News and Information

The experts at CNA are often asked to comment on issues in the news. The views expressed in these articles are their own.

2019 News Archive

  • December 24, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "The projection is in line with Russian [defense ministry] thinking about its future force composition -- the growing role of unmanned and robotic systems in the land, air and maritime forces, especially given the increasing role of UAVs in the Russian forces today."

    The National Interest: "Russia Wants "a Sixth-Generation Strategic Bomber" by 2040"

  • December 19, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "This RuNet test is aimed  — according to the Russian government — at making sure that key internet nodes are under Russian government control should a crisis develop."

    Defense One: "Russia Plans to Cut off Some Internet Access Next Week"

  • December 17, 2019

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "There are certain parts of their military that are very formidable, but they've pushed the entire military as much as they can, and so those parts that might be weaker or older might be more subject to accidents and mishaps."

    CNN: "Russian Spy Ship Sails Recklessly off U.S."

  • December 17, 2019

    Madison Estes and Vince Manzo write, "There's little public indication that the Trump administration is thinking about several things that will happen if the last strategic arms agreement is allowed to expire."

    Defense One: "The D Brief"

  • December 17, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "The reason they want the map [of undersea internet cables] is so that in future conflicts or crises they actually have the opportunity if they can to attack it, destroy it, or otherwise tamper."

    CNN: "Russian Spy Ship Sails Recklessly off U.S."

  • December 14, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "There is a clear signal from the Russian government that military robotics will become more and more essential in future conflicts, concurrent with the development of AI that can presumably guide such systems in combat."

    C4ISRNET: "Russia Will Test Swarms for Anti-Robot Combat in 2020"

  • December 7, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "It wouldn't make much sense to expect that Zelensky and Putin are going to walk out of the talks [and] one person is going to substantially give in to the other."

    Los Angeles Times: "Zelensky, Dragged into Trump Impeachment Drama, Faces a Tougher Challenge: Putin"

  • December 6, 2019

    Margaux Hoar says the Space Force needs to have 'permeability' between its Active and Reserve components, giving the opportunity for personnel to quickly and easily 'on-ramp and off-ramp' between the two.

    Air Force Magazine: "USAF Officials: Create Space Force to Be Effective on Day One"

  • November 23, 2019

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "He [Zelensky] wants Ukraine to be seen as an ally to the United States, not some cause of internal domestic strife."

    USA Today: "Putin Gloats over Impeachment Probe as Ukraine Gets Dragged Through America's Political Mud"

  • November 21, 2019

    Kasey Stricklin says, "Russia is hoping the resolution will mean that they will more easily be able to shut down the internet."

    Axios: "Russia and China Get a Big Win on Internet 'Sovereignty'"

  • November 20, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says, "In the absence of a path to get a deal it's an era of uncertainty. US troops have been given an order to hammer the Taliban like they've never been hit before, but to what end?"

    Financial Times: "Taliban Commanders Released in Afghan Prisoner Swap"

  • November 20, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "It is very clear that only sanctions relief will invest North Korea in a diplomatic process that could lead down the line to denuclearization — at least partially."

    The Japan Times: "Kim Looks to Turn Tables on Trump with Own 'Maximum Pressure' Push"

  • November 17, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "It sounds quite unrealistic... the project doesn't make sense given the cost of refitting an SSGN or a ship to a SSGN is often equal to the price of building an entirely new one."

    The National Interest: "Russia's Monster Typhoon Submarines: Now Tricked out with 200 Cruise Missiles?"

  • November 14, 2019

    Michael Kofman says Russia's sole aircraft-carrier, the Admiral Kuznetsov, "is largely a white elephant with no real mission."

    The Economist: "Aircraft-Carriers Are Big, Expensive, Vulnerable—and Popular"

  • November 11, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "Russia's strategic objectives in the Nordic region are thus focused primarily on maintaining the status quo rather than changing the strategic environment or expanding Russian influence in a significant way."

    The Wall Street Journal: "On a Rocky Island, Russia Seeks Military and Psychological Edge"

  • November 8, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "It's actually U.S. proxies attacking U.S. proxies on behalf of a U.S. ally."

    The Atlantic: "The World's Worst Game of Risk Is Playing out in Syria"

  • November 8, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Their involvement in Syria only underscored the necessity of an unbroken chain of UAV operation, with drones not just identifying and tracking targets, but hitting them following a positive ID."

    Defense One: "Russia Says It Used Autonomous Armed Strike Drones in a Wargame"

  • November 7, 2019

    According to the CNA report, Soldier Perspectives on Small Arms in Combat, "Of the 2,600 soldiers surveyed . . . the SAW came in second only to the M9 pistol for the lack of confidence in its reliability and durability."

    Military Times: "Marine Grunt 2020: How the Rapid Transformation of Small Arms Is Amping up the Rifleman"

  • November 5, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Based on what the Russians have seen and learned in Syria — which is the single most important Russian military experience today — a serious damaging effect can be achieved by a UAV swarm attack."

    C4ISRNET: "Flock 93 Is Russia's Dream of a 100-Strong Drone Swarm for War"

  • November 2, 2019

    Alan Burns says, "Having a marine force that can conduct expeditionary operations is one part of Beijing's efforts to build a strong military appropriate for what Chinese leaders see as China's ambitions to be a maritime great power."

    The National Interest: "China Is Tripling the Size of Its Marine Corps"

  • November 2, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says the, "Syrian experience displayed to Russian forces the need to have available drones that can range for hundreds of kilometers and then deliver a strike, without [troops] calling for manned aviation and without putting manned aerial assets at risk."

    The National Interest: "Russia's Predator Drone Flew Strikes in Syria"

  • October 31, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "For their part, Russian military is also building drones that can operate in an EMS-challenged environment."

    Military Times: "U.S. Forces Could Learn from Intense Electronic War Battle in Ukraine"

  • October 27, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Russian defense industry and military journals have no problem criticizing their own performance, but many media articles are plants by rival companies criticizing each other's products."

    The National Interest: "Does Russia's Anti-Drone Pantsir S1 System Even Work?"

  • October 24, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "The larger context is Russia's dependence as a nation on imported/foreign hi-tech and the perceived vulnerabilities that Russia sees in such technology use."

    Defense One: "Russia Will Test Its Ability to Disconnect from the Internet"

  • October 23, 2019

    Jeffrey Becker testifies that Beijing has invested in and constructed 42 ports in 34 countries and regions through OBOR [One Belt, One Road] projects.

    The Epoch Times: "China's Maritime 'One Belt, One Road' Initiative Under Scrutiny for Threats to U.S. Security"

  • October 21, 2019

    Michael Kofman says Syria is, "The principal transformative conflict for Russia today and the Russian military."

    The National Interest: "Fighting in Syria Has Made Russia's Military Better"

  • October 19, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "China and Russia are probably willing to ease up on sanctions enforcement to allow North Korea if they so choose to lean in that direction to get some amount of support from China and Russia who are looking to do anything they can to weaken the U.S. position in Asia."

    Voice of America: "North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un Signals He's Ready for 'New Way,' Experts Say"

  • October 12, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Russians perceive such capabilities to be strategic, and will never casually accept this type of arsenal being brought so close to its population centers or critical infrastructure."

    Stars and Stripes: "USS Porter Enters Black Sea as Navy Continues to Boost Patrols in Tense Region"

  • October 9, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "There are many countries and forces using small [unmanned ground vehicles] for ISR and other roles — many belligerents in the Middle East have them, including several DIY models made by non-state actors."

    C4ISRNET: "Beetle-Like Iranian Robots Can Roll Under Tanks"

  • October 8, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "Without upfront concessions, North Korea has nothing to negotiate over. It will not make the first concessions."

    VOA: "Experts: Prospects for Future Us, North Korea Talks Grow Dim"

  • October 4, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Lethal arms have yet to be used, and they were never going to make a substantial difference in Ukraine's ability to fight Russia."

    Yahoo News: "Before a Notorious Phone Call, the Trump Administration Was Lauded for Helping Ukraine"

  • October 2, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "Should Russian forces stay in the Mediterranean, they would pose a serious threat to U.S. and NATO forces by creating an increasingly dense missile and electronic-warfare environment farther into the eastern Mediterranean Sea."

    The National Interest: "The Mediterranean: The Russian Navy's New Playground? (NATO Worried?)"

  • October 1, 2019

    Michael Kofman says that Javelins are an "insurance policy" against Russian escalation.

    Politico: "How U.S. Military Aid Became a Lifeline for Ukraine"

  • October 1, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Ohotnik may be a long-range air-defense penetrator, in which case it would need to fly 'solo' in an automated mode, in order not to utilize Russian manned assets."

    The National Interest: "This Picture Is the Future of Russia's Military: Stealth Fighters and Drones"

  • September 30, 2019

    According to the CNA preliminary report, Racial Bias Audit of the Charleston, South Carolina, Police Department, "(D)isparity in traffic stops, poor data-collection practices, lack of clarity in policies on use of force and professional standards, gaps in efforts to engage various segments of the community substantively, and lack of accountability mechanisms are a few examples of the findings and recommendations noted in this report."

    ABC 4 News: "Racial Bias Audit of Charleston Police Finds Numerous Issues Department Needs to Address"

  • September 30, 2019

    According to the CNA preliminary report, Racial Bias Audit of the Charleston, South Carolina, Police Department, "Although CPD has begun addressing a number of these findings and recommendations, continued effort and engagement with both officers and the community will be critical to ensuring the successful implementation and sustainability of these improvements."

    Live 5 WCSC: "Charleston Police Department Receives Preliminary Report on Racial Bias Audit"

  • September 30, 2019

    According to the CNA preliminary report, Racial Bias Audit of the Charleston, South Carolina, Police Department, "Black community members are over-represented in use of force incidents."

    The Post and Courier: "Preliminary Charleston Police Audit Finds Racial Disparities, Paves Path Forward"

  • September 30, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "Absent U.S. concessions, I can't see Kim Jong Un agreeing to a third summit anytime soon."

    Voice of America: "Experts: Another Trump-Kim Summit Hinges on Denuclearization Agreement"

  • September 30, 2019

    The CNA preliminary report, Racial Bias Audit of the Charleston, South Carolina, Police Department, "detailed issues like the department's internal and external complaint process and possible racial disparities in traffic stops."

    Live 5 WCSC: "Community Finds Charleston Police Racial Bias Preliminary Report Unsurprising"

  • September 25, 2019

    "Since February CNA has conducted the [racial bias] audit which included data analysis, interviews with CPD Personnel, met with community groups and city officials and held community meetings."

    The Charleston Chronicle: "Charleston Set to Receive October Police Race Bias Audit Report"

  • September 24, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "we are seeing that the Russian military is not only thinking creatively about technologies that can assist its warfighters - it also is following in the footsteps of other advanced militaries like the Israeli army that has built a similar snake robot earlier."

    C4ISRNET: "Will This Snake Robot Lead Russian Soldiers to Battle in Caves?"

  • September 20, 2019

    Steven Wills says, "China is probably seeking to fortify that whole area, so keeping a U.S. presence there keeps a check on Chinese operations."

    Foreign Policy: "Iran-Saudi Crisis Resurrects an Old Question: Does the U.S. Need to Be There at All?"

  • September 18, 2019

    According to the CNA report, Russia's Approach to Cyber Warfare, "They [Russian military theorists] conceptualize cyber operations within the broader framework of information warfare, a holistic concept that includes computer network operations, electronic warfare, psychological operations, and information operations."

    CyberScoop: "Sen. Warner Says Hacking, Disinformation Are the Future of War, and Urges the U.S. to Keep Up"

  • September 18, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "This unmanned aerial vehicle and Russia's future fighter plan offer a glimpse into Moscow's thinking about future wars."

