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CNA Director to Lead Research for Afghanistan War Commission

/our-media/press-releases/2023/09-25

Dr. Jonathan Schroden is departing CNA at the end of this month to serve as the research director for the Afghanistan War Commission.

and non-state threats and challenges. His prior assignments include senior advisor positions with the International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan, U.S. Central Command, Multinational Forces - West in Iraq, the 2nd Marine Expeditionary Force, and U.S. Marine Forces Special Operations Command. His notable projects include several independent assessments of Afghanistan's security forces ... CNA team since 2003. His research on irregular warfare, counterterrorism, and the challenges facing special operations forces has been invaluable to our national security." At CNA, Schroden served

Department of the Navy and Strategic Competition with the PRC

/reports/2023/11/department-of-the-navy-and-strategic-competition-with-the-prc

Near-term recommendations for how the Navy can better position itself for competition below the threshold of armed conflict..

of the national security interests and prosperity of the United States." In essence, the FY 2023 NDAA language codifies and reinforces what the Navy does on a day-to-day basis. However, it also brings ... the capabilities and capacity that are promoting current national security goals during peacetime and wartime. Up to now, the US has been unwilling to make such stark choices, instead making ... in the peacetime promotion of national security in an environment of global competition. Following the recommendation summaries below, we also summarize our concluding thoughts for this paper

National Security Seminar October 2023

/reports/2023/10/national-security-seminar-october-2023

CNA, Berkeley, and Dept. of Homeland Security cybersecurity experts discuss the Cybersecurity Futures 2030 initiative in a CNA National Security Seminar summary.

National Security Seminar October 2023 Cybersecurity Futures 2030: National Security Implications for Policymakers CNA, Berkeley, and Dept. of Homeland Security cybersecurity experts discuss the Cybersecurity Futures 2030 initiative in a CNA National Security Seminar summary. On October 10, 2023, CNA’s National Security Seminar (NSS) series hosted a virtual panel discussion exploring how ... (CLTC) and the World Economic Forum Centre for Cybersecurity’s collaborative research initiative Cybersecurity Futures 2030 . David Kaufman, Vice President and Director of the Security and Safety

Exploring the Relationship between Chinas Investment in the Arctic and Its National Strategy

/reports/2022/01/exploring-the-relationship-between-chinas-investment-in-the-arctic-and-its-national-strategy

In the Arctic, China seeks foreign direct investment in natural resources and new shipping routes to advance PRC strategic interests, but constraints persist.

security and near-peer competition in the Arctic region.” The Department of Defense selected CNA to conduct this analysis, for which CNA produced four reports. In this report, we examine the relationship ... routes would drastically reduce thetime and distance—and therefore shipping costs—of transporting goods betweenNortheast Asia and Europe and North America. Defending national sovereignty, security, and development interests. People’sLiberation Army (PLA) strategic thinkers have noted several reasons that the Arctic isimportant to China’s security objectives, including the deterrent value

PRC Research Vessel Operating Dark in Indonesian Waters

/reports/2021/12/prc-research-vessel-operating-dark-in-indonesian-waters

Examining a 2021 incident in which the Indonesian Maritime Security Agency intercepted a PRC vessel for suspected unauthorized oceanographic research.

PRC Research Vessel Operating Dark in Indonesian Waters PRC Research Vessel Operating “Dark” in Indonesian Waters Examining a 2021 incident in which the Indonesian Maritime Security Agency ... support for international maritime laws (including the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, or UNCLOS), rules, and norms. Unless it is addressed, this gap between Beijing’s rhetoric and the behavior of PRC actors has the potential to undermine the global system of international laws, norms, and conventions that govern the maritime domain. To examine possible contradictions between

Chinas Space Narrative

/reports/2020/10/chinas-space-narrative

Both China and the United States, have created separate parts of their military dedicated to space. Commercial, scientific, and military endeavors in space are all intimately linked, and one must understand how they are viewed to better understand how a nation might proceed in one or all of those fields. In accordance with our charter to support the Secretary of the Air Force, the Chief of Staff of the Air Force, the Chief of Space Operations, and other DoD and U.S. government leaders, the China Aerospace Studies Institute designed it’s 2020 CASI Conference around China’s space activities. This report serves as the baseline and the core of that effort. This report was a collaboration between CASI and CNA’s China and Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Division. We would like to thank the team at CNA for their work on this project. The authors would like to thank Second Lieutenant Owen Ou (USA) for contributing his research for this project, and Dr. Brian Weeden for his review of the study

as the baseline and the core of that effort. This report was a collaboration between CASI and CNA’s China and Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Division. We would like to thank the team at CNA for their work ... and interests.” The U.S. National Defense Strategy calls out long-term strategic competition with China as “the central challenge to U.S. prosperity and security” and accuses China of seeking “Indo-Pacific ... to maintain China’s national security. China sees its space program as catching up with the U.S. space program and surpassing it by mid-century. China has made important progress across a broad range

