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Refining Plans with Scenario-Based Operational Games

/quick-looks/2020/refining-plans-with-scenario-based-operational-games

CNA’s wargaming experts regularly help these leaders with scenario-based operational planning games that bring structured thinking to the questions they face.

REFINING PLANS WITH SCENARIO-BASED OPERATIONAL GAMES CNA’s wargaming experts regularly help these leaders with scenario-based operational planning games that bring structured thinking to the questions they face. Wars always require an opposing side. Wargames do not. Military commanders routinely use wargames to test their force capabilities against Red Team opponents. Planners, however, may need to test their plans against a challenging environment rather than a Red Team. CNA’s wargaming experts regularly help these leaders with scenario-based operational planning games that bring

Russian Ambiguous Warfare and US Implications

/analyses/2015/russian-ambiguous-warfare-and-us-implications

“Ambiguous warfare” is a term that has no proper definition and has been used within U.S. government circles since at least the 1980s. Generally speaking, the term applies in situations in which a state or non-state belligerent actor deploys troops and proxies in a deceptive and confusing manner—with the intent of achieving political and military effects while obscuring the belligerent’s direct participation. Russia’s actions in Crimea and Ukraine clearly align with this concept, though numerous participants pointed out that it is not a new concept for Russia.

and confusing manner—with the intent of achieving political and military effects while obscuring the belligerent’s direct participation. Russia’s actions in Crimea and Ukraine clearly align ... military. In annexing the Crimean peninsula and supporting instability in Ukraine’s eastern provinces, the Russian Federation and its armed forces have used so-called “ambiguous warfare” to great ... of Russia’s success. Drawing out the lessons from Crimea and Ukraine involves seeking the answers to a host of questions, including: What is “ambiguous warfare”? What was the Russians’ military

Wargame Helps a Naval SYSCOM Develop its Wartime Acquisition Response Plan

/quick-looks/2023/wargame-helps-a-naval-syscom-develop-its-wartime-acquisition-response-plan

Discusses the how the development of Warime Acquisition Response Plans (WARP) support the rapid expansion of acquisition capabilities in support of major combat operations.

of military systems, such as ships, aircraft, facilities, and weapons. As China and Russia increase their military capabilities and ambitions, the SYSCOMs must be positioned to quickly respond to emerging ... three Civil Engineer Corps flag officers and the Principal Military Deputy to the Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Research, Development, and Acquisition attended and contributed to the TTX. The final round of the TTX was a scenario-based operational planning game that used a U.S. Indo-Pacific Command scenario, with five turns of play. Participants planned the actions their commands would

Three Questions, Ep. 09: Matthew Grund

/videos/2020/three-questions-ep.-09-matthew-grund

Dr. Grund is a Principal Research Scientist with over 20 years experience leading and supporting a variety of research projects related to military tactical air operations, com-mand and control, targeting, logistics, civilian casualty prevention, military humanitarian assistance/disaster response operations, and domestic disaster response operations—including public and animal health contingencies. A common thread running through this work is an interest in probabilistic reasoning to support policy formulation and deci-sion-making under uncertain conditions. He has worked with a variety of military com-mands, international organizations, U.S. federal agencies, and state agencies to provide analytical support during real-world contingencies and in support of planning and training efforts.

Three Questions, Ep. 09: Matthew Grund Dr. Grund is a Principal Research Scientist with over 20 years experience leading and supporting a variety of research projects related to military tactical air operations, com-mand and control, targeting, logistics, civilian casualty prevention, military humanitarian assistance/disaster response operations, and domestic disaster response operations ... conditions. He has worked with a variety of military com-mands, international organizations, U.S. federal agencies, and state agencies to provide analytical support during real-world contingencies

intersections: Issue 10, June 2024

/our-media/newsletters/intersections/issue-10

Intersections, Issue 10, CNA news digest of China’s efforts to acquire Western technology, U.S. and partner efforts to protect technology for national security.

