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Digging Deeper on Great Power Competition in a New US Administration

/our-media/indepth/2021/01/digging-deeper-on-great-power-competition-in-a-new-us-administration

Over the past few years, great power competition (GPC) has become the organizing principle for US national strategy.

Digging Deeper on Great Power Competition in a New US Administration Over the past few years, great power competition (GPC) has become the organizing principle for US national strategy. /images/InDepth/Post73.jpg Digging Deeper on Great Power Competition in a New US Administration 73 Nilanthi Samaranayake Nilanthi Samaranayake directs the Strategy and Policy Analysis program and focuses on the study of US alliances and strategic partnerships globally. The views expressed are solely those of the author and not of any organization. Over the past few years, great power competition (GPC) has

China Russia Space Cooperation May 2023

/analyses/2023/06/china-russia-space-cooperation-may-2023

China-Russia space relations suggest a deepening mutual trust and China’s rise as a space power, but secrecy shrouds the full extent of their cooperation.

China Russia Space Cooperation May 2023 China-Russia Space Cooperation China-Russia space relations suggest a deepening mutual trust and China’s rise as a space power, but secrecy shrouds the full ... . Once the dominant power in the space relationship, Russia now appears to be taking a secondary role. China’s growing expertise in space, matched with the financial capabilities to sustain a large and growing space enterprise, signals not only China’s rise as a major space power but also the geopolitical transition taking place between China, Russia, and the United States. Key findings

China-Russia Energy Relations

/our-media/indepth/2019/12/china-russia-energy-relations

Chinese president Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin inaugurated the Power of Siberia pipeline, which links the world's largest natural gas exporter to the world's largest natural gas importer.

China-Russia Energy Relations Chinese president Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin inaugurated the Power of Siberia pipeline, which links the world's largest natural gas exporter to the world's largest natural gas importer. /images/InDepth/Post25.jpg China-Russia Energy Relations Why the Power of Siberia Pipeline Matters to China 25 Erica Downs On December 2, Chinese president Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin inaugurated the Power of Siberia pipeline, which links the world’s largest natural gas exporter to the world’s largest natural gas importer. Xi described

Basing Rights and Contested Sovereignty in Greenland and Diego Garcia

/analyses/2019/08/basing-rights-and-contested-sovereignty-in-greenland-and-diego-garcia

On August 21, 2019, CNA’s Strategy and Policy Analysis program hosted an on-the-record event to discuss how recent developments in sovereignty politics could affect US military basing rights around the world, particularly in Greenland and Diego Garcia. Both territories host important US bases but are subject to sovereignty disputes. The event featured CNA senior vice president Mr. Mark Rosen, CNA analyst Dr. Steven Wills, and Ms. Rachel Ellehuus, deputy director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Europe program. Ms. Nilanthi Samaranayake, director of CNA’s Strategy and Policy Analysis program, moderated the conversation. Panelists appraised recent developments with Greenland and Diego Garcia in their historical perspective, as well as the strategic and operational advantages of US access to the two locations. Discussants agreed that the US approach to basing could benefit from both a greater appreciation of long-term strategic needs and a more concerted effort to make US bases acceptable to local populations and their governments.

in the Era of Great Power Competition On August 21, 2019, CNA’s Strategy and Policy Analysis program hosted an on-the-record event to discuss how recent developments in sovereignty politics could affect US ... to discuss how recent developments in sovereignty politics could affect US military basing rights around the world, particularly in Greenland and Diego Garcia. Both are currently part of US allies ... Diego Garcia and Thule Air Base remain immensely valuable to the US military as it seeks to execute its missions in a new era of great power competition. The missions tasked to Diego Garcia and Thule

Great Power Competition in the Indian Ocean

/analyses/2018/03/great-power-competition-in-the-indian-ocean

U.S. Navy planners should assume that the PLA Navy’s presence in the western Indian Ocean will grow, and that new bases and places will be organized to support its expanded presence. U.S. authorities can no longer assume unencumbered freedom of action when electing to posture U.S. naval forces offshore of the Horn of Africa and other East African hotspots. If China’s interests are involved and differ from Washington’s, the Chinese could dispatch their own naval forces to the water offshore of the country in question. The U.S. Navy faced similar circumstances between 1968 and 1991, when the United States and the Soviet Union competed for friends, political influence, maritime access, and bases in the western Indian Ocean region. This paper briefly discusses this period in order to provide some historical context for what might occur in the future. As Mark Twain purportedly quipped, “History does not repeat, but it often rhymes.”