Redefining Human Control

/reports/2018/03/redefining-human-control

This report examines the issue of human control with regard to lethal autonomy, an issue of significant interest in United Nations discussions in the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW) forum. We analyze this issue in light of lessons and best practices from recent U.S. operations. Based on this analysis, we make the case for a wider framework for the application of human control over the use of force. This report recommends that CCW discussions currently focusing on process considerations, such as human control, should instead focus on outcome—namely, mitigation of inadvertent engagements. This allows consideration of a more complete set of benefits and risks of lethal autonomy and better management of risks. The report also describes best practices that can collectively serve as a safety net for the use of lethal autonomous weapons. It concludes with concrete recommendations for how the international community can more effectively address the risk of inadvertent engagements from lethal autonomy.

recommendations for how the international community can more effectively address the risk of inadvertent engagements from lethal autonomy. With the impending development of lethal autonomous weapon systems ... been to reduce the number of decisions operators have to make in the heat of the moment, by front-loading some critical tasks earlier in the wider targeting process. From 2009, the International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan modified its policies and procedures to help reduce the risk to civilians. Planning of operations began to consider risk factors for civilian casualties more

China Military Support Facility in Djibouti

/reports/2017/china-military-support-facility-in-djibouti

In November 2015, China publicly acknowledged for the first time that it is building its first overseas military facility in Djibouti, which is also home to the largest U.S. military installation in Africa. How did China come to establish its first overseas military support facility in Djibouti? What do we know about this facility and how it might be used, and what insights can we glean from the process to better understand where China’s military might go next? This paper provides a preliminary look at the origins of China’s military support facility in Djibouti. It explores the evolution of the economic and security relations between the two countries that led to the establishment of the facility, how it may be used, and what it may tell us about future Chinese military facilities abroad. It also assesses the implications of the growing economic and military ties between the two countries for the United States and the U.S. Navy.

China Military Support Facility in Djibouti China’s Military Support Facility in Djibouti: The Economic and Security Dimensions of China’s First Overseas Base In November 2015, China publicly ... ’s military might go next? This paper provides a preliminary look at the origins of China’s military support facility in Djibouti. It explores the evolution of the economic and security relations ... a fundamental shift in China’s foreign and security policy. China’s leaders have long used its lack of overseas military facilities as a means to differentiate its economic expansion from that of Western

Long Littoral Project East China and Yellow Seas

/reports/2012/long-littoral-project-east-china-and-yellow-seas

Over the past two years, the South China Sea has been the most discussed East Asian maritime security issue. Still, a credible case can be made that the Yellow and East China seas have all the ingredients necessary to become another maritime center of competition in East Asia. Approximately 70 percent of China’s eastern seaboard forms the western limit of the East China Sea/Yellow Sea basin, while the Ryukyu Chain is the East China Sea’s eastern boundary. Beijing, Tokyo, Seoul and Pyongyang all have important claims of sovereignty and exclusive economic zones (EEZs) in both of these seas. Disputes over seabed resources and fishing occur frequently among all three.

Long Littoral Project East China and Yellow Seas The Long Littoral Project: East China and Yellow Seas | A Maritime Perspective on Indo-Pacific Security Over the past two years, the South China Sea has been the most discussed East Asian maritime security issue. Still, a credible case can be made that the Yellow and East China seas have all the ingredients necessary to become another maritime ... frequently among all three. This report addresses the major security issues associated with the East China and Yellow seas. It is one in a series of five reports, that examines the five great maritime

Trafficking Golden Crescent Drugs into Western China

/reports/2011/trafficking-golden-crescent-drugs-into-western-china

The article analyzes the increasing scale and organization of Golden Crescent drug smuggling into western China, especially the growing links between domestic Chinese traffickers and Pakistan-based and Central Asian-based international drug rings. The increasing role of Africans in this trade—especially Nigerians—is an important theme for these authors. The authors identify the major highway, air, and rail routes along which Chinese and Central Asian authorities have detected drug smuggling cases. They also spotlight what they see as increasing professionalism and sophistication in drug smuggling techniques over the past five to ten years.

Asian-based international drug rings. The increasing role of Africans in this trade—especially Nigerians—is an important theme for these authors. The authors identify the major highway, air, and rail routes ... —and Central Asian-based international drug rings The increasing role of Nigerians and other nationalities in this trade, and the challenges this trend creates for Chinese investigators The evolving transport routes these traffickers use to cross the Chinese border The increasing sophistication of these international traffickers The exploitation of such open source Chinese police