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Evolution of Gender Integration in the DON Summary of Five Analytical Efforts

/analyses/2019/04/evolution-of-gender-integration-in-the-don-summary-of-five-analytical-efforts

CNA analysts focus on the changes in the gender mix of personnel on retention and manning and how changes effect actual and potential personnel policy changes on Department of the Navy personnel inventories and budgets.

: colocation for servicemembers who are married to other servicemembers and expanded maternity leave, respectively. The assessment of the colocation policy indicated that colocating same-service DON enlisted personnel is positively associated with reenlistment for both men and women, but the effect is greater for women. The assessment of the new maternity leave policy indicated that it has been

Gender Differences Among DON Personnel

/analyses/2019/04/gender-differences-among-don-personnel

This report documents an analysis of gender differences in misbehavior rates among enlisted personnel in the Department of the Navy (DON). Using indicators found in personnel data from the US Marine Corps (USMC) and the US Navy (USN), we show that, between fiscal year (FY) 1999 and FY 2015, male misbehavior rates were higher than female rates for every indicator, in every year for both services. Using data from FY 2015, we estimate that higher male misbehavior rates in the USMC (USN) resulted in about 1,400 (2,000) extra incidents of misbehavior and imposed about $57 ($197) million in extra costs. Based on these results, we conclude that excluding costs associated with higher rates of male misbehavior renders cost-benefit analyses of increasing gender integration incomplete. In addition, we recommend that the DON improve cost estimates of misbehavior to allocate resources toward prevention and response as effectively and efficiently as possible.

and projecting manning rates. A comprehensive assessment, however, should also take into account potential benefits of gender integration that may offset these costs. In particular, the DON should ... studied in the USN and USMC. The goal of this analysis is twofold. First, it is intended to support efforts to provide a comprehensive assessment of the costs and benefits of increasing gender

Mapping Russian Media Network

/analyses/2018/01/mapping-russian-media-network

Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia has used media as an important instrument and lever of influence. The role of media in promoting Russian foreign policy and exerting the influence of President Vladimir Putin has become increasingly visible since the conflict Ukraine and other domestic and international confrontations began. CNA has undertaken an effort to map the Russian media environment and examine Russian decision-making as it relates to the media. This report provides an overview of the role that the media plays in Russian foreign policy. Specifically, we examine Russia’s media environment, Russia’s decision- making related to media and messaging, including the drivers and boundaries of that decision-making. We evaluate the role of Vladimir Putin and his inner circle, and finally, we examine the role that Russia’s media and messaging plays in external influence. In addition, we highlight that while media is a key instrument of influence, culture, politics, and business are also important in broader Russian influence efforts abroad. Furthermore, this report outlines the way that decision-making and messaging is carried out by Vladimir Putin and his closest advisors through a series of scenarios that range from crisis to steady state. Finally, we provide overarching takeaways for policy makers and the international community to consider in understanding Russia’s media environment and Russian decision-making in the media.

formal and informal means while seeking greater control over media with larger audiences. Russia’s rich business elite, commonly referred to as “oligarchs,” owns most of Russia’s media. Our assessment ... out Russia’s internal media network and decision-making processes in the media, we developed a baseline assessment of Russia’s external influence. In addition to media, other key levers of influence

Center for Public Health Preparedness and Resilience

/centers-and-divisions/ipr/phpr

Helps HHS and other public health agencies and organizations develop and test emergency policies, plans, and operational capabilities.

and outreach.  Pulse: Wastewater Surveillance https://vimeo.com/521552795 none orange half Pulse: Wastewater Surveillance Risk Assessment We help public health agencies and health care organizations

Center for Homeland Security and Infrastructure Resilience

/centers-and-divisions/ipr/hsir

Uses data-driven methods to help clients analyze and enhance programs, policies, and operations supporting homeland security.

