News and Information

The experts at CNA are often asked to comment on issues in the news. The views expressed in these articles are their own.

2018 News Archive

  • July 18, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says that for President Trump “to reject the intelligence community assessment is to dismiss hours of work by selfless servants who are not political and who worked very hard."

    CNN Newsroom: “President Trump’s Remarks at Helsinki Summit”

  • July 17, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “The Russian side will have planned and mapped out every way this conversation could go.”

    CSPAN: “Jeffrey Edmonds on President Trump's Meeting With Russian President Vladimir Putin”

  • July 17, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “If this was Russian, domestic technology, then Zala would have named it — in fact, Russian military and industry are now making a point in specifically stating when certain domestic high-tech is used in new and upgraded systems.”

    C4ISRNET: “Russia Announces Its First Drones Equipped With LIDAR”

  • July 16, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “I’m not sure [President Trump is] reading his briefings. It’s very clear why the Russians [interfered in our elections]. They’ve always believed that we’ve meddled in their elections.”

    MSNBC: “GOP Strategist: Trump’s Actions Today ‘Represent a Pivotal Turn in Our Nation’s History’”

  • July 16, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “The Russian side will have planned and mapped out every way this conversation could go.”

    CSPAN: “Jeffrey Edmonds on President Trump's Meeting With Russian President Vladimir Putin”

  • July 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “Instead of focusing on CVID, as the U.S. would prefer, North Korea prefers to focus on building good relations and confidence building measures.”

    The Korea Herald: “Trump Tweets Letter From NK Leader”

  • July 12, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “This is a typical Russian reference to some futuristic weapon which they always imagine will come down the line 25-30 years from now.”

    The National Interest: “Russia's Armata Tank: Armed With Lasers and Railguns?”

  • July 11, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “What’s interesting is the extent to which the Russian government and especially the Ministry of Defense is marshaling resources for the development of AI for its military.”

    Defense One: “China, Russia, and the U.S. Are All Building Centers for Military AI”

  • July 10, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “The operator still has to be relatively close by to operate this UGV - up to 1000 feet which may be a liability in and of itself.”

    C4ISRNET: “Belarus Shows off ‘Praying Mantis,‘ a Tank Hunting Robot”

  • July 3, 2018

    “Kim Jong Un cut his political teeth back in 2007 working with the GPB. He has used a number of former GPB alums as a personnel-feeder for top positions throughout the DPRK’s national security community, what Ken Gause calls the ‘GPB Mafia.’”

    38 North: “Recent Changes in Kim Jong Un’s High Command”

  • July 2, 2018

    According to the CNA report Unconstrained Foreign Direct Investment: An Emerging Challenge to Arctic Security, “from 2012-2017, China invested $47.3 billion in Canada, which amounted to 2.4 per cent of Canada’s entire GDP during that timeframe.”

    Diplomat & International Canada: “China’s Ambitions in the North American Arctic”

  • July 2, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Russia's advanced radar, variety of capable missiles and systems that try to integrate large amounts of data for a more potent air defense will increasingly segregate Western air forces into two benches.”

    The National Interest: “Air Battle Royal: Air Force F-22 and F-35s vs. Russia Deadly S-400 (Who Wins?)”

  • June 29, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, “Harnessing the strengths of industry and academia (is crucial) and that is explicitly called out, it’s not necessarily going to be easy, but including the discussion about ethics and AI safety (so prominently) is going to be an important piece of that.”

    Defense & Aerospace Report: “CNA’s Bendett on Russia’s Hunter UAV, Uran-9 UGV, Submarine and UUV Innovation Outlook”

  • June 29, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Within the Russian Ministry of Defense, there are now two centers responsible for the development of the latest breakthrough technologies, such as autonomous weapons, but no specific agency-wide effort to develop AI center like JAIC.”

    Breaking Defense: “Joint Artificial Intelligence Center Created Under DoD CIO”

  • June 28, 2018

    James ‘Chips’ Stewart says, “We have talked to a number of people in the police department, a number of people outside the police department, and we’ve talked to a few people from Harlem Park.”

    Baltimore Brew: “Homicide or Suicide? Board Probing Det. Suiter’s Death Promises an Answer”

  • June 28, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “I know that Putin will have minimalist and maximalist goals that he’ll have going into the summit.”

    I24 News: “Trump & Putin to Meet July 16 in Helsinki”

  • June 27, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Syria is now the good war, designed to bloody the Russian armed forces and a sustainable training pipeline for senior officers.”

    The National Interest: “How Russia's Military Is Becoming Even Deadlier”

  • June 27, 2018

    Michael McDevitt says, “What vital U.S. interest has been compromised? Shipping continues uninterrupted, the U.S. continues to ignore… their requirement for prior approval, our MDT with Manila remains in force…”

    CIMSEC: “False Assumptions May Lead to Counterproductive U.S. Policy in the South China Sea”

  • June 27, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “If this UAV will, in fact, be 20 tons in weight it could probably take up to several tons in useful weight, so rockets, missiles, bombs, maybe other equipment.”

