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Evolution of Gender Integration in the DON Summary of Five Analytical Efforts
/reports/2019/04/evolution-of-gender-integration-in-the-don-summary-of-five-analytical-efforts
CNA analysts focus on the changes in the gender mix of personnel on retention and manning and how changes effect actual and potential personnel policy changes on Department of the Navy personnel inventories and budgets.
Management and Comptroller) (ASN(FM&C)) sponsored a multi-pronged effort to explore the effects of actual and potential personnel policy changes on Department of the Navy (DON) personnel inventories ... force management tool. Finally, we labeled the third evolutionary phase the “modern phase.” Starting in 2008, it continues through the present. The modern phase is primarily characterized by the total ... an inclusive environment. Evolutionary constraints The first evolutionary constraint is cognitive bias in decision-making, which has tended to limit both the questions asked and the data used to assess
ai with ai: Face/Off
/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-5/5-3
Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, including the Defense Innovation Unit releasing Responsible AI Guidelines in Practice, which seeks to ensure tech contractors adhere to the Department of Defense’s existing ethical principles for AI [0:53]. “Meta” (the Facebook re-brand) announces that it will end its use of facial recognition software and delete data on more than a billion people, though it will retain the technology for other products in its metaverse [3:12]. Australia’s information and privacy commissioners release an order to Clearview AI to stop collecting facial biometrics from Australian citizens and to destroy all existing data [5:16]. The U.S. Marine Corps releases a Talent Management 2030 report, which describes the need for more cognitively mature Marines and seeks to “leverage the power of AI,” and to be “at the vanguard of service efforts to operationalize AI [7:39].” DOD releases at 2021 Report on Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China, which describes China’s use of AI technology in influence operations, the digital silk road, military capabilities, and more [10:46]. A competition using unrestricted adversarial examples at the 2021 Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition includes as co-authors several members of the Army Engineering University of the People’s Liberation Army [11:43]. Research from Okinawa and Australia demonstrates that deep reinforcement learning can produce accurate quantum control, even with noisy measurements, using a small particle moving in a double-well. [14:31] MIT Press makes available a nearly 700-page book, Algorithms for Decision Making, organized around four sources of uncertainty (outcome, model, state, and interaction) [18:01]. And Dr. Amanda Kerrigan and Kevin Pollpeter join Andy and Dave to discuss their latest research in what China is doing with AI technology, including a bi-weekly newsletter on the topic, and a preliminary analysis on China’s view of Intelligent Warfare [20:06].
facial biometrics from Australian citizens and to destroy all existing data [5:16]. The U.S. Marine Corps releases a Talent Management 2030 report, which describes the need for more cognitively mature ... privacy law, ordered to delete data Public comments on the OAIC’s decision Marine Corps will use AI to revamp recruiting and retention models Summary Talent Management 2030 report ... to the Department of Defense’s existing ethical principles for AI [0:53]. “Meta” (the Facebook re-brand) announces that it will end its use of facial recognition software and delete data on more than
The Impacts of Extreme Weather on Older Adults
/reports/2024/01/the-impacts-of-extreme-weather-on-older-adults
Older U.S. adults face rising risks of suffering and dying from extreme weather due to climate change and rising numbers of seniors in high-risk locations.
, local, tribal, and territorial emergency management agency (EMA) resources and community resilience. As older adults account for a larger share of our population, EMAs will have to consider ... , and Missouri—focusing on health, housing, and economic effects and how governments (including emergency management) supported older adults during the planning for, response to, and recovery from natural ... weather, this report explores the effects of climate-related extreme weather events on older adults and the current state of federal, state, and local emergency management agencies’ planning, response
Goodharts Law
/reports/2022/09/goodharts-law
Goodhart’s Law says, “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.” CNA analysts discuss actions to mitigate the effects of Goodhart’s Law.
, and the use-it-or-lose-it “rule” in Department of Defense program management. The manipulation of measures resulting from Goodhart’s Law is pervasive because direct measures of effectiveness (MOEs), which ... new measurement data, rather than harvesting existing and possibly compromised data Help customers establish authoritative and difficult-to-manipulate definitions for measures Identify and avoid the use of manipulated data and data prone to manipulation Use measurement data not generated by the organization being measured Collect data secretly or after a measurable activity has already
Tracking Outcomes of Voluntary Military Education Programs Data
/reports/2021/04/tracking-outcomes-of-voluntary-military-education-programs-data
In this report, we used individual-level data provided by each of the Services and Force Education and Training to calculate the Tuition Assistance (TA) and My Career Advancement Account (MyCAA) educational outcome statistics of Servicemembers and their spouses, as requested in the 2014 DOD Appropriations Bill. These tabulations compare not only outcomes by Service but also by institutional sector (private for-profit, private not-for-profit, and public). By making these Service- and sector-level comparisons, we highlight differences in TA and MyCAA enrollment, cost, number of courses taken, credits received, courses completed, and degrees received. These summarized outcome measures will provide policy-makers with a better understanding of the differences that exist across Services and education sectors, allowing them to evaluate how the Services are using these Voluntary Education benefits.