/HomelandSecurity.jpg gray Infrastructure Planning Strategic Plan for Critical Infrastructure Assessment Radiological/Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Threat Management Guides for State

National Security in a Post-Pandemic World

/initiatives/national-security-seminar/nss-2021-events

  This event took place on September 16. Featuring: General James T. Conway (USMC, ret.), 34th Commandant of the Marine Corps,  Dr. Jamie M. Morin , former Director of Cost Assessment and Program

Diagnosing the Boko Haram Conflict

/analyses/2015/diagnosing-the-boko-haram-conflict

The intent of this report is to provide the appropriate type of information—at the appropriate level of granularity—in order to inform U.S. government efforts to develop more effective approaches to countering Boko Haram. The goal is to help U.S. planners and decision-makers understand the conflict as an interconnected system and, eventually, to develop targeted, conflict-sensitive strategies for assisting the Nigerian government. Specifically, this report seeks to diagnose and dissect the conflict by identifying relevant political, economic, social, and security factors at work in northeast Nigeria, by analyzing how key actors mobilize grievances and institutional resiliencies to drive or mitigate conflict, and by forecasting how conflict dynamics might evolve in the future.

in the future. To achieve this, we conducted a conflict assessment, which is an analytical process undertaken to identify and understand the dynamics of violence and instability, and to develop

Rethinking the US Approach to Boko Haram

/analyses/2015/rethinking-the-us-approach-to-boko-haram

U.S. Naval Forces Africa asked CNA to recommend an approach for the United States government (USG) to counter Boko Haram. The USG has been working with the government of Nigeria (GoN) to defeat the group, but the two governments are taking divergent approaches and efforts to date have not been effective. The GoN is taking a narrow counterterrorism approach that relies heavily on the military, whereas a broader whole-of-government approach is required. Due to the political dynamics in Nigeria, the USG has few ways to change the GoN’s approach to the conflict. We propose that the USG and other supporting partners focus on assisting Chad, Niger, and Cameroon to become increasingly able to prevent Boko Haram from taking root within their borders. While this would not dismantle Boko Haram in the near term, it could buy time for conditions in Nigeria to become more favorable to direct U.S. assistance.

the group. Despite these efforts, however, a balanced assessment of the situation in northeast Nigeria reveals that the threat from Boko Haram is growing. There are now regular reports that Boko Haram has

Mobilizing Compatriots Russias Strategy

/analyses/2015/mobilizing-compatriots-russias-strategy

As part of its wider efforts to assess the implications of Russia’s foreign and national security policy, CNA initiated this study to examine Russia’s objectives, policy, and strategic and operational calculus with respect to ethnic Russian, Russian-speaking, and other potentially sympathetic populations residing in other former Soviet states. This is a quick-response, three-month effort designed to stimulate public discourse around Russia’s efforts to use these communities, which Moscow defines as compatriots, to further its policy goals. The study highlights several important implications that U.S. policy-makers may consider in formulating policy toward Russia and the countries in which these compatriot populations reside. After releasing this report, the study team plans to organize an event to discuss these topics at CNA headquarters in fall 2015.

have sought to provide a preliminary assessment of Moscow’s perspectives, policies, strategic calculus, and operational instruments in dealing with these groups, which the Russian government describes

Potential Environmental Impact from Fracking in the Delaware River Basin

/analyses/2015/potential-environmental-impact-from-fracking-in-the-delaware-river-basin

This study aims to model the landscape of the Marcellus Shale region to predict how it may change in the future in response to the expansion of natural gas extraction, and, in particular, what impact this may have on the Delaware River Basin (DRB). Our approach combined geospatial analysis and statistical modeling to create a probability surface that predicts the most favorable locations for the placement of future wells based on the location of existing wells. Using the probability surface and an estimate of the number of wells that would be needed to fully exploit the shale resource, we estimated the future landscape of development in the Interior Marcellus Shale and DRB. Using affected subwatersheds and counties as study areas, we then investigated potential impacts associated with land cover, water and wastewater management, water quality due to changes in land cover, air emissions, and health risk factors. The results are intended to help decision-makers and the public

of wells. Few studies have considered multiple impacts, and no study has provided a reasonably complete, integrated regional environmental assessment of fracking. We aim to help fill this knowledge gap