    Tempo: "Russia Develops 22 Ton Giant Stealth Drone"

  • September 17, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says, "The U.S. is most concerned about IS-K [Islamic State Khorasan] as potentially the next big thing inside ISIS."

    Express: "Return of ISIS: Taliban Fight 'Join ISIS in Droves' - 'U.S. Is Concerned'"

  • September 14, 2019

    Elizabeth Clelan writes, "There is no time like the present for DoD to be concerned about the growing trend of e-cigarette use among America's youth."

    Military Times: "Why DOD Should Start Asking Recruits Whether They Vape"

  • September 11, 2019

    Linda Cavalluzzo says, "We deal with recruiting and retention as well as quality of life, and CNA prides itself on a deep understanding of the problems we deal with."

    ARLnow: "From Cot to Cubicle: Vietnam Graffiti Exhibit Comes to Clarendon Office"

  • September 10, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "One of the major developments in the Russian UAV industry is the 'hybridization' of the drone engines - to ensure either quiet operation (electric/gasoline hybrids) or variable performance levels in range (gasoline/kerosene hybrids),"

    C4ISRNET: "Will Russia Replace Orlan Orbits with Feniks Flocks?"

  • September 9, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says, "I'd put my money on U.S. demands for the Taliban to offer more on the cease-fire element of the deal."

    Radio Free Europe: "Why Did Trump Call off the Taliban Talks: A Negotiating Tactic, Washington Worries About the Deal, or Showmanship?"

  • September 8, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says, "If only he [President Trump] can conclude the deal and he prefers to do so face-to-face, what will it take to now get back to that situation?"

    Politico: "No Deal: Trump's Skills Face New Questions After Scuttling of Afghan Talks"

  • September 8, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says, "It will give him more street cred with the community than West had, so if he endorses whatever the review's findings are, it would add some weight to them."

    Politico: "'Tequila-Drinking Navy SEAL' in the Running to Oversee Elite Troops"

  • September 7, 2019

    Zack Gold says, "If they can't protect themselves and their own infrastructure, it will be a struggle for them to protect this gas-line infrastructure."

    Wall Street Journal: "Landmark Israel-Egypt Energy Alliance Hits Snags"

  • September 2, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "A Russian-led operation is just going to pulverize them into oblivion, which is most likely how this ends."

    Al-Monitor:"U.S. Calls on Russia to Cease Idlib Fight Amid Terror Strikes"

  • August 30, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "It doesn't make sense that Russian scientists would be standing around any sort of reactor that was being tested without adequate shielding in place."

    Nature: "How Nuclear Scientists Are Decoding Russia's Mystery Explosion"

  • August 30, 2019

    Michael McDevitt says, "The reality on the ground is that China has occupied the entire Paracel group for 40 years and, short of military action by Vietnam to recapture the archipelago, will never leave."

    CNN: "The Tiny Islands That Could Explode the China-Vietnam Relationship"

  • August 30, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Today, Russian military and the merchant fleets are investing in capabilities that would allow them to see beyond the horizon in unpredictable Arctic conditions, and control the Arctic waterways and territories."

    C4ISRNET: "Russia Eyes Nimble Quadcopter for a Warming Arctic"

  • August 29, 2019

    Michael Connell says, "I think it's going to embarrass the Iranian space agency. On the other hand though, getting a satellite into space ... takes time."

    Associated Press: "Satellite Photos Show Burning Iran Space Center Launch Pad"

  • August 27, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says, "As you might imagine, there's always a fear of the [Afghan forces] losing or outright selling what we give them, so that argues against giving them the latest tech."

    Military Times: "Ranger Was Killed by Afghan Friendly Fire During Night Raid on Al-Qaida, Investigation Shows"

  • August 23, 2019

    A Marine Corps spokesman says there have been past reviews of his service's legal community and that "there's an ongoing assessment being conducted by the Center for Naval Analysis."

    Navy Times: "SECNAV Orders Comprehensive Review of Navy, Marine Corps JAGs"

  • August 23, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "It's interesting that such a flagship product, designed originally not just for space but for dealing with emergencies — depended almost entirely on non-Russian parts."

    C4ISRNET: "Is This Russian Robot Spacecrawling Before a Spacewalk?"

  • August 22, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Russia has quite a few different weapons projects, a few different nuclear power projects."

    Foreign Policy: "Is Russia's Doomsday Missile Fake News?"

  • August 21, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "I don't think the North Koreans are interested in security concessions. I think they're interested in stuff that will put money into the regime."

    Radio Free Asia: "U.S. Ready to Restart Negotiations with North Korea, but Analysts Expect Little Progress from Talks"

  • August 21, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says that the testing of the two UAVs [Altius-U and Okhotnik], "moves beyond the discussion of whether or not they can [build these types of weapons] to, 'Yes they did.'"

    Business Insider: "Russia's New High-Altitude Drone Just Flew for the First Time, and They Want to Arm It with One Ton of Bombs"

  • August 20, 2019

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "They're pushing their fleet and pushing their military to perform in a certain way that is often beyond what is safe for them to actually do considering the age of the equipment and the age of the infrastructure."

    Business Insider: "Putin's Rush to Build Doomsday Weapons Able to Devastate the U.S. Is Likely to End in More Tragedies like Its Deadly Missile Disaster"

  • August 16, 2019

    According to the CNA InDepth article, Do the Seals Have a Culture Problem or an OPTEMPO Problem? The Answer Might be "Yes" by Margaux Hoar and Jonathan Schroden, problematic behaviors such as driving under the influence or using illegal drugs "correlated positively with the extent of the time constraint." "SOCOM Must Make These Changes as It Reviews Ethics Problems, Operators and Experts Say"

  • August 15, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says the "agreement under discussion appears aimed at streamlining clearance procedures for visiting U.S. military personnel."

    The Diplomat: "Sri Lankans up in Arms over U.S. Military Pacts"

  • August 14, 2019

    Michael Kofman writes, "The Pacific on the other hand lends itself handily to deep diving autonomous weapons if they're 'fire and forget.'"

    The National Interest: "Russia Wants Four Submarines Armed with Nuclear Warhead Drones That Can Cause Tsunamis"

  • August 13, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russian military has been practicing the operation of different UAVs at high altitudes and in high wind — so this Fixar UAV can prove useful right away."

    C4ISRNET: "Will This Hybrid Drone Give Russia a High-Altitude Advantage?"

  • August 9, 2019

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "They're pushing their fleet and pushing their military to perform in a certain way that is often beyond what is safe for them to actually do considering the age of the equipment and the age of the infrastructure."

    Business Insider: "Here's Why the Russian Military Has so Many Serious Accidents"

  • August 5, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "At this point, it is going to be heaviest and fastest UAV [in Russian service] if and when fielded, but additional testing and evaluation will have to take place in order for this unmanned system to be fully functional."

    The National Interest: "Russia's B-2 Lookalike Stealth Drone Just Flew for the 1st Time"

  • August 1, 2019

    Michael Kofman compares the similarities of North Korea's new KN-23 missile to Russia's Iskander missile, saying, "it looked like a knockoff Rolex basically."

    Foreign Policy: "North Korean Missile Dismissed as 'Standard' by Trump Threatens U.S. Military"

  • July 31, 2019

    Eric Piza says, "If police plan on integrating Ring footage into their operation, technology requires manpower to be effectively used."

    CNET: "Amazon Ring Alerts Often Tie up Police with False Alarms"

  • July 31, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "We know that some [UGV] models may be used for breaching ops, others for guard duties, others for swarming tactics or demining operations, but we don't yet have the same view as with UAVs."

    C4ISRNET: "Is This Russia's Gateway Drone to Better Armed Robots?"

  • July 29, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "Kim is not moving an iota unless the U.S. put stuff on the table, which means money going into the pockets of the elite because that's the people he has to satisfy."

    NPR: "Despite 'Loss of Faith' in Kim Jong Un, the U.S. Tries Again for a Nuclear Deal"

  • July 27, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says, "The current political tension between the president and prime minister suggests that issues like defence relations have the potential to become highly politicized."

    South China Morning Post: "U.S. Naval Base Rumours in Sri Lanka Spark Alarm as Washington and Beijing Tussle for Influence in Indo-Pacific"

  • July 27, 2019

    Sarah Vogler says, "If Trump's approach does not yield significant gains or success, then it is going to be very difficult for whoever comes after him to justify why their leader-to-leader approach will be different."

    NPR: "Trump Opened a Door with North Korea. Will 2020 Candidates Follow?"

  • July 25, 2019

    Steven Wills says, "Today, European nations are producing 'frigates' that just recently you or I would call 'destroyers,' based on size and, somewhat, on capability."

    Defense News: "In a Naval Confrontation with Iran, Great Britain Can Find Neither Ships nor Friends"

  • July 22, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "It's important to understand that he's a third-generation leader, which means that his legitimacy is inherently weaker than that of his father and grandfather."

    New Delhi Times: "Will Kim's Claim in Constitution Weaken Efforts to Denuclearize?"

  • July 21, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "As a consequence of the Syrian tests, the [Russian Ministry of Defense] is working on a UGV control system capable of more independent action in combat."

    Defense One: "Robot Roadmap: U.S. Army's Newest Command Sketches Priorities"

  • July 17, 2019

    According to the CNA report, Nuclear Arms Control Without A Treaty: Risks and Options after New START, "Without New START's cooperative transparency practices, the US intelligence community would likely devote more resources to monitoring Russian strategic nuclear forces but have less insight and less confidence in its analytical judgements."

    Breaking Defense: "U.S. Missile Warning Sats Fair Game If No New START?"

  • July 17, 2019

    Christopher Steinitz says, "By reaching out to party members, by reaching out to the people, it makes them invested in maintaining this location which is an important symbol for the Kim family."

    CNN: "How Did Kim Jong Un Get His Armored Mercedes?" (3:10)

  • July 17, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "The issue of security, and access to technology, is just as problematic for Russia selling an S-400 to a NATO country as it is for the U.S. in the case of the F-35."

    Defense One: "Why the S-400 and the F-35 Can't Get Along"

  • July 16, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "At the start of the conflict, there were 400 UAV sorties per month. By late 2017, there were over 1,000 sorties per month."

    The Intercept: "How Israeli-Designed Drones Became Russia's Eyes in the Sky for Defending Bashar Al-Assad"

  • July 16, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "There was that realization that anything and everything could be turned into a weapon and therefore the Russian military should look at the successful adoption of the systems that have proven successful."

    Business Insider: "Russia Wants to Arm Its Troops with Small Drones That Drop Bombs Because ISIS Did It"

  • July 15, 2019

    According to the CNA report, Population Representation in the Military Services: Fiscal Year 2017, "The service academies regularly commission less than one fifth of the nation's new officers each year."

    Military Times: "Service Academy Graduates Could See Longer Military Obligations"

  • July 12, 2019

    Michael Kofman says that the only thing the S-400 can do with its radars is track the flight profile of the F-35, something that Russia already does in the Middle East and the Baltics.

    New York Times: "What Is the S-400? the Russian Missile System in Turkey That Irks the Pentagon"

  • July 12, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "It [S-400] would allow the user of that air defense system to much better design future radars and future air defense systems to work against U.S. fighters and U.S. aircraft."

    CNN: "Putin's Latest Trick: Missiles for Turkey" (1:25-1:52)

  • July 12, 2019

    Paul Schwartz says the Russians, "are notorious about advertising one particular date and then having that date slip and then slip again and then slip again."

    National Defense: "Special Report: China, Russia Hypersonic Programs - Real Progress or Bluster?"

  • July 10, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says, "The U.S. military does not have organic competency to build armies of foreign countries."

