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analytical expertise ranges from great power competition to fighter pilot tactics. The Institute for Public Research helps federal, state and local leaders address their most difficult challenges, from

China Becoming a Maritime Power

/analyses/2016/china-becoming-a-maritime-power

In November 2012, then president Hu Jintao declared that China’s objective was to become a strong or great maritime power. This report, based on papers written by China experts for this CNA project, explores that decision and the implications it has for the United States. It analyzes Chinese thinking on what a maritime power is, why Beijing wants to become a maritime power, what shortfalls it believes it must address in order to become a maritime power, and when it believes it will become a maritime power (as it defines the term). The report then explores the component pieces of China’s maritime power—its navy, coast guard, maritime militia, merchant marine, and shipbuilding and fishing industries. It also addresses some policy options available to the U.S. government to prepare for—and, if deemed necessary, mitigate—the impact that China’s becoming a maritime power would have for U.S. interests.

China Becoming a Maritime Power Becoming a Great “Maritime Power”: A Chinese Dream In November 2012, then president Hu Jintao declared that China’s objective was to become a strong or great maritime power. This report, based on papers written by China experts for this CNA project, explores that decision and the implications it has for the United States. It analyzes Chinese thinking on what a maritime power is, why Beijing wants to become a maritime power, what shortfalls it believes it must address in order to become a maritime power, and when it believes it will become a maritime power

What Makes Great Power Relations and Why Compete

/analyses/2020/01/what-makes-great-power-relations-and-why-compete

What does “great power competition” mean? Why might it be happening? This paper deconstructs such questions.

What Makes Great Power Relations and Why Compete Great Power Relations What does “great power competition” mean? Why might it be happening? This paper deconstructs such questions. This paper explains the “what” and the “why” of great power competition (GPC) and some of the complex questions inherent in strategies based on the GPC construct. What makes powers great? What would drive those powers ... of stable definitions for what constitutes a great power, it is difficult to make judgements about the status of the evolving international system. Without a clear outline of  that structure

National Security and Assured US Electrical Power

/analyses/2015/national-security-and-assured-us-electrical-power

This document presents the wide-ranging views of an advisory group of retired flag and general officers from the Army, Navy, Air Force, and Marine Corps on the subject of national security and assured U.S. electrical power. Since 2006, this advisory group, referred to as CNA's Military Advisory Board (MAB), has examined the linkages between climate, energy, and national security, and has brought its vast operational, tactical, and strategic experience and perspective to domestic and international discussions. Past MAB reports include National Security and the Threat of Climate Change, Powering America’s Defense: Energy and the Risks to National Security, Ensuring America’s Freedom of Movement: A National Security Imperative to Reduce U.S. Oil Dependence, and the CNA MAB’s most recent work, National Security and the Accelerating Risks of Climate Change.

. Assuring that we have reliable, accessible, sustainable, and affordable electric power is a national security imperative. Our increased reliance on electric power in every sector of our lives ... distances, across vulnerable, high-voltage infrastructure. Nearly every part of the generation and transmission network is at risk to attack, weather, or other threats that could result in a sustained ... National Security and Assured US Electrical Power National Security and Assured U.S. Electrical Power This document presents the wide-ranging views of an advisory group of retired flag and general

Impacts of EPA’s Clean Power Plan on Electricity Generation and Water Use in Texas

/analyses/2014/impacts-of-epas-clean-power-plan-on-electricity-generation-and-water-use-in-texas

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has proposed a new rule under the Clean Air Act—the Clean Power Plan (CPP)—to control carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from existing stationary electric power plants. In order to better understand the potential impacts of the rule for water consumption and withdrawals in Texas, a state that is experiencing on-going drought, we apply a power generation policy model to evaluate water use along with other economic and environmental indicators. We explore two scenarios: a Baseline scenario and the implementation of the CPP. We find that the state will save water under the CPP be able to meet the final and interim targets with modest incremental effort.

