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CNA’s Dynamic Decision Model for Servicemember Retention

/quick-looks/2021/dynamic-decision-model

CNA’s retention models have helped the Department of Defense make personnel policy choices for more than half a century. This work has culminated in a retention model with the flexibility to evaluate the widest possible range of policy options: the Dynamic Decision Model (DDM).

to develop a traditional, one-off policy analysis model. The DDM focuses on policy levers, estimating the willingness of servicemembers to reenlist based on financial incentives, career expectations ... Dynamic Decision Model CNA’s retention models have helped the Department of Defense make personnel policy choices for more than half a century. This work has culminated in a retention model with the flexibility to evaluate the widest possible range of policy options: the Dynamic Decision Model (DDM). CNA’s retention models have helped the Department of Defense make personnel policy choices

ai and autonomy in russia: Issue 37, May 2, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/ai-and-autonomy-in-russia/issue-37

on Information Policy, IT and Communications. He reiterated the ministry’s focus on internet accessibility, industry development, digital services, personnel training, and cybersecurity. He spent ... the name of the MOD institution that could work on such a project. The idea of an AI-enabled aerial drone performing reconnaissance and onboard analysis had been discussed before, by Russian ... of the results, including statistical and qualitative analysis of the text comments of the respondents. The use of AI neural networks in the analysis of open comments guarantees the processing of 100 percent

Philadelphia PD Response to Civil Unrest

/analyses/2020/12/philadelphia-pd-response-to-civil-unrest

This after-action report provides an independent review of the Philadelphia Police Department’s (PPD) response to the mass demonstrations and civil unrest that occurred in the city from May 30 – June 15, 2020. While the findings contained in the report speak to this specific timeframe, the review team acknowledges that the response in Philadelphia (also referred to as “the City”) was not unlike the law enforcement response to similar events that occurred both nationally and globally. We provide this preface as a means to better understand the Philadelphia response within a national context, and also to provide a summary of key reforms initiated by the city and PPD since the start of our review in July 2020. These reforms represent the commitment of the City’s leadership and the PPD to initiate, implement and sustain organizational reform efforts concerning the management of First Amendment demonstrations, police use of force, and other resources needed to better prepare officers to meet their public safety mission.

& Rhoads, LLP (a Philadelphia-based law firm with extensive experience in conducting government and corporate internal investigations) to conduct the after-action analysis of the City’s response to the Floyd protests. The City committed to an independently conducted analysis and openly provided the consulting team access to relevant data and personnel needed to perform the analysis. The purpose of this after-action analysis is to provide the PPD and other City officials with an enhanced understanding of what happened during the Floyd protests, and to provide guidance on improving future PPD

Arctic Strategy and Operations

/centers-and-divisions/cna/sppp/strategy-and-policy-analysis/arctic-strategy

CNA provides Arctic analysis and expertise on Arctic operations, strategy, economics, and policy. Our analysts gather data from Arctic military exercises.

Arctic Strategy CNA provides Arctic analysis and expertise on Arctic operations, strategy, economics, and policy. Our analysts gather data from Arctic military exercises. /images/Centers ... in the Arctic states and their impact on great power competition in the region. CNA works at the forefront of operations, strategy and policy analysis of the Arctic—a zone of both cooperation among Arctic ... This congressionally mandated study finds high levels of Chinese economic activity in the Arctic and moderate levels of Chinese foreign direct investment. It recommends increased U.S. economic and policy

Golden Dome, Nuclear Modernization, and Arms Control: Can the Administration Have It All?

/our-media/indepth/2025/04/golden-dome-nuclear-modernization-and-arms-control

President Trump is simultaneously pursuing the Golden Dome missile defense shield, nuclear modernization, and arms control—a challenging combination.

Stephanie Stapleton and Decker Eveleth Stephanie Stapleton is a research scientist specializing in nuclear policy and strategic deterrence in CNA's Strategy and Policy Analysis Program . CNA ... by Sen. Edward Kennedy, McGeorge Bundy, George Kennan, Robert McNamara, and other foreign policy experts. Reagan’s dual approach of personal diplomacy and confrontation with the Soviet Union ... times larger than Iron Dome-protected Israel. A number of critical questions will require careful analysis on the path to a Golden Dome, for example: What are the most challenging capability

cna talks: Foreign Policy Advice for the New Administration

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2017/foreign-policy-advice-for-the-new-administration

In light of this month’s presidential transition, six CNA analysts sat down to discuss foreign policy advice for the next administration. From Asia to Europe to the Middle East, the commentators covered some of the key areas of concern for the upcoming year and beyond. Topics included: North Korea’s nuclear capabilities Russia’s relationships with NATO, Syria and Turkey The Iran nuclear deal Chinese national interests The South China Sea Cyber threats Listen in for informed analysis on China, North Korea, Russia and more.