    Defense & Aerospace Report: “CNA’s Bendett on Russia’s Hunter UAV, Uran-9 UGV, Submarine and UUV Innovation Outlook”

  • June 26, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says that in a meeting with President Trump, President Putin, “might play to the fear that Trump has of looking stupid or of not being powerful.”

    CNN: “Will a Trump-Putin Meeting Be Dangerous for U.S.?”

  • June 22, 2018

    Michael Kofman says that Russia “got stuck in a fitful escalation where they kept trying to find the leverage to get the political concessions they wanted from Ukraine.”

    CEPA's Power Vertical Podcast : “Raiders of the Lost Empire”

  • June 21, 2018

    “We also wanted to know what it would look like, how it would be implemented, and the cost,’ Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Ala.). That is the subject of a separate study by the Center for Naval Analyses that is due in December.”

    Space News: “Rep. Mike Rogers: Space Force Will Be Done ‘Responsibly’ With Minimal Disruption”

  • June 21, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The reason for Russia’s integration, is that the ISR capabilities required for air defense, missile defense, and anti-satellite missions are closely related and multirole.”

    Defense News: “As Trump Pushes for Separate Space Force, Russia Moves Fast the Other Way”

  • June 20, 2018

    “A study ordered by Congress in the 2018 defense policy bill — to examine options for reorganizing the Air Force with a separate space branch — could provide guidance. But that report — outsourced to the government-funded think tank Center for Naval Analyses — is not expected to be completed until the end of the year.”

    Space News: “Space Force: Pentagon Navigates the Way Ahead and Awaits Direction From Congress”

  • June 19, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Russia’s Baltic Fleet is not much of a naval force, but it can blockade Baltic ports for a while, mine them, and effect sea denial.”

    The National Interest: “Would Navy Aircraft Carriers Be Useless in a War Against Russia?”

  • June 19, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Russia’s military is not configured to occupy large amounts of land or replace combat losses in offensive operations.”

    The National Interest: “The Rise of Russia's Military”

  • June 18, 2018

    “[The CNA] report could make its way to Congress in time to consider for next year’s NDAA negotiations.”

    Wired: “Trump Hasn't Signed a Space Force Into Being—Yet”

  • June 18, 2018

    “A potentially more interesting study, due in September, was to be completed by the Center for Naval [Analyses].”

    Defense One: “What Trump’s Space Force Announcement Means”

  • June 18, 2018

    According to the CNA report The South China Sea: Assessing US Policy and Options for the Future, "in the past 40 years, China has been able to take other nations' territory only in two instances."

    The Manila Times: "Yes, Senate Must Investigate How Aquino, Trillanes and Del Rosario Lost Panatag"

  • June 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I will give a B, probably B+, to this summit. The outcome of the talks is exactly what I expected."

    Radio Free Asia: "U.S. News: More to Watch" [Korean]

  • June 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Is denuclearization completely verifiable, irreversible? We need to wait and see."

    VN Express: "Experts Are Concerned Trump Gave More Than Kim Jong-Un" [Vietnamese]

  • June 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The idea is to try and lure North Korea into an engagement and sustained investment into this process and that will, hopefully lead North Korea to start to take measure towards denuclearization."

    Voice of America: "International Edition"

  • June 12, 2018

    Jonathan Schroden says, “Al-Qaeda today is a much larger, more geographically dispersed, in many ways more capable and certainly more resilient organization than it was 17 years ago at 9/11.”

    VOA News: “International Edition”

  • June 12, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “I suspect the best we can hope for is a general agreement on denuclearization (to be followed by a phased process to work out the details) and maybe some statement on the end of the Korean conflict.”

    Quartz: “North Korea Experts Watching the Summit Will Breathe a Sigh of Relief If…”

  • June 12, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “There has not been such automation of Russian weapons before of the kind described here—‘self-learning’ is a new concept that is a result of more advanced software and hardware developments dealing with AI.”

    C4ISRNET: “Russia Prepares for a Future of Making Autonomous Weapons”

  • June 11, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “China worries that NK will begin to lean toward the US as this process unfolds.”

    The Korea Herald: “Trump-Kim Summit a Watershed Moment in Geopolitics of East Asia”

  • June 11, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “Even if this is just a meet-and-greet, it’s going to be a huge event simply because the president of the United States and the head of North Korea actually sat at the same table.”

    The Washington Post: “For Kim Jong Un, Meeting Trump Is About Cementing Power at Home”

  • June 8, 2018

    According to the CNA report The South China Sea: Assessing US Policy and Options for the Future “China resolved the sovereignty dispute with the Philippines over Scarborough Shoal in 2012 when it established control over the shoal. Again, it is unlikely to relinquish it.”

