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Russian Strategy for Escalation Management: Key Concepts

/analyses/2020/04/russian-strategy-for-escalation-management-key-concepts

This report examines evolving debates within the Russian military on questions of “escalation management,” or intra-war deterrence.

to forgo aggression, de-escalate hostilities, and/or terminate the conflict. The strategy suggests that the Russian military, as a strategic culture, has a strong predilection for cost imposition (rather ... Russian Strategy for Escalation Management: Key Concepts Russian Strategy for Escalation Management: Evolution of Key Concepts This report examines evolving debates within the Russian military on questions of “escalation management,” or intra-war deterrence. In the 1990s, the Russian military debated the ways and means by which to carry out deterrence at different levels of conflict, while

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 19, July 28, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-19

The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 19, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

and Autonomy Report, a biweekly newsletter published by CNA. We begin this issue with a discussion of two PRC media reports commenting on the successes and challenges that the Russian military has ... overwhelming Russia’s air defense systems, and the Russian military’s inability to obtain a sufficient supply of UAVs for the war effort. We also cover several PLA Daily articles examining intelligent ... performance in the war in Ukraine has exposed several deficiencies, including the Russian military's insufficient numbers of UAVs to conduct required missions, lack of access to UAVs for all military units

Recruiting, Retaining, and Promoting Hispanic Servicemembers

/analyses/2024/03/recruiting-retaining-and-promoting-hispanic-servicemembers

CNA performed data analysis on recruitment, retention, and promotion of Hispanic officers and enlisted servicemembers, as mandated by Congress in the 2022 NDAA.

composition of its force, with numerous initiatives, strategies, and policies aiming to ensure the military reflects the population it serves and that each member can serve with dignity and respect ... to 2020. As such, they are increasingly becoming a critical accession source for the military. Congress and DOD, however, are concerned about the low representation of Hispanic servicemembers ... a difference-in-differences analysis to evaluate the effectiveness of the Army’s 2001–2005 “Yo Soy El Army” recruitment initiative. Next, we conducted a literature review of Hispanic representation in the military

Department of the Navy and Strategic Competition with the PRC

/analyses/2023/11/department-of-the-navy-and-strategic-competition-with-the-prc

Near-term recommendations for how the Navy can better position itself for competition below the threshold of armed conflict..

carriers and amphibious ships. Building a culture of warfighting excellence: recommendations The competition for capability advantage is not just about weapons, equipment, technologies ... by recruiting, retaining, and developing high‑quality military and civilian personnel. The DON force must also have a fundamental understanding of the nature of the strategic competition with the PRC ... aspirations in making initial military occupational assignments and managing naval careers. Develop or expand nontraditional, nonmonetary retention incentives. Examples include offering duty

Innovation Day

/our-research/cnai2/innovation-day-agenda

of Ukraine has made a PRC invasion of Taiwan appear more credible and generated a sense of urgency among some leaders in Taiwan. This sense of urgency has prompted the Taiwan government and military to enact multifaceted reform with the goal of turning the Taiwan military into a credible deterrent and warfighting force. While some reform debates predate the Russia-Ukraine war, Taiwan government officials have taken lessons from Ukraine to guide restructuring of Taiwan's military forces. This panel will discuss five key lessons learned from the Ukraine conflict: (1) changes in the terms

ai and autonomy in russia: Issue 38, May 16, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/ai-and-autonomy-in-russia/issue-38

implemented in 2021 to increase tax revenue and insurance premiums. MILITARY AND SECURITY RUSSIAN SCIENTISTS DESIGN A NEW USV FOR OPERATOR TRAINING Scientists from the MOD’s Pacific Higher Naval ... unmanned and autonomous vehicles. Prior to the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, the Russian military was working on a number of USV projects, and discussed using a combination of surface, underwater ... types for ISR missions. While there have been few documented cases of ZALA drone losses, the Russian military is still suffering a regular rate of attrition for its UAVs, as documented almost daily

How to Use Administrative Data to Measure and Interpret Racial, Ethnic, and Gender Disparities in Military Justice Outcomes

/analyses/2023/06/how-to-use-administrative-data-to-measure-and-interpret-racial-ethnic-and-gender-disparities-in-military-justice-outcomes

This report proposes a six-step iterative process for assessing the treatment of racial, ethnic, and gender (REG) groups in the military justice system (MJS).

How to Use Administrative Data to Measure and Interpret Racial, Ethnic, and Gender Disparities in Military Justice Outcomes How to Use Administrative Data to Measure and Interpret Racial, Ethnic, and Gender Disparities in Military Justice Outcomes This report proposes a six-step iterative process for assessing the treatment of racial, ethnic, and gender (REG) groups in the military justice system ... from the FY 2020 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA): Establish criteria for determining when to review data indicating that racial, ethnic, and gender (REG) disparities in military justice

Wargame Helps a Naval SYSCOM Develop its Wartime Acquisition Response Plan

/quick-looks/2023/wargame-helps-a-naval-syscom-develop-its-wartime-acquisition-response-plan

Discusses the how the development of Warime Acquisition Response Plans (WARP) support the rapid expansion of acquisition capabilities in support of major combat operations.

of military systems, such as ships, aircraft, facilities, and weapons. As China and Russia increase their military capabilities and ambitions, the SYSCOMs must be positioned to quickly respond to emerging ... in response to national and warfighter requirements during crises or contingencies, in accordance with wartime authorities. People and Culture — Develop a workforce culture that allows for a timely ... three Civil Engineer Corps flag officers and the Principal Military Deputy to the Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Research, Development, and Acquisition attended and contributed to the TTX

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 16, June 2, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-16

The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 16, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

cognitive domain operations. China Military Online , the PLA's official news and information portal, carried a lengthy article on cognitive warfare written by NUDT professor Liang Xiaobo. [1] Liang writes that cognitive warfare has become an important component of modern military conflict that involves a "complex collection" of public opinion warfare, psychological warfare, legal warfare ... that effective operations in the cognitive domain rely on a deep understanding of the target country, its culture, religious beliefs, and customs as well as its ethnic groups and the perceptions, misperceptions

Analytic Framework for Emulating Russian Decision Making

/analyses/2017/analytic-framework-for-emulating-russian-decision-making

The purpose of this report is to propose an analytical framework for emulating Russian decision-making in the national security realm. The framework is paired with a methodology that allows the user to systematically examine what Russian decision- making would look like in response to a foreign policy crisis. The framework is presented in the first section and then applied to three potential crisis scenarios in Eastern Europe. The analytical structure presented is meant to be used as a guideline. It offers potential answers, tools, and a systematic method for emulation that allows users to formulate decision-trees for Russian actions on the basis of reasonable assumptions about how Russia might act in various situations. The final product can be further developed and refined on the basis of observation of Russian actions in future interactions with its adversaries and behavior in crisis situations.

of the report is to help emulators develop an understanding of factors that affect Russian decision-making processes and how these processes influence military operational planning in the European theater ... strategic culture, i.e. the prism through which Russian decision-makers approach their strategic calculus. The objective is to be explanative, parsimonious, and fuse the best of regional studies ... as constraints on Russian COAs, affecting the Russian government and military’s ability and willingness to escalate a conflict to achieve maximal goals versus de-escalating to avoid potential negative consequences