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Subnational-Deterrence-An-Information-Campaign-to-Reduce-Risks-of-a-Nuclear-NK

/analyses/2022/12/subnational-deterrence-an-information-campaign-to-reduce-risks-of-a-nuclear-nk

A campaign of information and influence by the US and South Korea could deter key North Korean personnel, reducing risks of conflict or use of nuclear weapons.

in the general population from enabling and supporting points of escalation. Based on previous independent work of the authors, CNA hypothesizes that an information campaign, properly supported ... /Information-Campaign-to-Reduce-Risksof-a-Nuclear-NK.png /reports/2022/12/Minister_of_Defence_of_Russian_Federation-Kim%20Jung%20UN.webp SPPP /centers-and-divisions/cna/rsp DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution

Space Marines Opportunities for the Marine Corps

/analyses/2022/12/space-marines-opportunities-for-the-marine-corps

The Marine Corps relies increasingly on space capabilities and needs specially trained Marines. The new Maritime Space Officer specialty is an initial step.

publications, USMC concepts, MARADMINs, NAVMC Orders, Marine Corps Orders, prior CNA research, Army publications, news articles, and US Space Force (USSF) and US Space Command (USSPACECOM) documentation ... /Space-Marine-Opportunities-for-the-Marine-Corps.PNG /images/GenericReportImage.jpg Organizations, Roles, and Missions /centers-and-divisions/cna/ow/organizations-roles-and-missions DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Cleared for Public

Goodharts Law

/analyses/2022/09/goodharts-law

Goodhart’s Law says, “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.” CNA analysts discuss actions to mitigate the effects of Goodhart’s Law.

Goodharts Law Goodhart's Law Goodhart’s Law says, “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.” CNA analysts discuss actions to mitigate the effects of Goodhart’s Law. Goodhart’s Law states that “when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.” In other words, when we use a measure to reward performance, we provide an incentive to manipulate the measure ... /Goodharts-Law-Cartoon.png /centers-and-divisions/cna/ata DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. 40 COP-2022-U-033385-Final Steven J. Full Christine A. Hughes

Russian Military Autonomy in Ukraine Four Months In

/analyses/2022/07/russian-military-autonomy-in-ukraine-four-months-in

Russian and Ukrainian militaries are demonstrating the value of cheap, commercial unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and drones in the Russia-Ukraine war.

. It follows an earlier CNA paper outlining the possible Russian military systems we expected to see in this war. Military and commercial UAV use: commercial drones emerge as a key combat multiplier ... /Russian-Military-Autonomy-in-Ukraine-Four-Months-In.pdf /reports/2022/07/Russian-Military-Autonomy-in-Ukraine-Four-Months-In.PNG /images/GenericReportImage.jpg Russia Studies /centers-and-divisions/cna/rsp/russia-studies

Navy Enlisted Detailing Marketplace Assignment Algorithm

/analyses/2022/06/navy-enlisted-detailing-marketplace-assignment-algorithm

CNA has developed an assignment algorithm to assist detailers with assignments. The assignment algorithm is based on a non-parametric operations research technique called data envelopment analysis.

Navy Enlisted Detailing Marketplace Assignment Algorithm Navy Enlisted Detailing Marketplace Assignment Algorithm CNA has developed an assignment algorithm to assist detailers with assignments. The assignment algorithm is based on a non-parametric operations research technique called data envelopment analysis. In this document, we present a Navy enlisted assignment algorithm and a method ... Resources /centers-and-divisions/cna/rfr/navy-health-and-human-resources DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A.  Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. 38 DAB-2022-U-032642-Final Rachel Townsley

Countering Chinese and Russian Alliance Wedge Strategies

/analyses/2022/05/countering-chinese-and-russian-alliance-wedge-strategies

Chinese and Russian efforts to weaken US alliances often fail, as wedge strategies backfire, seen in 6 case studies. But the US must remain vigilant.

. To examine the wedge strategies exhibited by China and Russia against the US, CNA analyzed six cases of Chinese and Russian statecraft targeting US alliances. This study finds that despite China’s and Russia’s ... /Countering-Chinese-and-Russian-Alliance-Wedge-Strategies.PNG /reports/2022/05/china%20russia%20usa.PNG Russia Studies /centers-and-divisions/cna/rsp/russia-studies Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. 134

Rx PLA The PLA Medical System’s Role in China’s Efforts to Fight COVID19

/analyses/2022/04/rx-pla-the-pla-medical-systems-role-in-chinas-efforts-to-fight-covid19

China’s COVID-19 response shows that the large People’s Liberation Army medical staff can quickly deploy across China and around the world with diverse skills.

/centers-and-divisions/cna/rsp/china-studies This document contains the best opinion of CNA at the time of issue. The views, opinions, and findings contained in this report should not be construed

Improving Protection of Humanitarian Organizations in Armed Conflict

/analyses/2022/03/improving-protection-of-humanitarian-organizations-in-armed-conflict

We leverage CNA’s work on civilian harm, including attacks on humanitarian organizations, to identify four broad steps militaries can take to minimize these tragic incidents and improve protection of these organizations.

Improving Protection of Humanitarian Organizations in Armed Conflict Improving Protection of Humanitarian Organizations in Armed Conflict We leverage CNA’s work on civilian harm, including attacks on humanitarian organizations, to identify four broad steps militaries can take to minimize these tragic incidents and improve protection of these organizations. Despite one hundred and fifty years ... Activities and Intelligence /centers-and-divisions/cna/ow/special-activities-and-intelligence Approved for public release. Unlimited distribution. 42 IOP-2022-U-032020-Final

Leveraging AI to Mitigate Civilian Harm

/analyses/2022/02/leveraging-ai-to-mitigate-civilian-harm

We have found that AI can be used to help address patterns of harm and thus reduce the likelihood of harm. We discuss some areas of focus militaries could prioritize in order to reduce risks to civilians.

that could be used for military warfighting tasks in ways that complied with international law and did not represent an indiscriminate hazard to civilians. Similarly, a previous CNA report (AI Safety ... /reports/2022/02/Leveraging-AI-to-Mitigate-Civilian-HarmCoverImage.jpg Special Activities and Intelligence /centers-and-divisions/cna/ow/special-activities-and-intelligence DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved

AI and Autonomy in Russia Issue 29

/analyses/2022/01/ai-and-autonomy-in-russia-issue-29

Issue 29 for January 2022 of a CNA newsletter providing information and analysis on AI in Russia, especially AI applied to Russian military capabilities.

AI and Autonomy in Russia Issue 29 AI and Autonomy in Russia Issue 29, January 10, 2022 Issue 29 for January 2022 of a CNA newsletter providing information and analysis on AI in Russia, especially AI applied to Russian military capabilities. The Artificial Intelligence in Russia newsletter features a summary of recent Russian-language reports on the Russian AI and autonomy ecosystem, divided ... /centers-and-divisions/cna/rsp/russia-studies DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. 1/10/2022 30 DOP-2022-U-031628-Final