    The Manila Times: “Two Aquinos Lost Us Philippine Territory, Marcos Acquired Territory”

  • June 8, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Given budgetary constraints [Russia] will hold on to more equipment either to modernize or hand down to the National Guard.”

    The National Interest: “Coming Soon to Russia's Army: 6,000 More Tanks”

  • June 8, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Russia is investing in military high-tech development, and especially in domestically produced software and hardware.”

    Defense One: “Russia, Too, Is Building a Giant War Cloud”

  • June 4, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The people that Kim is putting into key position of power now, really are people who will follow the rules in terms of paying the loyalty payments to the Kim family."

    CNN: "Kim Jong Un Purges Three Top Generals"

  • June 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russian Electronic Warfare is a developed, mature technology that has continued to develop after the collapse of the Soviet Union."

    C4ISRNET: "What's the Frequency, Putin? 5 Questions About Russia's Electronic Warfare Capability"

  • June 3, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "If Kim Jong Un is set on making peace with the U.S. and South Korea and dealing away at least part of the nuclear program, he will have to put the KPA's influence in a box and keep it there."

    Reuters: "North Korea Shakes up Top Military Brass Ahead of Trump Summit - U.S. Official"

  • June 1, 2018

    Megan McBride and Kate Hammerberg discuss their latest paper Exploring the Utility of Memes for U.S. Government Influence Campaigns on The Loopcast podcast.

    The Loopcast: “Exploring the Utility of Memes for U.S. Government Influence Campaigns”

  • May 31, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Kim, knowing that a complete, verifiable and irreversible denuclearization is impossible unless his regime collapses or is invaded, could try to hide a part of the program while declaring that the North has dismantled its program."

    VOA: "Denuclearization of N. Korea Probably Unachievable"

  • May 31, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Uran-9 is certainly a unique UGV, since it's one of the biggest weapons of its kind tested anywhere."

    Al Bawaba: "Russia is Weapons Testing Unmanned Ground Vehicles in Syria"

  • May 30, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says that while AI is being developed in the U.S. private sector, "In Russia, we have a reverse of that almost, where the Ministry of Defence says, 'This is what we're going to do. We have all these departments and military schools, we have all these forums, we have all this investment. Let's put together some kind of framework where we can develop entirely and maybe get some stuff from the private sector.'"

    National Defense Magazine: "Pentagon Eyeing AI Center for Tech Development"

  • May 29, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russians also said they are going to show a lot more unmanned capabilities at the 2019 Victory Day Parade and this was kind of like the first run."

    Defense & Aerospace Report: "CNA's Bendett on Military-Capability Insights from Russia's 2018 Victory Day Parade"

  • May 27, 2018

    Michael Kofman says that even the forthcoming Su-57 PAK-FA incorporates the 101KS-V infrared search and track system, "every Russian plane has a giant IRST pod in the front for the past 30 years."

    The National Interest: "Bad News: Russia And China Could Soon Shoot Down Stealth F-22s and F-35s"

  • May 24, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “These robots most likely will not engage in live-fire exercises, as the main goal for student designers will be navigating an obstacle course with growing complexity. On the other hand, similar contests among various design bureaus, when held in the near future, may feature such live-fire exercise.”

    C4ISRNET: “Why the U.S. Should Care About Russia’s Robot Biathlon”

  • May 23, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I think [North Korea] will need a peace treaty, ratified by Congress, and a Chinese security guarantee in order to ensure the U.S. doesn't do regime change in the future."

    VOA News: "Can Trump Guarantee Kim Will Stay if North Korea Denuclearizes?"

  • May 22, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The summit process has run into a rough patch ... Trump is likely growing concerned that the breach in the two sides over how to define and proceed with denuclearization is wide and for political reasons on both sides narrowing that gap is proving difficult."

    NK News: "Trump Casts Doubt on Whether Summit With Kim Jong Un Will Go Ahead"

  • May 22, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, "When people think about AI and autonomy as it applies to war, I think it's helpful to see what's actually out there as opposed to what we might see in Hollywood."

    Salem Radio Seattle: "Live From Seattle, Interview with Dr. Larry Lewis"

  • May 21, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "John Bolton's suggestion of [complete denuclearization] before North Korea receives any economic or security incentives and guarantees is a recipe for failure.”

    The Korea Times: “Moon to Help Trump Narrow Opinion Gap With Kim”

  • May 21, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "We have begun to see some discussion of guaranteeing the Kim family regime and vague guarantees of economic aid. But if that aid is not institutionalized (such as a Marshall Plan) and is dependent on various pieces coming together, it might not work."

    The Korea Herald: "'Moon, the Mediator' Seeks Coordination Before Kim-Trump Summit"

  • May 18, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “In their official statements, Russian position their unmanned underwater vehicles as extensions of their military capabilities in the ‘World Ocean.’”

