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Economic Implications to Disrupting Oil Chokepoints

/analyses/2011/economic-implications-to-disrupting-oil-chokepoints

The secure transportation of oil is critical to world trade and economic growth. Oil trade requires the use of maritime trade routes, as two-thirds of the world’s oil exports are transported by ocean.

the Strait of Malacca, oil tankers could travel along alternative trade routes. Certain oil importing countries would have the option to draw down their strategic reserves, and certain oil exporting ... of overall prices—would rise. Our method for using this theory to estimate the economic impacts of oil supply disruptions is straightforward. We draw on two tech- niques—Input-Output analysis and Keynesian analysis. These meth- ods are often used by economists to measure the effects of macroeconomic shocks, and our calculations involve only simple algebra. We use data that are publicly available

Wargame Helps a Naval SYSCOM Develop its Wartime Acquisition Response Plan

/quick-looks/2023/wargame-helps-a-naval-syscom-develop-its-wartime-acquisition-response-plan

Discusses the how the development of Warime Acquisition Response Plans (WARP) support the rapid expansion of acquisition capabilities in support of major combat operations.

secretary’s strategic objectives. Strategic Objectives For SYSCOMS WARP Capacity Building  — Analyze and develop plans for providing additional material capabilities, in numbers and volume ... and analysis. As such, Naval Facilities Engineering Systems Command (NAVFAC) asked CNA to develop and conduct a TTX that would identify wartime requirements from supported commanders and test NAVFAC’s ability ... , and analysis to meet those needs and to prompt thought about the second- and third-order effects of any actions taken. More than 70 NAVFAC, Navy, and DOD personnel from around the world attended the TTX. All

David Kaufman

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Administrator for Policy, Program Analysis, and International Affairs. At FEMA, he provided leadership, analysis, coordination, and decision-making support to the FEMA Administrator on a wide range of agency policies, strategy, plans, programs, and key initiatives. In particular, he led the framing of FEMA's current strategic direction; developed the agency's Whole Community Approach to Emergency Management and its supporting doctrine; established the FEMAStat performance management framework; and launched the Strategic Foresight Initiative, exploring the impacts of global trends on disaster

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 22, September 8, 2022

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The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 22, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

to shoot down PRC drones. In other news, the China Institute for Command and Control discusses constraints on the effective military use of AI, using the US military as an example, and a Strategic ... of coercion campaign. The PLA Daily , the official paper of the PLA, carried an article written by a researcher at the Strategic Support Force’s Space Engineering University titled “Fight the ‘Five ... and that their collaboration has increased five-fold since 2010. Events Teams from the PRC dominate Graph Challenge, a data and graph analysis contest organized by MIT and Amazon. According to the South

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 9, February 24, 2022

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The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 9, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

, potentially making the PRC the bigger loser in tech decoupling from the US.   Peking University's IISS recently published a report titled "U.S.-China Strategic Competition in Technology: Analysis ... with an “intelligent” component. Peking University’s Institute of International Strategic Studies (IISS) published a controversial report that found that the US was ahead of China in some technology areas such as AI ... , the PRC sold 220 UCAVs to 16 countries, most of them in the Middle East and Africa. According to the analysis, PRC unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have a reputation for being low cost but with maintenance

Preparing for Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response in Large-Scale Combat Operations

/analyses/2024/08/preparing-for-civilian-harm-mitigation-and-response-in-large-scale-combat-operations

Civilian harm mitigation and response requires a comprehensive approach. This report makes recommendations for mitigation, response, learning, analysis, and reporting.

to the extent feasible. Previous analysis shows that the CHMR approach can, in fact, yield improved operational effectiveness, help military attacks get the right target, and provide strategic ... and response requires a comprehensive approach. This report makes recommendations for mitigation, response, learning, analysis, and reporting. The US military has always taken steps to safeguard ... is based on lessons from and analysis of real-world operations and contains SECDEF-directed actions to meet two overall goals: improving DOD’s ability to mitigate harm to civilians in its operations

Emerging Technologies and Civilian Harm Mitigation

/quick-looks/2023/emerging-technologies-and-civilian-harm-mitigation

CNA analysis of military operations has shown that it is possible to simultaneously improve military effectiveness and lessen civilian harm.

Emerging Technologies and Civilian Harm Mitigation CNA analysis of military operations has shown that it is possible to simultaneously improve military effectiveness and lessen civilian harm. Artificial Intelligence and other emerging technologies have the potential to reduce civilian harm in conflict. An analysis of over 2000 real-world instances of civilian harm identified 12 pathways to harm ... to civilians, including the operational disruption that can result, the strategic impact of creating grievances that can prolong conflict, and the increasing transparency of the modern battlefield, which

Supply Chain Resilience Expertise at CNA

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/EMO/supply%20chain/Dock-Semis%20copy.webp none As a core member of the Supply Chain Analysis Network (SCAN), CNA contributes to the annual National Strategic Supply Chain Risk Analysis, presented ... to provide real-time analysis for FEMA as part of SCAN. half contain image-first gray black Facilitating Private Sector Recovery After a Disaster CNA supply chain resilience experts have played ... Contact Jason McNamara Director, Center for Emergency Management Operations McNamaraj@cna.org gray FeaturedSquares Supply Chain Research orange Explore more Supply Chain Analysis Capabilities

ai and autonomy in russia: Issue 31, February 7, 2022

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’s strategic goals—to improve Russia-Belarus strategic cooperation. Pskov University’s partnership with the Moscow-based technological university MISiS in artificial intelligence and data analysis ... The Agency for Strategic Initiatives (ASI) is partnering with Pskov State University to create a “boiling point” center to educate students from Russia and Belarus on how to create startups

PRC Economic Activity in the Arctic

/analyses/2022/03/prc-economic-activity-in-the-arctic

On March 14, 2022, CNA hosted a National Security Seminar on Arctic investment and economic activity by the People’s Republic of China (PRC).

direct investment (FDI) led by Dr. Joshua Tallis, which culminated in four reports on the nature, scope, strategic intentions, legal environment, and US mitigation strategies relative to China’s growing ... of phasing out hydrocarbons and moving to a carbon-neutral economy. Mr. Rosen discussed how analysis of the PRC’s Arctic ambitions has evolved over the last decade, with greater detail on the actual ... years. Ms. Holz noted that Arctic investment remains a major strategic priority of the PRC leadership, with the party signaling “loud and clear” its considerable interest in securing Arctic natural