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Israeli Nuclear Alert of 1973

/analyses/2013/israeli-nuclear-alert-of-1973

Rumors of an Israeli nuclear alert in the early days of the 1973 Yom Kippur War have circulated for decades, even making their way into popular culture. The alleged alert has also informed more serious discussions about the use of nuclear weapon during international crises, and one celebrated journalist has gone so far as to assert that the Israelis used the alert to blackmail the United States to intervene aggressively in the war on Israel’s side. But did the alert really happen? In early 2012, CNA received a project award from the Naval Postgraduate School’s Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC) to investigate the truth of the reports concerning the alleged alert. PASCC is funded by the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA).

Women-in-Service-Restrictions

/analyses/2012/women-in-service-restrictions

CNA conducted an independent review of the Marine Corps existing policies related to women in ground combat providing information to help make an informed decision about (1) whether to change existing policies and (2) effects of prospective policy changes on recruiting, retention, manpower management, and training processes.

Foreign Militaries Assessing the Implications of Possible Changes to Women in Service Restrictions

/analyses/2012/foreign-militaries-assessing-the-implications-of-possible-changes-to-women-in-service-restrictions

CNA analysts review the policies and practices of four foreign militaries and two physically demanding profession to learn the effects of gender integration on organizational dynamics.

Assessing the Implications of Possible Changes to Women in Service Restrictions

/analyses/2012/assessing-the-implications-of-possible-changes-to-women-in-service-restrictions

This report from 2012 examined how changing the policy of excluding women from ground combat service could affect the Marine Corps’ recruiting, manpower management and training processes.

US Navy in the World 1991 to 2000

/analyses/2012/us-navy-in-the-world-1991-to-2000

These briefings by Peter Swartz cover about 35 U.S. Navy capstone documents, 1970–2010. This briefing focuses on strategy and policy documents, 1991–2000.

US Navy Capstone 1991 to 2000

/analyses/2012/us-navy-capstone-1991-to-2000

These briefings by Peter Swartz cover U.S. Navy capstone documents, 1970–. This briefing focuses on Strategy, Policy, Concept, and Vision Documents,1991–2000.

Long Littoral Project Bay of Bengal

/analyses/2012/long-littoral-project-bay-of-bengal

This report addresses the major security issues associated with the Bay of Bengal. In this 838,600 square mile area, security threats to numerous countries, including the United States, range from disputes over exclusive economic zones to terrorism, piracy, poaching, overfishing, and trafficking of humans, arms, and narcotics. A review of the full spectrum of threats in the Bay of Bengal reveals two dominant security challenges: nascent China-India competition and the likelihood of a natural disaster. This report explores these issues in order to assess U.S. policy options for addressing each of them. It concludes by recommending ways to manage the potential for China-India strategic rivalry and to mitigate the damage of an environmental catastrophe. This is one in a series of five reports on each of the major maritime basins found along the greater Asian littoral that runs from the Sea of Japan in the east to the Arabian Sea in the west. This “long littoral” is the subject of a CNA project of the same name under the direction of CNA Senior Fellow RADM (ret.) Michael A. McDevitt. The Long Littoral project examines the five great maritime basins of the IndoPacific—the Sea of Japan, the East China and Yellow seas, the South China Sea, the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea—in order to provide a different perspective, namely a maritime viewpoint, on security issues that the United States’ “rebalance” strategy must address as it focuses on the Indo-Pacific littoral. The project also aims to identify issues that may be common to more than one basin, but involve different players in different regions, with the idea that solutions possible in one maritime basin may be applicable in others.

Unconventional Warfare and Counterinsurgency in Pakistan

/analyses/2012/unconventional-warfare-and-counterinsurgency-in-pakistan

Much has changed in the government’s thinking over the last 11 years. Yet the transition remains largely hesitant and partial. U.S. and NATO forces are pulling back from Afghanistan, and the Taliban is poised to regain at least some of its former power. At the same time, India has modernized its military and strengthened its alliances with the western powers. These trends create strong incentives for the military to, at the very least, retain the unconventional warfare option. The challenge for the Unites States going forward will be to ensure that Pakistan continues to move in the right direction and does not revert back to its earlier policies.

Long Littoral Project East China and Yellow Seas

/analyses/2012/long-littoral-project-east-china-and-yellow-seas

Over the past two years, the South China Sea has been the most discussed East Asian maritime security issue. Still, a credible case can be made that the Yellow and East China seas have all the ingredients necessary to become another maritime center of competition in East Asia. Approximately 70 percent of China’s eastern seaboard forms the western limit of the East China Sea/Yellow Sea basin, while the Ryukyu Chain is the East China Sea’s eastern boundary. Beijing, Tokyo, Seoul and Pyongyang all have important claims of sovereignty and exclusive economic zones (EEZs) in both of these seas. Disputes over seabed resources and fishing occur frequently among all three.

Evaluation of the Fitness Report System

/analyses/2012/evaluation-of-the-fitness-report-system

The Fitness Report (FitRep) is an evaluation tool filled out by a Marine’s reporting senior (RS) and reviewing officer (RO) that communicates the reporting officials’ assessments of the Marine’s performance and character to a variety of boards. Today’s FitRep system was implemented on January 1, 1999. Like the previous system, it supports promotion boards’ selection and retention of the most qualified Marines in the grades of sergeant through major general, the slating of officers for command or resident school billet assignments, and all other billet assignments. The Director, Manpower Management Division, asked CNA to review whether the system is accomplishing what the Marine Corps intended. Specifically, the director would like to know whether the current FitRep system is suffering from grade inflation, whether it is fair to all officers, and whether it contributes to the challenges that leaders and manpower process managers face in selecting the most qualified officers for promotion and career progression. Although enlisted Marines in paygrades E-5 through E-9 also receive FitReps, we were asked to focus solely on Marine officers.