    C4ISRNET: “Russia Hints at a Nuclear-Armed Drone Submarine for 2027”

  • May 17, 2018

    Ken Gause says that Kim Jong Il’s “negotiating strategy was very tactical, it was getting short-term concessions from the international community.”

    CNN: “Trump: Kim Will ‘Get Protections’ If He Makes a Nuclear Deal”

  • May 17, 2018

    Samuel Bendett speaks on AI development and the news about Google employees protesting their company's involvement with DoD's Project Maven.

    Voice of America (Russia Service): "Instrument of the Pentagon"

  • May 16, 2018

    Ken Gause says North Korea is "worried that they had the U.S. on board for an agreement to ease sanctions, [which] seems to have gone south over the weekend."

    Quartz: "White House Chaos Is the Reason North Korea Talks Are Faltering, Not a Fickle Dictator"

  • May 16, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The U.S. and South Korea hold an exercise, which contains some strategic strike elements to it. U.S. officials can't seem to get on the same page regarding denuclearization and what is required of North Korea."

    The Dallas Morning News: "North Korea Threatens to Dump Summit Over Nuke Talks, Drills"

  • May 12, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "In reality, [the] Uran-9 tests in Syria should have garnered major attention from all major Russian news outlets, given how proud Russian [sic] are of their remote-controlled tank."

    The National Interest: "Russia Confirms a Revolutionary New Tank Was Sent to Syria"

  • May 10, 2018

    "According to Michael Kofman, Russia's 2016 military spending had been artificially inflated by a one-time loan payment of $13.8 billion from Russia's Ministry of Finance. The loan was to help the military reduce defense sector debt. It is unclear if SIPRI's data accounted for this loan or not."

    The National Interest: "These 5 Nations Account for 60 Percent of All Military Spending on the Planet"

  • May 10, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The question is whether they have privately, through back channels, reached ... broad parameters of some sort of an agreement. Otherwise, I don't think they'd have a summit if they did not have that worked out."

    Voice of America: "Speed of Denuclearization Emerging as Key Summit Issue"

  • May 10, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Despite modest reductions to the defense budget since 2015, the Russian military has suffered the least in state cuts relative to other government services."

    The Moscow Times: "Parades and Pomp: What Do Russia's Armed Forces Have to Celebrate?"

  • May 9, 2018

    Michael Connell says that moving U.S. military resources away from the Middle East is, "going to be tougher if Iran is misbehaving," as a result of the U.S. withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal.

    The Washington Post: "Mattis, Who Supported Staying in Iran Deal, Holds out Hope for Curtailing Tehran"

  • May 8, 2018

    Michael Kofman says that there are two types of Russian experts, "There are the nice missionaries who knock on your door and say, 'Hey, have you heard the good news about democracy, freedom and liberalism?' And then there are the crusaders who are trying to claim the heathen Eastern European lands for democracy and freedom."

    The New York Times Magazine: "The Quiet Americans Behind the U.S.-Russia Imbroglio"

  • May 7, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "I think what you are going to see is the continuation of this very negative trend in the U.S. Russia relationship, [Putin] is very much convinced that the West is out to get him and undermine Russia and that we are just standing in the way of Russia's greatness."

    CNN: "Putin Inaugurated for Another Term"

  • May 7, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "If President Trump could ignore the Libyan model and agree to reach a gradual but decentralized denuclearization with North Korea and achieve a peace treaty that would allow the US military presence in the Korean peninsula, it will be significantly strengthened."

    Radio Free Asia: "U.S.-North Korea Summit: 14 U.S. Experts 'U.S.-North Talks, Partially Successful Reality Show'" (Korean)

  • May 7, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The defense ministry announced that the robotic Uran-6 complexes designed for mine clearance were well-proven in Syria, as well as Uran-9 multifunctional reconnaissance and fire support systems."

    C4ISRNET: "Russia Confirms Its Armed Robot Tank Was in Syria"

  • May 1, 2018

    According to the CNA report Distributed Operations: Manpower Policies for Developing Small Unit Leaders, "the small unit leader—in this case, the sergeant Rifle Squad Leader—will require skills and experiences that the average squad leader today does not possess."

    Marine Corps Gazette: "Rifle Squad Leader Staffing"

  • April 30, 2018

    According to the CNA report Population Representation in the Military Services (FY16 Summary), "Most members of the military come from middle-class neighborhoods. A neighborhood affluence study found that the middle three quintiles were overrepresented among enlisted recruits."

    Council on Foreign Relations: "Demographics of the U.S. Military"

  • April 30, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I think Kim has a lot riding on this. I think that part of his personality syncs very well with President Moon. It will be interesting to see how well it jives with President Trump."

    Stars and Stripes: "Rebranding Kim: North Korean Leader Shows World His Lighter Side"

  • April 27, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "I don't see any drive or desire to attain a new carrier in Russia. Russia has no practical need of a carrier, it is simply for symbolic purposes to project status."

