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Andrew Mara joins CNA as Vice President and Director for Systems, Tactics, and Force Development

/our-media/press-releases/2021/03-29

CNA welcomes Andrew Mara as the new Vice President and Director of the Systems, Tactics, and Force Development (STF) Division.

CNA after 10 years in the Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation (CAPE) office within the Office of the Secretary of Defense, where he most recently served as Deputy Director of CAPE’s Capability ... during his time at CAPE, Dr. Mara led several notable “firsts” at the Defense Department, including its first ever space force structure assessment, which directly informed billions of dollars

Domestic Terrorism Offender-Level Database (DTOLD): A Data-Driven Analysis of US Domestic Terrorists’ Life Histories

/analyses/2025/07/domestic-terrorism-offender-level-database-(dtold)-a-data-driven-analysis-of-us-domestic-terrorists-life-histories

This report provides a detailed discussion of analytical findings drawn from DTOLD.

, the finding of a correlation between suicidality and lethality has implications for both threat assessment and risk assessment efforts. Finally, the documented similarities between the life histories

Protecting Servicemembers from Foreign Influence

/analyses/2024/05/protecting-servicemembers-from-foreign-influence

Recommendations for protecting U.S. servicemembers from mis-/dis-/mal-information, or MDM, through inoculation, debunking, fact-checking, and media literacy.

to mitigate the threat. We first provide an assessment of how appropriate each intervention is to a military context, and then we provide DOD with recommendations for using these techniques, including methods (virtual or in person), timing for refresher training, and best practices. We also provide a list of available tools and our assessment of their adaptability for the military. Appropriateness

Role of Space in Russia Operations in Ukraine

/analyses/2023/11/role-of-space-in-russia-operations-in-ukraine

Analysis: Russian military space activities in Ukraine have played a critical enabling role for Russian forces, but Russia operates at a disadvantage in space.

how Russia has employed its space and counterspace capabilities in Ukraine. It begins with an overview of Russian theory and doctrine about the role of space in conflict followed by an assessment ... (reconnaissance, communications, navigation, and counterspace). The paper concludes with an assessment of Russia’s potential future courses of action in the space domain.  The role of space in war

Case Study Supply Chain Resilience-Puget Sound

/analyses/2022/05/case-study-supply-chain-resilience-puget-sound

The Puget Sound region built public-private relationships for grocery supply chain resilience to prepare for earthquakes. COVID put them to the test.

in facilitating a more effective response. This assessment explores these impressions and possible “unintended consequences” of the 2019 project, and derives potential strategic and operational implications. Implications are discussed and follow-on questions are included to prompt consideration of topics for continued examination through other cases and more data-oriented analyses. The assessment

Dimensions of Autonomous Decision Making

/analyses/2021/12/dimensions-of-autonomous-decision-making

We identify the dimensions of autonomous decision-making—the potential risk that one should consider before transferring decision-making to an intelligent autonomous system.

obligations. The risk elements can also be used by military commanders as a (measurable and testable) pre-operational risk assessment “checklist” to ensure that autonomous systems are not used in an unethical manner. In this way, the Department of Defense (DOD) can make fully informed risk assessment decisions before developing or deploying autonomous systems. Because our study results were specifically

Methuen Police Department Performance Audit

/analyses/2021/09/methuen-police-department-performance-audit

CNA acknowledges the support and assistance we received from Mayor Neil Perry, members of the Methuen City Council, and the Methuen Police Department in completing this report. The input, experiences, data, and resources we received were invaluable in conducting our research and compiling our findings and recommendations.

interviews and surveys of department personnel. This report presents the results, findings, and recommendations from the audit. CNA's comprehensive assessment of MPD included an examination ... not trust the department’s use of the assessment center to make promotional decisions because there seem to be conflicting interests involved in the process. The MPD’s high number of assigned

Estimated Effects of Facility Quality SROTC Recruitment Retention

/analyses/2021/08/estimated-effects-of-facility-quality-srotc-recruitment-retention

This paper summarizes the research that CNA performed to understand how Senior Reserve Officers’ Training Corps (SROTC) facility conditions may disproportionately affect SROTC recruitment and retention at Minority-Serving Institutions (MSIs).

quality assessment indicate that nearly 100 percent of SROTC programs in our sample report at least one facility issue. Based on our data call, the most commonly reported issues relate to capacity ... that the services use to assess individual SROTC program success or viability [2]. We suggest that viability assessment measures be reviewed for inclusion of these data. We found that, because

Improving the DOD Manpower Management Workforce

/analyses/2020/07/improving-the-dod-manpower-management-workforce

The process for determining and validating requirements, associated manpower, and the workforce mix necessary to achieve an organization’s mission requires specialized knowledge, skills, and abilities. Unlike other career fields, however, there is no common training or certification process that ensures minimum standards and competencies among personnel performing manpower functions. This project examines whether the goal of common training and standards for all personnel performing manpower management (MM) functions in DOD is achievable and desirable. We find evidence that there are MM training gaps and inefficiencies in DOD and that, in general, MM functions are similar enough to allow standardized training and education. The data necessary to show that improving the quality of MM workforces will improve MM processes and outcomes is lacking, however. We recommend that DOD collect the necessary data to further examine the impact of MM workforce quality on MM outcomes and processes.

. This assessment takes into account evidence from previous assessments of the quality of the MM workforce and how it affects MM processes and outcomes, SMEs’ appetite for standardization, and lessons learned from ... workforce to understand the true requirement for MM throughout DOD. We also recommend that DOD conduct a full competency assessment to obtain detailed information on the KSAs required for the various MM

Organizational Troop to Task Wargames

/analyses/2019/03/organizational-troop-to-task-wargames

Organizational Troop-to-Task (OT3) resource-management wargames allow players to assign personnel under their command to meet the tasking of a higher headquarters throughout the narrative storyline of the wargame. We outline the rules and requirements to assemble and execute an OT3 wargame and provide a simplified “print-and-play” example. We discuss the data that can be collected, as well as what can be gleamed from that data—namely, (1) as an assessment of whether the organizational staff is “right-sized” for the given narrative storyline and its explicit or implied tasking; (2) an assessment of the gaps and seams of the organization, exploring where the organizational design may impede required information flow; and (3) a broad understanding of how an organization might respond to a given sequence of events. This document does not assess any particular organization. It provides the framework and toolkit for future organizational assessments.

“print-and-play” example. We discuss the data that can be collected, as well as what can be gleamed from that data—namely, (1) as an assessment of whether the organizational staff is “right-sized” for the given narrative storyline and its explicit or implied tasking; (2) an assessment of the gaps and seams of the organization, exploring where the organizational design may impede required