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china ai and autonomy report: Issue 5, December 16, 2021

/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-5

The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 5, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

) first position paper on regulating the military application of AI. The PRC also signed on to a United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) set of non-binding AI guidelines ... in the new year. We wish everyone a healthy, safe, and happy holiday season and best wishes for 2022! MILITARY AND NATIONAL SECURITY PRC publishes first position paper on regulating the military ... Conventional Weapons on December 13 (see article   here ). The position paper advocates establishing an “effective governance regime” for the military application of AI. It states that “military

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 3, November 18, 2021

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The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 3, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

for the metaverse. MILITARY AND NATIONAL SECURITY The media report that a new two-seat J-20 could be used to develop the “loyal wingman” concept for the PLAAF.   Janes, a global open-source ... unmanned platform for terrestrial reconnaissance operations near strategically important locations,” and “has been in PLAAF service since at least 2018.”   According to   China Military   , the PLA ... the improvement of its systematic combat capability.” China Military Online, the official media website of the PLA, carried an   article   on UAV training conducted by an unidentified PLA Navy regiment

Identifying and Mitigating Risks

/quick-looks/2023/ai-and-nuclear-operations-identifying-and-mitigating-risks

Summarizes the steps that can help guide nuclear powers, and militaries overall, to have AI applications reduce risks associated with nuclear operations

performance. While military applications of AI are inevitable and are already being witnessed, governments and militaries are relatively silent regarding AI applications to the most dangerous of weapons ... nuclear operations and AI-enabled military capabilities more broadly—affect the likelihood of nuclear war or the speed at which conventional conflict could become nuclear? IDENTIFYING RISKS ... the effectiveness of human-machine teaming associated with AI applications. Risks from leader calculus result from the difficulty of assessing how AI could impact the military balance. Compared

AI Safety Navy Action Plan

/reports/2019/10/ai-safety-navy-action-plan

In light of the Navy’s stated commitment to using AI, and given the strategic importance of AI safety, we provide the Navy with a first step towards a comprehensive approach to safety. We use a risk management approach to frame our treatment of AI safety risks: identifying risks, analyzing them, and suggesting concrete actions for the Navy to begin addressing them. The first type of safety risk, being technical in nature, will require a collaborative effort with industry and academia to address. The second type of risk, associated with specific military missions, can be addressed in a combination of military experimentation, research, and concept development to find ways to promote effectiveness along with safety. For each types of risk, we use examples to show concrete ways of managing and reducing the risk of AI applications. We then discuss institutional changes that would help promote safety in the Navy’s AI efforts.

, associated with specific military missions, can be addressed in a combination of military experimentation, research, and concept development to find ways to promote effectiveness along with safety. For each ... . History is replete with examples of technology being leveraged for military advantage. The chariot, the crossbow, gunpowder, and nuclear weapons all brought revolutionary effects to the battlefield. Many observers believe Artificial Intelligence (AI) will have the same or greater effects on warfare. It is not surprising, then, that nations are planning to take advantage of this technology

The Noncombatant Evacuation Operation NEO From Mogadishu Somalia

/reports/1991/the-noncombatant-evacuation-operation-neo-from-mogadishu-somalia

This research memorandum documents the events and discusses lessons learned from the non­ combatant evacuation operation (NEO) from the U.S. Embassy in Mogadishu, Somalia, in January 1991. During this operation, named "Eastern Exit," U.S. Navy and U.S. Marine Corps forces evacuated 281 people from 30 countries (including 8 Ambassadors and 39 Soviet citizens).

be required. The State Department should request that the military commence NEO planning as soon as the decision is made to evacuation nonessential personnel (if not earlier). The ability of the Embassy ... ," U.S. Navy and U.S. Marine Corps forces evacuated 281 people from 30 countries (including 8 Ambassadors and 39 Soviet citizens). In early January 1991, U.S. military forces executed Operation Eastern ... Soviet citizens from amidst a bloody civil war. The military operation itself might seem more like a Hollywood script than reality. Little over two days after leaving the North Arabian Sea, USS

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 6, January 13, 2022

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The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 6, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

WARFARE A   China Military Online   article discussed command and control (C2) issues in future wars using AI.   The article,   titled   “Planning, Designing, and Organizing ... technology companies. SenseTime conducted its delayed IPO after US sanctions. Chinese military media outlets have continued their regular series of articles on the future of warfare featuring AI and unmanned systems. Researchers at the Chinese Academy of Sciences have developed an AI prosecutor that can file its own charges. We wish all of our readers a safe, healthy, and happy 2022. MILITARY

AI in Nuclear Operations

/reports/2023/04/ai-in-nuclear-operations

China, Russia, and the US recognize the potential of AI to transform nuclear operations. This CNA report outlines steps to reduce AI-linked nuclear risk.

seeks areas of advantage through AI, that they will explore nuclear applications. AI applications—in both nuclear operations and AIenabled military capabilities more broadly—could increase or decrease ... on the difficulty of assessing how AI could affect the military balance—which in turn shapes leaders’ choices. There are opportunities for AI to mitigate nuclear risks in four areas: Nuclear weapons ... . The five areas are as follows: Operations and maintenance of nuclear forces Performance of non-nuclear forces Performance of nuclear forces Analysis, planning, and decision support Active

intersections: Issue 7, December 2023

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Intersections, Issue 7, CNA news digest of China’s efforts to acquire Western technology, U.S. and partner efforts to protect technology for national security.

on global graphite supplies, which are already strained by increasing international demand for EVs. This, in turn, could affect the US military. In addition to large-capacity batteries , graphite can also be used to make graphene , an exceptionally strong and light advanced material that has numerous potential military applications , including in ballistic armor and stealth aircraft ... are still “ambiguous” about what is allowed, making planning for cross-border data operations “very hard.” Financial Sector Reforms PRC government reforms financial sector to channel resources

Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities Oct 11

/reports/2021/10/russian-perspectives-on-western-military-activities-oct-11

NATO’s relations with Russia were a dominant topic of discussion in Russian media during the reporting period.

military cooperation. It highlights Russia’s successes in joint operations with NATO in the Balkans and how those operations led to planning and concrete efforts to increase interoperability between ... Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities Oct 11 Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities: October 11-24, 2021 NATO’s relations with Russia were a dominant topic of discussion ... of the Euro-Atlantic Area, NATO military activities near Russia’s borders, the framing of continuing efforts at Russian-Belarussian defense integration as a response to such activities

Department of the Navy and Strategic Competition with the PRC

/reports/2023/11/department-of-the-navy-and-strategic-competition-with-the-prc

Near-term recommendations for how the Navy can better position itself for competition below the threshold of armed conflict..

operational availability and reinvigorate a "whole-of-government naval approach" by improving maintenance planning processes and industrial capacity while expanding integration and interoperability ... with the requisite capability and capacity for an increasingly competitive environment means either planning for a large Navy topline increase or facing difficult choices. If it is the latter, prioritize those ... by recruiting, retaining, and developing high‑quality military and civilian personnel. The DON force must also have a fundamental understanding of the nature of the strategic competition with the PRC