    The National Interest: "Could China Build Aircraft Carriers for Russia?"

  • April 26, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "North Korea's pledge to dismantle nuclear site sounds good, but verification will be tough."

    Reuters: "North Korea's Pledge to Dismantle Nuclear Site Sounds Good, but Verification Will Be Tough"

  • April 26, 2018

    Michael Connell says, "When we did Stuxnet, it was designed to achieve a very specific purpose. We designed it to be non-lethal and restricted, to affect only the centrifuges associated with Iran's nuclear program. Its effects were designed to be tactical in nature."

    Real Clear Politics: "Cyber Adversaries: It's Not Just Russia"

  • April 25, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "If Gomzin's case becomes more complicated and the work at Simonov Design Bureau slows down, this may also open the door to other competitors who were so far behind."

    Defense One: "The Designer of Russia's First Armed Drone Is Under Arrest"

  • April 24, 2018

    Denise Rodriguez says, "Sometimes officers put themselves in a position where they have no other choice but to use force."

    The New York Times: "When Toronto Suspect Said 'Kill Me,' an Officer Put Away His Gun"

  • April 24, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "I'm not at all convinced Kim Jong Un has any interest in discussing his nuclear arsenal with anyone else. He's made his move and we can take it or leave it."

    VOA News: "Trump: North Korea's Kim 'Very Honorable'"

  • April 24, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The freeze on testing was expected. The question is — how long will the freeze last and is it conditional on successful summits with (South Korea) and the U.S.?"

    VOA News: "Skepticism, Optimism Color Analysts' Response to Kim's Suspension of N. Korea's Nuclear, Weapons Testing"

  • April 24, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The inter-Korean summit is very important for setting the groundwork for the U.S.-North Korea summit."

    Yonhap News Agency: "Inter-Korean Summit Seen as Tone-Setter for Trump-Kim Meeting"

  • April 23, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "For the North Koreans, the principle of denuclearization of the Korean peninsula does not mean unilateral disarmament."

    The Guardian: "U.S. and North Korea Expectations Over Denuclearization Appear to Collide"

  • April 23, 2018

    Zack Gold says, "As the Human Rights Watch report manages to document, the general population of north Sinai continues to be stuck in between the battle between Isis-Sinai and Egypt."

    The Guardian: "Egyptians in Sinai Living Under Siege Due to Anti-Militant Campaign, Says HRW"

  • April 22, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "What North Korea is trying to do here is set an environment where if the summit does not come to a successful conclusion, that they can't be blamed for it, that they are being reasonable here by saying they would freeze the program."

    Australian Broadcast Corporation: "Will North Korea Work Towards Denuclearisation?"

  • April 20, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I think the Trump administration is very eager to find out, what is the North Korean view of denuclearization and how that should take place."

    VOA News: "Pompeo-Kim Meeting 'Very Positive Sign' for U.S.-North Korea Talks"

  • April 20, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Until a grand bargain has been achieved and Kim has something tangible to show for denuclearization, I expect he will not make any fundamental policy shift."

    Yonhap News Agency: "NK-Party Meeting"

  • April 20, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Over the past couple years Russians have been developing and using a lot of UAVs, UUVs, and UGVs in combat."

    Defense and Aerospace Report: "CNA's Bendett on Russia's Use of Unmanned Systems"

  • April 18, 2018

    Highlighting new training implemented with CNA's help, the Hennepin County Sheriff's Office says, "New programs have included crisis intervention training, classroom training on initiative, implicit bias and procedural justice, cultural awareness training, and deputy wellness programs."

    The Laker and Pioneer: "Sheriff Highlights Community Policing Efforts"

  • April 17, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg says, "The main problem with the ship is that it has a very problematic propulsion system."

    Business Insider: "Russia Is Desperately Trying to Save Its Only Aircraft Carrier — That's Outdated and Plagued With Problems"

  • April 17, 2018

    Michael McDevitt says, "China is pursuing a 'places, not bases,' strategy."

    Foreign Policy: "One Belt, One Road, One Happy Chinese Navy"

  • April 16, 2018

    Ken Gause says North Korean Foreign Minster Ri Su Yong is, "Someone who can facilitate information, money, goods into and out of the regime."

    OZY.com: "Life Beyond Kim: Meet the Dictator's Most Trusted Adviser"

  • April 16, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "The Russian armed forces are rethinking the role of the IFV [infantry fighting vehicles] on the battlefield, and looking at options for armored vehicles to support armor advances."

    The National Interest: "Russia Just Built a 'Terminator' (And It Could Go to War in Syria)"

  • April 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I can see how [Ri Sol Ju] probably ingratiated himself with Kim."

    OZY.com: "Life Beyond Kim: Meet Rocket Man's Own Rocket Man"

  • April 13, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Syria was a major laboratory...for the Russian military technologies."