Foreign Policy Advice for the New Administration In light of this month’s presidential transition, six CNA analysts sat down to discuss foreign policy advice for the next administration. From Asia ... relationships with NATO, Syria and Turkey The Iran nuclear deal Chinese national interests The South China Sea Cyber threats Listen in for informed analysis on China, North Korea, Russia and more. Foreign Policy Advice for the New Administration Biographies Dr. Dov Zakheim, host of the episode, is a senior fellow at CNA. Previously, he served as Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller

Navy Maternity Leave Policy and Reenlistment Rates

/analyses/2019/04/navy-maternity-leave-policy-and-reenlistment-rates

In 2015, the Navy tripled the length of maternity leave from 6 to 18 weeks. In 2016, it reduced the length of leave to 12 weeks to match the other armed services. For most sailors who give birth, longer maternity leave will reduce the number of weeks they work. Additional leave could, however, also lead to higher reenlistment rates, thereby potentially increasing the net number of weeks of work for the entire enlisted inventory. We analyze the change in female sailors’ reenlistment rates relative to those of male sailors before and after the change in maternity leave policy. Although we cannot prove a causal relationship, we estimate that the increase in maternity leave is associated with a 3.7 percentage point increase in female first-term reenlistment rates. We also estimate that higher reenlistment rates increase weeks of work by over three times the number of weeks lost because of the additional leave.

Navy Maternity Leave Policy and Reenlistment Rates An Analysis of the Relationship Between the Navy’s Maternity Leave Policy and Reenlistment Rates In 2015, the Navy tripled the length of maternity ... the change in female sailors’ reenlistment rates relative to those of male sailors before and after the change in maternity leave policy. Although we cannot prove a causal relationship, we estimate ... a broader commitment to workplace issues that specifically affect female sailors. Our evaluation of the change in maternity leave policy aimed to answer three questions: 1. Did female sailors take

What Makes Great Power Relations and Why Compete

/analyses/2020/01/what-makes-great-power-relations-and-why-compete

What does “great power competition” mean? Why might it be happening? This paper deconstructs such questions.

) and the challenges of a multipolar world. Our analysis finds that US strategies are variable with respect to a consistent internal narrative. This complicates the ability for policymakers and policy ... politics. Thus, understanding who the great powers are and why they interact as they do is a central strategic challenge. Our analysis informs several related findings based on this study: Descriptions of GPC in policy documents like the National Security Strategy, unclassified National Defense Strategy, and other Joint and service strategies, often pull from different understandings

Assessing the Implications of Possible Changes to Women in Service Restrictions

/analyses/2012/assessing-the-implications-of-possible-changes-to-women-in-service-restrictions

This report from 2012 examined how changing the policy of excluding women from ground combat service could affect the Marine Corps’ recruiting, manpower management and training processes.

changing the policy of excluding women from ground combat service could affect the Marine Corps’ recruiting, manpower management and training processes. Current Department of Defense (DOD) policies ... to (1) help inform a decision about whether to change them and (2) better understand how policy changes could affect the Corps’ recruiting, manpower management, and training processes. As part of our ... Data Store Enterprise (ODSE) data. This document, which was provided to Marine Corps leaders about three weeks after we received the data, presents our “quick-look” analysis of the survey’s results

pla update: Issue 5, June 6, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/pla-update/issue-5

PLA Update, Issue 5, is a CNA China Studies Program monthly newsletter, with summaries of Chinese media coverage of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA).

argued, although the two systems are not identical, analysis of PRC responses to domestic emergencies may provide insights into how the PLA and civilian agencies would coordinate mobilization efforts ... complaints, the CMC Logistic Support Department kicked off the "All-Military Procurement Industry Policy and Regulation Propagation and Implementation Activities" in April 2022. These activities, which ... on procurement policy and regulations will help the PLA "securely fasten the cage of anti-corruption institutions and open up a green channel to victory." [30] COMMENTARIES ON FOREIGN MILITARY ACTIVITIES