    Navy Times: "Report: Military Leaders Must Speak up to Prevent the Another Afghanistan"

  • July 8, 2019

    According to CNA, "The share of women serving across the armed services rose from 4.2 per cent in 1973 (when America moved from conscription to an all-volunteer force) to 18.4 per cent in 2017 among commissioned officers, who manage enlisted personnel, and from 2.2 per cent to 16 per cent among enlisted members."

    The Economist: "Meet Major-General Who Is the First Woman to Lead an Infantry Division in Us Armed Forces"

  • July 8, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "It is difficult to believe that the typical compliment, 20-25 crewmen, would consist of 7 Captains first rank, including two who had been awarded as heroes of the Russian Federation, unless they were conducting some important research mission or perhaps test."

    VOA News: "Deadly Arctic Submarine Blaze Casts Light on Russia's Underwater Intel Service"

  • July 6, 2019

    Ken Gause says, Kim Myong-Gil, North Korea;s former ambassador to Vietnam is "the likely candidate for the job."

    Korea Joogang Daily: "Biegun's New Counterpart Is Veteran Diplomat"

  • July 5, 2019

    Lauren Dickey says, "The political elite in Taiwan are watching the events in Hong Kong closely."

    The Atlantic: "Hong Kong and Taiwan Are Bonding over China"

  • July 5, 2019

    Navy Intelligence officers talked about civilian analysts at Center for Naval Analyses saying, "their work was 'prescient,' but they were 'prophets without honor in their own country.'"

    USNI Blog: "Naval Intelligence, the CIA, and the Soviet-Russian Threat: The Cold War and Beyond"

  • July 4, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Its goal was to fly mimicking the flight of birds, not in a line, but in a way that most closely approximates this predator in order to get as close as possible to the target."

    C4ISRNET: "Russia Wants to Show It Innovated Its Way Around Sanctions"

  • July 3, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg says, "If they brought the vessel back to the base at Severomorsk and moored it there, then I'd assume that means there is no danger of radiation leaks."

    Radio Free Europe: "Interview: 'There's an Incident Involving a Russian Submarine Every Five or Six Years'"

  • July 3, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "the Russian military command has always held the fear that one day Ukraine would leave Russia and eventually there would be a NATO naval base on Moscow's doorstep."

    Breaking Defense: "U.S. Upgrades Ukrainian Ports to Fit American Warships"

  • July 2, 2019

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "The Losharik incident will likely have a deep operational impact on the Directorate for Deep Sea Research, given how advanced and relatively few these submarines are."

    Radio Free Europe: "Did a Deadly Fire Break out on a Secret Russian Spy Sub? Here's What We Know About 'Losharik'"

  • July 2, 2019

    Michael Kofman says that ships in the Directorate for Deep-Sea Research would be used for a "separate set of separate missions" like gathering information on the seabed.

    Spiegel Online: "The Mysterious Missions of 'Lozharik'" [German]

  • July 2, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "We are seeing the full-scale adoption by a major national military of technologies that were first used very effectively by a non-state actor."

    Defense One: "Russian Troops Will Be Getting Tactical Bomb Drones"

  • July 1, 2019

    Michael Connell says, "I would certainly expect them [Iran]  to conduct attacks on low-hanging fruit economic targets, and also government targets as well."

    Christian Science Monitor: "US-Iran Clash Enters Cyber Realm and Tests a Trump Strategy"

  • June 29, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "The Pacific on the other hand lends itself handily to deep diving autonomous weapons if they're 'fire and forget.'"

    The National Interest: "Russia Plans to Build Four Submarines Armed with Nuclear Drone-Torpedoes"

  • June 28, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "The Russians claim to have a powerful 'echeloned defense' in Syria that includes electronic warfare, probably the Krasukha system."

    Breaking Defense: "Why Would Russia Spoof Israeli GPS? F-35 & Iran"

  • June 27, 2019

    "Since February, a Virginia-based company, CNA, has spoken with Charleston PD employees, city officials, and the community about the department's policies and procedures."

    Count On News 2: "Charleston Police Dept. to Give Update on Racial Bias Audit"

  • June 27, 2019

    CNA analysts conducting the Charleston Police racial bias audit, "have conducted over 75 interviews with CPD personnel, attended master roll calls, gone on ride-alongs and met with more than 250 people in the community."

    ABC News 4: "Racial Audit into Charleston Police Department Continues"

  • June 27, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Low observation is far short of invisibility, but if this element of fifth-generation aircraft technology is 'paper fiction,' then why is Russia building the PAK-FA, dreaming about the PAK-DA, and the same can be said of Chinese prototypes in development."

    The National Interest: "Russia Thinks America's Stealth Fighters Are 'Paper Fiction'"

  • June 27, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "It will be interesting to see what UGV [Unmanned Ground Vehicle] lineup Kalashnikov will come up with, given great interest from the MOD toward unmanned military systems."

    C4ISRNET: "Russia Eager to Prove Recent Conflicts Improved Its Robots"

  • June 26, 2019

    According to the CNA report, The Origins and Development of A Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower, CNO Greenert "was looking for a document that was generally authoritative for any audience: The naval officer corps, Capitol Hill, [Office of the Secretary of Defense], friends and allies, potential adversaries . . . whomever."

    Naval War College Review: "Running Silent and Algorithmic: The U.S. Navy Strategic Vision in 2019" [pg. 36]

  • June 26, 2019

    Christopher Steinitz writes, "Despite the high-level diplomatic exchanges, the fundamental goals and interests of Trump, Xi and Kim — the truths of the U.S.-China-North Korea triangle — have not changed."

    The Hill: "Keep Expectations Low for Breakthroughs from G-20's High-Level Meetings"

  • June 25, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "In Russia's part of Eurasia where hunting birds like owls, falcons and eagles are very common, a UAV that looks like a bird can become an invaluable ISR asset."

    Business Insider: "Russia's New Drone Looks like a Snowy Owl, and It Has a Deadly Purpose"

  • June 24, 2019

    Michael Connell says, "There is a great potential for miscalculation on both sides – that is the real danger."

    The Christian Science Monitor: "US-Iran Standoff: Mutual Provocations, and Moves to De-Escalate"

  • June 23, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "This is not the first time that science fiction drives real military hi-tech development."

    The National Interest: "U.S. Army's Search for a New Scout Helicopter Was Definitely Inspired by 'Avatar'"

  • June 22, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says some at the Pentagon agree that "you don't want to splinter the Taliban in case you get a deal."

    Stars and Stripes: "Experts: A Unified Taliban Could Bolster Peace Talks in Afghanistan"

  • June 21, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "[U.S. Special Representative for North Korea Stephen] Biegun's recent statement that both Washington and Pyongyang need to show flexibility for negotiations to move forward might be an indication that the Trump administration is adjusting its strategy."

    Radio Free Asia: "U.S. Experts See Limited Denuclearization Progress from China-North Korea Summit"

  • June 21, 2019

    Lauren Dickey speaks on Foxconn possibly moving parts of its company from China to Taiwan, saying, "The question, then, is whether these linkages become political risks or liabilities."

    The New York Times: "Taiwan's iPhone Tycoon Walks a Fraught U.S.-China Line in Presidential Run"

  • June 20, 2019

    According to the CNA report, Nuclear Arms Control without a Treaty? Risks and Options After NEW START, "The collapse of New START could, in theory, push Beijing toward strategic nuclear dialogue with the United States, especially if the alternative would be unrestrained competition with a much more powerful nuclear contender."

    Testimony before the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission: "A 'World-Class' Military: Assessing China's Global Military Ambitions"

  • June 19, 2019

    Zack Gold says, "In the long term, it would be concerning if the government pre-emptively arrested large numbers out of concern for street protests or other outbursts in the wake of Morsi's death."

    AFP: "Egypt's Morsi Likely 'More Popular' After Death"

  • June 18, 2019

    Larry Lewis says, "In the US and the UK we have very formal processes [for airstrikes], this coalition is not using them ... And when you mess up, bad things happen."

    The Guardian: "'The Saudis Couldn't Do It Without Us': The UK's True Role in Yemen's Deadly War"

  • June 18, 2019

    Michael Connell says, "The biggest threat is the mine threat. Not the limpet mines, but distributing mines in the water."

    The Christian Science Monitor: "Can the US Protect the Persian Gulf If Iran Wants to Target Tankers?"

  • June 18, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Russia's advanced radar, variety of capable missiles and systems that try to integrate large amounts of data for a more potent air defense will increasingly segregate Western air forces into two benches."

    The National Interest: "How Russia Could Kill an F-22 or F-35: Enter the S-400?"

  • June 17, 2019

    Scott Truver says, "I have no doubt and I've talked to some of [explosive, ordnance and disposal] friends and we're all in agreement – it's a smoking gun."

    USNI News: "Analyst: New Photos Are 'Smoking Gun' Proving Iranian Involvement in Tanker Attack"

  • June 14, 2019

    Michael Kofman provides expertise on the Gulf tanker attacks, saying that the maritime areas where civil navigation is at risk are protected by international groups involving naval ships from various countries.

    TASS: "Press Review: Who's Behind the Gulf Tanker Attacks and Serbia Could Send Troops to Kosovo"

  • June 11, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "I expect that Kim will move slowly in terms of testing of critical defense systems in order to try to avoid passing a threshold of no return with the U.S."

    The Japan Times: One Year After Singapore Summit, Hopes Fading for Progress in U.S.-North Korea Nuclear Talks

  • June 11, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "No direct Russian military interest in this UAV yet, but ARF designs and work is always of interest to the MOD, so we should expect some kind of military trial in 2020 when it takes to the air."

    C4ISRNET: "This Russian Cyclocopter Drone Design Was 110 Years in the Making"

  • June 7, 2019

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "[Russia] have consistently had this behavior to just try to get in the way to be noticed, it's to create a problem and then offer to fix it, or create a problem and try to make it look like it's our fault. But in a sense it's kind of a great power temper tantrum."

    Washington Post: Near-Collision Between U.S. and Russian Warships in Pacific Requires Emergency Maneuvers

  • June 2, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says, "These countries will be looking to Prime Minister Modi to deliver on outstanding bilateral issues, such as finally signing the Teesta River accord with Bangladesh and resolving fishing disputes with Sri Lanka."

    Nikkei Asian Review: "Modi Eyes Fiercer Rivalry with China over Neighbors in Second Term"

  • June 2, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Its speed [up to 620 miles per hour] and weight — up to 20 tons — means that a host of aerodynamic, electronic and high-tech issues need to be worked out."

    The National Interest: "This Russia Drone Looks like a Stealth B-2 Bomber (A Test Flight Is Coming Soon)"

  • May 31, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Ground forces have to deal with it all the time because they can lose access to communications and systems of navigation."

    Al-Monitor: "After Syria, Pentagon Ramps up Electronic Warfare Efforts"

  • May 29, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Russia inherited a large percentage of the Soviet Union's navy with a tiny fraction of its budget."

    The Intercept: "Sinking of Russian Nuclear Submarine Known to West Much Earlier Than Stated, NSA Document Indicates"

  • May 29, 2019

    Zack Gold says, "Importantly, but unlikely, the transfer of Ashmawy to Egypt could reveal details about a number of terrorist attacks in Egypt from 2013 onward."

    Yahoo: "Egypt Jihadist Returned from Libya to Face Terror Charges"

  • May 28, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "One of the main sticking points for the Russian government was the fact that imported operating systems had vulnerabilities and back doors that Moscow thought could be exploited by international intelligence agencies."