Impacts of EPA’s Clean Power Plan on Electricity Generation and Water Use in Texas The Impacts of EPA’s Clean Power Plan on Electricity Generation and Water Use in Texas The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has proposed a new rule under the Clean Air Act—the Clean Power Plan (CPP)—to control carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from existing stationary electric power plants. In order to better understand the potential impacts of the rule for water consumption and withdrawals in Texas, a state that is experiencing on-going drought, we apply a power generation policy model to evaluate water

Determining the Statistical Power of the Kolmogorov Smirnov

/analyses/2016/determining-the-statistical-power-of-the-kolmogorov-smirnov

Metrics are often used to compare the performance of newly developed systems with the performance of their predecessors. Metrics can also be used to compare the output of a simulator with real-world data to test the accuracy of the simulation. Statistical comparison of these metrics can be necessary when making such a determination. There are different methods of statistical comparison that are sensitive to the various types of underlying distribution of the metric data. Distribution type can affect the performance of these tests, and, fortunately, the distributions of many common metrics are well known. For example, mean time to repair (MTTR) and mean flight hours between critical failures (MFHBCF), generally follow a log-normal and an exponential distribution, respectively. This paper presents the effects of distribution type and parameters on the statistical power of two common goodness-of-fit tests (Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Anderson-Darling) via Monte Carlo simulation.

Determining the Statistical Power of the Kolmogorov Smirnov Determining the Statistical Power of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Anderson-Darling Goodness-of-Fit Tests via Monte Carlo Simulation Metrics are often used to compare the performance of newly developed systems with the performance of their predecessors. Metrics can also be used to compare the output of a simulator with real-world data ... to the various types of underlying distribution of the metric data. Distribution type can affect the performance of these tests, and, fortunately, the distributions of many common metrics are well

Working with the Adversary

/quick-looks/2023/great-power-competition-and-nuclear-risk-management

Great power nuclear cooperation is more likely when relative gains are not seen as relevant, policymaker time horizons are long, and cheating is hard to hide.

Great Power Competition and Nuclear Risk Management Great power nuclear cooperation is more likely when relative gains are not seen as relevant, policymaker time horizons are long, and cheating ... 1955 Open Skies proposal The 1958–61 nuclear test moratorium 1964–66 US-Soviet agreement on NATO nuclear sharing Key Findings Risk-reducing great power nuclear cooperation is more likely ... .jpg /quick-looks/2023/Great-Power-Cooperation-and-Nuclear-Risk.png Distribution A: Approved for public release. Unlimited distribution. IMM-2023-U-035142 Nuclear Risk Management and Great Power

Plans and Strategy

/expertise/plans-and-strategy

CNA experts in strategy and plans have advised Marine Corps, Navy, homeland security senior leaders for decades, including analysis for today’s force designs.

and adversaries.  orange half large Maritime Security and Great Power Competition: Maintaining the US-Led International Order /analyses/2009/maritime-security-strengthening-international-cooperation Maritime Security and Great Power Competition: Maintaining the US-Led International Order Maritime security operations support national strategy by sustaining and enforcing the rule of law and good

Great Power Cooperation and Nuclear Risk Management

/analyses/2023/03/great-power-cooperation-and-nuclear-risk-management

History shows great powers can cooperate to reduce nuclear risk when relative gains are discounted, a long-term view is adopted, and cheating is hard to hide.

policy-makers on both sides learned to cooperate through experimentation. They were chosen, in part, out of a belief that studying how the pioneers of great power nuclear cooperation learned by doing may ... Great Power Cooperation and Nuclear Risk Management Working with the Adversary History shows great powers can cooperate to reduce nuclear risk when relative gains are discounted, a long-term view ... cooperation might work and how to increase the odds of success. To answer that question, this study draws on international relations theory as well as three in-depth case studies of attempted great power

A Brief History of CNA

/about-us/history

CNA is the oldest research and analysis organization in the United States that is an FFRDC, a federally funded research and development center. Our founder, Philip Morse, introduced the concept of operations research to the U.S. in order to address the German U-boat threat during World War II.

that was saving lives . white default /images/About-Us/History/dc-2001-anthrax-attack.jpg fixed left small callout white Global Rivals, Global Virus, 2017– By 2017, the growing military power and aggression of China and Russia demanded new strategies, new tactics and new analysis. Fortunately CNA had maintained great power competition expertise in areas like antisubmarine warfare and Russian military ... non-governmental research group studying Chinese military and security affairs in Washington even before “great power competition” became a watchword, CNA’s China Studies analytical staff has doubled