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Unconventional Warfare and Counterinsurgency in Pakistan

/analyses/2012/unconventional-warfare-and-counterinsurgency-in-pakistan

Much has changed in the government’s thinking over the last 11 years. Yet the transition remains largely hesitant and partial. U.S. and NATO forces are pulling back from Afghanistan, and the Taliban is poised to regain at least some of its former power. At the same time, India has modernized its military and strengthened its alliances with the western powers. These trends create strong incentives for the military to, at the very least, retain the unconventional warfare option. The challenge for the Unites States going forward will be to ensure that Pakistan continues to move in the right direction and does not revert back to its earlier policies.

in history have engaged in unconventional warfare – i.e., covert support to non-state militant groups against the security forces of other countries – for so long, on such a large scale, and so close ... approach to counterinsurgency involved using military operations to put pressure on various Taliban factions and the tribes that supported them, followed by overtures of peace. The Pakistani government

Changing Nature of Warfare

/analyses/2004/changing-nature-of-warfare

This report begins with the agenda of the conference, followed by a summary of the major themes that emerged during the discussions at the conference and in the papers. We have extended the themes to their implications for the year 2020 and for U.S. policy and interactions in the world. We then include a report of the discussions at the conference, starting with the themes laid out in the agenda, the summary presentations by those who submitted papers, and the ensuing detailed commentaries and discussions. This report is our own record of the conference proceedings and does not imply consensus among those who participated. Finally, the 21 papers submitted are included in the report, in the order of their presentations during the conference.

as far as security goes, so there would not be too much conflict or military efforts by countries. New world disorder.  Conflicts would grow and spread. Clashes of civilizations could take place. The International institutions that have otherwise been trying to regulate globalization and world peace would fray, or collapse, or would be eroded in their effectiveness. The conference attempted

Role of Russian Military in Information Confrontation

/analyses/2021/06/role-of-russian-military-in-information-confrontation

Joe Cheravitch traces the evolution of Russian military thought on “information confrontation,” e.g., cyberattacks and computer espionage.

, when Russia’s  military and security services began to use a wide array of computer network operations, electronic warfare, and digital influence platforms to help facilitate kinetic  activities ... of Russia’s military and its approach to modern conflict, particularly its operations in the dimension between interstate harmony and overt conflict—the uneasy peace that currently defines relations

Weighing the Costs of War and Peace in Afghanistan

/our-media/indepth/2019/04/weighing-the-costs-of-war-and-peace-in-afghanistan

The U.S. Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation, Amb. Zalmay Khalilzad, tweeted that "peace requires agreement on four issues: counter-terrorism assurances, troop withdrawal."

Weighing the Costs of War and Peace in Afghanistan The U.S. Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation, Amb. Zalmay Khalilzad, tweeted that "peace requires agreement on four issues: counter-terrorism assurances, troop withdrawal." /images/InDepth/Post00.jpg Weighing the Costs of War and Peace in Afghanistan 0 Jonathan Schroden After 16 days of negotiations, the U.S. Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation, Amb. Zalmay Khalilzad,  tweeted  that "peace requires agreement on four issues: counter-terrorism assurances, troop withdrawal, intra-Afghan dialogue

China's Party Congress Report Highlights New Challenges

/our-media/indepth/2022/10/chinas-party-congress-report-highlights-new-challenges

Xi Jinping’s report celebrated China’s recent accomplishments but warned of new challenges from the United States and global economic conditions.

, development, cooperation, and mutual benefit are unstoppable” … but “the deficit in peace, development, security, and governance is growing.” This was eye-catching for those who follow the catechisms ... and Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Division . On October 16, 2022, the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party opened in Beijing with General Secretary Xi Jinping delivering a two-hour ... they have little control pose both direct and indirect risks to their ambitions. Is “peace and development” as “the keynote of the times” fading? In addition, the report to the congress hedges on two

Africa is China’s Testing Ground for Overseas Military Missions

/our-media/indepth/2024/10/africa-is-chinas-testing-ground-for-overseas-military-missions

China’s military activities in Africa—including its first overseas military base—have become entrenched. China has ambitions for a deeper African presence.

will actually do, at the Third China-Africa Peace and Security Forum last year, then-PRC State Councilor and Minister of National Defense General Li Shangfu said that through the Global Security ... within Africa’s security affairs, deploying the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) to form a nascent operational presence in Africa and around its waters. Africa now represents the PRC’s largest persistent ... ’s ambitions for a deeper military and security presence on the continent. The PRC’s military presence in Africa grew out of deep economic and political ties the PRC developed across the African

Japan Elevates Security Concerns Over Taiwan Strait

/our-media/indepth/2021/07/japan-elevates-security-concerns-over-taiwan-strait

On July 13, the Japanese Ministry of Defense released the latest edition of its annual white paper, Defense of Japan 2021.

Japan Elevates Security Concerns Over Taiwan Strait On July 13, the Japanese Ministry of Defense released the latest edition of its annual white paper, Defense of Japan 2021. /images/InDepth/Post94.jpg Japan Elevates Security Concerns Over Taiwan Strait 94 Brian Waidelich and Elizabeth Barrett Brian Waidelich is a Research Scientist in CNA’s Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Program. His research focuses on issues related to strategic competition and Indo-Pacific maritime security. Elizabeth Barrett is the Project Manager for Outreach and International Engagement in CNA’s China

Israel’s New Government is the Most Far-Right in its History

/our-media/indepth/2023/01/israels-new-government-is-the-most-far-right-in-its-history

San Plapinger examines how Benjamin Netanyahu’s new hardline government could impact the country’s relations with Jordan, Egypt, Bahrain and the UAE.

for neighboring Jordan. The Hashemite Kingdom has a significant national security stake in an eventual Arab-Israeli peace because of the sizeable ethnic Palestinian segment of its population and corresponding ... and Intelligence Program . His work focuses on strategic competition, irregular warfare, fleet operations and Middle East security issues. From 2020 to 2022, Samuel served as the embedded CNA field ... worry is the potential for significant internal tensions in Israel proper and the occupied West Bank. Indeed, the Israeli Minister of National Security’s recent provocative visit to the Temple Mount

Ukraine’s Ripple Effect on Russia’s Indo-Pacific Horizon

/our-media/indepth/2023/01/ukraines-ripple-effect-on-russias-indo-pacific-horizon

Elizabeth Wishnick examines how Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has impacted the country’s economic and strategic prospects with the Asia-Pacific states.

China Studies Program . She is an expert in Sino-Russian relations, Asian security and Arctic geopolitics.   This article was originally published by the Danish Institute of International Studies ... be far from Ukraine, but Russia’s war has had wide-ranging ripple effects on the region’s energy security, food security, bilateral ties, and geopolitics. Russia looks East With three-quarters ... on Ukraine, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been more overtly critical of Russian actions, urging on multiple occasions for Putin to pursue peace. Yet India sets great store by its longstanding

No Risk Free Option in Afghanistan

/our-media/indepth/2021/04/no-risk-free-option-in-afghanistan

The pace of developments in Afghanistan has created stark choices for the Biden administration. In recent weeks and months, many commentators have penned op-eds arguing for or against certain policy options.

government peace talks. However, many of these arguments have failed to assess the risks inherent in their preferred course, which is a crucial aspect of policymaking. This piece introduces the most ... together, the decision to withdraw forces by May 1 would bring substantial risks in several key areas. First, if the U.S. withdraws its forces by this date and the Taliban-Afghan government peace talks ... , withdrawing forces by May 1 without significant progress in the Taliban-Afghan government peace talks would likely result in the breakdown of those talks. Since the withdrawal of foreign forces from