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Gaming the GIG: A Brief Manifesto

/analyses/2005/gaming-the-gig-a-brief-manifesto

This paper originated in 2004 with an idea by Dr. Sue K. Numrich, then a deputy director in the Defense Modeling and Simulation Office (DMSO).

Chinas Revolution in Doctrinal Affairs

/analyses/2005/chinas-revolution-in-doctrinal-affairs

This paper raises a number of important questions on China's views on nuclear doctrine and nuclear operations that will have a direct bearing on the future of strategic stability in US-China relations.

Political Military Trends in Italy Greece and Spain

/analyses/2005/political-military-trends-in-italy-greece-and-spain

These studies of the current geo-political climates in Greece, Italy, and Spain provide an important backdrop to a number of questions relevant to the study of U.S. Navy-host nation cooperation on AT-FP policies. That cooperation takes place within a context shaped by the host nations' security concerns and national politics and the developing security issues of the region. In addition, the overall atmosphere of US-European and US-host nation relations shape the extent to which the U.S. Navy can work with the host nation to craft an effective AT-FP policy for Navy shore establishments. If we are to provide realistic and useful conclusions and recommendation for the Navy's way ahead on this issue, then they must be grounded on a realistic and useful reading of the current state of political and military cooperation, as well as an accurate assessment of differing security interests and areas of possible friction in the future.

Non Citizens in Today's Military

/analyses/2005/non-citizens-in-todays-military

In FY04, this country spent $2.7 billion to recruit 182,000 active-duty enlisted servicemembers. One overlooked source of military manpower is immigrants and their families. In fact, much of the growth in the recruitment-eligible population will come from immigration. The United States is a country of immigrants. Recent waves of immigration have made today’s foreign-born population the largest in U.S. history—11.7 percent in 2003, up from 9.3 percent in 1995. Immigrants will fuel much of the growth in the youth population. About a third of the world's population is under age 15, and the overwhelming majority lives in developing countries. Because this large bulge of future workers will have difficulty finding work in their native countries, many may emigrate—either alone or with young families. Of the 16 million foreign-born people who entered the United States between 1990 and 2002, almost a quarter were under age 21. Most immigrants will not be U.S. citizens, but many will become Legal Permanent Residents. Between 1973 and 2002, an estimated 21.5 million people became LPRs. In 2002, more than 1 million immigrants became LPRs in addition to 10.4 million people who were already LPRs. Over two-thirds of them, 7.8 million, had been in the United States long enough to be eligible for naturalization.

Analysis of Hearing Loss in Navy

/analyses/2005/analysis-of-hearing-loss-in-navy

Permanent hearing loss is one of the most common disabilities among sailors. Although noise-induced injury is preventable by limiting exposure, it is generally irreversible once it occurs. The problem of reduced hearing function in active military personnel has been documented in several studies. For example, using data from 1995 to 1999 Bonhker, Page, et. al. (2002) showed a Significant Threshold Shift2 (STS) as high 25% in some Navy Personnel Ratings. Wolge- muth and Kopke (2000) performed an unpublished pilot study exam- ining STS/Permanent Threshold Shift (PTS) incidence among crew members of the Navy aircraft carrier USS Constellation after a six month deployment and found that 12% of the crew members tested exhibited STS/PTS. Similar findings of hearing loss among military personnel are discussed in Gwin and Lacroix (1985) for submariners, Wolgemuth, K.S., Lutrell, et. al. (1995) for Navy personnel, Ridgley and Wilkins (1991) for both Army and Navy personnel, and Jan (2000) for Navy enlisted. In 2004 the Veterans Administration (VA) spent $108 Million dollars in disability payments to 15.8 thousand former Navy personnel for hearing loss. This represents an increase of $65 Million in spending by the VA on Navy hearing disability payments since 1999.

Wargame-Creation Skills and the Wargame Construction Kit

/analyses/2004/wargame-creation-skills-and-the-wargame-construction-kit

The Naval War College is developing an elective wargaming theory and practice course. This course is designed to elicit ideas for the advancement of the art and science of wargaming.

Wargame Pathologies

/analyses/2004/wargame-pathologies

CNA and the War Gaming Department of the Naval War College discussed failure modes in professional military wargames through the Transforming Naval Wargaming project.

Transforming Naval Wargaming

/analyses/2004/transforming-naval-wargaming

One of the major elements affecting the way we think about war is wargaming.

North American Maritime Homeland Security

/analyses/2004/north-american-maritime-homeland-security

The CNA Corporation (CNAC) has been involved in this issue since well before the attacks of September 11th, 2001, and has provided direct support to the Global War On Terror, both overseas and domestically since the attacks. Additionally, CNAC has provided support to U.S. Coast Guard (USCG) planning and programming in recent years.

Review of USCG Chief Warrant Officer Specialties

/analyses/2004/review-of-uscg-chief-warrant-officer-specialties

As part of this effort, the Coast Guard asked CNA to address the following questions: What is the current role of a CWO and what new competencies will CWOs need in the future? Is the CWO force adequately trained? What training is applicable across specialties? Where are the most important training deficiencies? Should the current CWO specialty structure be revised? Should any specialties be combined? Should new specialties be created? What should the source ratings be for each specialty? Does the Coast Guard need a CWO-5 paygrade? To address these questions, we first produced a comprehensive inven- tory of the work performed by CWOs, using a web-based competency analysis methodology to gather data from Coast Guard personnel representing the different specialties. A panel of experts then provided input on how future USCG missions will impact the work performed by CWOs. Our analysis revealed the following: Work performed in each specialty is largely different from that performed in other specialties. There are enough people and work to staff a Marine Safety specialty. There are not enough people and work to staff an IT specialty. However, the Coast Guard will need high-level IT expertise in the future. Some Communications CWOs are doing lower-level IT work and, as a group, they see a less clear career path than members of other specialties. Potential new enlisted feeder ratings exist for some CWO specialties. Two broad competencies—Personnel Management and Devel- opment and Business Administration—cross most CWO spe- cialties, but personnel are inadequately trained. For most specialties, a CWO’s role is roughly half technical oriented and half leadership oriented. Changing roles for CWOs reflect new information technology in both operational and administrative areas. Emerging work requirements for CWOs reflect future emphasis on national defense, particularly port security. There is insufficient evidence to support adding a W-5 paygrade.