Great Power Competition in the Indian Ocean Great Power Competition in the Indian Ocean: The Past As Prologue? U.S. Navy planners should assume that the PLA Navy’s presence in the western Indian Ocean will grow, and that new bases and places will be organized to support its expanded presence. U.S. authorities can no longer assume unencumbered freedom of action when electing to posture U.S. naval forces offshore of the Horn of Africa and other East African hotspots. If China’s interests are involved and differ from Washington’s, the Chinese could dispatch their own naval forces to the water

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 18, June 30, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-18

The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 18, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

the ability to conduct situational awareness, rapid mobility, persistent loitering, concealment, and precision strikes with low defense requirements and low cost. As a result, deep-sea systems can ... platform or system not affecting the performance of the system as a whole. Research and Development PRC's first 100+ ton unmanned vessel conducts initial autonomous sea trial. On June 7, China ... technological hurdles surmounted to achieve the first autonomous sea trial, according to the report, include "variable speed low-voltage hybrid integrated power technology, integrated sensing and mast

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 3, November 18, 2021

/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-3

The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 3, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

, future war will be global and no side will have an absolute advantage. It will be characterized by high-speed, long-range precision strikes, stealthy AI-enabled platforms, and distributed unmanned systems that will rely on data, algorithms, and computing power to achieve dominance on the battlefield. The use of unmanned platforms will result in combat expanding to outer space, the deep sea, and the polar regions, and the reliance on data, algorithms, and computing power will increase the prominence of cyber warfare. According to Zeng, a military’s ability to quickly collect and act

Russian Approaches to Competition

/analyses/2021/10/russian-approaches-to-competition

Russian strategy is best characterized as offensive, seeking to revise the status quo, resulting in an activist foreign policy. The strategy does not eschew selective engagement in areas of mutual interest, but it is not premised on accommodation, concessions, or acceptance of the current balance of power. Instead, it emphasizes building the military means necessary for direct competition, and using them to enable indirect approaches for pursuing state objectives. Direct means range from conventional and nuclear force modernization, expansion of force structure in the European theater, exercises, brinksmanship, and use of force to attain vital interests. They deter US responses, threaten escalation, and create freedom of maneuver for Russian foreign policy. These are principally ways of compressing the opponent, and focusing on the main theater in the competition, which for Moscow is Europe. Indirect means in turn include military deployments abroad to peripheral theaters, covert action, use of proxies and mercenary groups, political warfare and information confrontation. These instruments are interrelated, with direct approaches, tied closely to military capability or classical forms of deterrence, enabling the indirect approach, which is the principal way by which Moscow pursues political aims. The logic of Russian strategy is that absent the ability to generate strong economic or technological means, Moscow is best served with approaches that reduce US performance by disorganizing its opponent's efforts, reducing cohesion, and employing asymmetric means in the competition.

. The strategy does not eschew selective engagement in areas of mutual interest, but it is not premised on accommodation, concessions, or acceptance of the current balance of power. Instead, it emphasizes ... of Russian strategy is that absent the ability to generate strong economic or technological means, Moscow is best served with approaches that reduce US performance by disorganizing its opponent's efforts ... ’s economic or technological foundations of power, and a desire for geopolitical space where Russian interests predominate. Moscow sees the US as its main rival, seeking to reduce American influence

Future of Global Competition

/analyses/2019/05/future-of-global-competition

The 2018 National Defense Strategy (NDS) makes clear that competing effectively with state adversaries will be the primary focus of the Department of Defense (DOD) going forward. Irregular warfare (IW) is a key element of modern great power competition (GPC), and our adversaries are deftly exploiting unconventional methodologies— particularly the use of information and intermediaries (i.e., proxies and surrogates)—as mediums of national influence. In March 2019, CNA hosted a cohort of academic, government, and military experts for a discussion on how special operations forces (SOF) can best lead or support US Government (USG) efforts to compete successfully on a global scale using information operations and intermediary partnerships. The discussion is summarized and synthesized in this document.

of the Department of Defense (DOD) going forward. Irregular warfare (IW) is a key element of modern great power competition (GPC), and our adversaries are deftly exploiting unconventional ... will be the primary focus of the Department of Defense (DOD) going forward. Irregular warfare (IW) is a key element of modern great power competition (GPC), and our adversaries are deftly exploiting unconventional ... and intermediary partnerships. Key themes from this discussion included the following: The US must embrace irregular warfare as inherent to modern great power competition Today’s state-on-state

Samoa Disputed Election Amid Great Power Rivalry

/our-media/indepth/2021/05/samoa-disputed-election-amid-great-power-rivalry

A disputed election has recently plunged Samoa into a state of constitutional crisis. The outcome of this dispute may reshape the small Pacific island country’s relations with China, the United States and U.S. allies in the region.

Samoa Disputed Election Amid Great Power Rivalry A disputed election has recently plunged Samoa into a state of constitutional crisis. The outcome of this dispute may reshape the small Pacific island country’s relations with China, the United States and U.S. allies in the region. /images/InDepth/Post89.jpg Samoa Disputed Election Amid Great Power Rivalry 89 Brian Waidelich and Benjamin DeThomas Brian Waidelich is a Research Scientist in CNA’s Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Program . His research focuses on issues related to great power competition and Indo-Pacific maritime security