story from MIT Technology Review (which echoes observations made previously on AI with AI) that “hundreds of AI tools have been built to catch COVID. None of them helped.” DeepMind has used its AlphaFold program to identify the structure for 98.5 percent of roughly 20,000 human proteins, and will make the information publicly available. The Pentagon makes use of machine learning algorithms to create decision space in the latest of Global Information Dominance Experiments. An Australian court rules that AI systems can be “inventors” under patent law (but not “owners”), and South Africa issues the world’s first patent to an “AI System.” The United States Special Operations Command put 300 of its personnel through a unique six-week crash course in AI, including leaders such as Google CEO Eric Schmidt and former Defense Secretary Ash Carter. And President Biden nominates Stanford professor Ramin Toloui, who has experience with AI technologies and impacts, as an Assistant Secretary of State for business. In research, DeepMind develop agents capable of “open-ended learning” in XLand, an environment with diverse tasks and challenges. A survey from the Journal of AI Research finds that AI researchers have varying amounts of trust in different organizations, companies, and governments. The Journal of Strategic Studies dedicates an issue to Emerging Technologies, with free access. Mine Cetinkaya-Rundel and Johanna Hardin make an Introduction to Modern Statistics open access with an option (or with proceeds going to OpenIntro, a US-based nonprofit). And Iyad Rahwan curates a collection of evil AI cartoons.

dedicates an issue to Emerging Technologies, with free access. Mine Cetinkaya-Rundel and Johanna Hardin make an Introduction to Modern Statistics open access with an option (or with proceeds going ... with AI technologies and impacts, as an Assistant Secretary of State for business. In research, DeepMind develop agents capable of “open-ended learning” in XLand, an environment with diverse tasks