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china ai and autonomy report: Issue 15, May 19, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-15

The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 15, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

, and contended that “an important direction for the improvement and transformation of air-launched decoys in the future is to realize networked autonomous and coordinated operations.” [6] Of note ... Engineering had their research paper on AI-enabled combat command systems development accepted by the 45th Association for Computing Machinery Special Interest Group on Information Retrieval (ACM SIGIR

russian media analysis: Issue 2, October 24, 2021

/our-media/newsletters/russian-media-analysis/issue-2

Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities

engaged in training members of neo-Nazi organizations. Information operations and cognitive warfare Several Russian articles recently reported on US and NATO stances towards information warfare ... pipeline. The author suggests that Poland or Ukraine, both of which have well trained naval special forces, could take such an action. It would be difficult for Russia to prove responsibility for any

Reimagining Defense Strategy

/analyses/2021/10/reimagining-defense-strategy

This event continued a conversation begun at CNA’s September 16, 2021, National Security Seminar, titled “Planning for Tomorrow’s Threats: Overcoming Obstacles to Organize, Adapt, and Innovate.” In this event, we heard insights on defense strategy from Christian Brose, Chief Strategy Officer of Anduril Industries, a defense technology company. Mr. Brose shared his perspective as a former staff director of the Senate Armed Services Committee under Chairman John McCain. He is also the author of The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare. Dr. Carter Malkasian, from CNA, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. The event was recorded and is available online.

served as Special Assistant for Strategy to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. The event was recorded and is available online . Central arguments of The Kill Chain Dr. Malkasian and Mr ... that improve human understanding, decision-making, and action to enable more efficient, autonomous, and larger scale operations. This new paradigm should constitute the criteria for evaluating emerging

Social Media Bots: Laws

/analyses/2020/09/social-media-bots-laws

While social media bots have the ability to greatly affect US national security and public discourse, the current landscape of US federal and state laws regulating such bots is limited. This study explores the challenges inherent to passing social media bot-related legislation and details current efforts to do so, including at the federal and state levels. It briefly explores the context in the European Union as well. This paper then discusses the dilemmas social media companies face as they think about effective bot policies and identifies the four main categories of policies through which the social media platforms regulate the use of bots on their sites. As they face evolving threats from bots, the social media companies will continue to adapt their policies accordingly, though it remains an open question whether and to what extent these companies should regulate themselves in the face of additional pressure from Congress and the public.

: Implications for Special Operations Forces, our literature review found that the landscape of such regulations is difficult to piece together, and applicable provisions and policies are disparately

Cryptocurrency Primer for Policymakers

/analyses/2019/08/cryptocurrency-primer-for-policymakers

This primer is an effort to address a gap in knowledge about cryptocurrencies and the cryptocurrency ecosystem among the policymaking community and advance the understanding of cryptocurrencies and consideration of their national security implications. Cryptocurrencies are strictly digital currencies, are typically overseen by a decentralized peer-to-peer community, and are secured through cryptography. We use clear, non-technical language to describe complex concepts and demystify overly technical terms in order to explain the technical and economic aspects of cryptocurrency, why they are used, and the benefits and drawbacks to cryptocurrencies compared to conventional currencies—like the US dollar. We conclude by considering some cryptocurrency-related issues of which greater exploration would benefit US national security.

initiated this study to explore the implications of cryptocurrencies for special operations forces (SOF), the broader US Department of Defense (DOD), and other US government agencies. In the process

Hurricane Irma After Action Report

/analyses/2018/01/hurricane-irma-after-action-report

The organizational structure for emergency evacuation and response within Pinellas County is a well-developed collaboration between the county, 24 cities, law enforcement, fire services, and hundreds of community partners and agencies. For large-scale events or incidents, the primary agencies and partners form a Response Operations Coordination (ROC) group to discuss scenarios and operational concerns and to plan implementation and timing of emergency actions. In response to a hurricane, the ROC group holds an initial meeting once the county enters the three-day forecast cone, the anticipated path of the storm. The group then meets—in person or virtually—every six hours as new hurricane advisories are issued. The ROC also meets in the aftermath of a storm to promote information-sharing among all area partners.

and partners form a Response Operations Coordination (ROC) group to discuss scenarios and operational concerns and to plan implementation and timing of emergency actions. In response to a hurricane, the ROC ... or incidents, the primary agencies and partners form a Response Operations Coordination (ROC) group to discuss scenarios and operational concerns and to plan implementation and timing of emergency ... the county. Personnel from these agencies worked long hours before, during, and after the storm to communicate with the public, evacuate residents and visitors (including those with special needs), open

Do the SEALs Have a Culture Problem or an OPTEMPO Problem?

/our-media/indepth/2019/08/do-the-seals-have-a-culture-problem-or-an-optempo-problem

There have been a number of recent, high-visibility incidents of inappropriate—and in some cases, illegal—behavior involving Navy SEALs.

that the special operations enterprise includes more than just SEALs. More specifically, many of the Army’s special operations force (SOF) units have had similar OPTEMPO and deployment-to-dwell ratios ... at mitigating these issues). A significant problem is that Special Operations Command (SOCOM) has not done the rigorous analysis necessary to fully understand what’s happening. While Congress mandated ... study.”” To be fair, the need for such a study has been recognized by SOCOM—the command’s Joint Special Operations University (JSOU) included in its Special Operations Research Topics 2020 document

New Roles for Civil Affairs Forces in a New World

/our-media/indepth/2021/10/new-roles-for-civil-affairs-forces

Strategic competition should prompt us to think about new and creative uses for civil affairs forces.

to the U.S. Army and U.S. Marine Corps, numbering about 15,000 personnel, along with a contingent of over 1,200 soldiers under U.S. Special Operations Command. Together, these civil affairs forces ... in a New World 101 Emily Mushen Emily Mushen is a research scientist in Countering Threats and Challenges at CNA with 15 years of experience in analysis of irregular warfare, influence operations ... with civilian leadership, institutions and populations throughout our nation’s history. Today, we know these activities as civil military operations , typically conducted by civil affairs forces

Africa is China’s Testing Ground for Overseas Military Missions

/our-media/indepth/2024/10/africa-is-chinas-testing-ground-for-overseas-military-missions

China’s military activities in Africa—including its first overseas military base—have become entrenched. China has ambitions for a deeper African presence.

naval pier capable of supporting the PLA Navy’s largest ships. The PLA trains troops from African nations at the base in combat-type exercises. And PLA Navy Marine Corps special operations forces ... servicemembers in and around Africa: around 2,000 deployed to Djibouti , approximately 1,400 in United Nations Peacekeeping Operations in five nations on the continent, and around 700 sailors on ships ... and the PLA Army’s UN peacekeeping missions represent the most important opportunities for PLA “real-world” operations outside of Asia. The Djibouti base is a prime example of the PRC’s evolving

What Does Lebanon's New Government Mean for the U.S.?

/our-media/indepth/2020/02/what-does-lebanons-new-government-mean-for-the-u.s

For the first time in months, U.S. officials now have a functioning Lebanese cabinet they can work with as the two countries face a range of problems.

capable special operations forces of any Arab military — except perhaps the United Arab Emirates — due largely to years of training and joint operations with U.S. special operations forces. Despite ... and an ISIS resurgence in the Levant. Some ISIS networks fled to Lebanon after operations by the Syrian military and its allies Iran and Hezbollah. ISIS retains significant latent capability and thrives