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Belt and Road Initiative 3.0: Mixed Messages from Beijing

/our-media/indepth/2023/10/belt-and-road-3.0

Belt and Road Initiative 10-year anniversary forum promoted a leaner, greener, “smarter” Belt and Road. But Putin’s prominent role highlighted global divisions.

China Studies Program and an expert on Russian-Chinese relations. At the Third Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation on October 17–18, 2023, Xi Jinping sought to promote a leaner ... at the forum undermined Xi’s interdependence message, highlighting instead the fracturing of the international community over conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza. The Third Belt and Road Forum was meant ... as the centerpiece of Xi’s foreign policy agenda, but since then he has promoted a trio of newer initiatives: the Global Security Initiative, Global Development Initiative, and Global Civilization

North Korea's Strategic Surprise in the Yellow Sea: A Future Scenario

/our-media/indepth/2022/01/north-koreas-strategic-surprise-in-the-yellow-sea

Markus Garlauskas presents a fictional future Yellow Sea conflict scenario, following the consequences of a surprise attack by North Korea against South Korea.

Kim's choice to prioritize weapons and security over trade and prosperity—which cleared the way for domestic and international acquiescence to Kim family rule over a nuclear-armed North Korea ... Threats and Challenges program. He is a senior fellow (nonresident) with the Atlantic Council and an adjunct professor for Georgetown University's Security Studies Program. He served in the U.S. ... . Earlier this month, at a Center for Strategic and International Studies event, the White House's Indo-Pacific coordinator, Kurt Campbell, told the online audience that the Pacific may be the most

Q&A With CNA: Russia's Troop Build-up on Ukraine's Border

/our-media/indepth/2022/01/russia-troop-build-up-ukraine-border

Julian Waller answers questions about Russia’s military buildup on Ukraine’s border amid Russian intervention in Kazakhstan and the approaching spring.

of Russian and other regional military forces into Kazakhstan under the auspices of the Collective Security Treaty Organization's (CSTO) direct intervention was limited and did not substantively divert ... . This was the first such CSTO mission, even though the organization's member-states have been practicing for this kind of joint, Russian-led security action for some time. The intervention, at least ... the cascade of political violence, riots and protest such that domestic security forces were able to regain control of major cities and regions without further spirals of disorder. We will see how events

Digging Deeper on Great Power Competition in a New US Administration

/our-media/indepth/2021/01/digging-deeper-on-great-power-competition-in-a-new-us-administration

Over the past few years, great power competition (GPC) has become the organizing principle for US national strategy.

become the organizing principle for US national strategy. The 2017 National Security Strategy (NSS) codified growing discussion that the United States is in a "great power competition" with both China ... rather than small states , which constitute the majority of the international system and frequently raise questions among observers about their potential alignment with competitors. So what issues should ... to focus beyond the adversarial dimension of international relations. That Russia and China compete with the US is self-evident. At the national defense level, the US has focused on increased

COVID-19's Maximum Pressure Campaign on North Korea

/our-media/indepth/2020/04/covid-19s-maximum-pressure-campaign-on-north-korea

The spread of COVID-19 across the world is redefining the political and economic realities of every country on the planet. Every day sees scores of articles detailing how gmany are coping with the challenge.

epidemics to be a matter of national security, and the regime announced that it was implementing a “national emergency anti-epidemic system” for the country. Public health crises are a critical threat to North Korea because its weak healthcare system has suffered from decades of dire mismanagement. Longstanding international sanctions have exacerbated this already emaciated system. Healthcare ... population, it does have unique control over the movement of people and goods. Powerful security apparatuses and ubiquitous social surveillance are pillars of North Korean authoritarianism

Antarctica is the New Arctic

/our-media/indepth/2020/03/antarctica-is-the-new-arctic

Twenty years ago the Arctic was untouched aside from a few hardy explorers and the occasional submarine. Now the High North has become another facet of great power competition.

studies at CNA on Indian Ocean and South Asia security. Ralph Espach is a senior research scientist at CNA's Strategy and Policy Analysis program. He is an expert on inter-American security relations, especially regarding Central America and Brazil, the security implications of climate change, and security cooperation. The world is evolving rapidly. A reversion to great power politics and mercantilist trade wars roils international politics. As traditional resource pools dwindle, oil, gas and mining companies and fishing fleets are pushing into new regions and seeking untapped resource

cna talks: Red Robots

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2017/red-robots

Artificial Intelligence and unmanned systems are rapidly changing the dynamics of warfighting and military power. With Russia, China, and other nations investing in and testing these capabilities, the United States has to understand what capabilities other countries have and how their governments could seek to use them. On this episode of CNA Talks, experts Larry Lewis, Samuel Bendett, and Kevin Pollpeter discuss unmanned military systems, how Russia and China are developing and employing their capabilities, and what the United States should do in response.

operations, security assistance, and counterterrorism. Lewis spent a decade analyzing real-world operations as the project lead and primary author for many of DOD's Joint Lessons Learned studies. He has a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry from Rice University. Samuel Bendett   is an Associate Research Analyst with the Center for Naval Analyses' International Affairs Group, where he is a member of the Russia Studies Program. His work involves Russian defense and security technology and developments, Russian geopolitical influence in the former Soviet states, as well as Russian unmanned systems

China’s Gaza Diplomacy Takes a Page from Its Ukraine Playbook

/our-media/indepth/2023/11/chinas-gaza-diplomacy

China claims it can mediate between Israel and Palestinians, but as with Russia-Ukraine, Beijing has clearly picked one side and lost diplomatic credibility.

States. China’s position is consistent with Xi Jinping’s Global Security Initiative , where he makes the case for a new approach to global governance, but its application to the conflict in Gaza only serves to highlight its limitations. Occupying the rotating presidency of the UN Security Council in November, Chinese officials have sought to portray their country as a mediator and to enhance ... is unlikely to succeed as a mediator due to the perception that it is overtly partial. Although China’s 2023 Global Security Initiative refers to antiterrorism 11 times, in its official statements

Israel’s New Government is the Most Far-Right in its History

/our-media/indepth/2023/01/israels-new-government-is-the-most-far-right-in-its-history

San Plapinger examines how Benjamin Netanyahu’s new hardline government could impact the country’s relations with Jordan, Egypt, Bahrain and the UAE.

and Intelligence Program . His work focuses on strategic competition, irregular warfare, fleet operations and Middle East security issues. From 2020 to 2022, Samuel served as the embedded CNA field ... worry is the potential for significant internal tensions in Israel proper and the occupied West Bank. Indeed, the Israeli Minister of National Security’s recent provocative visit to the Temple Mount ... with close regional allies Egypt and Jordan and its ongoing efforts to build relations with key Gulf states? Israel has long-standing security, intelligence and military ties with Jordan and Egypt

The Winter Olympics: Opportunities & Challenges for Beijing

/our-media/indepth/2022/01/the-winter-olympics-opportunities-and-challenges-for-beijing

James Bellacqua examines Beijing’s goals for the 2022 Winter Olympics, and how COVID-19 and climate change present new challenges to the event.

will be the intense international media spotlight on Beijing's performance while the games are underway, greatly magnifying Beijing's handling of any outbreak. For the Communist Party of China (CPC ... player on the global stage, validate the CPC's achievements before an international audience, improve the country's international image and influence, and demonstrate its superior ability to handle ... —including the prospect of individual athletes using the Olympic spotlight to make a political statement—and a heavy security and surveillance presence at all competition venues should be expected. A more