    Defense One: "Russia's Would-Be Windows Replacement Gets a Security Upgrade"

  • May 21, 2019

    According to the CNA Hudson Institute: "Transcript: The Rise of China's Navy: A Discussion with Capt. James Fanell"

    report, China's Presence in the Middle East and Western Indian Ocean: Beyond Belt and Road, "The mission of defending Chinese people and assets abroad is one of the new historic missions driving the PLA navy's expansion throughout the Middle East and Western Indian Ocean."

    Hudson Institute: "Transcript: The Rise of China's Navy: A Discussion with Capt. James Fanell"

  • May 21, 2019

    According to the CNA report, SOF and the Future of Global Competition, "It is essential that practitioners define and implement the most effective methods of promoting the American narrative around the world — and ensure that it has a greater integrity and resonance than its competitors' messages."

    National Defense Magazine: "News from SOFIC: Report: Special Operations Command Must Take Lead in Information Warfare"

  • May 21, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "At this point, it is going to be heaviest and fastest UAV [in Russian service] if and when fielded, but additional testing and evaluation will have to take place in order for this unmanned system to be fully functional."

    National Interest: "Russia's New Stealth Drone Looks like a B-2 Stealth Bomber. But Can It Fight?"

  • May 21, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Judging by the 'urban' purpose of this UAV, Russian military and security agency have a need for a technology that incapacitates the adversary either for capturing or for simply flushing him out of hiding."

    C4ISRNET: "Are Nonlethal Laser Drones the New Stun Guns?"

  • May 16, 2019

    According to the CNA report, Nuclear Arms Control Without a Treaty? Risks and Options After New START, "Without New START's cooperative transparency practices, the U.S. intelligence community would likely devote more resources to monitoring Russian strategic nuclear forces but have less insight and less confidence in its analytical judgements."

    Defense One: "Nuclear Weapons Are Getting Less Predictable, and More Dangerous"

  • May 16, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Russian nuclear strategy has a firm place for scalable employment of nuclear weapons, for demonstration, escalation management, warfighting, and war termination if need be."

    Defense One: "Nuclear Weapons Are Getting Less Predictable, and More Dangerous"

  • May 14, 2019

    Mark Rosen says, "The United States needs to perhaps take a leading role in trying to address the concerns of the displaced Chagossians and work with the Mauritian government to try and come up with a reasonable accommodation."

    Al Jazeera English: "Did the U.K. Steal the Chagos Islands?"

  • May 13, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says that the Russian military is "incorporating the lessons learned from that [Uran-9 vehicles] failure into the future generation of ground vehicles."

    Harvard Political Review: "The Modern Pen and the AI Sword"

  • May 13, 2019

    Scott Truver says, "They're [mines] very insidious. Once they're put in the water, they're very hard to detect and hard to defeat."

    Washington Post: "Pompeo Crashes Brussels Meeting of E.U. Diplomats but Changes Few Minds on Iran"

  • May 10, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "The advantage in using hydrogen-powered UAV is that it can operate without additional logistics or fuel infrastructure — the users simply pour water into fuel cartridge, and the resulting reaction releases hydrogen that can power this UAV for several hours."

    C4ISRNET: "Will the Russian Army Buy Hydrogen Fuel Cell Drones?"

  • May 6, 2019

    According to the CNA report, Unconstrained Foreign Direct Investment: An Emerging Challenge to Arctic Security, "Beijing has pumped an estimated $1.4 trillion in investments into Arctic nations, including Finland and Sweden, from 2005 to 2017."

    The Epoch Times: "U.S. Countering China and Russia in Arctic"

  • April 26, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Waving about carriers is a standard attempt at bolstering coercive credibility, but it is of limited utility when dealing with a continental land power."

    Military Times: "U.S. Rolls '100K Tons of International Diplomacy' into the Med. Will Russia Get the Message?"

  • April 25, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes that, "Countries whose leaders pursue infrastructure through debt financing have responsibility for those decisions and for sustainable economic policies."

    Tribune 242: "Stateside: Careful Picking Friends When Times Are Tough"

  • April 24, 2019

    Michael Connell says that it is unlikely Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz because, "To do so would give the United States, its coalition allies, and its Gulf partners a casus belli and lead to war, which would undoubtedly end badly for Iran, although everyone involved would suffer consequences."

    BBC: "Iran Oil Waivers: Is It About to Become More Expensive to Fill My Car?"

  • April 24, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "In spite of the provocative airborne and maritime activity concentrated in the area, the Russian forces built here are primarily defensive and aging."

    EuroZprvy: "Conflict with Russia Can Lead to Nuclear War, Experts Warn"

  • April 24, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "The Russian government saw what such free information access can do in other countries, and defensive [information operations] is now part of the defense strategy."

    Defense One: "Russians Will Soon Lose Uncensored Access to the Internet"

  • April 23, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "This is a 'dumb' rocket that has navigation that lets it hone in on the drone but no explosives — it just rams the UAS in the hope the damage is enough to bring it down."

    C4ISRNET: "If This Rocket Is so 'Dumb,' How Does It Ram Enemy Drones out of the Sky?"

  • April 19, 2019

    The author describes Peter Swartz's long career in service to our nation, "Joining CNA in the early 1990s, Swartz earned a reputation as an expert on Navy strategy, policy, and operations and on military history, organization, and culture."

    Pull Together: "Peter M. Swartz: Using Naval History to Develop Maritime Strategy"

  • April 17, 2019

    According to CNA data on Population Representation in the Military Services, "The Air Force has historically had the highest percentage of female service members among all the branches, but now the Navy is outpacing it, with women making up more than 25% of new enlistees." "Next CNO Wants to See More Women Getting Promoted to Captain, Admiral"

  • April 17, 2019

    Ken Gause speaks on Kim Jong-un's relationship with his sister Kim Yo-jong, saying, "The blood tie is everything. She is his most trusted adviser. At the end of the day, she is a person that he could rely on in a way that he cannot rely on any other adviser."

    CNN (Transcript): "CNN Newsroom" [03:50:04]

  • April 17, 2019

    Michael Kofman says the Wagner Group operates as, "a sort of public-private partnership between financiers like Prigozhin, and military intelligence, which helps arm, transport, and field these people in support of combat operations."

    BuzzFeed News: "Inside the Shadow War Fought by Russian Mercenaries"

  • April 11, 2019

    Vincent Manzo says, "These treaties help reduce suspicion and fear. They help both countries [The U.S. and Russia] have confidence that they have the forces they need today and out into the future."

    WNPV: "Scientist: Tumultuous Time for Arms Control"

  • April 10, 2019

    As part of the racial bias assessment, "CNA held several community meetings all over Charleston. Almost 300 people – 75 percent of whom were Black – attended and shared their insights, more meetings are planned."

    The Charleston Chronicle: "A Tale of Two Cities: Charleston and North Charleston's Approach to Policing Reform"

  • April 10, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says that Russia is, "being more flexible than ever before, they are taking risks they haven't taken before, and so Syria is a massive laboratory for Russian weapons development and testing."

    Defense & Aerospace Report: "Bendett, Kania & Watley on Chinese, Russian Artificial Intelligence, Autonomy"

  • April 4, 2019

    Ken Gause says North Korea is resorting to "thievery including cyberattacks to bring in funds."

    Voice of America: "U.S. Predicts More North Korea Cyber Heists to Fund WMDs"

  • April 3, 2019

    Michael Kofman says that the Russian military believes that electronic warfare "is part of the answer to U.S. dominance in precision weapons and airspace assault."

    Foreign Policy: "Russia Is Tricking GPS to Protect Putin"

  • April 1, 2019

    According to the CNA report, Nuclear Arms Control Without a Treaty? Risks and Options After New START, "The end of transparency and verification measures could generate mutual worst-case thinking and planning in the United States and Russia on strategic nuclear weapons."

    Carnegie-Tsinghua: "China in a World with No U.S.-Russia Treaty-Based Arms Control"

  • April 1, 2019

    In an article about the CNA study, Nuclear Arms Control Without A Treaty? Risks and Options after New START, Vince Manzo says, "Increased opacity between U.S. and Russian strategic nuclear forces would unfold within the broader context of growing mistrust and diverging perceptions about strategy, intentions, and perceptions."

    Reuters: "Treaty's End Would Give U.S., Russia Impetus to Make More Nukes: Study"

  • April 1, 2019

    Larry Lewis says, "When I was there the US and the UK certainly weren't on the operations floor, not regularly, only by invitation and that was kind of by exception."

    Channel 4 London: "Britain's Hidden War: Channel 4 Dispatches"

  • March 31, 2019

    Jeff Edmonds says, "The Russians have a clear overmatch from there and can overwhelm them quickly."

    The National Interest: "Europe's Worst Nightmare: Here's What a NATO-Russia War Would Look Like"

  • March 31, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "It would suggest to me that the possibility of the U.S. and North Korea interactions may be back on the table at least [through] some sort of back-channel."

    Voice of America: "US, North Korean Officials Cross Paths in Beijing"

  • March 31, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Russia's military modernization and force structure expansion had been ignoring the Baltic region until only recently."

    The National Interest: "Europe's Worst Nightmare: Here's What a NATO-Russia War Would Look Like"

  • March 30, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "It sounds quite unrealistic... the project doesn't make sense given the cost of refitting an SSGN or a ship to a SSGN is often equal to the price of building an entirely new one."

    The National Interest: "Russia's Typhoon Submarines are the Biggest Ever (Now Armed with 200 Cruise Missiles?)"

  • March 30, 2019

    Sam Bendett says, "It may have been [created as] a simple 'stop-gap' measure to help forces against small, cheap" systems.

    The Verge: "Russia's shotgun-firing drone is designed to shoot down enemy drones"

  • March 27, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "In terms of establishing viable air defenses against opponents with fifth generation aircraft, it's quite clear how Russia is trying to tackle the problem of stealth."

    The National Interest: "Stealth Slayer: How Russia's S-300, S-400 or S-500 Could Shootdown an F-22 Raptor"

  • March 25, 2019

    Denise Rodriguez says, "The community is key. The changes cannot be sustainable if the community isn't part of the process."

    The Post and Courier: "Want to Have a Say in Charleston's Police Racial Bias Audit? Here's How."

  • March 25, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "Basically, it makes more sense to spend money to bring the Tu-95 and Tu-160 fleets to higher operational readiness."

    The National Interest: "Russia Wants a New Stealth Bomber. It Won't Be Easy to Build for 1 Simple Reason."

  • March 25, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russians are increasingly deigning VTOL and tilt-rotor UAVs that would not need extensive logistics- or even limited linguistics, like a catapult."

    C4ISRNET: "Watch Russia's Shotgun Drone Shoot down a Model Airplane"

  • March 18, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says the Hunter-B UAV will likely be the "heaviest and fastest UAV [in Russian service] if and when fielded."

    The National Interest: "This Video Might Be the Future of Russia's Army: Armed Ground Robots"

  • March 17, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russians think that it's important to fight adversary drones not just from the ground via a number of electronic and kinetic countermeasures, but in the air itself."

    C4ISRNET: "Is It a Drone? or Is It a Rifle?"

  • March 14, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "If the South Koreans were able to get some sanctions relief and provide North Korea with some resources, maybe reopening the Gaeseong complex or Mount Geumgang, that could actually lay the path for better negotiations with the United States down the line if we just take a hard line against North Korea, and they go into a shell."

    The Korea Times: "Moon Advised to Play Role as 'Facilitator' in Denuke Talks"

  • March 14, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "There is precedent of intelligence agencies doing this to foreign embassies for [counterintelligence] reasons."

    Yahoo News: "New – and Unlikely – Allegations of Cia Links to North Korean Embassy Attack in Madrid"

  • March 14, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "In the near future, Russian soldiers may be able to 'link in' with a [unmanned combat aerial vehicle] to call in a strike — but that's years away at this point."

    C4ISRNET: "Are These the Humble Beginnings of an Iron Man Suit?"

