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ai and autonomy in russia: Issue 39, May 30, 2022

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of a computing power base at the Sirius educational center to ensure Russia’s independent capabilities on this issue. THE CLUB OF STRATEGIC INITIATIVES EVALUATES AI PROPOSALS FOR SOCIETAL IMPROVEMENT The Club of Strategic Initiatives held a gathering with the participation of regional authorities, public representatives from the Agency for Strategic Initiatives, and the broader agency team ... for AI has nearly doubled. Meanwhile, the venture capital market grew by 170%. According to the report, over 60% of the market is in data analysis, with a strong 30% in natural language processing

Analytic Framework for Emulating Russian Decision Making

/analyses/2017/analytic-framework-for-emulating-russian-decision-making

The purpose of this report is to propose an analytical framework for emulating Russian decision-making in the national security realm. The framework is paired with a methodology that allows the user to systematically examine what Russian decision- making would look like in response to a foreign policy crisis. The framework is presented in the first section and then applied to three potential crisis scenarios in Eastern Europe. The analytical structure presented is meant to be used as a guideline. It offers potential answers, tools, and a systematic method for emulation that allows users to formulate decision-trees for Russian actions on the basis of reasonable assumptions about how Russia might act in various situations. The final product can be further developed and refined on the basis of observation of Russian actions in future interactions with its adversaries and behavior in crisis situations.

strategic culture, i.e. the prism through which Russian decision-makers approach their strategic calculus. The objective is to be explanative, parsimonious, and fuse the best of regional studies expertise with the work of the security studies community. We offer a base model for Russian decision-making and ways of thinking about Moscow's strategic calculus in conflicts that may subsequently ... a complex adversary. Key elements of the framework The model begins with a strategic assessment by Russian leadership of the situation and how it fits into the grander scheme of their security concerns

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 1, November 2, 2021

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The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 1, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

this inaugural issue to promote a new CNA report by researchers Kevin Pollpeter and Amanda Kerrigan titled “ The PLA and Intelligent Warfare: A Preliminary Analysis .” The report presents PRC ... that the PLA Air Force is “crossing the threshold” to becoming a “strategic air force” capable of strategic deterrence, air and space defense, long-range strike, air control, strategic transport ... . The Drive carried extensive analysis of the CH-6, describing it as “a long-endurance, twin-jet engine, multirole drone” intended for reconnaissance and strike roles. 12 In addition to listing

Making-Captains-of-War-CNOS-Studies-Group-1981-1995

/analyses/2016/making-captains-of-war-cnos-studies-group-1981-1995

The Strategic Studies Group, created by the Chief of Naval Operations in 1981 to prepare Navy officers to think strategically, succeeded, this review finds.

Making-Captains-of-War-CNOS-Studies-Group-1981-1995 Making Captains of War: The Chief of Naval Operations Strategic Studies Group, 1981–1995 The Strategic Studies Group, created by the Chief of Naval Operations in 1981 to prepare Navy officers to think strategically, succeeded, this review finds. The CNO Strategic Studies Group (SSG) was conceptualized by outgoing Under Secretary of the Navy Robert J. Murray and formed in 1981 by Chief of Naval Operations (CNO) Thomas B. Hayward. Its purpose was to prepare potential Flag officers for three- and four-star commands, stimulate strategic

Russian Concepts of Future Warfare Based on Lessons from the Ukraine War

/analyses/2025/08/russian-concepts-of-future-warfare-based-on-lessons-from-the-ukraine-war

This paper examines the evolution of military strategy and conventional operations over the Russia-Ukraine War.

in anticipation of future wars. The study begins with an analysis of Russian strategic thought, which forms the foundation for Russian warfighting concepts. It then discusses three main operational areas ... tactical changes in the character of armed conflict (especially widespread use of uncrewed systems), Russian strategic and operational thinking on conventional military operations remains largely ... in Russian strategic concepts or operational doctrine. Russian military elites have chosen to address emerging military challenges with a peculiar mixture of confirmation bias and technological

Innovation Day

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large language model (LLM). By enhancing the speed and quality of our analysis, Morse Code promotes more informed decision-making for a wide range of governmental challenges. This strategic initiative ... , Dr. Katherine McGrady , President and CEO, CNA 1:35 p.m. - 1:45 p.m. Room 214 Remarks, Halleh Seyson , Vice President and Director, CNA Enterprise Systems and Data Analysis Division 1 ... and Dr. Jon Bollinger Closing Remarks and Reception 4:45 p.m. - 4:50 p.m. Room 214 Closing remarks, Cherie Rosenblum, Vice President of Strategic Initiatives 4:50 p.m. - 6:30

intersections: Issue 12, January 2025

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Intersections is a CNA news digest of China’s efforts to acquire Western technology, and U.S. and partner efforts to protect that technology for national security.

that ChatBIT is currently being applied to "intelligence analysis" but may be applied to strategic planning, simulations, and command decision-making in the future. In addition, the Reuters report noted other ... to an analysis by Merics, a German think tank, Beijing views becoming self-sufficient in the entire semiconductor supply chain as a strategic imperative given US-China competition, and Huawei and SMIC ... is a strategic task" and thus China "must increase unified surveying and mapping work." China's 14th Five-Year Plan, which includes long-range objectives out to 2035, includes requirements to develop

pla update: Issue 12, July 17, 2023

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PLA Update, Issue 12, is a CNA China Studies Program monthly newsletter, with summaries of Chinese media coverage of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA).

"hyping" of the strategic environment and highlighted the document's discussion of integrated deterrence. On June 19, China Defense News published a short analysis of the unclassified version ... of the article, who are affiliated with the PLA National Defense University's (NDU) Politics Academy, began by contending that people's war-a body of strategic thought originating under Mao Zedong ... war as a form of struggle in which the masses are organized and armed to support strategic objectives that include resisting foreign invasion and protecting national unity. The NDU authors claimed

Strategic Stability and the Ukraine War Implications of Conventional Missile Technologies

/analyses/2024/02/strategic-stability-and-the-ukraine-war-implications-of-conventional-missile-technologies

The Russia-Ukraine war is the 1st with widespread long-range strike weapons and missile defense and may put pressure on NATO-Russia nuclear strategic stability.

explores those implications, asking how the deployment and use of long‑range strike weapons and missile defense systems in Ukraine affects Russia‑NATO strategic stability. In this analysis, long‑range ... Strategic Stability and the Ukraine War Implications of Conventional Missile Technologies Strategic Stability and the Ukraine War: Implications of Conventional Missile Technologies The Russia-Ukraine war is the 1st with widespread long-range strike weapons and missile defense and may put pressure on NATO-Russia nuclear strategic stability. The Russia‑Ukraine war marks the first instance

ai and autonomy in russia: Issue 44, August 25, 2022

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development progress and goals  On July 14, 2022, President Putin spoke at a meeting of the Council for Strategic Development and National Projects. The meeting was called to discuss the development ... speaks on AI development and global growth Deputy Prime Minister Chernyshenko also delivered a speech at the Council for Strategic Developments and National Projects meeting on July 14, 2022 ... carry small munitions, and was unveiled for the first time during Zapad-2021 strategic exercises at the Mulino training ground in September 2021. TASS acknowledges that there is practically