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One Year of War in Ukraine

/our-media/indepth/2023/02/one-year-of-war-in-ukraine

With the War in Ukraine entering its second year, Dmitry Gorenburg looks back at the scale of Russia’s failure to achieve its military objectives.

were to have a firm say over Ukraine’s foreign policy and internal governance, block further NATO expansion and weaken the West, and end Ukrainian defense cooperation with NATO members. Russia’s

How China Might Use High-Altitude Balloons in Wartime

/our-media/indepth/2023/02/how-china-might-use-high-altitude-balloons-in-wartime

Kevin Pollpeter examines how China could utilize high-altitude balloons in a conflict scenario including reconnaissance and for offensive operations.

a massive expansion of its nuclear force and could have as many as 1,500 nuclear warheads by 2035. This has generated concern that it may be considering a more offensively oriented nuclear policy ... for the defense of the Japanese islands at a time when they were needed in the South Pacific. Swarm tactics may also have their peacetime uses. China could use balloon flights in U.S. airspace

Xi Jinping’s Vision of a Resilient China

/our-media/indepth/2023/01/xi-jinpings-vision-of-a-resilient-china

Elizabeth Wishnick examines President Xi Jinping’s rhetoric regarding China’s national challenges including COVID-19, and Russia’s war in Ukraine.

understanding of the interconnection between domestic and foreign policy risks. The centrality of “holistic” national security was one of the novel features of his address to the 20th CCP Congress ... storms.” While his security concept involves some components of what the U . S . would include in such a definition, such as developing defense capabilities, political security — what we would call

Implications of the U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan

/our-media/indepth/2021/10/implications-of-us-withdrawal-from-afghanistan

The end of the Afghan conflict—and the manner in which it ended—is significant, but it will take time for its implications to come into focus.

on military strategy, defense policy, irregular warfare, and the Middle East and South Asia. U.S. forces are gone from Afghanistan after 20 years of counterinsurgency and nation-building ... of Defense to reorient toward strategic priorities. Other than the capture of Osama bin Laden and the dismantling of much (but not all) of his organization, the U.S. failed to achieve its aims

To Counter Domestic Extremism, Avoid Extremism

/our-media/indepth/2021/04/to-counter-domestic-extremism-avoid-extremism

While concerns about the threat of terrorism have dominated conversations about national security for nearly two decades now, the nature of the threat to Americans has slowly been shifting.

via legislation and policy. There is an urgent need to address both types of violence, but the problem of structurally and systemically violent systems is different from the problem of violent extremism ... . It will be tempting, as we see our neighbors and colleagues and relatives on trial, to judge them based on their intentions. This is, in fact, already happening, as a defense attorney for a woman arrested

U.S. Forces are Weathering the COVID-19 Crisis — So Far

/our-media/indepth/2020/08/u.s.-forces-are-weathering-the-covid-19-crisis-so-far

Though the pandemic has upended organizations of all sizes across the globe, the U.S. military and its supporting agencies have proven surprisingly resilient.

and Challenges division. He is an expert on military strategy, defense policy, irregular warfare, and the Middle East and South Asia. He served four years as an advisor to U.S. Central Command, which ... the globe, and lasting transformation across the military and intelligence community. Likely pandemic impacts on the defense budget are trivial compared to the cost of the post-9/11 wars. The aircraft ... , training and maintenance will no doubt affect the future readiness of some U.S. forces. Slow-downs in defense production will also hamper the equipping of these forces and the availability of major

Great Power Competition in the Red Sea? Yes, and…

/our-media/indepth/2019/07/great-power-competition-in-the-red-sea-yes-and

The renewed focus on great power competition is causing seismic shifts in large parts of the national security community, reshaping our understanding of strategic priorities and geopolitical relationships.

, and lacks a clear vision of how to incorporate the informational and economic levers of power. In short, the U.S. has lost the ability to wrap economics into its strategic policy in this region, putting ... defense deals with Egypt, Sudan and Saudi Arabia, Russia’s primary security interest is in guaranteed access to the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, and, perhaps, eventual basing in these areas. Turkey

cna talks: Latin American Security

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2017/latin-american-security

This week listen to CNA analyst Dr. William Rosenau discuss Latin American security with CNA’s Dr. Ralph Espach and guest scholar Dr. Joseph Tulchin. The three experts talk about the United States’ bilateral relationships with Mexico, Venezuela and Cuba; the domestic situation in Venezuela; Cuba and regional security; Central America; post-FARC Colombia; and environmental security.

security. Latin American Security Biographies Dr. William Rosenau, the host of this episode, is a senior research scientist at CNA. He has over 25 years of experience in defense analysis and is an expert on political extremism, propaganda and political warfare, counterterrorism, and policy history. Dr. Ralph Espach is director of Latin American Strategic Affairs at CNA. He is an expert

ai with ai: Up, Up, and Autonomy!

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-6/6-7

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, including the update of the Department of Defense Directive 3000.09 on Autonomy in Weapon Systems. NIST releases the first version of its AI Risk Management Framework. The National AI Research Resource (NAIRR) Task Force publishes its final report, in which it details its plans for a national research infrastructure, as well as its request for $2.6 billion over 6 years to fund the initiatives. DARPA announces the Autonomous Multi-domain Adaptive Swarms-of-Swarms (AMASS) program, a much larger effort (aiming for thousands of autonomous entities) than its previous OFFSET program. And finally, from the Naval Postgraduate School’s Energy Academic Group, Kristen Fletcher and Marina Lesse join to discuss their research and efforts in autonomous systems and maritime law and policy, including a discussion about the DoDD 3000.09 update and the high-altitude balloon incident.

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, including the update of the Department of Defense Directive 3000.09 on Autonomy in Weapon Systems. NIST releases the first version of its AI ... in autonomous systems and maritime law and policy, including a discussion about the DoDD 3000.09 update and the high-altitude balloon incident. /images/AI-Posters/Season%206/%236_7_up_up_and_autonomy-resize.jpg Up, Up, and Autonomy! Announcements / News DoD Updates its autonomous weapons policy 09 Update Paul Scharre’s summary Michael Depp’s summary NIST Releases AI Risk

ai with ai: the sentience of the lamdas

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-5/5-18

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, starting with the Department of Defense release of its Responsible AI Strategy. In the UK, the Ministry of Defence publishes its Defence AI Strategy. The Federal Trade Commission warns policymakers about relying on AI to combat online problems and instead urges them to develop legal frameworks to ensure AI tools do not cause additional harm. YouTuber Yannic Kilcher trains an AI on 4chan’s “infamously toxic” Politically Incorrect board, creating a predictably toxic bot, GPT-4chan; he then uses the bot to generate 15,000 posts on the board, quickly receiving condemnation from the academic community. Google suspends and then fires an engineer who claimed that one of its chatbots, LaMDA, achieving sentience; former Google employees Gebru and Mitchell write an opinion piece saying they warned this would happen. For the Fun Site of the Week, a mini version of DALL-E comes to Hugging Face. And finally, IBM researcher Kush Varshney joins Andy and Dave to discuss his book, Trustworthy Machine Learning, which provides AI researchers with practical tools and concepts when developing machine learning systems.

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, starting with the Department of Defense release of its Responsible AI Strategy. In the UK, the Ministry of Defence publishes its Defence AI ... /Season%205/5-18.jpg the sentience of the lamdas Announcements / News DoD Pentagon Releases Responsible AI Strategy RAI Strategy UK Ministry of Defence launches defense AI strategy MOD's Defence AI Strategy MOD's "Ambitious, safe and responsible use of AI" policy statement: FTC Report Warns About Using Artificial Intelligence to Combat Online Problems