  • March 11, 2019

    Zack Gold says, "Remnants of the group [ISIS] continue to shift around the northeast of the Sinai Peninsula while the military operates more statically."

    Middle East Online: "Egypt Still Fighting Jihadists in Sinai One Year On"

  • March 6, 2019

    Dov S. Zakheim writes, "Training, on the other hand, should no longer be an American mission, either for the military or for contractors. The Europeans may well be more successful in that regard; they could do no worse."

    The Hill: "America Failed in Training Afghan Security Forces - Europe Might Do Better"

  • March 6, 2019

    Larry Lewis says, "The consequences of that are seen in Mosul and Raqqa, where the risk to civilians grew and grew, and there were no adjustments made."

    Washington Post: "Trump Administration Alters Obama-Era Bill on Civilian Casualties in U.S. Airstrikes"

  • March 6, 2019

    Michael McDevitt says, "Between 1950 and 1953, the U.S. Air Force and Navy flattened North Korea, so the NORKS have had 65 years to think about how to make sure that does not happen again and dig lots of bomb proof shelters and tunnels,"

    The National Interest: "Stealth Strike: North Korea vs. America's F-22, F-35 and B-2 Bombers"

  • March 5, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "They don't really have a lot of other good news stories to talk about in the last two years,"

    Foreign Policy: "Russia's New Missiles Are Aimed at the U.S."

  • March 4, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "While they may lack the funding, and some of the defense-industrial base, they're keeping abreast of what sort of nextgen capabilities might enter the battlefield."

    The National Interest: "Forget the F-22: Russia's 6th Generation Fighter Will Burn out 'the Eyes' of Missiles"

  • March 4, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "This sentiment and development path is in line with recent Russian statement that the country's military is developing AI-powered weapons with the ability to identify and engage targets."

    C4ISRnet: "Russian System Uses Infantry to Spot for Robots"

  • March 4, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "But given the usefulness of supercomputing technology for developing AI and military weapons — two areas of intense interest to leader Vladimir Putin — it will be interesting to track the use of Western technology in future machines."

    Defense One: "Russia's New 'AI Supercomputer' Runs on Western Technology"

  • March 1, 2019

    Maggie Hickey, chosen to oversee the consent decree, says, "We know this is a pivotal time in our city's history and the Schiff Hardin-CNA team looks forward to working with our communities, CPD, the city and the state, Judge Coar, and Judge Dow, to make Chicago a safer city."

    Chicago Sun-Times: "Former Federal Prosecutor Picked to Oversee Chicago Police Consent Decree"

  • March 1, 2019

    Satu Limaye writes, "What the alliance needs now is not new, expanded binding commitments but more explicitly expressed political commitment to the alliance concretely exhibited through the implementation of a range of already agreed alliance activities."

    Philippine Star: "Commentary: A Renegotiated Mutual Defense Treaty Is Neither Simple nor a Panacea for Bilateral Ties"

  • February 28, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russia will develop its own systems as a result of this export ban, but that may take some time. This announcement also demonstrates that despite the sanctions, the Russian high-tech industry was still able to get what it needed."

    Defense One: "Russia's Pistol-Packing Robot Is Scrambling for Parts"

  • February 26, 2019

    Dov S. Zakheim writes, "Having to face a coalition that includes three respected former generals so fundamentally changed the prime minister's calculus that he had to reach out to a group that hitherto was politically untouchable."

    The Hill: "Bibi Could Win with Risky Gamble, but U.S. and Israel Could Lose"

  • February 26, 2019

    Jeffrey Edmonds and Samuel Bendett write, "Any potential conflict with Moscow will feature a military that is better able to understand, process, and contest the battlespace information environment, posing significant challenges for U.S. and allied forces."

    RealClearDefense: "Russian Battlefield Awareness and Information Dominance: Improved Capabilities and Future Challenges"

  • February 26, 2019

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "Our differences are not just a matter of personalities and they aren't just the temperament of the day. They are the result of fundamentally different views of how countries should act in the world, conflicting national interests, and how our respective countries define our national priorities."

    Military Simulation and Training Magazine: "The European Defense Environment; Training and Readiness"

  • February 26, 2019

    Ken Gause says some intermediary steps toward a formal peace treaty involve "increasing concessions on both sides to a point when a grand bargain – denuclearization for security and economic guarantees – can take place."

    Voice of America: "Will Trump Offer Peace Declaration as Tradeoff for North Korea's Denuclearization?"

  • February 26, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "Kim Yo-jong's role will be as a protector for her brother within the regime. It's someone that he will rely on to basically keep an eye on the regime and make sure that no one can move against him."

    CNN (Transcript): "The Situation Room" [17:50:01]

  • February 26, 2019

    Ken Gause writes, "This summit may possibly mark a fundamental change in U.S. strategy toward North Korea. Denuclearization may be replaced with a peace regime."

    The Hill: "No 'Missouri Moment' at North Korea Summit, but Perhaps a Chance for Peace"

  • February 24, 2019

    Jeffery Peterson says, "The most important language in the world is the language of the person you're trying to speak with."

    Military: "Targeted Messaging: Military Recruiters Getting Creative to Reach Gen Z"

  • February 22, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, " It will be interesting to see how they're going to be using some of those systems used in Syria on the larger scale."

    Defense & Aerospace Report: "CNA's Bendett on Latest Russian Uran, Okhotnik, Carnivora Unmanned Ground, Air Systems"

  • February 21, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "If the United States is planning on going in there and trying to make some headway on denuclearization, they will probably not say anything about human rights, or keep it to a minimum."

    Voice of America: "Trump-Kim Summit Seen Unlikely to Touch on Human Rights"

  • February 20, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "An unmanned aircraft that can patrol the top of the world for four days leads a growing list of Arctic-themed drone-engineering projects either planned or underway by Russian defense labs and aircraft manufacturers."

    Defense One: "Russia Plans More Arctic UAVs"

  • February 19, 2019

    Ken Gause says, “If you have an environment that is steeped in corruption, whatever you plant in that environment will die."

    The Wall Street Journal: “Kim Jong Un Purges Wealthy Elite and Opponents of Outreach to U.S.”

  • February 18, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Moscow's experience in Syria underscored that point — despite fielding a large number of [intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance] drones that enabled Russian to be more precise in combat, the majority of targets were hit by manned aviation or manned artillery forces."

    The National Interest: "The Company That Makes the AK-47 Is Now Building Suicide Drones"

  • February 17, 2019

    According to the CNA survey, Soldier Perspectives on Small Arms in Combat “Eighty-nine percent of the 817 soldiers who had used the M-4 in combat said they were satisfied with the weapon.”

    The National Interest: “Back in 2008, the U.S. Army's M4 Rifle Failed Badly in a Tough Shootout”

  • February 14, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "The emergence of such technologies is changing the approaches to the conduct of hostilities and will have serious consequences for the personnel of the armed forces, military tactics and state policy in this area."

    Valdai Discussion Club: "Battle Robots Rivalry and the Future of War"

  • February 12, 2019

    Larry Lewis says, “It's coming out with a very strong stance saying there are virtuous uses of AI”

    Axios: “The Pentagon's Alluring AI Pitch to Silicon Valley”

  • February 8, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, “While they may lack the funding, and some of the defense-industrial base, they're keeping abreast of what sort of nextgen capabilities might enter the battlefield.”

    The National Interest: “The F-22 and F-35 Are Ancient History: Russia's 6th Generation Fighter Could Be Revolutionary”

  • February 7, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "Right now we have to wait to see what the U.S. is willing to put on the table. Until we know that, it's hard to predict what North Korea will do."

    Yonhap News: "Analysts Brace for Trump Card at Next N. Korea Summit"

  • February 5, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, “The Ministry of Defense said on several occasions that this UGV performed well in Syria, so we are to expect that these 12 are not the last vehicles of its kind to enter Russian service. The Ministry feels confident enough with Uran-6 to start accepting it into service. In Syria, it did not experience the range of issues that plagued Uran-9 trials.”

    C4ISRNET: ‘Russia Orders a Dozen New Demining Robots”

  • February 4, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg says that Russia has sought to ameliorate its relative lack of surface warfare capabilities through cruise missiles, which are “seen as force multipliers capable of offsetting the Russian shortfalls in ship numbers and quality”

    The National Interest: “Contested Waters: Great Power Naval Competition in the 21st Century”

  • February 4, 2019

    Larry Lewis provide his expert opinion on reducing civilian casualties.

    Washington Post:  “After Bloody Insurgent Wars, Pentagon Launches Effort to Prevent Civilian Deaths”

  • February 4, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, “Not only are they far faster so they are incredibly difficult to intercept, but they also have very low fly time so there’s very little warning or possibility for the defending side to do much of anything about it.”

    CNN: “Putin Wants 'Supersonic' Missile After Treaty Suspension”

  • January 31, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, “While the private sector in Russia has achieved success in image and speech recognition, the military has been pursuing its own AI development for a variety of weapons such as aircraft, missiles, electronic warfare, radars and unmanned systems.”

    Defense One: “Putin Orders Up a National AI Strategy”

  • January 30, 2019

    According to the CNA report, The Role of Special Operations Forces in Global Competition, “"Special operations forces have a greater role to play in today's global competition through a counteractive approach to adversary maneuvers." “As Russia, China Threaten, Navy Seals Get a New Focus”

  • January 30, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, “Eventually, he got a massive contract for feeding the Russian military and the Russian armed forces, which is probably where most of his money comes from.”

    NPR: “'Putin's Chef' Has His Fingers In Many Pies, Critics Say”

  • January 30, 2019

    Michael Kofman writes, “The Russian Airborne Forces (VDV) compose one of the more important instruments in the General Staff’s toolkit, serving as a rapid reaction force for local conflicts, supporting special operations, or striking behind enemy lines in a conventional war.”

    Russia Military Analysis: “Rethinking the Structure and Role of Russia’s Airborne Forces”

  • January 29, 2019

    Ken Gause says, “They [Russia] have aspirations to build a gas pipeline that extends through North Korea all the way down to South Korea, for example. They share a border with North Korea and want a say in how security in Northeast Asia evolves.”

    The Washington Post: “Russia Secretly Offered North Korea a Nuclear Power Plant, Officials Say”

  • January 28, 2019

    Bill Rosenau says that the right-wing interest reflects “a certain amount of obsession that I don’t see how it’s possibly justified. I think the fact that the members are Muslim and almost all African-American is a source of a lot of the anxiety. I think it’s straight up religious and racial fear.”

    The New York Times: “They Created a Muslim Enclave in Upstate N.Y. Then Came the Online Conspiracies”

  • January 28, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, “Going into Syria in 2015, Russia was lacking a key combat element — the ability to hit targets quickly following their identification, one of the key functions of [unmanned combat air vehicles] around the world today.”

    The National Interest: “Russia's Next Deadly Weapon: A Stealth, Jet-Powered Robot Warplane”

  • January 24, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, “In reality, [the] Uran-9 tests in Syria should have garnered major attention from all major Russian news outlets, given how proud Russian [sic] are of their remote-controlled tank.”

    Task and Purpose: “Russia's Robot Tank Sucks, But Its Military Is Adopting It Anyway”

  • January 23, 2019

    Micahel Kofman says, “The Russian military is configured very differently from expeditionary powers like the United States.”

    The Wall Street Journal: “The New Iron Curtain: Russian Missile Defense Challenges U.S. Air Power”

  • January 22, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, “This is a unique design. [We] have not seen anything similar yet, but Russian defense industry officials recently stated that there are no fewer than 17 [underwater unmanned vehicle] designs presently under development in Russia.”