of Chinese military companies. In addition, Zhongguancun collaborates closely with two of China's elite academic institutions: Peking University and Tsinghua University. Both universities host ... technologies, sensitive datasets, and investments on land close to military sites. The new reforms have also granted the Australian Treasury more power to monitor and enforce the conditions put on foreign ... ) to transfer technology with potential military uses to China. German prosecutors allege that the individuals set up a research transfer agreement with a German university for marine engine technology

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 15, May 19, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-15

The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 15, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

, leveraged “fully onboard” perception, planning, and control, using AI to process sensor inputs and produce optimized trajectory outputs within a few milliseconds when operating in “extremely” constrained ... Robot Research Center, Gao Fei, has “undertaken a number of important scientific research projects” for the PRC Central Military Commission Science and Technology Committee. [3] Images from ... air defenses. Source: CCTV-7: Military Enthusiast Around the World (军迷行天下), Oct. 6, 2021, https://tv.cctv.com/2021/10/06/VIDEDvh7bTvrZLxpQzLotoTI211006.shtml?spm

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 7, January 27, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-7

The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 7, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

exploration of future warfare in China Military Online, the official news outlet of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). The Chinese Academy of Sciences’s (CAS’s) unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs) have ... and private education companies, and “is among several Xi-isms feeding concerns that China is tilting away from free markets and back toward more ideologically driven centralized planning.” The communique ... prevalent in military operations, humans will retain their essential role in warfare, and that “four basic relationships need to be dealt with” to fully understand the nature of future warfare. According

CNA HONORS JERRY MEYERLE FOR EXCEPTIONAL CONTRIBUTIONS TO US NATIONAL SECURITY

/our-media/press-releases/2023/08-2023

Dr. Jerry Meyerle receives the Phil E. DePoy Award for Analytical Excellence

operations, troop allocation and mission direction in Afghanistan, and long-term planning at the Pentagon.  “Jerry embodies everything we look for in a CNA analyst,” said CNA CEO and President Dr ... superb work.”  “Military leaders make hard decisions, in difficult circumstances—with limited time, limited information, and lives on the line,” said Dr. Meyerle. “In these moments, analysis is like ... science and international relations from the University of Virginia.  Meyerle has served in the CNA Field Program as an advisor to military commanders in Afghanistan, on a carrier strike group

Subnational-Deterrence-An-Information-Campaign-to-Reduce-Risks-of-a-Nuclear-NK

/analyses/2022/12/subnational-deterrence-an-information-campaign-to-reduce-risks-of-a-nuclear-nk

A campaign of information and influence by the US and South Korea could deter key North Korean personnel, reducing risks of conflict or use of nuclear weapons.

, Naval Forces Korea for a quick-response effort to inform planning components for the Korean theater of operations (KTO) on challenging changes in the threat environment and to explore non-kinetic ... . As the threat from North Korea evolves, the challenges increase in magnitude, creating significant risk of a military conflict and of escalation within such a conflict. If deterrence fails to prevent ... , destruction, and duration of combat; mitigating the factors most likely to bring about significant humanitarian challenges; and lessening the resistance of military and civilian personnel in North Korea

Reimagining Defense Strategy

/analyses/2021/10/reimagining-defense-strategy

This event continued a conversation begun at CNA’s September 16, 2021, National Security Seminar, titled “Planning for Tomorrow’s Threats: Overcoming Obstacles to Organize, Adapt, and Innovate.” In this event, we heard insights on defense strategy from Christian Brose, Chief Strategy Officer of Anduril Industries, a defense technology company. Mr. Brose shared his perspective as a former staff director of the Senate Armed Services Committee under Chairman John McCain. He is also the author of The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare. Dr. Carter Malkasian, from CNA, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. The event was recorded and is available online.

Reimagining Defense Strategy Reimagining Defense Strategy This event continued a conversation begun at CNA’s September 16, 2021, National Security Seminar, titled “Planning for Tomorrow’s Threats ... September 16, 2021, National Security Seminar, titled “Planning for Tomorrow’s Threats: Overcoming Obstacles to Organize, Adapt, and Innovate.” In this event, we heard insights on defense strategy from ... . Brose started off with a discussion about the title of The Kill Chain and its central arguments. In Brose’s view, the logic of a kill chain demonstrates the actual purpose of military power