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china ai and autonomy report: Issue 14, May 5, 2022

/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-14

The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 14, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

temporarily suspended all business activities in Russia and Ukraine. In other Ukraine War-related news, PLA National Defense University Professor Li Minghai analyzes the role of cognitive warfare ... threats posed by this Chinese drone maker." [3] PLA National Defense University (NDU) professor argues that cognitive warfare operations in the Russia-Ukraine War represents the future of warfare ... be improved. Governance and Policy Chinese Academy of Sciences publishes AI principles for climate action. The Chinese Academy of Sciences International Research Center for AI Ethics

china ai and autonomy report: Issue 5, December 16, 2021

/our-media/newsletters/china-ai-and-autonomy-report/issue-5

The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 5, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

to conduct research on the “winning mechanism” of intelligent warfare.   An   article   written by a researcher at the PLA's National Defense University's School of National Security called for more ... .   The establishment of these zones is part of a broader 2019 MOST goal to establish around 20 AI innovation and development pilot zones by 2023 (for full text of policy in Chinese see   here ). This national-level goal relies on localities to encourage AI technology development and to conduct policy experiments and social experiments to promote AI innovation in China. In a recent statement just before

Checklist Advances the Ethical Use of Artificial Intelligence

/our-media/press-releases/2022/01-24

CNA introduces tool to implement ethics policies for autonomous systems

to implement Department of Defense policy on ethical artificial intelligence. It consists of 565 questions to be answered by technology developers and commanders before they develop or deploy ... on intelligent autonomous systems that preserve and maximize warfighting effectiveness while conforming to law, policy and ethical principles. The complete report, “ Dimensions of Autonomous

Origins and Development of Cooperative Strategy

/reports/2017/origins-and-development-of-cooperative-strategy

On August 2, 2011, Admiral (ADM) Jonathan Greenert was confirmed to succeed ADM Gary Roughead as the U.S. Navy’s 30th Chief of Naval Operations (CNO), to take office the following month. Like his 29 predecessors, ADM Greenert faced issues of Navy readiness, personnel, acquisition, and resources. He was also troubled by the content and effect of the Navy’s existing strategy document, A Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower (CS21), published by all three U.S. sea services back in October 2007.

(CNO) and his staff, and the Naval War College (NWC); multiservice collaboration; and the impact of budget sequestration and the concomitant drafting and publication of the national defense policy ... goes on to discuss the revision’s reception in the services, the Washington policy community, and overseas. The paper concludes by drawing together some insights regarding the Navy’s strategy development ... /reports/2017/DRM-2015-U-012011-2Rev_Page_001.jpg /reports/2017/sunset.jpg Strategy and Policy Analysis /centers-and-divisions/cna/sppp/strategy-and-policy-analysis DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved

Analytic Framework for Emulating Russian Decision Making

/reports/2017/analytic-framework-for-emulating-russian-decision-making

The purpose of this report is to propose an analytical framework for emulating Russian decision-making in the national security realm. The framework is paired with a methodology that allows the user to systematically examine what Russian decision- making would look like in response to a foreign policy crisis. The framework is presented in the first section and then applied to three potential crisis scenarios in Eastern Europe. The analytical structure presented is meant to be used as a guideline. It offers potential answers, tools, and a systematic method for emulation that allows users to formulate decision-trees for Russian actions on the basis of reasonable assumptions about how Russia might act in various situations. The final product can be further developed and refined on the basis of observation of Russian actions in future interactions with its adversaries and behavior in crisis situations.

, and over the horizon goals that influence short term decision-making. They are rooted and derived from three principal Russian foreign policy motivations: maximizing security which results in pursuit of extended defense, maximizing power, reflected in the quest for regional hegemony, and maintaining great power status in the international system, a fixation that shapes foreign policy outlooks ... to a foreign policy crisis. The framework is presented in the first section and then applied to three potential crisis scenarios in Eastern Europe. The analytical structure presented is meant to be used

North Korean Leadership Dynamics

/reports/2014/north-korean-leadership-dynamics

Kim Jong-il’s death in December 2011 brought about the hereditary transition of power to a third generation. Kim Jong-un assumed the mantle of Supreme Leader.

, and First Chairman of the National Defense Commission. In December 2013, Kim Jong-un violently purged his uncle, Jang Song-taek, in a move that seemingly has accelerated his power consolidation process ... would owe its loyalty directly to him. This patronage system would likely be tied to moves to accommodate the twin regime policy philosophies of “Military First” and “Creating a Strong and Powerful Nation ... responsibilities of his position as Supreme Leader. He would have established his own decision-making processes and would be more directly responsible for policy formulation and execution. He would most likely

Military Dimensions of US China Security Cooperation

/reports/2010/military-dimensions-of-us-china-security-cooperation

This paper was first presented at the Fifth Annual Conference of the China Maritime Studies Institute at the U.S. Naval War College on 4 – 5 May 2010. It is offered as a CNA paper in advance of the publication of the conference proceedings with the permission of the conference sponsors.

part, U.S.-China security cooperation has been mainly of a political nature and operationalized at a high level of strategic policy coordination. Security cooperation between the two nations has been ... is near nil. Over the course of thirty years of defense relations, only for a period of time during the decade of the 1980s did the two defense-military establishments engage in anything close ... between defense officials on both sides of the Pacific, by domestic politics in both capitals, and by a recurring cycle of suspensions in military relations. Looking to the second decade of the 21st

Camoland Clothing and Textile Industrial Base Wargame

/reports/2024/07/camoland-clothing-and-textile-industrial-base-wargame

This report documents a wargame designed to assess the clothing and textile defense industrial base to support wartime demand for items during concurrent contingencies.

Camoland Clothing and Textile Industrial Base Wargame Camoland Clothing and Textile Industrial Base Wargame Report This report documents a wargame designed to assess the clothing and textile defense industrial base to support wartime demand for items during concurrent contingencies. The Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) Strategic Plans and Futures Directorate tasked CNA to examine the domestic ... Prioritize potential IB investments and modifications to Department of Defense (DOD) business operations Key findings This wargame leveraged modeling, discussions with industry representatives

Russian Military Role in US-Russian Arms Control

/reports/2024/03/russian-military-role-in-us-russian-arms-control

Russian nuclear policy and arms control decision-making is influenced by the General Staff’s Main Operational Directorate, military leaders, and bureaucrats.

Russian Military Role in US-Russian Arms Control The General Staff’s Throw-Weight: The Russian Military’s Role in and Views of US-Russian Arms Control Russian nuclear policy and arms control ... in international arms control negotiations? What do Russian military stakeholders identify as the most salient challenges in future arms control negotiations with the US? Findings Russia's nuclear policy ... in the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff who engage in nuclear planning and in developing, negotiating, and implementing arms control accords. Some of these military organizations are likely

PRC Spy Balloon Reveals New Arena of Strategic Competition

/reports/2023/02/prc-spy-balloon-reveals-new-arena-of-strategic-competition

The 2023 China spy balloon incident should be understood in the context of other China balloon operations and PRC writings on the military use of balloons.

a massive expansion of its nuclear force and could have as many as 1,500 nuclear warheads by 2035, generating concern that it may be considering a more offensive-oriented nuclear policy. Collecting ... .” Diplomatic pushback was not limited to the PRC Foreign Ministry. The PRC Ministry of National Defense (MND) refused to take a call from US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, declaring, “We solemnly protest