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China's Aid to Russia: Lip Service?

/our-media/indepth/2022/03/chinas-aid-to-russia

Elizabeth Wishnick explores whether China’s support for Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine will result in substantial aid, or if it’s simply lip service.

by Russian narratives . Most notable is the accusation- borrowed from the Russian Defense Ministry -that the Pentagon has secret biolabs in Ukraine where it has tested bat coronaviruses . This parallels ... to be confirmed at the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in October , in which case he may see no alternative to staying the course on Russia policy and trying to deflect attention ... was first published on the website of the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA). top

CNA Analysts Share Their Memories of 9/11

/our-media/indepth/2021/09/cna-analysts-share-their-memories-of-9-11

CNA analysts reflect on how September 11, 2001, changed their careers.

Wills Research Analyst Strategy and Policy Analysis Program In 2011, I was a U.S. Navy lieutenant commander assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) at Joint Base Anacostia ... Secretary of Defense, Acquisition, Technology and Logistics. My boss, however, changed this plan. He needed someone to take his place at conference at the Army Intelligence Center in Charlottesville

What Does Lebanon's New Government Mean for the U.S.?

/our-media/indepth/2020/02/what-does-lebanons-new-government-mean-for-the-u.s

For the first time in months, U.S. officials now have a functioning Lebanese cabinet they can work with as the two countries face a range of problems.

on continued instability and poor governance. The stability of Lebanon is critical to ongoing efforts to contain and defeat ISIS. All of these developments are important to U.S. defense policy. Regardless what elected officials are in power in Beirut, the Lebanese military has traditionally remained a close U.S. defense partner and a reliable ally. The Lebanese Armed Forces have some of the most

Weighing the Costs of War and Peace in Afghanistan

/our-media/indepth/2019/04/weighing-the-costs-of-war-and-peace-in-afghanistan

The U.S. Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation, Amb. Zalmay Khalilzad, tweeted that "peace requires agreement on four issues: counter-terrorism assurances, troop withdrawal."

and economic. The number of personnel from the United States and its coalition partners being killed in the war these days is relatively small (e.g., the  total number  of U.S. military and Defense ... with both the United States’ strategic interests in Afghanistan and this administration’s "America First" view of foreign policy and is therefore unlikely to change. Third, while reaching a peace deal ... as an insurance policy against the possibility of resurgent wartime costs in the future. At the same event in which Mohib questioned Khalilzad’s motivations,  he said  "It is not for us [Afghans] to prescribe

cna talks: Helsinki Summit

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2018/helsinki-summit

CNA's Russia experts  Jeffrey Edmonds   and   Michael Kofman  recap the Helsinki Summit to break down what has been overplayed or overlooked in the debate, what the Russians hoped to get out of the meeting and did or didn't achieve, and the nuances which are often lost in translation between the U.S. and Russian policy communities. They also outline some of the struggles the U.S. faces in determining policy goals at the same time as framing a new strategic vision.

to get out of the meeting and did or didn't achieve, and the nuances which are often lost in translation between the U.S. and Russian policy communities. They also outline some of the struggles the U.S. faces in determining policy goals at the same time as framing a new strategic vision. Helsinki Summit Biographies Jeffrey Edmonds  is an expert on cyber operations in Russia and Eurasia ... on the Russian military, foreign policy, Russian threat perceptions, and Russian information operations. Michael Kofman  is an expert on Russia, Eurasia and Pakistan. His research focuses on security issues

cna talks: Moscow Conference on International Security

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2018/moscow-conference-on-international-security

Russia experts  Michael Kofman  and  Jeffrey Edmonds  share their experience attending the Moscow Conference on International Security in April 2018. They discuss the importance of understanding how Russian defense ministers view Russia’s relationships with the U.S., E.U., Syria, and China, and the general tone of structural confrontation demonstrated at the conference. Attending the conference allowed them to see first-hand that these officials have a fundamentally different understanding of reality than their American counterparts.

. They discuss the importance of understanding how Russian defense ministers view Russia’s relationships with the U.S., E.U., Syria, and China, and the general tone of structural confrontation demonstrated ... , specializing in defense and military analysis. Kofman has advised senior military and government officials on Russia, Eurasia and Pakistan and represented the Department of Defense on numerous occasions before ... and acting Senior Director for Russia during the 2017 presidential transition. His research at CNA focuses on the Russian military, foreign policy, Russian threat perceptions, and Russian information

cna talks: Red Robots

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2017/red-robots

Artificial Intelligence and unmanned systems are rapidly changing the dynamics of warfighting and military power. With Russia, China, and other nations investing in and testing these capabilities, the United States has to understand what capabilities other countries have and how their governments could seek to use them. On this episode of CNA Talks, experts Larry Lewis, Samuel Bendett, and Kevin Pollpeter discuss unmanned military systems, how Russia and China are developing and employing their capabilities, and what the United States should do in response.

