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Origins and Development of Cooperative Strategy

/analyses/2017/origins-and-development-of-cooperative-strategy

On August 2, 2011, Admiral (ADM) Jonathan Greenert was confirmed to succeed ADM Gary Roughead as the U.S. Navy’s 30th Chief of Naval Operations (CNO), to take office the following month. Like his 29 predecessors, ADM Greenert faced issues of Navy readiness, personnel, acquisition, and resources. He was also troubled by the content and effect of the Navy’s existing strategy document, A Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower (CS21), published by all three U.S. sea services back in October 2007.

in the international security environment and the post–Iraq War climate of fiscal restraint. It goes on to discuss the terms of reference (TOR) for the revision effort; the roles of the Chief of Naval Operations

Insights for the Third Offset

/analyses/2017/insights-for-the-third-offset

CNA conducts analysis for the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense (DOD), and other sponsors, ranging across policy, strategy, organizational processes, technical performance of military systems, and current operations. Because of the expected impact of autonomy and artificial intelligence (AI) to the character of warfare, CNA has created a Center for Autonomy and Artificial Intelligence to focus on these emerging technologies and their significant role in U.S. defense policy and all the military services. The Center combines CNA’s strengths and experience in conducting objective analysis of U.S. military operations with focused expertise in autonomy and other aspects of AI. This report, the first created by the new Center, takes lessons and insights from CNA’s body of work for the Navy and the joint force, including CNA’s field program of embedded analysts in military commands around the world. Though much of the emerging technology examined in this report is new, the approach of applying lessons from U.S. operations and institutional processes to key challenges in leveraging autonomy and AI continues CNA’S applied research paradigm of exploring many opportunities to resolve or work around challenges that have been seen before. The aim of this report is to anticipate challenges of “Third Offset” implementation based on past lessons, and then provide concrete recommendations for promoting the effective incorporation of autonomy, AI, and related technologies in U.S. military operations. This report discusses making autonomy and AI militarily effective from an acquisition and technology perspective, and how to pursue these capabilities in ways that are consistent with long-standing U.S. values and that promote broader U.S. national interests.

military strengths. The U.S. response to this new security environment is the “Third Offset” strategy, an asymmetric approach that aims to “exploit all the advances in artificial intelligence and autonomy ... on such weapons, citing concerns about civilian casualties, the difficulties of machines complying with international humanitarian law (IHL), and other ethical considerations. Likewise, U.S. operators

Drone Strikes in Pakistan Reasons to Assess Civilian Casualties

/analyses/2014/drone-strikes-in-pakistan-reasons-to-assess-civilian-casualties

CNA analyzed publically available data to determine the likelihood of civilian harm per strike in the drone campaign in Pakistan. From this data, we see that the U.S. has improved its ability to reduce civilian casualties during drone strikes in Pakistan over the past several years, as measured in the percentage of strikes causing civilian casualties and the number of civilian casualties occurring per incident.

operations also affect national security, fueling threats to the U.S. while simultaneously lim­iting freedom of action and complicating relations with other nations. One possible reason ... international law. Official statements also feature a common description of the drone platform as surgical with respect to civilian casualties. This suggests a misunderstanding of how civilian casualties

Changing Nature of Warfare

/analyses/2004/changing-nature-of-warfare

This report begins with the agenda of the conference, followed by a summary of the major themes that emerged during the discussions at the conference and in the papers. We have extended the themes to their implications for the year 2020 and for U.S. policy and interactions in the world. We then include a report of the discussions at the conference, starting with the themes laid out in the agenda, the summary presentations by those who submitted papers, and the ensuing detailed commentaries and discussions. This report is our own record of the conference proceedings and does not imply consensus among those who participated. Finally, the 21 papers submitted are included in the report, in the order of their presentations during the conference.

as far as security goes, so there would not be too much conflict or military efforts by countries. New world disorder.  Conflicts would grow and spread. Clashes of civilizations could take place. The International institutions that have otherwise been trying to regulate globalization and world peace would fray, or collapse, or would be eroded in their effectiveness. The conference attempted

The Future of US Alliances and Partnerships: A Data Science Approach

/quick-looks/2022/the-future-of-us-alliances-and-partnerships

CNA experts in data science and in national security strategy have come together to develop a more rigorous and quantified approach to U.S. alliances and partnerships by harnessing the tools of data science to build stronger U.S. alliances and partnerships.

