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Implications of the U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan

/our-media/indepth/2021/10/implications-of-us-withdrawal-from-afghanistan

The end of the Afghan conflict—and the manner in which it ended—is significant, but it will take time for its implications to come into focus.

and the disintegration of U.S.-built security forces that captured the world’s attention. The end of the Afghan conflict—and the manner in which it ended—is significant, but it will take time for its ... to be seen how cooperative the Taliban government will prove to be, if at all, or whether the regime will become hostile and provide sanctuary to international terrorism. To conduct unilateral ... to international terrorism and the network of global jihadist movements, which stretch into the Caucasus and other areas in and near Russia. China has similar concerns about extremist networks in its western regions

The U.S. is Close to a Deal with the Taliban: What’s Next?

/our-media/indepth/2020/02/the-us-is-close-to-a-deal-with-the-taliban-whats-next

Last Friday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced on Twitter that the United States had officially "come to an understanding with the Taliban on a significant reduction in violence across Afghanistan."

governments, the reintegration of Taliban fighters — potentially into the Afghan security forces — and the relationship of any post-peace government with the international community, including the continued provision of international aid on which Afghanistan’s economy relies heavily. But first things first. If the reduction in violence can hold for just a few more days, the U.S. and the Taliban ... the Stability and Development Program. Schroden is an expert on the Marine Corps, special operations forces, terrorism/counterterrorism, indigenous force development, security force assistance, foreign

China-Russia Energy Relations

/our-media/indepth/2019/12/china-russia-energy-relations

Chinese president Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin inaugurated the Power of Siberia pipeline, which links the world's largest natural gas exporter to the world's largest natural gas importer.

of Siberia, Xi and Putin both praised the pipeline as a symbol of closer bilateral relations. On that same day, Xi told Russian Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev that China and Russia should ... security of both countries, and impeded their social and economic development,” according to a summary of the meeting posted on the website of China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Remind Washington ... and port in northern Siberia, the Russian firm Novatek and its international partners (France’s Total, China’s CNPC and Silk Road Fund) completed the Yamal LNG project on time and on budget in December

Can Kim Jong Un Really Denuclearize?

/our-media/indepth/2019/04/can-kim-jong-un-realy-denuclearize

A fundamental question facing U.S. policymakers is whether North Korea intends to denuclearize. Most Pyongyang-watchers believe this is an impossibility, at least for the near term.

. These rules are tied to  the Kim family’s role  and an unwritten contract that the supreme leader will protect and defend family equities and regime security. There have been times in North Korean history ... to secure buy-in from the Kim family, the party, military and internal security. He would need to make a cogent argument for sacrificing the nuclear program, and provide assurances that the United States and international community would follow through on any agreement. This would be difficult to pull off if North Korea had to agree to denuclearize on the front end; Kim could more easily agree

cna talks: Domestic Terrorism in the United States

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2018/cna-talks-domestic-terrorism-in-the-united-states

In the wake of the recent mailed pipe bombs and Pittsburgh synagogue mass shooting, CNA experts Bill Rosenau and Dawn Thomas discuss the historical context of domestic terrorism in America and the rise of the “lone wolf” and violent right-wing extremism over recent decades. They distinguish domestic terrorism from hate crimes and examine societal perceptions of the severity of each. They also review prevention and law enforcement responses to hate crimes and domestic terrorism. Rosenau notes that while terrorism is perceived as the more critical threat, Americans are more likely to be a victim of a hate crime. They also point out that if current systems have been unable to predict and identify perpetrators in recent years, it suggests the traditional risk factors may be outdated while modern technology and prediction tools are underutilized. Thomas questions why Americans are increasingly susceptible to malign influence, and Rosenau emphasizes the need for more academic study on domestic terrorism, as it poses a greater threat to American civilians than foreign terrorism.