    C4ISRNET: “Russia Tests ‘Underwater Quadcopter’ for Cold Water Exploration”

  • January 19, 2019

    Alarik Fritz says, “The submarine force that they have is essentially their capital ships. “They’re a concern for us and they’re highly capable—and they’re a very agile tool of the Russian military.”

    The National Interest: “Back in 2017, 2 Russian Nuclear Submarines 'Fired' Torpedoes at Each Other”

  • January 18, 2019

    Ken Gause says, “There are fundamental problems that still exist that would have to be overcome if you're going to have a successful summit. It's obvious the two sides disagree on what denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula means.”

    Yonhap News: “U.S. Remains Silent Hours Ahead of Top N.K. Official's Visit”

  • January 16, 2019

    Ken Gause says, “I think the North Koreans have come to the conclusion that the only one they can deal with is Trump.”

    The Washington Post: “Trump Could Announce a Second Summit With North Korean Leader Within Days”

  • January 14, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, “While Ukraine has many UAV – as well as UCAV — plans, only few projects came to fruition, such as several small ISR models currently in use in the country’s east.”

    Defense One: “Ukraine Is Buying New Combat Drones…From Turkey”

  • January 11, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says that these submarines can “operate on the sea floor in many parts of the global ocean.”

    Defense One: “Russia’s Special Operators Are Getting Futuristic Mini-Subs”

  • January 11, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, “The fact that there are no limitations on what vessel can carry it where means that there would be fewer limitations for the Russian special forces to act, via this deep-diving vessel.”

    Defense One: “Russia’s Special Operators Are Getting Futuristic Mini-Subs”

  • January 9, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says, “I do see this trend of ‘by, with and through’ not just being applied in places where the government is very weak. The US wouldn’t be conducting direct military operations but it could certainly enable a partner nation force. If you look at Jordan or the UAE, they certainly have very capable forces.”

    Al Monitor: ‘Congress Plans New Challenge to President’s War Powers Amid Syria Pullout”

  • January 9, 2019

    Ken Gause says, “Before Kim Jong-un meets with Trump, he is going to want to hear China's thoughts on the second summit. He will also want promises from China on what Beijing is willing to do if a second summit does not happen or does not go well.”

    Yonhap News Agency: “N.K. Leader Shows China May Be 'New Way’”

  • January 9, 2019

    Samuel Bendett and Dmitry Gorenburg discussed Russian weapons systems.

    VOA News: “New Weapons of Russia: A Real Threat, Proven in Syria” [Russian]

  • January 8, 2019

    Ken Gause says, “Before Kim Jong-un meets with Trump, he is going to want to hear China's thoughts on the second summit. He will also want promises from China on what Beijing is willing to do if a second summit does not happen or does not go well.”

    Yonhap News Agency: “N.K. Leader Shows China May Be 'New Way’”

  • January 7, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says, “From the data we gathered, we were able to recreate the paths of the submarines.”

    Chemical and Engineering News: “Career Ladder: Jonathan Schroden”

  • January 6, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, “There are a number of [counter-unmanned aerial systems (C-UAS)] technologies that Russian law enforcement has at its disposal ? they have been ‘battle-tested' during the 2018 World Cup held across the country.”

    C4ISRNET: “Russia Will Counter Drones Over Moscow With ... Its Own Drones”

  • January 5, 2019

    Lauren Dickey says, “It merits watching how Chinese tactics toward Taiwan have evolved — and will likely continue to evolve — as a way to analyze how Chinese efforts to coerce or influence may manifest in other countries.”

    The New York Times: “Taiwan’s President, Defying Xi Jinping, Calls Unification Offer ‘Impossible’”

  • January 2, 2019

    Ken Gause says, “The speech was designed to put the ball in the U.S. court. "North Korea is done making concessions. Now we have to wait for the White House's response to see how we will move forward.”

    Yonhap News: “N.K. Leader Puts Onus on Trump to Resolve Nuclear Impasse”

  • August 8, 2019

    Vince Manzo says, "Deterrence and arms control are two tools that should work in concert with each other, they should be self-reinforcing and part of a comprehensive strategy for reducing nuclear dangers and nuclear risks."

    USSTRATCOM Deterrence Symposium 2019: During the Cold War US & Russia constrained nuclear capability via arms control. Are there areas today to consider similar mutual restraint in a multi-polar world?

  • December 31, 2019

    Madison Estes writes, "Novel employment of dual-capable offensive technologies, such as hypersonic weaponry, have emerged alongside this increased vulnerability and threaten to exacerbate force survivability concerns."

    Royal United Services Institute: "New Futures for Nuclear Arms Control: Hypersonic Weapons"

  • December 30, 2019

    Dov S. Zakheim writes, "The papers detailed by the Post portray a government that continued to fool itself into believing that it could win the Afghan war even as it fought concurrently in Iraq — and expected to win that war, too. 

    The Hill: "What Went Wrong in Afghanistan"

  • December 29, 2019

    Dov S. Zakheim says, "Had we not taken our eye off the ball in Afghanistan and gone into Iraq, we probably wouldn't have an Afghanistan problem now."

    Defense & Aerospace Report: "Year/Decade End Roundtable" [15:01]

  • December 29, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "The changes that were undertaken by the Russian military were first of all a direct result of Russia's performance in the war against Georgia in 2008 and all of the deficiencies that were exposed, and then Russia's reaction to and involvement in Crimea and Syria."

    Defense & Aerospace Report: "Year/Decade End Roundtable" [40:59]

  • December 16, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden writes, "The vast majority of these officials were not lying or delusional — they were aggressively pursuing objectives that were mostly incoherent or unachievable and doing their best to make sense of information that was, as a result, often conflicting or incoherent itself."

    War on the Rocks: "There Was No "Secret War on the Truth" in Afghanistan"

  • December 16, 2019

    Michael Kofman writes, "Today, when taken together, spending by Russia and China is roughly equal to U.S. defense expenditure, with Russia representing a much larger share than previously recognized."

    War on the Rocks: "Why Russian Military Expenditure Is Much Higher Than Commonly Understood (As Is China's)"

  • December 10, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes, "The idea that Sri Lanka can swing toward a pro-India or a pro-China disposition with a change of leadership belies the constraints on smaller South Asian states in a region that is still dominated by India and increasingly contested by China — and where other major powers such as the United States and Japan play critical roles."

    East Asia Forum: "Sri Lanka's Foreign Policy in a New Rajapaksa Era"

  • December 9, 2019

    Dov S. Zakheim writes, "Iran appears to be exploiting Iraq's political crisis by moving medium-range missiles into the country, where they are under the protection of the militias that it controls."

    The Hill: "Iraq's Riots Threaten Iran's Plan for Middle East Dominance"

  • December 9, 2019

    Larry Lewis writes, "Despite commitments made to the international community and in its own AI strategy, the Pentagon has done little to act on promises to address safety risks unique to the technology of AI or to use AI to enhance safety in conflict."

    War on the Rocks: "AI Safety: Charting out the High Road"

  • November 25, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "The Russian state's relationship with its budding private sector has been mixed at best, and it will be interesting to observe how much Russian entrepreneurs will put their trust in government institutions."

    Defense One: "Russia's AI Quest Is State-Driven — Even More Than China's. Can It Work?"

  • November 21, 2019

    Dov S. Zakheim writes, "Its [Hong Kong's] equity, debt and currency markets, combined with its reputation for upholding the rule of law and enforcing contracts, have made it a far more attractive alternative to Shanghai and other potential Chinese financial centers that can be manipulated by the authorities in Beijing. "

    The Hill: "Hong Kong's Crisis Is Not over — nor Are Xi's Troubles"

  • November 17, 2019

    Alarik Fritz says, "The submarine force that they have is essentially their capital ships."

    The National Interest: "Back in 2017, Russian Nuclear Submarines Fired Torpedoes at Each Other"

  • November 12, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "The end result is a relatively coherent picture of the world as a chaotic place and of Russia as a stabilizing agent within it."

    Russian Military Reform: "Russian Foreign Policy Narratives"

  • November 10, 2019

    Jerry Meyerle writes, "The abrupt withdrawal from Syria and cynical disregard for the Kurds' contribution to the ISIS fight will undermine that trust and put U.S. forces and their missions at risk."

    Defense One: "Betraying the Kurds Makes Things Harder for U.S. Operators Everywhere"

  • October 30, 2019

    Lauren Dickey writes, "The administration's decision to go forward with sales of these advanced systems further suggests that it is unafraid of potential blowback from China and seeks to treat U.S.-Taiwan security ties independently of U.S.-China relations."

    The National Bureau of Asian Research: "Change and Continuity in U.S.-Taiwan Security Ties"

  • October 29, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "China and Russia are seeking to develop and demonstrate the dividends from a new model for scientific cooperation that relies less and less on foreign, and especially American, expertise and technology, instead seeking independence in innovation and pursuing developments that may have strategic implications."

    Australian Strategic Policy Institute: "A New Sino-Russian High-Tech Partnership"

  • October 29, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "Today, like-minded democracies must recognise the threats from advances in and the diffusion of technologies that can be used to empower autocratic regimes. "

    Real Clear Defense: "A New Sino-Russian High-Tech Partnership Emerges as U.S. Tensions Mount"

  • October 21, 2019

    Peter Perla, Web Ewell, Christopher Ma, Justin Peachey, Jeremy Sepinsky, and Basil Tripsas write, "Instead of imposing the tenets of systems analysis and operations research on wargaming, or those of wargaming on analysis, it is time for the Department — not their supporting contractors and institutions — to recognize the essential need to integrate all the intellectual tools at its disposal across all levels of decisions."

    War on the Rocks: "Rolling the Iron Dice: From Analytical Wargaming to the Cycle of Research"

  • October 13, 2019

    Umida Hashimova says on the role of women in Uzbekistan "as in any Central Asian country, their representation is way below its potential."

    Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty: "Majlis Podcast: The Role of Women in Central Asian Governments" [3:30]

  • October 7, 2019

    Dov S. Zakheim writes, "Berger's plan is to emphasize the Marines' role in the Indo-Pacific theater and to develop forces that could effectively confront an increasingly capable Chinese military.

    The Hill: "For the Marines, a New Commandant Sees a New Corps, in a New Era of Warfare"

  • October 4, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "This policy support for collaboration in innovation has manifested in bilateral dialogues and exchanges, the development of industrial science and technology parks, and the expansion of academic cooperation between the Russian and Chinese Academies of Sciences."

    Defense One: "China, Russia Deepen Technological Ties"

  • October 1, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "Much, however, will depend on the way the Russian government—the biggest investor in the national AI development—will manage the human, administrative, and material resources and challenges necessary for this hi- tech work."

    Fairchild Series: "The Development of Artificial Intelligence in Russia"

  • September 27, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes, "Canberra's diplomatic, legal, and military approaches to management of the Indian Ocean part of the Indo-Pacific region will continue to be vital for US interests."

    The Interpreter: "A U.S. View on Australia's Role in the Indian Ocean"

  • September 27, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "Today, this center [Center for Artificial Inteligence] aims to foster partnerships among the nation's leading state-run and private companies and universities."

    Defense One: "Russia's National AI Center Is Taking Shape"

  • September 20, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "The Russian strategy is based on the idea of being a major thorn in the side of the United States and hoping that over time, the United States will be irritated enough, or exhausted enough, to be willing to close out the competition and negotiate."

    Kennan Institute: "Guns, Butter, and Russia's Enduring Power"

  • September 19, 2019

    Paul J. Saunders writes, "Preserving and strengthening America's international influence in today's competitive world requires engagement with a range of nations, including those that we disagree with on many issues."

    The National Interest: "Oil Supply Showdown: Why America Must Stand Beside Its Saudi Partner"

  • September 18, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "By building up its naval forces, Russia is hoping to circumscribe NATO access to the region, protect Russia's southern flank, and assist its current and potential future client states in the region."