    National Defense Magazine: "Russia Rolling Ahead With Unmanned Ground Combat Vehicles"

  • April 12, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg says, "The Russian conventional forces just aren't as strong as the U.S. forces."

    Business Insider: "Trump Reportedly Has 8 Targets in Mind for a Syria Missile Strike — and Russia Said War Could Be Coming"

  • April 12, 2018

    James "Chips" Stewart says, "It takes a person away from their family, it takes him away from the Police Department, and it also is trauma for the community. We're going to follow where the evidence leads us."

    Baltimore Sun: "Panel to Study Baltimore Police Det. Suiter Killing Includes Policing Experts, Retired Detectives"

  • April 12, 2018

    James "Chips" Stewart says, "The evidence is what the evidence is. And what we're trying to take a look at is to see whether with fresh eyes that there's any assistance that we can provide."

    CBS Baltimore (WJZ): "Police Announce Panel Members Reviewing Det. Sean Suiter's Murder Case"

  • April 12, 2018

    James "Chips" Stewart says, "This is a complicated case, and we're going to take a thorough look at this."

    NBC Baltimore (WBAL): "Independent Review Board Takes on Suiter Investigation"

  • April 12, 2018

    James "Chips" Stewart says, "We have convened a board of nationally recognized experts who have lots of experience in investigating very difficult and challenging cases."

    Baltimore Fishbowl: "BPD Announces Independent Review Board to Look Into Suiter Case"

  • April 12, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds writes, "In order to counter the perceived policies of the West, Russia has aggressively pursued military and non-military capabilities across domains that it believes target Western vulnerabilities."

    The Mark News: "Through the Looking Glass"

  • April 12, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "In the U.S. debate over enemy ICBM development in the late 1990s, it was explicitly assumed that 'initial threat availability' took place after the first successful flight-test."

    NK News: "North Korean ICBMs: Does a Window of Opportunity Still Exist for Washington?"

  • April 12, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The big issue is how both sides define denuclearization. Trump this morning was talking about wanting firm and verifiable steps six months to a year after the summit."

    NK News: "Trump Praises China for Help With North Korea"

  • April 12, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation has taken the lead right now in marshalling academic, military industrial resources, it is creating forums, it is putting people together to work on developing artificial intelligence."

    Defense and Aerospace Report: "CNA's Bendett on Russia's Use of AI, Electronic Warfare, Weapons Development"

  • April 11, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "A layered defense is always better than a single defense layer."

    Business Insider: "Russia's Newest Anti-Air Defenses Are in Syria — and the U.S. Should Be Worried"

  • April 10, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I don't see North Korea mentioning denuclearization at the SPA meeting. This is the beginning of a journey with an uncertain future."

    Yonhap News: "N.K.'s Parliament to Meet This Week Ahead of Summit With S. Korea, U.S."

  • April 10, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "They don't want to separate AI into good or bad, for them it is not about ethics. It is about what they can actually build."

    SIGNAL: "Russia Strengthening Focus on AI Technologies"

  • April 9, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds provides expertise on the U.S. position on the conflict in Syria.

    RTVI: video clip

  • April 9, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "In terms of establishing viable air defenses against opponents with fifth generation aircraft, it's quite clear how Russia is trying to tackle the problem of stealth."

    The National Interest: "Air Showdown: America's F-22 & F-35 Stealth Fighters vs. Russia's S-400 (Who Wins?)"

  • April 7, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds provided expertise on Russian influence and intentions in Belarus and the Baltics.

    Belsat TV: "Belarus in the New Cold War" [Jeff speaks at 3:12, segment in Belarusian]

  • April 6, 2018

    According to the CNA report The Role of Water Stress in Instability and Conflict, "Water stress can empower violent extremist organizations and place stable governments at risk."

    Pacific Standard: "Which Cities Are Most Vulnerable to Climate Change Conflict?"

  • April 6, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "At the core of every plane is the engine — it's all about the engine."

    Business Insider: "11 Photos of the J-20, China's First Stealth Fighter Jet That 'Could Soon Surpass' the F-22 Raptor"

  • April 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russians are years away from developing UGVs that can go up against Abrams tanks."

    Breaking Defense: "Russian Robots Attack! West Point Comic's (Plausible) Future War"

  • April 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "There is a massive Chinese military-industrial complex behind Chinese UAV developments."

    The National Interest: "China's Army and Navy Have Big Plans to Dominate and Win the Next War"

  • April 3, 2018

    According to a 2013 CNA study of female and minority retention in the Navy, “women tend to value non-monetary incentives more than monetary incentives.”

    Federal News Radio: “Why DoD Thinks the Career Intermission Program Can Help Solve Its Personnel Problem”

  • April 3, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “No tank is invincible, it is only more survivable. It's somewhat unclear how effective these defensive systems are against top-down attack missiles like the FGM-148 Javelin, which is expensive but effective.”

