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U.S. Forces are Weathering the COVID-19 Crisis — So Far

/our-media/indepth/2020/08/u.s.-forces-are-weathering-the-covid-19-crisis-so-far

Though the pandemic has upended organizations of all sizes across the globe, the U.S. military and its supporting agencies have proven surprisingly resilient.

and Challenges division. He is an expert on military strategy, defense policy, irregular warfare, and the Middle East and South Asia. He served four years as an advisor to U.S. Central Command, which ... the globe, and lasting transformation across the military and intelligence community. Likely pandemic impacts on the defense budget are trivial compared to the cost of the post-9/11 wars. The aircraft ... , training and maintenance will no doubt affect the future readiness of some U.S. forces. Slow-downs in defense production will also hamper the equipping of these forces and the availability of major

Great Power Competition in the Red Sea? Yes, and…

/our-media/indepth/2019/07/great-power-competition-in-the-red-sea-yes-and

The renewed focus on great power competition is causing seismic shifts in large parts of the national security community, reshaping our understanding of strategic priorities and geopolitical relationships.

, and lacks a clear vision of how to incorporate the informational and economic levers of power. In short, the U.S. has lost the ability to wrap economics into its strategic policy in this region, putting ... defense deals with Egypt, Sudan and Saudi Arabia, Russia’s primary security interest is in guaranteed access to the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, and, perhaps, eventual basing in these areas. Turkey

cna talks: Latin American Security

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2017/latin-american-security

This week listen to CNA analyst Dr. William Rosenau discuss Latin American security with CNA’s Dr. Ralph Espach and guest scholar Dr. Joseph Tulchin. The three experts talk about the United States’ bilateral relationships with Mexico, Venezuela and Cuba; the domestic situation in Venezuela; Cuba and regional security; Central America; post-FARC Colombia; and environmental security.

security. Latin American Security Biographies Dr. William Rosenau, the host of this episode, is a senior research scientist at CNA. He has over 25 years of experience in defense analysis and is an expert on political extremism, propaganda and political warfare, counterterrorism, and policy history. Dr. Ralph Espach is director of Latin American Strategic Affairs at CNA. He is an expert

ai with ai: Up, Up, and Autonomy!

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-6/6-7

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, including the update of the Department of Defense Directive 3000.09 on Autonomy in Weapon Systems. NIST releases the first version of its AI Risk Management Framework. The National AI Research Resource (NAIRR) Task Force publishes its final report, in which it details its plans for a national research infrastructure, as well as its request for $2.6 billion over 6 years to fund the initiatives. DARPA announces the Autonomous Multi-domain Adaptive Swarms-of-Swarms (AMASS) program, a much larger effort (aiming for thousands of autonomous entities) than its previous OFFSET program. And finally, from the Naval Postgraduate School’s Energy Academic Group, Kristen Fletcher and Marina Lesse join to discuss their research and efforts in autonomous systems and maritime law and policy, including a discussion about the DoDD 3000.09 update and the high-altitude balloon incident.

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, including the update of the Department of Defense Directive 3000.09 on Autonomy in Weapon Systems. NIST releases the first version of its AI ... in autonomous systems and maritime law and policy, including a discussion about the DoDD 3000.09 update and the high-altitude balloon incident. /images/AI-Posters/Season%206/%236_7_up_up_and_autonomy-resize.jpg Up, Up, and Autonomy! Announcements / News DoD Updates its autonomous weapons policy 09 Update Paul Scharre’s summary Michael Depp’s summary NIST Releases AI Risk

ai with ai: the sentience of the lamdas

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-5/5-18

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, starting with the Department of Defense release of its Responsible AI Strategy. In the UK, the Ministry of Defence publishes its Defence AI Strategy. The Federal Trade Commission warns policymakers about relying on AI to combat online problems and instead urges them to develop legal frameworks to ensure AI tools do not cause additional harm. YouTuber Yannic Kilcher trains an AI on 4chan’s “infamously toxic” Politically Incorrect board, creating a predictably toxic bot, GPT-4chan; he then uses the bot to generate 15,000 posts on the board, quickly receiving condemnation from the academic community. Google suspends and then fires an engineer who claimed that one of its chatbots, LaMDA, achieving sentience; former Google employees Gebru and Mitchell write an opinion piece saying they warned this would happen. For the Fun Site of the Week, a mini version of DALL-E comes to Hugging Face. And finally, IBM researcher Kush Varshney joins Andy and Dave to discuss his book, Trustworthy Machine Learning, which provides AI researchers with practical tools and concepts when developing machine learning systems.

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, starting with the Department of Defense release of its Responsible AI Strategy. In the UK, the Ministry of Defence publishes its Defence AI ... /Season%205/5-18.jpg the sentience of the lamdas Announcements / News DoD Pentagon Releases Responsible AI Strategy RAI Strategy UK Ministry of Defence launches defense AI strategy MOD's Defence AI Strategy MOD's "Ambitious, safe and responsible use of AI" policy statement: FTC Report Warns About Using Artificial Intelligence to Combat Online Problems

ai with ai: Attack of the Clouds

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-3/3-9

Andy and Dave discuss OpenAI’s update to an earlier summary of how computational resources have increased to reach each new AI breakthrough. The National Transportation Safety Board releases its report on the 2018 deadly Uber self-driving vehicle crash. Nasdaq has enlisted the aid of machine learning to provide additional security to stock trades. Researchers use a GAN to GANalyze the aspects of “memorable” pictures, while other researchers use a GAN (SinGAN) to generate new pictures from a single image. Over 20 authors come together to publish a paper on tackling climate change with machine learning. Francois Chollet publishes The Measure of Intelligence. Horace He has provided OpenReviewExplorer to include the International Conference on Learning Representations 2020. And FRONTLINE examines the promise and perils of AI.

