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intersections: Issue 2, January 2023

/our-media/newsletters/intersections/issue-2

Intersections, Issue 2, CNA news digest of China’s efforts to acquire Western technology, U.S. and partner efforts to protect technology for national security.

Issue 2 Intersections, Issue 2, CNA news digest of China’s efforts to acquire Western technology, U.S. and partner efforts to protect technology for national security. /Newsletters/Intersections/Issue-1/Intersections-Issue-1_Image.png Issue 2, January 2023 Intersections , a news digest published by CNA's China and Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Division, describes the interplay between ... these technology acquisitions efforts. CNA has documented a wide range of legal and illegal techniques to acquire foreign technologies that the PRC uses to achieve its national security objectives and build

ai with ai: Tempus Fluit

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-4/4-17

In COVID-related AI news, Andy and Dave discuss research from Texas &AM, Wisconsin-Milwaukee, and SNY Binghamton, which demonstrates an automatic system for monitoring the physical distance and face mask wearing of construction workers; demonstrating how surveillance is rapidly becoming a widely available commodity technology. In regular news, the National Security Commission on AI releases its draft final report, which makes sweeping recommendations on AI as a constellation of technologies. The nominee for Deputy Secretary of Defense, Kathleen Hicks, mentions AI and the JAIC at several points during her testimony. The Information Technology & Innovation Foundation releases a report on “Who Is Winning the AI Race,” using 30 different metrics to assess nations’ progress in AI. Amnesty International launches a campaign against facial recognition, dubbed “Ban the Scan.” And Scatter Lab pulls its Korean chatbot Lee Luda, after it started responding with racist and sexist comments to user inputs. In three “quick” research items, researchers at Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School show that single neurons can encode information about others’ beliefs. Researchers at MIT and the Institute of Science and Technology Austria introduce a new class of time-continuous recurrent neural network models, which they dub liquid time-constant networks; the approach reduces the size of networks by nearly two orders of magnitude for some tasks. And researchers at the University of Toronto, Microsoft Research, and Cornell University show that Maia, a custom version of AlphaZero, can learn to predict human actions, rather than the most likely winning move. The report of the week looks at The Immigration Preferences of Top AI Researchers. And the book of the week contains almost 40 chapters and 60 authors on a variety of special operations-related topics, in Strategic Latency Unleashed. Listener Survey

mask wearing of construction workers; demonstrating how surveillance is rapidly becoming a widely available commodity technology. In regular news, the National Security Commission on AI releases its ... International launches a campaign against facial recognition, dubbed “Ban the Scan.” And Scatter Lab pulls its Korean chatbot Lee Luda, after it started responding with racist and sexist comments to user ... “Just” AI National Security Commission on AI: Draft Final Report Report (130 Pages) Video Proceedings – Day 1 (3 hours) Video Proceedings – Day 1 (2.5 hours) AI comes up

ai with ai: Self-aware Bag of Atomic Camels

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-2/2-16

For research topics, Andy and Dave discuss the task-agnostic self-modeling machine from Columbia University, a robotic arm that learns to build an approximate model of itself and then interact with the world; they also discuss the over-hyped reporting of the research. A much less hyped, but possibly more groundbreaking research from MIT results in a robot that can play the tower-block game Jenga, using multisensory fusion to do so. More research from MIT attempts to synthesize probabilistic programs for automatic data modeling. Research from the University of Tubingen shows that approximating convolutional neural nets with bag-of-local-features modeling yields decent results with ImageNet. And the University of Washington and the Allen Institute for AI announce the Atlas of Machine Commonsense (ATOMIC), a collection of 877k textual descriptions of inferential knowledge, which allows more accurate inference for previously unseen events. In announcements of the week, DARPA announces the Competency-Aware Machine Learning (CAML) program for ML systems to assess their own performance; and Measuring Biological Aptitude (MBA) attempts to link genotype to phenotype in order to improve recruiting, training, and other aspects. The U.S. Navy’s Sea Hunter drone ship completes an autonomous trip from San Diego to Hawaii and back. The "Papers with Code" archive attempts to collect and link ML-related papers, code, and evaluation tables. The U.S. Army activates its AI Task Force at Carnegie Mellon. And the International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR) 2019 has been announced for 6-9 May 2019. In media of the week, the World Intellectual Property Organization releases its report on the Technology Trends of 2019; the AMA Journal of Ethics publishes an entire (open-access) issue devoted to AI in health care; the Congressional Research Service updates its report on AI and National Security; Dan Simmons provides a hefty tome on Evolutionary Optimization Algorithms, and Julian Togelius publishes a book on Playing Smart. Wake Word is the Game of the Week, and in videos, Super Bowl ads provided a variety of glimpses into life with robots.

