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To Counter China’s Economic Threat to US Industry, Seek Resilience, Not Deterrence

/our-media/indepth/2024/11/counter-chinas-economic-threat-with-resilience-not-deterrence

Economic deterrence, a priority in the National Defense Industrial Strategy, is vague and difficult. To compete with China, economic resilience is preferable.

Resilience, Not Deterrence /images/InDepth/2024/11/laser-cutting-metal-metaimage.jpg Christopher Cairns Dr. Christopher Cairns is a Research Scientist with CNA's Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Program ... acquisition of advanced foreign technology and dominance of critical supply chains as fundamental to its security and prosperity. For economic deterrence to force Beijing to change its behavior ... targeted costs on China without crippling US and allied industry. For example, Victor Cha of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) argues that the US should work with key allies

The East and South China Seas: One Sea, Near Seas, Whose Seas?

/our-media/indepth/2024/05/the-east-and-south-china-seas

China sees the East and South China Seas as its unified “near seas.” Other nations in the region dispute that, noting distinct differences between the seas.

China Studies Program and a non-resident fellow at the National Bureau of Asian Research. Brian Waidelich is a research scientist with CNA's Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Program ... , and rocks — but the economic, maritime, and security stakes associated with them are large. Countries around the East and South China Seas, however, are not taking China’s actions passively ... grounds that support the economic growth and food security of East and Southeast Asian countries. According to one estimate, the value of these fisheries is over $7 billion in the East China Sea

Q&A WITH CNA: What’s Next for Taiwan?

/our-media/indepth/2022/08/whats-next-for-taiwan

CNA China Studies analyst James Bellacqua answers our questions about what's next for Taiwan after Speaker Pelosi's visit.

to the PRC would shatter the credibility of U.S. security commitments in the region. Consequently, the U.S. will likely continue to provide security assistance to Taiwan, demonstrate its ability to transit the Taiwan Strait and work with regional allies to elevate Taiwan‘s international profile while stopping short of emboldening Taipei to advance its independence aspirations for fear of touching off

Impacts of the Ukraine War on Russian Technology Development

/our-media/indepth/2022/07/impacts-of-the-ukraine-war-on-russian-technology-development

Anya Fink examines how international sanctions and the exit of multinational corporations from Russia have hurt Moscow’s artificial intelligence ambitions.

Impacts of the Ukraine War on Russian Technology Development Anya Fink examines how international sanctions and the exit of multinational corporations from Russia have hurt Moscow’s artificial ... Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has already dramatically reshaped European security. It is also likely to have significant repercussions for Russia’s economy and its technological development. The exit ... support to civilian businesses and defense corporations, numerous human capital initiatives and international cooperative ventures. This strategy has encompassed the development of unmanned transport

Implications of the U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan

/our-media/indepth/2021/10/implications-of-us-withdrawal-from-afghanistan

The end of the Afghan conflict—and the manner in which it ended—is significant, but it will take time for its implications to come into focus.

and the disintegration of U.S.-built security forces that captured the world’s attention. The end of the Afghan conflict—and the manner in which it ended—is significant, but it will take time for its ... to be seen how cooperative the Taliban government will prove to be, if at all, or whether the regime will become hostile and provide sanctuary to international terrorism. To conduct unilateral ... to international terrorism and the network of global jihadist movements, which stretch into the Caucasus and other areas in and near Russia. China has similar concerns about extremist networks in its western regions

The U.S. is Close to a Deal with the Taliban: What’s Next?