examines the promise and perils of AI. /images/AI-Posters/AI_3_9.jpg Attack of the Clouds News White House   Office of Science and Technology Policy   (OSTP) releases its 2016-2019 Progress ... of the Week Extending the Intellectual Edge with Artificial Intelligence – by Mick Ryan (18 page) Paper Full issue of Australian Journal of Defense and Strategic Studies (open access

ai with ai: A Neural Reading rAInbow

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-2/2-19

Andy and Dave discuss research from Neil Johnson, who looked to the movements of fly larvae to model financial systems, where a collection of agents share a common goal, but have no way to communicate and coordinate their activities (a memory of five past events ends up being the ideal balance). Researchers at Carnegie Mellon demonstrate that random search with early-stopping is a competitive Neural Architecture Search baseline, performing at least as well as “Efficient” NAS. Unrelated research, but near-simultaneously published, from AI Lab Swisscom, shows that random search outperforms state-of-the-art NAS algorithms. Researchers at DeepMind investigate the possibility of creating an agent that can discover its world, and introduce NDIGO (Neural Differential Information Gain Optimization), designed to be “information seeking.” And the Electronics and Telecomm Research Institute in South Korea creates SC-FEGAN, a face-editing GAN that builds off of a user’s sketches and other information. Georgetown University announces a $55M grant to create the Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET). Microsoft workers call on the company to cancel its military contract with the U.S. Army. DeepMind uses machine learning to predict wind turbine energy production. Australia’s Defence Department invests ~$5M to study how to make autonomous weapons behave ethically. And the U.K. government invests in its people and funds AI university courses with £115. Reports suggest that U.S. police departments are using biased data to train crime-predicting algorithms. A thesis on Neural Reading Comprehension and Beyond by Danqi Chen becomes highly read. A report looks at the evaluation of citation graphs in AI research, and researchers provide a survey of deep learning for image super-resolution. Bryon Reese blogs that we need new words to adjust to AI (to which Dave adds “AI-chemy” to the list). In Point and Counterpoint, David Sliver argues that AlphaZero exhibits the “essence of creativity,” while Sean Dorrance Kelly argues that AI can’t be an artist. Interpretable Machine Learning by Christoph Molnar hits version 1.0, and Andy highlights Asimov’s classic short story, The Machine that Won the War. And finally, a symposium at Princeton University’s Institute for Advanced Studies examines deep learning – alchemy or science?

& Policy Comes to Georgetown University Announcement Q&A with Jason Matheny Microsoft Workers Call on Company to Cancel Military Contract Bloomberg Article Open letter ... Industry Australia’s Defense Department Takes Lead in Ethics Research U.K. Government to Fund AI University Courses With £115m Reports of the Week Police across the US are training

ai with ai: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love AI

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-1/1-44

The Director for CNA’s Center for Autonomy and AI, Dr. Larry Lewis, joins Dave for a discussion on understanding and mitigating the risks of using autonomy and AI in war. They discuss some of the commonly voiced risks of autonomy and AI, in the application for war, but also in general application, which includes: AI will destroy the world; AI and lethal autonomy are unethical; lack of accountability; and lack of discrimination. Having examined the underpinnings of these commonly voiced risks, Larry and Dave move on to practical descriptions and identifications of risks for use of AI and autonomy in war, including the context of military operations, the supporting institutional development (including materiel, training, and test & evaluation), as well as the law and policy that govern their use. They wrap up with a discussion about the current status of organizations and thought leaders in the Department of Defense and the Department of the Navy.

and autonomy in war, including the context of military operations, the supporting institutional development (including materiel, training, and test & evaluation), as well as the law and policy that govern their use. They wrap up with a discussion about the current status of organizations and thought leaders in the Department of Defense and the Department of the Navy. /images/AI-Posters

CNA Analysts Share How 9/11 Impacted Their Careers

/our-media/indepth/2021/09/cna-analysts-share-how-9/11-impacted-their-careers

Eight CNA analysts share the stories of how the events of September 11, 2001, shaped their careers.

was on loan from CNA to the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy. I often took varying paths to meetings in the Pentagon to see different parts of the building, including to pay my respects ... Research Scientist Strategy and Policy Analysis Program The events of September 11, 2001, had a profound impact on my life. At the time, I was an undergrad student on the West Coast, with plans ... on chemical and biological weapons defense to help the Navy in the coming fight. I had no understanding at all of the armed services at that time, but I felt a moral obligation to take this step. My

cna talks: Arms Control Without a Treaty

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2019/4/arms-control-without-a-treaty

In this episode of CNA Talks, Madison Estes joins Vince Manzo to discuss his new report, “Nuclear Arms Control Without a Treaty? Risks and Options after New START.” Vince points out that the New START treaty is set to expire in February 2021 and that many uncertainties and obstacles stand in the way of its renewal or replacement. For example, Russia would like a new treaty to cover missile defense systems, which the U.S. has called a nonstarter. Madison highlights that while the New START Treaty is between Russia and the U.S., the treaty has implications for the entire international system. She calls China the third beneficiary of the treaty‘s transparency requirement, which makes the U.S. and Russia disclose the size of their nuclear forces. Finally, Vince highlights some potential options for nuclear arms control without a treaty that could establish predictability, mutual restraint and transparency. 

CNA, Manzo worked in the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, Nuclear and Missile Defense Policy. Madison Estes   is an analyst with CNA's Strategy and Policy Analysis program. Her expertise is in nuclear weapons policy and arms control. Her research portfolio includes deterrence, extended deterrence, escalation, strategic stability, ballistic missile defense, and arms control ... treaty to cover missile defense systems, which the U.S. has called a nonstarter. Madison highlights that while the New START Treaty is between Russia and the U.S., the treaty has implications