    Russian Military Reform: "Russia's Naval Strategy in the Mediterranean"

  • September 11, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "Russia's main peacetime goals in the Nordic region involve preventing further military integration of the Nordic states with NATO."

    Russian Military Reform: "Strategic Russian Strategic Decision-Making in a Nordic Crisis"

  • September 10, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "It rather optimistically envisions collaboration among the academic and state-supported projects already working on different aspects of AI."

    Defense One: "Sneak Preview: First Draft of Russia's AI Strategy"

  • September 9, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden says, "I think the Taliban will insist on still having that agreement be reached with the U.S. before they will sit down with the Afghan government."

    France 24: "Impossible Deal? Trump's Aborted Afghanistan Peace Plan"

  • September 6, 2019

    Andrew Taffer writes, "Beijing is aware of the dramatic asymmetry in interests between the United States and Japan in the dispute, and that Washington, lacking inherent interests in the islands, is eager to avoid a potentially cataclysmic conflict with China over them."

    RealClear Defense: "China's Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands Ploy to Undercut the U.S.-Japan Alliance"

  • September 5, 2019

    Michael Kofman writes, "Russian strategy flows from a coherent vision about the relationship of technology, operational art, and strategy."

    War on the Rocks: "It's Time to Talk About A2/Ad: Rethinking the Russian Military Challenge"

  • September 3, 2019

    Jason McNamara says, "One of the things I've been working on is really looking at what could the impacts be? What could the impacts to the supply chain be? Where will our most vulnerable populations be? To predict where the trouble spots will be right after the disaster passes by."

    MSNBC: "Former FEMA Director: The 'Uncertainty' of Hurricane Dorian Is the Most Significant Threat"

  • September 3, 2019

    Sarah Vogler writes, "Kim could put pressure on the United States and South Korea for a favorable negotiating position by conducting new tests of the Pukkuksong, or by demonstrating the ability to mate an SSB with an SLBM."

    The Hill: "A North Korean Sub with Nuclear Missiles Raises the Stakes"

  • September 2, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "The results unearthed by the Platforma team hint at a fundamentally different reality that is beginning to emerge as a result between people and increasingly sophisticated and self aware machines."

    Defense One: "What Russian Chatbots Think About Us"

  • August 30, 2019

    Joshua Tallis says, "If we don't think strategically about how you manage and address challenges at the low-end we run the significant risk of failing to respond appropriately when issues arise."

    CIMSEC: "Forum for Authors and Readers" [33:33]

  • August 30, 2019

    Madison Estes says, "If U.S. allies, particularly within NATO that have really large anti-nuclear domestic constituencies, perceive that the United States is mismanaging this relationship with Russia and not really putting forward a serious nuclear risk-reduction strategy, it might become more difficult to really unite NATO allies around a common security strategy."

    CIMSEC: "Forum for Authors and Readers" [1:35:25]

  • August 26, 2019

    Dov Zakheim writes, "The Pentagon culture tends to reflect an inbuilt inertia that militates against the introduction of new systems until there is no alternative, which is now the case."

    The Hill: "Putin Built a Hypersonic Arsenal, While the Pentagon Slept"

  • August 20, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg and Kasey Stricklin write, "Understanding the background and preferences of those who are likely to be the next set of leaders of the Russian armed forces thus can give analysts a better idea of how it will develop over the next two decades."

    War On The Rocks: "A Guide to Becoming an Admiral in the Russian Navy"

  • August 14, 2019

    Mark Rosen writes, "Driving a wedge between Russia and China in the Arctic needs to be the highest policy priority in the administration versus FON operations in the remote NSR."

    The National Interest: "Will China Freeze America out of the Arctic?"

  • August 13, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "That's the biggest news, the Russians are using unmanned ground vehicles to try and clean up the aftermath of that explosion."

    Defense & Aerospace Report: "CNA's Bendett on Russian Explosions, Unmanned Systems, Russian Drone Okhotnik"

  • August 12, 2019

    Dov S. Zakheim  writes, "At a time when American reliability is being questioned around the world, signaling uncertainty about America's ability to defend Taiwan would further undermine Washington's standing as a credible ally, especially in East Asia."

    The Hill: "If China Crushes Hong Kong, Is Taiwan Next?"

  • August 5, 2019

    Ken Gause writes, "We need to shift our North Korea strategy from one of a zero-sum game on the Korean Peninsula (full verifiable and irreversible denuclearization, or FVID) to one of a larger, regional strategy aimed at dealing with the rise of China."

    The Hill: "Trump Has the Right Idea on North Korea, but Needs to Change Strategy"

  • August 5, 2019

    Lt. Cdr. Steven Wills writes, "The LCS class was a great leap forward, and in retrospect, it may have pushed too many new frontiers for either the Navy or the 1960s-era defense acquisition system to support."

    USNI Proceedings: "7 Myths About LCS"

  • July 31, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "Russia's investments in artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies that can help its soldiers counter the physical, cognitive, and operational challenges of urban warfare and perform better in future conflicts deserve closer attention."

    War on the Rocks: Russian AI-Enabled Combat: Coming to a City Near You?

  • July 30, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes, "Laying the groundwork for a commission is a necessary first step in addressing the environmental, humanitarian, and geopolitical threats that will only continue to rise in the Brahmaputra River Basin."

    Hindustan Times: "Needed: A Trilateral Pact on the Brahmaputra River"

  • July 28, 2019

    Vincent Manzo and Madison Estes write, "Verifiable limits on strategic nuclear forces remain valuable, but the spectrum of weapons and actors that could trigger arms competitions and nuclear conflict has expanded beyond the narrow U.S.-Russian arms control framework."

    Defense One: "If New START Dies, These Questions Will Need Answers"

  • July 25, 2019

    Zack Gold and William Rosenau write, "The Cold War and the Global War on Terror suggest that the future of conflict will more likely be limited to indirect skirmishes at the fringes of great-power influence."

    Defense One: "The Future of Conflict Is Proxy Warfare, Again"

  • July 15, 2019

    Mark Rosen says, "In the space environment there has to be a direct link, a genuine link, between a flag state and the actor that's in the outer space."

    Aerospace: "Changing Spaces and Places: National Security Space in a Time of Transition" (13:09)

  • July 12, 2019

    Dawn Thomas says, "The generation of kids right now are doing a lot online in school, so it seems not easy but doable that that teaching that savviness can be built in while they're using screens at school to question what you're seeing."

    Defense One Radio: "Cyberwarfare Today" (24:22)

  • July 11, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says, "The Brahmaputra on its own holds high political and geological stakes for three key countries in Asia—China, India, and Bangladesh, none of which have a water-sharing agreement between them for this river's resources."

    The National Bureau of Asian Research: "Navigating Opportunities for Cooperation on the Brahmaputra River"

  • July 11, 2019

    Satu Limaye says, "An overlooked element for India is the need for coordination of perspectives and positions within the country—especially between the two key northeastern states (Arunachal Pradesh and Assam) through which the river runs and the central government in New Delhi."

    The National Bureau of Asian Research: "Navigating Opportunities for Cooperation on the Brahmaputra River"

  • July 8, 2019

    Andrew Taffer writes, "The only essential characteristic of gray zone behavior should be that it pose a moderate risk of eruption."

    Foreign Policy Research Institute: "Persistent Problems with the Gray Zone and an Old Way Forward"

  • July 3, 2019

    Michael Kofman writes, "What we can see is that fires remain a problem aboard Russian submarines, even the most specialized ones with crews that consist entirely of experienced officers."

    Russia Military Analysis: "Fire Aboard AS-31 Losharik: Brief Overview"

  • July 1, 2019

    Ken Gause says the Trump-Kim meeting , "was also part of a process to try to resuscitate the negotiations between the US and North Korea, which had been inactive."

    La Tercera: "An Unprecedented Appointment Between the US and North Korea"

  • June 30, 2019

    Michael Kofman writes, "In his time, Ogarkov sought to reform how the military approached war at the operational and strategic level, unifying the work of the service headquarters and the general staff."

    Changing Character of War Centre: "The Ogarkov Reforms: The Soviet Inheritance Behind Russia's Military Transformation"

  • June 26, 2019

    Joshua Tallis says, "We can talk about countering piracy, we can talk about countering terrorism, we can talk about countering narcotics and human trafficking, but how do we talk about the coherence of maritime insecurity?"

    Hudson Institute: "Maritime Irregular Warfare: Preparing to Meet Hybrid Maritime Threats"

  • June 24, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "The past seven years of developments across the Russian defense sector indicate that as the Russian military matures to more advanced tech levels, the United States would have to eventually face a more effective and capable adversary."

    Fletcher Security Review: "The Rise of Russia's Hi-Tech Military"

  • June 21, 2019

    Michael Kofman writes, "The church's conversion into a pillar of state ideology and the military's doctrinal acceptance of the organization's utility offer good evidence that both the nuclear priesthood and the broader doctrine of nuclear orthodoxy will outlast the current regime."

    War on the Rocks: "Blessed Be Thy Nuclear Weapons: The Rise of Russian Nuclear Orthodoxy"

  • June 21, 2019

    Vincent Manzo writes, "Current U.S. limited nuclear response options are consolidated on platforms that face near-term challenges from Russian defenses and whose replacements programs are set to arrive on tight timelines."

    Defense One: "A Closer Look at the Arguments Against the Low-Yield SLBM"

  • June 19, 2019

    David Finkelstein writes, "With these three publications, DoD has placed into the public domain an impressive amount of information and analysis about the Chinese military."

    USNI Proceedings: "Everything You Need to Know About the Chinese Military If You Don't Read Chinese"

  • June 17, 2019

    Joshua Tallis writes, "These forecasts are unequivocally telling us that dense, networked, and littoral communities are an emerging global force."

    CIMSEC: "The Case for Maritime Security in an Era of Great Power Competition"

  • June 4, 2019

    Larry Lewis says, "We may think it's expedient to take the gloves off but if you look at history . . . if you take a heavy-handed approach, you actually can hurt yourself in the long term." [15:57]

    Slate's The Gist: "Saving Civilians, and the Mission"

  • May 30, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes, "New Delhi's prerogatives are a factor in the smaller South Asian (SSA) countries' decision making that cannot be underestimated, despite China's expanding range of activities in the region."

    Forbes: "India, Not China, Is Still the Dominant Power in South Asia"

  • May 30, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "Once that system [Okhotnik] is part of the Russian military then some of the equations related to the Russian military concept of operations and tactics will have to change because Russia will gain a very interesting and very capable aerial vehicle." [8:20]

    Defense & Aerospace Report: "CNA's Bendett on New Systems Revealed During Russia's 2019 Victory Day"

  • May 30, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "More funding is also necessary, Putin said, both from state coffers and by wooing investors through public-private cooperation."

    Defense One: "Putin Drops Hints About Upcoming National AI Strategy"

  • May 27, 2019

    Michael Kofman writes, "The fighter will allow Russia to attain qualitative air superiority over a 4th generation air force, and work with its own integrated air defense to counter penetrating stealth aircraft."

    Russia Military Analysis: "Russia's SU-57 Fighter Program – It's Worth Following"

  • May 17, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden writes, "The command is no longer primarily interested in counter-insurgency, but rather is now focused on making the Taliban bleed."

    War on the Rocks: "Military Pressure and Body Counts in Afghanistan"

  • May 17, 2019

    Ken Gause says, "We saw through 2016 and 2017 when North Korea wasn't able to get satisfaction to their diplomatic charm campaign, which they tried through 2013 into 2015, so they started doing nuclear tests and missile tests."

