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Diagnosing the Boko Haram Conflict

/analyses/2015/diagnosing-the-boko-haram-conflict

The intent of this report is to provide the appropriate type of information—at the appropriate level of granularity—in order to inform U.S. government efforts to develop more effective approaches to countering Boko Haram. The goal is to help U.S. planners and decision-makers understand the conflict as an interconnected system and, eventually, to develop targeted, conflict-sensitive strategies for assisting the Nigerian government. Specifically, this report seeks to diagnose and dissect the conflict by identifying relevant political, economic, social, and security factors at work in northeast Nigeria, by analyzing how key actors mobilize grievances and institutional resiliencies to drive or mitigate conflict, and by forecasting how conflict dynamics might evolve in the future.

in the future. To achieve this, we conducted a conflict assessment, which is an analytical process undertaken to identify and understand the dynamics of violence and instability, and to develop

Rethinking the US Approach to Boko Haram

/analyses/2015/rethinking-the-us-approach-to-boko-haram

U.S. Naval Forces Africa asked CNA to recommend an approach for the United States government (USG) to counter Boko Haram. The USG has been working with the government of Nigeria (GoN) to defeat the group, but the two governments are taking divergent approaches and efforts to date have not been effective. The GoN is taking a narrow counterterrorism approach that relies heavily on the military, whereas a broader whole-of-government approach is required. Due to the political dynamics in Nigeria, the USG has few ways to change the GoN’s approach to the conflict. We propose that the USG and other supporting partners focus on assisting Chad, Niger, and Cameroon to become increasingly able to prevent Boko Haram from taking root within their borders. While this would not dismantle Boko Haram in the near term, it could buy time for conditions in Nigeria to become more favorable to direct U.S. assistance.

the group. Despite these efforts, however, a balanced assessment of the situation in northeast Nigeria reveals that the threat from Boko Haram is growing. There are now regular reports that Boko Haram has

Mobilizing Compatriots Russias Strategy

/analyses/2015/mobilizing-compatriots-russias-strategy

As part of its wider efforts to assess the implications of Russia’s foreign and national security policy, CNA initiated this study to examine Russia’s objectives, policy, and strategic and operational calculus with respect to ethnic Russian, Russian-speaking, and other potentially sympathetic populations residing in other former Soviet states. This is a quick-response, three-month effort designed to stimulate public discourse around Russia’s efforts to use these communities, which Moscow defines as compatriots, to further its policy goals. The study highlights several important implications that U.S. policy-makers may consider in formulating policy toward Russia and the countries in which these compatriot populations reside. After releasing this report, the study team plans to organize an event to discuss these topics at CNA headquarters in fall 2015.

have sought to provide a preliminary assessment of Moscow’s perspectives, policies, strategic calculus, and operational instruments in dealing with these groups, which the Russian government describes

Potential Environmental Impact from Fracking in the Delaware River Basin

/analyses/2015/potential-environmental-impact-from-fracking-in-the-delaware-river-basin

This study aims to model the landscape of the Marcellus Shale region to predict how it may change in the future in response to the expansion of natural gas extraction, and, in particular, what impact this may have on the Delaware River Basin (DRB). Our approach combined geospatial analysis and statistical modeling to create a probability surface that predicts the most favorable locations for the placement of future wells based on the location of existing wells. Using the probability surface and an estimate of the number of wells that would be needed to fully exploit the shale resource, we estimated the future landscape of development in the Interior Marcellus Shale and DRB. Using affected subwatersheds and counties as study areas, we then investigated potential impacts associated with land cover, water and wastewater management, water quality due to changes in land cover, air emissions, and health risk factors. The results are intended to help decision-makers and the public

of wells. Few studies have considered multiple impacts, and no study has provided a reasonably complete, integrated regional environmental assessment of fracking. We aim to help fill this knowledge gap

AI/ML Risk Management Approach for Federal Agencies

/quick-looks/2022/aiml-risk-management-approach-for-federal-agencies

CNA's Performance, Architecture, Criticality, and Evolvability (PACE) concept captures key risk components throughout an application’s life cycle.

are signaled to oversight or certification authorities for evaluation. CNA can help federal agencies complete a comprehensive risk analysis for AI/ML-based systems and provide follow-up assessment

STUDY: PROTECTING MEDICAL SERVICES AND FORCE HEALTH IN A COVID ENVIRONMENT: AN ASSESSMENT OF USNS COMFORT OPERATIONS IN NEW YORK CITY

/quick-looks/2021/2nd-fleet-study-2020

Assessed the lessons learned on how to mitigate the spread of COVID-19 from the USN Comfort's mission in New York City

. /quick-looks/2021/2ndFleetStudy2020.pdf /images/Centers/CNA/RFR/RFR-EIE-6157522.jpg /quick-looks/2021/2ndFleetStudy2020Cover.png STUDY: PROTECTING MEDICAL SERVICES AND FORCE HEALTH IN A COVID ENVIRONMENT: AN ASSESSMENT OF USNS

CNA Organizational and Process Design

/quick-looks/2019/cna-organization-process-design

CNA empower leaders with the tools and data they need to undertake organizational change that quickly adapts to changing operating environments.

of new organizations Right-sizing and aligning staff Business process development and assessment /quick-looks/2019/CNA%20organization%20and%20process%20design%20Nov2022.pdf /images

Racial Bias Audit of the Charleston, South Carolina, Police Department

/quick-looks/2019/charleston-sc-summary

Summary of the Racial Bias Audit of the Charleston, South Carolina Police Department

practices from the field; (2) using a multimethod assessment design, including interviews, community meetings, document review and data analysis; and (3) conducting a comprehensive review and applying

CNA | Preparing for Tomorrow’s Threats: Overcoming Obstacles to Organize, Adapt, and Innovate

/videos/2023/cna-preparing-for-tomorrows-threats-overcoming-obstacles-to-organize-adapt-and-innovate

https://www.cna.org On September 16, 2021, CNA convened a virtual panel to discuss overcoming obstacles the Department of Defense and armed services face in adapting and innovating to defeat future threats. Speakers: General James T. Conway (USMC, ret.), 34th Commandant of the Marine Corps Dr. Jamie M. Morin, former Director of Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation, Department of Defense Dr. Francis G. Hoffman, Distinguished Research Fellow, National Defense University Moderated by: Dr. Carter Malkasian, CNA [Originally Uploaded: 2021-09-17]

CNA | Preparing for Tomorrow’s Threats: Overcoming Obstacles to Organize, Adapt, and Innovate https://www.cna.org On September 16, 2021, CNA convened a virtual panel to discuss overcoming obstacles the Department of Defense and armed services face in adapting and innovating to defeat future threats. Speakers: General James T. Conway (USMC, ret.), 34th Commandant of the Marine Corps Dr. Jamie M. Morin, former Director of Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation, Department of Defense Dr. Francis G. Hoffman, Distinguished Research Fellow, National Defense University Moderated by: Dr. Carter

Jonathan Schroden

/about-us/leadership/office-of-the-president/jonathan-schroden

competition, irregular warfare, Marine Corps and special operations, force design, and strategic and operations assessment. In support of the Department of Defense, he deployed or traveled 13 times