New Reports Examine Russian Strategies for Escalation Management
In great power contests, political and military leaders often emphasize warfighting or deterrence in their planning and neglect the critical component of escalation management. Some U.S. adversaries, like Russia, have developed mature concepts for escalation management, with important implications for U.S. strategy and operational planning. The Russian military’s views on escalation management have been the subject of considerable interest, but knowledge gaps remain.
Recent work from CNA’s Russia Studies Program examines Russian strategy for escalation management. New reports explore:
- Key Russian deterrence concepts
- Stratagems for escalation management from peacetime through large-scale war
- Integration of conventional and nuclear capabilities
- Types of calibrated damage they might seek to inflict
- Potential targets
- How the Russian military thinks about their application in dierent contexts or conflict types
CNA’s strong background in military strategy, experience in Russia analysis and military thought is helping decision-makers understand its key adversaries.
This paper assesses the evolution in Russian military strategy on the question of escalation management, or intra-war deterrence, across the conflict spectrum from peacetime to nuclear war.
This report offers an overview of the main debates in Russian military thought on deterrence and escalation management in the post-Cold War period, based on authoritative publications.