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russian media analysis: Issue 2, October 24, 2021

/our-media/newsletters/russian-media-analysis/issue-2

Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities

at Russian-Belarussian defense integration as a response to such activities, and the possibility of separate EU security structures being established. The overall tenor was one of concern about the increase ... on Ukraine favors the status quo despite rhetoric to the contrary. Commentators also discussed UK efforts to improve Ukraine’s naval security as well as the claims that Ukraine’s top military academy has ... in Nezavisimoe Voennoe Obozrenie discussed the development of a new alliance between the Scandinavian countries of Sweden, Norway, and Denmark. Reviewing recent agreements for closer cooperation

Navy Shore Infrastructure Investment Support

/reports/2008/navy-shore-infrastructure-investment-support

This paper describes the development process that CNA used to create a new methodology for the Navy to assess shore infrastructure readiness for support tasking, and it documents the design concepts for a shore facilities investment model. This model was developed as a programming tool for OPNAV N46 staff to adjust investment project profiles and funding levels to achieve desired performance output levels at the end of the current FYDP. The methodology involved creating measures of merit to quantify the current and future performance levels and a functional segmentation of the infrastructure to provide a greater understanding of shore support capabilities and shortfalls. The new technique required a method for indexing the measures of merit together in a consistent manner to provide the Navy with an ongoing readiness assessment number. It also required the creation of a baseline year infrastructure inventory assessment to use as the starting point for analyzing future year impact of current shore investment funding profiles. We developed a process to quantify the projected impact of proposed military construction and special projects upon the measures of merit.

, homeland defense, theater security cooperation, humanitarian assistance, and peacekeeping operations. As a result, the Navy suspects that the condition, capability, and current and future readiness

The Noncombatant Evacuation Operation NEO From Mogadishu Somalia

/reports/1991/the-noncombatant-evacuation-operation-neo-from-mogadishu-somalia

This research memorandum documents the events and discusses lessons learned from the non­ combatant evacuation operation (NEO) from the U.S. Embassy in Mogadishu, Somalia, in January 1991. During this operation, named "Eastern Exit," U.S. Navy and U.S. Marine Corps forces evacuated 281 people from 30 countries (including 8 Ambassadors and 39 Soviet citizens).

of the operation. Desert Shield training had raised the forces to a high level of preparedness. U.S. Navy and Marine cooperation was close-knit, to the point of having a common command space ... military forces. Means to mark helicopter landing zones should be maintained at every Embassy, possibly by the Marine Security Guard detachments. Some links of the chain of command did not receive

Views from the People’s Republic of China on US-China Relations since the Beginning of the Biden Administration

/quick-looks/2021/views-from-the-peoples-republic-of-china-on-us-china-relations-since-the-beginning-of-the-biden-administration

This memo is part of a larger effort by CNA’s China & Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Division that is examining how allies, partners, and the PRC are assessing US policy in the Indo-Pacific. It focuses on how PRC subject matter experts were viewing US policy toward Beijing during the initial first few months of the new US administration.

Views from the People’s Republic of China on US-China Relations since the Beginning of the Biden Administration This memo is part of a larger effort by CNA’s China & Indo-Pacific Security Affairs ... on US-PRC relations, particularly in the areas of foreign affairs and national security. The views of the SMEs in this paper should not be construed as official PRC policy, nor is the sample ... and partners as a way to contain the PRC. Despite challenges and mistrust in the US-PRC relationship, PRC SMEs emphasize that the US should focus on cooperation and common interests in a variety of policy

Improving Protection of Humanitarian Organizations in Armed Conflict

/reports/2022/03/improving-protection-of-humanitarian-organizations-in-armed-conflict

We leverage CNA’s work on civilian harm, including attacks on humanitarian organizations, to identify four broad steps militaries can take to minimize these tragic incidents and improve protection of these organizations.

to be the subject of tragic attacks, and too many times they are obstructed or harassed by security forces, causing them harm and limiting vital services from aiding the civilian population. In this report, we ... include a stronger commitment to bilateral cooperation and conditionality from countries that provide military assistance in order to seek improved conduct and operational outcomes. We conclude

AI and Autonomy in Russia Issue 23

/reports/2021/10/ai-and-autonomy-in-russia-issue-23

CNA provides information and analysis of the field of civilian and military AI in Russia and how Russia is applying AI to its military capabilities. Issue 23.

, divided into the following sections: Governance and Legal Developments Military and Security Developments Corporate and Market Developments Education and Training Developments ... and the development of norms, and focus on AI international cooperation. According to reports, “By the end of 2021, the center will develop an index of readiness of industries toward AI implementation

PRC Views on US-China Relations since Biden

/reports/2021/09/prc-views-on-us-china-relations-since-biden

This memo is part of a larger effort by CNA’s China & Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Division that is examining how allies, partners, and the PRC are assessing US policy in the Indo-Pacific. It focuses on how PRC subject matter experts were viewing US policy toward Beijing during the initial first few months of the new US administration.

’s China & Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Division that is examining how allies, partners, and the PRC are assessing US policy in the Indo-Pacific. It focuses on how PRC subject matter experts were ... January 2021 through July 2021 on US-PRC relations, particularly in the areas of foreign affairs and national security. The views of the SMEs in this paper should not be construed as official PRC policy ... relationships to US allies and partners as a way to contain the PRC. Despite challenges and mistrust in the US-PRC relationship, PRC SMEs emphasize that the US should focus on cooperation and common

Chinese Information Shaping in Thailand

/reports/2020/09/chinese-information-shaping-in-thailand

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has embarked on a campaign to shape what audiences around the world read, hear, and watch about China. This focuses on China’s efforts to shape information in its neighbor, Thailand.

. Cooperation with China benefits Thailand. China is a responsible member of the international community. Several factors complicate China’s efforts to promote these narratives to Thai ... to improve digital security, data visualization, and web scraping are increasingly necessary to be an effective independent journalist in Thailand’s information environment. Ryan Loomis Heidi Holz

AI in Russia 17

/reports/2020/12/ai-in-russia-17

This report, the seventeenth in a series of biweekly updates, is part of an effort by CNA to provide timely, accurate, and relevant information and analysis of the field of civilian and military artificial intelligence (AI) in Russia and, in particular, how Russia is applying AI to its military capabilities. It relies on Russian-language open source material.

into the following sections: Governance and Legal Developments Military and Security Developments Corporate and Market Developments Education and Training Developments International ... . The president of Kazakhstan was also present at the conference to highlight the cooperation between the two countries in the AI sphere, as discussed in past issues of AI in Russia. The Russia Studies

AI Safety Navy Action Plan

/reports/2019/10/ai-safety-navy-action-plan

In light of the Navy’s stated commitment to using AI, and given the strategic importance of AI safety, we provide the Navy with a first step towards a comprehensive approach to safety. We use a risk management approach to frame our treatment of AI safety risks: identifying risks, analyzing them, and suggesting concrete actions for the Navy to begin addressing them. The first type of safety risk, being technical in nature, will require a collaborative effort with industry and academia to address. The second type of risk, associated with specific military missions, can be addressed in a combination of military experimentation, research, and concept development to find ways to promote effectiveness along with safety. For each types of risk, we use examples to show concrete ways of managing and reducing the risk of AI applications. We then discuss institutional changes that would help promote safety in the Navy’s AI efforts.

. In light of this, more and more countries are placing AI as key to their national security strategies. As the US pursues AI, its plans and efforts to leverage the technology for military applications ... environment with AI where cooperation with industry is vital and safety is a particular concern in that relationship. There is a need for appropriate trust in this new technology, which requires