Bill Rosenau   is an expert on United States and international military advisory roles and missions, international police training, terrorist innovation and political warfare. He is a Senior Policy ... , 2019. Dawn Thomas   is an Associate Director and Research Analyst on the Safety and Security team of CNA, and is an expert in large-scale incident planning and response. In 14 years at CNA

cna talks: Foreign Policy Advice for the New Administration

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2017/foreign-policy-advice-for-the-new-administration

In light of this month’s presidential transition, six CNA analysts sat down to discuss foreign policy advice for the next administration. From Asia to Europe to the Middle East, the commentators covered some of the key areas of concern for the upcoming year and beyond. Topics included: North Korea’s nuclear capabilities Russia’s relationships with NATO, Syria and Turkey The Iran nuclear deal Chinese national interests The South China Sea Cyber threats Listen in for informed analysis on China, North Korea, Russia and more.

president and director of CNA's   China Studies division   and an expert on Chinese and Asian affairs. Ken Gause is the director of CNA's   International Affairs Group . He is CNA's senior foreign ... analyzing Russia’s military and foreign policy and is an expert on security issues in the former Soviet Union. Alexander Alden, a CNA analyst, is an expert in strategic planning, defense policy, deterrence and assurance, military modernization, arms transfers, security cooperation, the Middle East and Southeast Asia. Related Materials CNA’s   Strategic Studies division CNA’s   China Studies

ai with ai: Just the Tip of the Skyborg

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-4/4-31

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news, including the first flight of a drone equipped with the Air Force’s Skyborg autonomy core system. The UK Office for AI publishes a new set of guidance on automated decision-making in government, with Ethics, Transparency and Accountability Framework for Automated Decision-Making. The International Red Cross calls for new international rules on how governments use autonomous weapons. Senators introduce two AI bills to improve the US’s AI readiness, with the AI Capabilities and Transparency Act and the AI for the Military Act. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin lays out his vision for the Department of Defense in his first major speech, stressing the importantance of emerging technology and rapid increases in computing power. A report from the Allen Institute for AI shows that China is closing in on the US in AI research, expecting to become the leader in the top 1% of most-cited papers in 2023. In research, Ziming Liu and Max Tegmark introduce AI Poincaré, an algorithm that auto-discovers conserved quantities using trajectory data from unknown dynamics systems. Researchers enable a paralyzed man to “text with his thoughts,” reaching 16 words per minute. The Stimson Center publishes A New Agenda for US Drone Policy and the Use of Lethal Force. The Onlife Manifesto: Being Human in a Hyperconnected Era, first published in 2015, is available for open access. And Cade Metz publishes Genius Makers, with stories of the pioneers behind AI.

of guidance on automated decision-making in government, with Ethics, Transparency and Accountability Framework for Automated Decision-Making. The International Red Cross calls for new international rules ... on Autonomous Weapons Speech given by Peter Maurer, President of the ICRC The International Committee of the Red Cross as guardian of international humanitarian law ICRC position and background paper (mentioned in Maurer’s letter) Two AI Bills introduced To Boost AI-Ready National Security Personnel & Increase Transparency Artificial Intelligence Capabilities and Transparency Act

Japan’s F-35B Sea Trials Aim to Boost Interoperability with US, Partner Navies

/our-media/indepth/2024/11/japans-f-35b-sea-trials

Successful tests of the F-35B Joint Strike Fighter on a Japanese ship bring Japan closer to a future of close collaboration with the US Navy and Marine Corps.

/F-35B-on-JS-Kaga-metaimage.jpg Brian Waidelich and Darlene Onuorah Brian Waidelich is a Research Scientist with CNA's Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Program . He is currently deployed to Strike Group Five in Yokosuka, Japan, as part of the CNA Field Program . Darlene Onuorah is an Associate Research Analyst with CNA's Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Program . On November 6, the Japan Maritime ... the country’s potential adversaries. The three major security documents released by Tokyo in late 2022 spelled out plans to increase the country’s defense budget and develop “counterstrike” capabilities

NATO’s Navies at 75: Five Operational Imperatives to Watch

/our-media/indepth/2024/04/natos-navies-at-75

At NATO’s 75th anniversary, its navies are investing in five critical areas: surface ships, air defense, antisubmarine warfare, uncrewed platforms, and logistics.

sophisticated submarine fleet poses the most substantial security threat in the European maritime domain. Ongoing NATO investments in antisubmarine warfare (ASW) capabilities should therefore be followed ... in Pacific operations. Although NATO as an alliance is unlikely to operate in the Pacific for political reasons, several individual NATO navies are important bolsters to international order in the region

All In on Africa

/our-media/indepth/2023/05/all-in-on-africa

Kaia Haney examines the Biden Administration’s recent diplomacy in Africa and how it ties into strategic competition on the continent.

as the Biden administration is still working to counter China and Russia’s respective influences across Africa. As Gilles Yabi, a nonresident scholar with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace ... strong political, military and security ties with many African nations. Experts like Paul Nantulya, a research associate with the African Center for Strategic Studies, emphasize that Africa will only