    Business Insider: “Russia Has Ordered 2 Battalions of T-14 Armata Tanks — Here's Everything We Know About the Next-Generation Platform”

  • April 2, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "This points to one of the biggest problems that the MOD [Ministry of Defense] and its military industrial complex have to overcome."

    SOFREP News: "Despite Touting Advanced Missiles, Russia's Drone Program Lags Behind Competitors"

  • April 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "Without any powers to contest American influence for two decades, Washington rightfully took advantage to build what it wanted, but all expansion of influence and power must eventually come with increasing cost."

    BBC: "Russia vs the West: Is This a New Cold War?"

  • March 30, 2018

    According to the CNA Military Advisory Board report Advanced Energy and U.S. National Security, "nations leading in new energy options and energy efficiency stand to gain advantage in the world market and that if the U.S. sits on the sidelines, it does so at risk to its economic security."

    Fortune: "How Rolling Back Fuel Standards Could Crush America's Auto Industry"

  • March 30, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Kim is looking for a phased process that is conditional on U.S. and [South Korea] providing incentives that meet the requirement of creating an atmosphere of peace and stability."

    VOA News: "Kim Jong Un's China Visit Exposes Pitfalls for Nuclear Talks"

  • March 30, 2018

    Michael Kofman says that the Russians "are doing their homework and, in the event of a crisis or conflict with them, they might do rotten things to us."

    Associated Press: "Could Enemies Sabotage Undersea Cables Linking the World?"

  • March 30, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says that in Russia, "The government has taken a very active role in trying to define how artificial intelligence, unmanned systems and high-tech weapons are to be used."

    Defense One: "AI: The Pros, Cons, and What To Really Fear"

  • March 30, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Both countries present this as a partnership of equals. But yes, for now, it's still Russia selling advanced weapons to China."

    The National Interest: "Russia and China Are Now Building Weapons Together"

  • March 30, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "They are currently focused on developing a range of prototypes, from the smallest tracked and wheeled logistics and ISR (intelligence, surveillance, & reconnaissance) robots to the tank-sized Vihr and Uran-9 armored UGVs."

    Breaking Defense: "Skeptics Ask: Can the Army Field Armed Robots by 2024?"

  • March 28, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "Comparing the Chinese and North Korean readouts of the meeting, I'm struck once again by the absence of any mention of the nuclear issue in the North Korean version."

    CNBC: "China Says North Korea Wants Denuclearization, but Kim Jong Un's Motives Remain Shrouded in Mystery as Trump Meeting Approaches"

  • March 28, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "This would be a step by step (or phase by phase) process that in time could include verification and other denuclearization measures after a period of confidence building on both sides."

    Yonhap News Agency: "Kim Seeks China's Backing Ahead of S. Korea, U.S. Summits"

  • March 28, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The new technology Gerasimov discusses would allow Russia to conduct deep-strikes within enemy territory."

    Defense One: "Russian Military Chief Lays out the Kremlin's High-Tech War Plans"

  • March 27, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "The South Koreans have been pushing the North Koreans to interact with the Americans, so it may be the case that Kim made the gesture of an invitation to demonstrate his good faith to the South Koreans, not expecting that it would go anywhere."

    CNBC: "North Korea Is Quiet While the White House Scrambles to Coordinate Talks Between President Trump and Kim Jong Un"

  • March 27, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "It must have become clear that the summit could go very badly, Kim Jong Un needs to be sure that China has his back."

    The Wall Street Journal: "Arrival of North Korean Train in Beijing Triggers Speculation"

  • March 27, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Seoul will be more willing to offer incentives up front in order to get North Korea to buy into a diplomatic process that will conclude in the future with denuclearization."

    VOA News: "U.S., South Korea Differ on Expectations for U.S.-North Korea Summit"

  • March 27, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The big takeaway is that Russia is finally and openly acknowledging the importance and irreplaceability of unmanned systems in future conflicts."

    The National Interest: "Russia Just Revealed How It Will Fight the Wars of the Future (And It's Shocking)"

  • March 27, 2018

    Vera Zakem says, "Russia may choose to take actions at a time of their choosing and we cannot forget that, so it may be expulsion of diplomats in a month, in two months, next week, but it may be cyber-attacks."

    BBC: "Russian Diplomat Expulsions"

  • March 26, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "These confrontations don't happen as a bolt out of the blue, first you have to have a crisis and then people make choices and those choices eventually lead to people shooting at each other."

    The National Interest: "Stumbling Into a War With Russia"

  • March 24, 2018

    Zack Gold says, "Egypt is doing a really good job controlling the narrative. Even ISIS has been challenged to put out statements. This suggests Egypt is in control."

    The Times of Israel: "Quick Victory Unlikely in Egypt Assault on IS in the Sinai"

  • March 20, 2018

    According to the CNA report Shining a Light on the Western Balkans, "Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia—have internal vulnerabilities including dangerous strains of nationalism, historical grievances, corruption, weakened state institutions, weak media, economic instability, terrorism and radicalization, and transnational organized crime."