and link ML-related papers, code, and evaluation tables. The U.S. Army activates its AI Task Force at Carnegie Mellon. And the International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR) 2019 has been ... (open-access) issue devoted to AI in health care; the Congressional Research Service updates its report on AI and National Security; Dan Simmons provides a hefty tome on Evolutionary Optimization Algorithms ... ) "Papers With Code" archive "State of the Art AI" archive site "Papers with Code" archive site Carnegie Mellon Hosts Activation of U.S. Army AI Task Force International Conference

ai and autonomy in russia: Issue 36, April 18, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/ai-and-autonomy-in-russia/issue-36

and technological stages within the framework of international cooperation should be concentrated in Russia; as well as a threefold increase in the share of the electronics industry in GDP.” Borisov was quoted ... of the efforts is challenged by the absence of adequately qualified personnel. MILITARY AND SECURITY‌ RUSSIAN MILITARY CONTINUES DRILLS IN RECONNAISSANCE FIRE/STRIKE COMPLEXES The Russian military ... . In Russia, it works like a Mir card, while abroad, all transactions are carried out through the Chinese partner payment system UnionPay International. The card will work outside of Russia automatically

Analytic Framework for Emulating Russian Decision Making

/analyses/2017/analytic-framework-for-emulating-russian-decision-making

The purpose of this report is to propose an analytical framework for emulating Russian decision-making in the national security realm. The framework is paired with a methodology that allows the user to systematically examine what Russian decision- making would look like in response to a foreign policy crisis. The framework is presented in the first section and then applied to three potential crisis scenarios in Eastern Europe. The analytical structure presented is meant to be used as a guideline. It offers potential answers, tools, and a systematic method for emulation that allows users to formulate decision-trees for Russian actions on the basis of reasonable assumptions about how Russia might act in various situations. The final product can be further developed and refined on the basis of observation of Russian actions in future interactions with its adversaries and behavior in crisis situations.

Russian decision-making in the national security realm. The framework is paired with a methodology that allows the user to systematically examine what Russian decision- making would look like in response ... and behavior in crisis situations. In this report, the CNA Russia Studies Program develops a framework for the emulation of Russian senior-level decision-making in the national security realm. The goal ... several sources: what we know about Russian decision-making, what we know about how rational leaders calculate risk, the behavior of states in the international system, and distinct elements of Russian

Quantity Has a Quality All of Its Own

/analyses/2025/05/quantity-has-a-quality-all-of-its-own

Since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russian intelligence operations have shifted toward a mass-scale approach, focusing on sabotage, intelligence collection, and influence efforts.

a fundamental transformation in how Russia conducts intelligence operations. Although this shift poses significant challenges to global security, the international community can adapt to and mitigate ... , and global security. The shift from quality to quantity Historically, Soviet intelligence operations during the era of the KGB (the Russian Committee for State Security) were marked ... and global security The shift toward quantity-driven intelligence tactics poses significant challenges for global law enforcement and counterintelligence efforts. Although mass-scale, less

Russian-Chinese Military Cooperation

/analyses/2023/05/russian-chinese-military-cooperation

China-Russia military cooperation grew 2014–2019 but then leveled off, despite political rhetoric. It is mostly one-sided, China consuming tech and expertise.

, with both leaders focusing on the threat posed by the United States and NATO to international security in general and to their own countries in particular. Chinese officials have refused to criticize Russia ... mechanisms include numerous summits between Presidents Putin and Xi, annual bilateral security consultations at the level of the head of each country’s security council and the semi-annual Northeast Asia security dialogue at the deputy foreign minister level. Since 2017, China and Russia have organized their military cooperation plans in five-year roadmaps, with the most recent such plan agreed

Jeff-Becker-Testimony

/analyses/2023/02/jeff-becker-testimony

Jeffrey D. Becker's Research Program Director, Indo-Pacific Security Affairs, CNA, Testimony before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. Hearing titled “China’s Military Diplomacy and Overseas Security Activities,”Panel II: Military Diplomacy for Improving Capabilities and Access

Jeff-Becker-Testimony Jeffrey D. Becker's Testimony before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission Jeffrey D. Becker's Research Program Director, Indo-Pacific Security Affairs, CNA, Testimony before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. Hearing titled “China’s Military Diplomacy and Overseas Security Activities,”Panel II: Military Diplomacy for Improving ... enterprises (SOEs), have spent billions on critical infrastructure projects around the globe. More recently, Xi Jinping’s April 2022 speech at the Boao Forum, in which he proposed forming a “Global Security

russian media analysis: Issue 8, January 28, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/russian-media-analysis/issue-8

Russian Perspectives on Western Military Activities

of the NATO threat Several articles describe Russian perceptions of NATO and the threat that it poses to Russian security. They focus on the role of the alliance as a weapon of US domination ... be countered either by NATO and the United States providing binding security guarantees to Russia or by Russia extending its security border to the Soviet Union’s previous western border in Belarus and Ukraine ... of the Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs at Moscow's Higher School of Economics, on the state of Russia’s relations with the US and NATO. In the interview, Karaganov also discusses

ai and autonomy in russia: Issue 38, May 16, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/ai-and-autonomy-in-russia/issue-38

to IT professionals and teachers to ensure entrepreneurial and scientific student activities under a public IT education. In his statement, Chernyshenko clarified that the international sanctions have ... implemented in 2021 to increase tax revenue and insurance premiums. MILITARY AND SECURITY RUSSIAN SCIENTISTS DESIGN A NEW USV FOR OPERATOR TRAINING Scientists from the MOD’s Pacific Higher Naval ... . The solution will help complement the functionality of integrated security systems for large corporations that are especially interested in cross-platform and rapid scalability of technologies. The new