/our-media/indepth/2020/02/the-us-is-close-to-a-deal-with-the-taliban-whats-next

Last Friday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced on Twitter that the United States had officially "come to an understanding with the Taliban on a significant reduction in violence across Afghanistan."

governments, the reintegration of Taliban fighters — potentially into the Afghan security forces — and the relationship of any post-peace government with the international community, including the continued provision of international aid on which Afghanistan’s economy relies heavily. But first things first. If the reduction in violence can hold for just a few more days, the U.S. and the Taliban ... the Stability and Development Program. Schroden is an expert on the Marine Corps, special operations forces, terrorism/counterterrorism, indigenous force development, security force assistance, foreign

China-Russia Energy Relations

/our-media/indepth/2019/12/china-russia-energy-relations

Chinese president Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin inaugurated the Power of Siberia pipeline, which links the world's largest natural gas exporter to the world's largest natural gas importer.

of Siberia, Xi and Putin both praised the pipeline as a symbol of closer bilateral relations. On that same day, Xi told Russian Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev that China and Russia should ... security of both countries, and impeded their social and economic development,” according to a summary of the meeting posted on the website of China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Remind Washington ... and port in northern Siberia, the Russian firm Novatek and its international partners (France’s Total, China’s CNPC and Silk Road Fund) completed the Yamal LNG project on time and on budget in December

Can Kim Jong Un Really Denuclearize?

/our-media/indepth/2019/04/can-kim-jong-un-realy-denuclearize

A fundamental question facing U.S. policymakers is whether North Korea intends to denuclearize. Most Pyongyang-watchers believe this is an impossibility, at least for the near term.

. These rules are tied to  the Kim family’s role  and an unwritten contract that the supreme leader will protect and defend family equities and regime security. There have been times in North Korean history ... to secure buy-in from the Kim family, the party, military and internal security. He would need to make a cogent argument for sacrificing the nuclear program, and provide assurances that the United States and international community would follow through on any agreement. This would be difficult to pull off if North Korea had to agree to denuclearize on the front end; Kim could more easily agree

cna talks: Domestic Terrorism in the United States

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2018/cna-talks-domestic-terrorism-in-the-united-states

In the wake of the recent mailed pipe bombs and Pittsburgh synagogue mass shooting, CNA experts Bill Rosenau and Dawn Thomas discuss the historical context of domestic terrorism in America and the rise of the “lone wolf” and violent right-wing extremism over recent decades. They distinguish domestic terrorism from hate crimes and examine societal perceptions of the severity of each. They also review prevention and law enforcement responses to hate crimes and domestic terrorism. Rosenau notes that while terrorism is perceived as the more critical threat, Americans are more likely to be a victim of a hate crime. They also point out that if current systems have been unable to predict and identify perpetrators in recent years, it suggests the traditional risk factors may be outdated while modern technology and prediction tools are underutilized. Thomas questions why Americans are increasingly susceptible to malign influence, and Rosenau emphasizes the need for more academic study on domestic terrorism, as it poses a greater threat to American civilians than foreign terrorism.

Bill Rosenau   is an expert on United States and international military advisory roles and missions, international police training, terrorist innovation and political warfare. He is a Senior Policy ... , 2019. Dawn Thomas   is an Associate Director and Research Analyst on the Safety and Security team of CNA, and is an expert in large-scale incident planning and response. In 14 years at CNA

cna talks: Foreign Policy Advice for the New Administration

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2017/foreign-policy-advice-for-the-new-administration

In light of this month’s presidential transition, six CNA analysts sat down to discuss foreign policy advice for the next administration. From Asia to Europe to the Middle East, the commentators covered some of the key areas of concern for the upcoming year and beyond. Topics included: North Korea’s nuclear capabilities Russia’s relationships with NATO, Syria and Turkey The Iran nuclear deal Chinese national interests The South China Sea Cyber threats Listen in for informed analysis on China, North Korea, Russia and more.

president and director of CNA's   China Studies division   and an expert on Chinese and Asian affairs. Ken Gause is the director of CNA's   International Affairs Group . He is CNA's senior foreign ... analyzing Russia’s military and foreign policy and is an expert on security issues in the former Soviet Union. Alexander Alden, a CNA analyst, is an expert in strategic planning, defense policy, deterrence and assurance, military modernization, arms transfers, security cooperation, the Middle East and Southeast Asia. Related Materials CNA’s   Strategic Studies division CNA’s   China Studies