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Samoa Disputed Election Amid Great Power Rivalry

/our-media/indepth/2021/05/samoa-disputed-election-amid-great-power-rivalry

A disputed election has recently plunged Samoa into a state of constitutional crisis. The outcome of this dispute may reshape the small Pacific island country’s relations with China, the United States and U.S. allies in the region.

of Samoa. A confirmed FAST electoral victory is likely to alter Samoa’s policy toward foreign powers, particularly China. China’s presence and influence over Samoa was a major campaign issue during ... . While there are various signs of U.S.-China competition in Samoa and other Pacific island countries, it would be a mistake to characterize Samoa’s foreign policy as a simple balancing act between ... balancing among foreign powers. Although her party has been critical of Samoa’s past dealings with Beijing, after the recent general election, Ms. Mata’afa, said she would seek to maintain good relations

No Risk Free Option in Afghanistan

/our-media/indepth/2021/04/no-risk-free-option-in-afghanistan

The pace of developments in Afghanistan has created stark choices for the Biden administration. In recent weeks and months, many commentators have penned op-eds arguing for or against certain policy options.

something valuable. Third, extending the deadline for the U.S. will require the Biden administration to make a foreign policy decision about Afghanistan, instead of simply adhering to the U.S.-Taliban ... arguing for or against certain policy options. /images/InDepth/Post81.jfif No Risk Free Option in Afghanistan 81 Alexander Powell Alexander Powell is a Research Analyst in CNA’s Countering Threats ... for or against certain policy options. Broadly speaking, these arguments fall into one of three categories: withdrawing all forces by the May 1 deadline agreed to in the February 2020 U.S.-Taliban agreement

Can Kim Jong Un Really Denuclearize?

/our-media/indepth/2019/04/can-kim-jong-un-realy-denuclearize

A fundamental question facing U.S. policymakers is whether North Korea intends to denuclearize. Most Pyongyang-watchers believe this is an impossibility, at least for the near term.

is rarely asked: If Kim Jong Un wanted to denuclearize, could he? This question goes to the heart of U.S.-North Korea policy and the strategy of denuclearization. The assumption is that Kim ... that he needs to be wary of the old guard and powerful institutions. After the Hanoi summit, vice foreign minister  Choe Son Hui commented : "Honestly, our army, people and workers and officials ... . Legitimacy is maintained by operating within policy guidelines laid down by the leader’s predecessors. This means that Kim Jong Un can adjust strategies, even institute new policies, as long as he adheres

China's Aid to Russia: Lip Service?

/our-media/indepth/2022/03/chinas-aid-to-russia

Elizabeth Wishnick explores whether China’s support for Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine will result in substantial aid, or if it’s simply lip service.

PRC Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian repeated the allegation at multiple recent daily press briefings as supporting "evidence" to back up the Ukraine biolabs conspiracy theory. This makes ... to be confirmed at the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in October , in which case he may see no alternative to staying the course on Russia policy and trying to deflect attention ... needs Western markets for its goods; its reliance on Russia is more limited, despite the new oil and gas deals Xi has agreed with Putin. Foreign Minister Wang Yi openly stated that China wishes

COVID-19's Maximum Pressure Campaign on North Korea

/our-media/indepth/2020/04/covid-19s-maximum-pressure-campaign-on-north-korea

The spread of COVID-19 across the world is redefining the political and economic realities of every country on the planet. Every day sees scores of articles detailing how gmany are coping with the challenge.

, but they are also useful tools for enforcing quarantines and lockdowns. By late January, foreign residents were placed under tighter movement restrictions, and everyone arriving from China was placed into a month of quarantine. Ultimately, North Korea barred all foreign tourism into the country and effectively closed its borders, allowing only a limited flow of goods that could be decontaminated. Pyongyang ... pressure” policy has ever been able to impose. North Korea’s recent military activity is also telling. According to the Commander of U.S. Forces Korea, the North Korean military was “locked down

Many Contenders Eye the Pacific Island Countries

/our-media/indepth/2019/10/many-contenders-eye-the-pacific-island-countries

In late September, two Pacific island countries — the Solomon Islands and Kiribati — announced that they were switching diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to the People’s Republic of China.

foreign policy priority that will continue until no remaining country recognizes Taiwan. But in Oceania, attention to diplomatic maneuvers between China and Taiwan masks another key trend ... of Australia’s Foreign Policy White Paper . New Zealand instituted the Pacific Reset . The United Kingdom has opened new diplomatic posts in Samoa, Tonga, and Vanuatu. Japan views Oceania

A U.S. View on Australia’s Role in the Indian Ocean

/our-media/indepth/2019/10/a-us-view-on-australias-role-in-the-indian-ocean

Australia plays a critical role in maintaining strategic stability in the Indian Ocean and remains one of the United States’ closest allies on economic, diplomatic, defence, and intelligence matters.

Obama’s “rebalance” to Asia and the return to great-power competition under the Trump administration, Washington continues to devote significant foreign policy attention to the Middle East and must ... in formulating the “Indo-Pacific” concept. Yet, even with the shift in US policy focus from the Asia-Pacific to the Indo-Pacific, US regional priorities will remain firmly entrenched in the Western Pacific ... of the Trump administration, the “Indo-Pacific” phrase entered US policy documents through the December 2017 National Security Strategy, which discussed the importance for US interests of keeping

China’s Global Public Opinion War with the United States and the West

/our-media/indepth/2024/08/chinas-global-public-opinion-war

China’s global propaganda is covert and overt, digital and analog. Developing informed policy responses requires studying the totality of Beijing’s propaganda.

China’s Global Public Opinion War China’s global propaganda is covert and overt, digital and analog. Developing informed policy responses requires studying the totality of Beijing’s propaganda ... of China’s influence efforts can lead to a fragmented response and prevent the implementation of a more coordinated policy approach. The key to developing informed policy responses to Beijing’s global ... and Russian-style tactics aimed at amplifying divisions ahead of the 2024 elections. But China’s influence campaigns are not confined to the shadows. Beijing’s efforts to shape foreign perceptions include

China’s Thirsty Chips

/our-media/indepth/2024/01/china-thirsty-chips

China’s drive for self-reliance in the semiconductor industry is challenged by shortages of clean water, and semiconductor fabs exacerbate China’s water problems.

commodity chips. Since 2016, the United States has implemented a policy to block China’s access to advanced foreign chip technology and its ability to produce them at home. In October 2022 ... . Pollution and Climate Change Add to China’s Water Woes Pollution of groundwater also remains a serious problem, despite a policy effort to improve water quality in China. In 2022, the percentage

Xi Jinping’s Vision of a Resilient China

/our-media/indepth/2023/01/xi-jinpings-vision-of-a-resilient-china

Elizabeth Wishnick examines President Xi Jinping’s rhetoric regarding China’s national challenges including COVID-19, and Russia’s war in Ukraine.

understanding of the interconnection between domestic and foreign policy risks. The centrality of “holistic” national security was one of the novel features of his address to the 20th CCP Congress ... high level of dependence on foreign countries for energy and mineral resources. Wang spoke of the need to “plan ahead and ensure the security of domestic resources under special circumstances