Tracking Outcomes of Voluntary Military Education Programs Data Tracking Outcomes of Voluntary Military Education Programs: A Data Analysis In this report, we used individual-level data provided ... requirement and discuss some revealing differences across Services and over time. There are a few important caveats regarding the comparability of numbers across the Services. First, management controls ... not be directly comparable across the Services if the limits on first-year or later courses vary by Service. Second, Army and Air Force data contained specific fields for certificates and for degree types
Leveraging Existing Training and Educational Assessments through the MAC Process
/quick-looks/2023/leveraging-existing-training-and-educational-assessments-through-the-mac-process
Short report discribes the systematic assessment tool, The Mapping Assessments to Competencies (MAC) Process, developed by CNA and the U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Science.to help evaluate talent management efforts.
, developed by CNA and the U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Science.to help evaluate talent management efforts. The Mapping Assessments to Competencies (MAC) Process , developed by CNA and the U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, is a systematic tool to evaluate whether existing assessment data can be used for talent management efforts. It can help ... education (PME) and operational exercises are two key sources of performance data. Moreover, these assessments may produce additional information about Servicemembers’ competencies that could be used
china ai and autonomy report: Issue 5, December 16, 2021
/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-5
The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 5, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.
reportedly used AI to make continuous improvements in the weapon's design that “gave the human designers a huge set of optimized data points that nearly doubled the weapon's efficiency compared ... (e.g., algorithms, data processing), intelligent system design, and teaching and guidance abilities. The standards were drafted by a group of organizations that include private companies, state-owned enterprises, industry organizations, and skills centers: Alibaba, Zhejiang Skilled Talents Evaluation Management Service Center, iFlyTek, Baidu, Beijing Xinyun Zhixun Technology, Zhongguancun Robot
Supply Chain Analysis Capabilities and Experience
/quick-looks/2019/supply-chain-analysis-capabilities-and-experience
Six CNA studies on supply chain resilience for emergency management are summarized, focusing on regions networks of lifeline commodities: food, fuel, and water.
Supply Chain Analysis Capabilities and Experience Six CNA studies on supply chain resilience for emergency management are summarized, focusing on regions networks of lifeline commodities: food, fuel, and water. CNA has conducted supply chain resilience after-action analyses in the wake of numerous natural disasters, as well as preparatory supply chain analyses for emergency management agencies ... and analysis organization with a 76-year record of impactful work in the areas of national security, homeland security, and emergency management. Since 1999, CNA has supported local and state clients
Social Media Crisis Communications for Emergency Management
/reports/2023/10/social-media-crisis-communications-for-emergency-management
Ten top emergency management best practices for social media crisis communications from 17 public information officers in state and local emergency management.
Social Media Crisis Communications for Emergency Management Best Practices in Social Media Crisis Communications for State and Local Emergency Management Agencies Ten top emergency management best practices for social media crisis communications from 17 public information officers in state and local emergency management. Social media is an ever-changing means of communication that poses challenges and enormous opportunities for emergency management agencies. Social media can enable emergency management agencies to provide potentially life-saving information during an emergency or incident
The PLA and Intelligent Warfare Preliminary Analysis
/reports/2021/10/the-pla-and-intelligent-warfare-preliminary-analysis
China’s army, the PLA, is exploring “intelligent warfare” using AI and autonomous weapons, CNA analysis of PLA writings shows. The US should prepare accordingly.
of data, algorithms, and computing power to intelligent warfare. Data. PRC writers stress that data are the foundation of intelligent warfare. Writers call data the “new oil” and big data ... will become a contest between competing algorithms. Computing power. PRC writers view real-time computing of large amounts of data as essential for intelligent warfare. PRC writers envision ... make several arguments: No matter how advanced intelligent weapons and equipment become, they will still require human innovation, design, production, and management. War is still a conflict between
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