The Future of US Alliances and Partnerships CNA experts in data science and in national security strategy have come together to develop a more rigorous and quantified approach to U.S. alliances ... experts in data science and in national security strategy have come together to develop a more rigorous and quantified approach to U.S. alliances and partnerships. The result is a statistical index ... approach, developing a machine learning algorithm to analyze 150 nations on a dataset of nine variables signifying engagement or hostility: International agreements with U.S. Defense agreement

Sarah Sewall

/about-us/leadership/board-of-trustees/sarah-sewall

Sarah Sewall The Honorable Sarah Sewall, Ph.D. /images/About-Us/Leadership/Board/Sarah-Sewall.webp Dr. Sarah Sewall is In-Q-Tel’s executive vice president for policy, bringing decades of experience in government and academia to help In-Q-Tel inform the policy debate. Dr. Sewall served as the Under Secretary of State for Civilian Security, Democracy, and Human Rights, responsible for issues ... doctrine to prevent civilian harm. She was Minerva Chair at the Naval War College and the Speyer Distinguished Professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. She received

coming in from the cold: Able Archer: The Invisible Cuban Missile Crisis

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The Cuban Missile Crisis is widely considered to the closest the world has come to nuclear war. But while that crisis played out in public view, there was another close call that happened in the shadows. On this episode the story of Able Archer 83.

and national security beginning with his time as a decorated Air Force Intelligence officer and through his many years as a senior executive in the aerospace and defense industry. Lt. Cdr. Steven ... , and Benjamin B. Fischer, “Forecasting Nuclear War,” Wilson Center, Cold War International History Project  https://www.wilsoncenter.org/publication/forecasting-nuclear-war Zach Dorfman

coming in from the cold: Political Warfare and Subversion in West Germany

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On this month’s Coming in From the Cold, Cornell Overfield and Jeffrey Edmonds join Bill to discuss political warfare in Germany during the 1940s and 1950s.

, and international relations theory. He has published the first English-language study of East German political warfare against West Germany in the early Cold War.  Jeffrey Edmonds   is an expert on cyber operations in Russia and Eurasia. Edmonds previously served as the Director for Russia on the National Security Council and acting Senior Director for Russia during the 2017 presidential

coming in from the cold: Covert Action and the Solidarity Movement

/our-media/podcasts/coming-in-from-the-cold/5

In this episode, the little-known story of QRHELPFUL, a CIA operation in Poland that supported Solidarity during the dark days of Martial Law.

5 In this episode, the little-known story of QRHELPFUL, a CIA operation in Poland that supported Solidarity during the dark days of Martial Law. Covert Action and the Solidarity Movement Seth G. Jones   is the director of CSIS Transnational Threats Project and a CNA Senior Fellow. He teaches at Johns Hopkins University's School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) and the Center for Homeland Defense and Security (CHDS) at the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School. Kasey Stricklin   is a research analyst with CNA's Russia program. Her current research focuses on Russian naval leadership

justice talks: Extreme risk protection orders: Reducing gun violence with legislation, training, data collection, and funding

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In our previous CNA Justice Talks podcast, we discussed the challenges facing correctional agencies related to recruitment and retention and innovative ways agencies have worked to address the current crisis. In this episode, Hildy Saizow leads a discussion with Josh Horwitz and Elliot Harkavy about   extreme risk protection orders . Saizow, Horwitz, and Harkavy discuss the development of these laws, what types of gun violence they are designed to stop, stakeholder roles in implementing the laws, and future areas of action to prevent gun violence.

for Justice Research and Innovation and has over 30 years' experience in homeland security issues, law enforcement affairs, emergency response operations, and international assistance. Joshua