of the Russia Studies Program. His work involves Russian defense and security technology and developments, Russian geopolitical influence in the former Soviet states, as well as Russian unmanned systems ... on Global Conflict and Cooperation (IGCC) project on the Study of Innovation and Technology in China, deputy director of the East Asia Program at Defense Group Inc., and a researcher at RAND. A Chinese linguist, he holds an MA in international policy studies from the Monterey Institute of International Studies and is currently enrolled in a Ph.D. program at King’s College London. ContactName

ai with ai: The Kwicker Man

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-6/6-4

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, including the release of the US National Defense Authorization Act for FY2023, which includes over 200 mentions of “AI” and many more requirements for the Department of Defense. DoD has also awarded its cloud-computing contracts, not to one company, but four – Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Oracle. At the end of November, the San Francisco Board voted to allow the police force to use robots to administer deadly force, however, after a nearly immediate response from a “No Killer Robots” campaign, in early December the board passed a revised version of the policy that prohibits police from using robots to kill people. Israeli company Elbit unveils its LANIUS drone, a “drone-based loitering munition” that can carry lethal or non-lethal payloads, and appears to have many functions similar to the ‘slaughter bots,’ except for autonomous targeting. Neuralink shows the latest updates on its research for putting a brain chip interface into humans, with demonstrations of a monkey manipulating a mouse cursor with its thoughts; the company also faces a federal investigation into possible animal-welfare violations. DeepMind publishes AlphaCode in Science, a story that we covered back in February. DeepMind also introduces DeepNash, an autonomous agent that can play Stratego. OpenAI unleashes ChatGPT, a spin-off of GPT-3 optimized for answering questions through back-and-forth dialogue. Meanwhile, Stack Overflow, a website for programmers, temporarily banned users from sharing responses generated by ChatGPT, because the output of the algorithm might look good, but it has “a high rate of being incorrect.” Researchers at the Weizmann Institute of Science demonstrate that, with a simple neural network, it is possible to reconstruct a “large portion” of the actual training samples. NOMIC provides an interactive map to explore over 6M images from Stable Diffusion.  Steve Coulson creates “AI-assisted comics” using Midjourney. Stay tuned for AI Debate 3 on 23 December 2022. And the video of the week from Ricard Sole at the Santa Fe Institute explores mapping the cognition space of liquid and solid brains.

Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, including the release of the US National Defense Authorization Act for FY2023, which includes over 200 mentions of “AI” and many more requirements for the Department of Defense. DoD has also awarded its cloud-computing contracts, not to one company, but four – Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Oracle. At the end of November, the San ... a revised version of the policy that prohibits police from using robots to kill people. Israeli company Elbit unveils its LANIUS drone, a “drone-based loitering munition” that can carry lethal

ai with ai: Terminator or Data? Policy and Safety for Autonomous Weapons

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-1/1-39

This week Andy and Dave take a respite from the world of AI. In the meantime, Larry Lewis hosts Shawn Steene from the Office of Secretary of Defense. Shawn manages DOD Directive 3000.09 – US military policy on autonomous weapons – and is a member of the US delegation to the UN’s CCW meetings on Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS). Shawn and Larry discuss U.S. policy, what DOD Directive 3000.09 actually means, and how the future of AI could more closely resemble the android data than SKYNET from the Terminator movies. That leads to a discussion of some common misconceptions about artificial intelligence and autonomy in military applications, and how these misconceptions can manifest themselves in the UN talks. With data having single-handedly saved the day in the eighth and tenth Star Trek movies (First Contact and Nemesis, respectively), perhaps Star Trek should be required viewing for the next UN meeting in Geneva. Larry Lewis  is the Director of the  Center for Autonomy and Artificial Intelligence  at CNA. His areas of expertise include lethal autonomy, reducing civilian casualties, identifying lessons from current operations, security assistance, and counterterrorism.

1-39 This week Andy and Dave take a respite from the world of AI. In the meantime, Larry Lewis hosts Shawn Steene from the Office of Secretary of Defense. Shawn manages DOD Directive 3000.09 – US military policy on autonomous weapons – and is a member of the US delegation to the UN’s CCW meetings on Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS). Shawn and Larry discuss U.S. policy, what DOD Directive ... , and counterterrorism. /images/AI-Posters/AI_1_39.jpg Terminator or Data? Policy and Safety for Autonomous Weapons ContactName /*/Contact/ContactName ContactTitle /*/Contact/JobTitle ContactEmail

Arctic Foreign Direct Investment

/centers-and-divisions/cna/sppp/strategy-and-policy-analysis/arctic-fdi

CNA studies show that China’s investments and other activities in the Arctic pose an economic challenge to the United States and other Arctic interests.

/CIP-FDIbanner.jpg Arctic Foreign Direct Investment Slideshow white Explore More Arctic Foreign Direct Investment Contacts Dr. Joshua Tallis Project Director, Strategy and Policy Analysis Program tallisj@cna.org ... white Policymakers in the US and other Arctic nations are increasingly aware that China uses economic statecraft as a key instrument of Beijing’s foreign policy. In the Arctic, China does not yet ... Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) in the Arctic. The Department of Defense selected CNA, and asked its analysts to explore these questions: What is the nature and scope of current FDI