Simulation Applications for Forecasting Effective Responses in Corrections (SAFER-C™): A COVID-19 Disease Spread Model

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The SAFER-C™ model can help correctional leaders forecast outcomes and manage their facilities while addressing the COVID-19 pandemic. This practical planning tool helps corrections leaders make critical decisions to prevent disease spread and protect both inmates and staff.

The SAFER-C model uses data specific to an individual facility to estimate infections and deaths. Decision-makers can use it to predict the impacts of a wide range of decisions, including:

  • Starting or stopping inmate work programs.
  • Serving meals in cells or in mess halls.
  • Changing the length of isolation for infected individuals.
  • Opening or closing gym and workout facilities.

To learn more about SAFER-C contact James "Chip" Coldren at Coldrej@cna.org.

Report icon Resources

  • Two-pager: Benefits of SAFER-C: The SAFER-C model is designed to help correctional leaders forecast outcomes and manage their facilities while facing the COVID-19 pandemic. The SAFER-C model will provide a practical planning tool to help corrections administrators make critical decisions around mitigation efforts to prevent disease spread and protect both inmates and staff.
  • InDepth: Modeling the Pandemic to Protect Prisoners and Staff: James "Chip" Coldren, April 29, 2020; Prisons and jails throughout the country find themselves in an acute dilemma regarding the coronavirus. Without adequate testing of staff and inmates and with little experience with the virus, the immediate response is frequently lockdown.

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