    Korean Kontext: "Why North Korea Won't Budge: Ken Gause" [4:40]

  • May 14, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "This year, Moscow will join a growing number of global cities whose populations are monitored by AI-enabled facial recognition programs."

    Defense One: "Moscow to Weave AI Face Recognition into Its Urban Surveillance Net"

  • May 5, 2019

    Dov S. Zakheim writes, "Other Russian projects that are in their earliest development stages, but whose American and/or Chinese equivalents are closer to being fielded, would be likely targets for Russian-supported U.N. restrictive guidelines."

    The Hill: "Russia's Sudden Change of Heart on AI"

  • May 3, 2019

    Michael Kofman says, "The debate on relative military power and expectations of the future military balance is terribly warped by a low-information environment."

    Defense News: "Russian Defense Spending Is Much Larger, and More Sustainable Than It Seems"

  • May 1, 2019

    Peter Swartz says, "Part of the reason I don't finish is because I read something else that gets me mad, and causes me to reflect, and I charge off researching that instead of finishing up the last piece."

    Proceedings: "A Naval Strategist Speaks"

  • May 1, 2019

    Peter Swartz says, "The CNA guys were using open sources, Russian open sources, and pooh-poohed for that. And it turned out that the Russian open sources, for the very reasons that they had always argued, turned out to be the most accurate place to go for your stuff."

    U.S. Naval Institute: "Proceedings Podcast Episode 78 - Peter Swartz Talks Naval Strategy" [36:33]

  • May 1, 2019

    Peter Swartz writes, "While Mobley unearths more fascinating early war plans, and Hone gives us more at-sea combat actions, both books are really about the development of the thinking of previous generations of U.S. Navy officers."

    Proceedings: "Progressives in Navy Blue and Learning War Book Reviews"

  • May 1, 2019

    Scott Truver writes, "If the Navy is serious about competing in and winning this latest strategic competition, then both the appetite and the aperture for change will have to accelerate."

    Proceedings: "The U.S. Navy in Review"

  • April 30, 2019

    Michael Kofman writes, "Moscow's strategic outlook has always been shaped as much by perceptions of vulnerability, threats foreign and domestic, as it has by ambition and a drive for recognition."

    Russia Military Analysis: "Drivers of Russian Grand Strategy"

  • April 29, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes, "Despite the limits of China's current presence and the challenges to its expansion, U.S. policymakers should not ignore the possibility that Chinese activities to secure the Maritime Silk Road could increase and destabilize the region."

    The National Bureau of Asian Research: "Securing the Maritime Silk Road in South Asia and the Indian Ocean"

  • April 25, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "The ensuing months have brought many announcements on the use of AI in various weapons. All this makes Patrushev's statement all the more surprising."

    Defense One: "Did Russia Just Concede a Need to Regulate Military AI?"

  • April 23, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "The protection of the state and nation through armed force has been portrayed as a holy act that is highly compatible with religious belief and spiritual values."

    Russian Military Reform: "How Much Did Orthodox Church Help Revive Russia's Military and Nuclear Complex?"

  • April 23, 2019

    William Rosenau writes, "Her release, scheduled for next month, is bringing to a close a bizarre story of homegrown violent extremism and ideological insanity that stretches back to the 1950s."

    Spectator: "The Amazing Tale of Judith Alice Clark"

  • April 22, 2019

    Joshua Tallis writes, "Partnership is not zero-sum, and pursuing a local agenda helps ensure long-term buy-in from authorities and the people they will rely on to help keep communities safe."

    The Strategy Bridge: "Hybrid Threats and the Constabularization of Strategy"

  • April 10, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes, "As it works more closely with the smaller South Asian countries, the United States will need to take a nuanced approach toward China's expanding role in the region and should not necessarily view Chinese investments and loans as a direct threat to US influence."

    United States Institute of Peace: "China's Engagement with Smaller South Asian Countries"

  • April 5, 2019

    Vince Manzo writes, "The United States, Russia, and China are all beginning to grapple with the technologies and trends that underlie entanglement."

    H-Diplo: "Article Review 113 on 'Escalation through Entanglement: How Vulnerability of Command-and-Control Systems Raises the Risks of an Inadvertent Nuclear War.'"

  • April 2, 2019

    Ken Gause writes, "The notion, therefore, that Kim could act with impunity is a misinterpretation of his power and a misunderstanding of the dynamics of totalitarian regimes."

    The Hill: "Can Kim Jong Un Really Denuclearize?"

  • March 21, 2019

    Jonathan Schroden writes, "Rather than railing against this situation — one over which it has no control and little influence — the Afghan government would be better off preparing to expeditiously address its own interests and costs in the second phase of negotiations."

    War on the Rocks: "Weighing the Costs of War and Peace in Afghanistan"

  • March 21, 2019

    Mark Rosen writes, "Since the US has the greatest amount of risk, the question becomes whether Washington should continue to hitch its wagon to London or strike out in a different direction."

    IPP Review: "India May Hold the Keys to a Critical U.S. Defense Base"

  • March 18, 2019

    Ken Gause writes, "The United States cannot dictate a solution that fits well within the liberal democratic order; North Korea cannot bust out of its isolation and live with the world on its own terms."

    The Hill: "What America Needs to Learn About North Korea: The Game Is Over"

  • March 18, 2019

    Samuel Bendett says, "For the Russian military, their experience in Syria was an absolute watershed." [Segment begins at: 39:18]

    Steptoe Cyberblog: "Episode 255: Imitation Is the Sincerest Form of Flattery: Russia and China Revamp Their Military Technologies"

  • March 14, 2019

    Margaux Hoar writes, "The sooner we can all appreciate that subjective and qualitative are not equivalent, the sooner our military may best avail itself of the benefits that quantitative analysis can provide."

    U.S. Naval Institute Blog: "Data Analytics Versus Subjective Assessments Is a False Choice"

  • March 14, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, "All this activity aims to fulfill Putin's request to his government to create an 'AI infrastructure' – a set of complementary and overlapping relationships between the country's public and private hi-tech sectors that aim to mobilize the community for an AI breakthrough."

    Defense One: "Russia Racing to Complete National AI Strategy by June 15"

  • March 12, 2019

    Larry Lewis writes, "With both the Defense Department and Congress actively working on the issue of civilian casualties, a moment of reflection can help the government to better meet a key intent of the EO: to systematize learning and improve U.S. efforts to protect civilians."

    Just Security: "Reflecting on the Civilian Casualty Executive Order: What Was Lost and What Can Now Be Gained"

  • February 11, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, “According to the Russian state media (TASS), Russian military robotic complexes (RBCs) will be able to independently recognize targets, use weapons, and interact in groups and swarms. Such plans were stated in the article by the staff of the 3rd Central Scientific Research Institute of the Russian Federation’s MOD.”

    Mad Scientist Laboratory: “Autonomous Robotic Systems in the Russian Ground Forces”

  • February 6, 2019

    Ken Gause and Chris Steinitz say, "Kim Jong-un has to think strategically for his long term survival and that of his family's regime. He cannot settle for tactical wins for short term gains."

    The National Interest: "North Korea and America's Second Summit: Here's What Ken Gause and Chris Steinitz Think Will Happen"

  • January 31, 2019

    Jon Schroden writes, “There is a collective sense of cautious optimism that something notable happened last week and that Afghanistan may have advanced on a path toward peace.”

    War on the Rocks: “Getting Ahead of the Implications of a U.S.-Taliban Deal in Afghanistan”

  • January 25, 2019

    Dov Zakheim writes, “For now, it would be best if Washington continued to act forcefully in the political and diplomatic spheres. It should continue to support and work with Guaido and his democratic colleagues to implement desperately needed reforms.”

    The Hill: “What’s Next for Venezuela — and for Washington”

  • January 18, 2019

    Sarah Vogler writes, “Kim Yong Chol has arrived in Washington to meet with Secretary of State Pompeo and President Trump. Ever since North Korea’s shift to diplomatic rapprochement with South Korea and the United States in 2018, Kim Yong Chol has been one of the primary officials to represent Pyongyang.”

    38 North: “Why is Kim Yong Chol Still Pyongyang’s Choice for US-DPRK Relations?”

  • January 18, 2019

    Sarah Vogler writes, “Kim Yong Chol has arrived in Washington to meet with Secretary of State Pompeo and President Trump. Ever since North Korea’s shift to diplomatic rapprochement with South Korea and the United States in 2018, Kim Yong Chol has been one of the primary officials to represent Pyongyang.”

    38 North: “Why is Kim Yong Chol Still Pyongyang’s Choice for US-DPRK Relations?”

  • January 16, 2019

    Dov Zakheim writes, “Washington is uniquely situated to maintain the fragile state of non-belligerence — peace is too strong a word — that exists between the Turks and the Syrian Kurds.”

    The Hill: “Turkey’s Threat to Kurds Demands U.S. Protection”

  • January 8, 2019

    Samuel Bendett writes, “Russia’s interest in AI seems to have swung into a higher gear after September 2017, when President Vladimir Putin said that artificial intelligence is ‘humanity’s future’ and that the country that masters it will ‘get to rule the world.’”

    Defense One: “Russia: Expect a National AI Roadmap by Midyear”

  • January 7, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “The November 25 naval skirmish between Russian and Ukrainian forces in the Kerch Strait was significant first and foremost as an open military confrontation between the two countries’ armed forces. But it also highlighted the fraught legal status of the strait and the Azov Sea, a status that Russia has been exploiting in recent months to exert political and economic pressure on Ukraine.”

    Russian Military Reform: “The Kerch Strait Skirmish: A Law of the Sea Perspective”

  • January 3, 2019

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “I argue that Russian foreign policy preferences and activities have been largely continuous since the early 1990s. These preferences have focused on the quest to restore Russia’s great power status and maintain a zone of influence in states around its borders as a buffer against potential security threats.”

    Russian Military Reform: “Circumstances Have Changed Since 1991, but Russia’s Core Foreign Policy Goals Have Not”

  • January 1, 2019

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes, “Sri Lanka, at present, is rebounding from an unprecedented political crisis. The episode, in part, brought into focus the country’s debt crisis. While Colombo has never defaulted on loan, it owes billions of dollars to foreign lenders that are coming soon by 2023.”

    Observer Research Foundation: “Hambantota: Critical Node in the Asia-Africa Growth Corridor?”

  • November 14, 2019

    The city of Charleston, South Carolina, today released the Racial Bias Audit of the Charleston, South Carolina, Police Department. Final Report. Read more.

  • November 13, 2019

    The American Society of Criminology today honored two CNA researchers for their exemplary work on body-worn camera (BWC) research.

  • May 24, 2019

    A just-released report by CNA, SPI: Reflections on 10 Years of Innovation, is an in-depth look at the strategies and innovations police departments across the United States have put into place to reduce crime in rural and urban communities. Read more.

  • April 1, 2019

    In a new report, CNA's Vince Manzo analyzes the future of nuclear arms control without a treaty. As of today, there is just one nuclear arms control treaty in place between the U.S. and Russia – New START – and it is uncertain if President Trump or Vladimir Putin are willing to extend or renew the current treaty, set to expire in 2021. Read more.

  • March 27, 2019

    CNA President and CEO Katherine McGrady today announced that Leigh Warner is joining CNA's Board of Trustees. Read more.

  • March 5, 2019

    CNA's Institute for Public Research today announced it will serve as a member of the team selected as the Monitor of the Consent Decree which was recently enacted to oversee reforms at the Chicago Police Department. Read more.


Elizabeth Cutler
Sr Communications Specialist

John Stimpson
Communications Associate

Note to Reporters and Editors

Note to writers and editors: CNA is not an acronym and is correctly referenced as "CNA, a research organization in Arlington, VA."