    Foreign Policy Research Institute: "Rallying the West: The Case for Coordinated Leadership to Counter Instability in the Balkans"

  • March 20, 2018

    The CNA Military Advisory Board report The Role of Water Stress in Instability and Conflict details, "the very real security threats that global water scarcity could pose to the U.S. and our allies over the coming years i.e., the next water-exacerbated conflicts like Syria and Yemen."

    The Hill: "Water Has Experienced a Decade of Bipartisan Success"

  • March 19, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "They've had plenty of opportunities to kill Skripal, and there are, frankly, a myriad of much simpler and more practical ways of doing it."

    The Verge: "The Nerve Agent Poisoning in England Was a Message to the Rest of the World"

  • March 18, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "The Russians see themselves as up against an international order that they believe seeks to surround and weaken Russia."

    CSPAN: "Jeffrey Edmonds on Trump Administration Russia Policy"

  • March 16, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "If diplomacy fails, the voices in the U.S. calling for military strikes will gain momentum. The voices for diplomacy will be drowned out."

    Voice of America: "U.S., North Korea Heading for Collision Over Meaning of 'Denuclearization'"

  • March 16, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "I think that people continually underestimate Russia's ability to sustain operations abroad. It is always weak but its mythos, its exceptionalism is based on its resilience."

    PBS News Hour: "What to Watch in Russia's Presidential Election"

  • March 16, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake "noted, France has a range of territorial, economic, and security interests in the Indian Ocean."

    Pell Center: "Rehman on the Indian Ocean in France's Global Defense Strategy"

  • March 15, 2018

    Asked if there was any chance that Moscow would field the weapon by 2019, Michael Kofman says, "None."

    The National Interest: "Russia Says It Will Place Avangard Hypersonic Weapon on 'High Alert' in 2019"

  • March 15, 2018

    CNA Military Advisory Board member Lieutenant General Ken Eickmann says, "We think that reliance or over-reliance on oil entangles relationships with nations that do not have the United States' best interest."

    Times-Mail: "Ret. Air Force General Visits Battery Innovation Center"

  • March 14, 2018

    CNA Military Advisory Board member Lieutenant General Ken Eickmann says, "I think that the revolution towards advanced energy is going to take place in the world, whether the U.S. plays a major part or not."

    Inside Indiana Business: "Indiana 'Well-Postured' to be Advanced Energy Leader"

  • March 14, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "I think this is an attempt to deter any U.S. machinations for a larger strike against the Syrian regime."

    The National Interest: "Russia Sends a Chilling Warning to America Over Syria"

  • March 14, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Gerasimov stressed that [Russia's] forces are publicly present in the capital city and no attack from any quarter would be tolerated—or he was limiting the 'attack vector' to Damascus only and not on field conditions."

    The National Interest: "Russia Sends a Chilling Warning to America Over Syria"

  • March 14, 2018

    Zack Gold says of Hisham al-Ashmawy, "He is a ghost. He is a boogeyman. Every major attack, he either has been behind it or has been blamed for it."

    The Washington Post: "Militant Threat Emerges in Egyptian Desert, Opening New Front in Terrorism Fight"

  • March 13, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "After the successful identification of VX by the Malaysian authorities, anyone using a battlefield nerve agent for a high-profile assassination has to know it will be detected."

    Business Insider: "Putin 'Wants Everyone to Know It's Him' With Brazen Nerve Agent Attack in the UK, Experts Say"

  • March 13, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Indonesia is definitely keeping its options open as it eyes China's rise and as it sees the Russians becoming more active in international conflicts and engagements."

    The National Interest: "Russia's Lethal Su-35 Is Coming to Indonesia"

  • March 12, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Kim Jong Un would no doubt take a huge hit inside the regime if he gave up the nuclear program."

    The Japan Times: "Trump-Kim Summit Expectations High, but North Korea Unlikely to Part With Its 'Treasured Nuclear Sword' Any Time Soon"

  • March 10, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds speaks to Russian language media about Vladimir Putin's recent announcement on Russia's nuclear capabilities.

    VOA News: "The Present With Julia Savchenko" (Edmonds speaks at 11:20)

  • March 10, 2018

    Ken Gause calls the planned meeting between Kim Jong-Un and Donald Trump "extraordinary and historical."

    Voice of America: "Trump Expects North Korea to Honor Pledge on Missile Tests"

  • March 9, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "This is Trump's advisors trying to walk this back a bit. The intelligentsia and a large segment of the advisors around the president are scared to death we are somehow going to get taken if we enter into talks."

    NK News: "'Concrete Actions' Required Before Trump, Kim Meet: White House"

  • March 9, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The key phrase here is that it would be a 'painful process' were that to happen in the first place. He is saying that the Russian military and government have their own closed Internet systems."

    Defense One: "If War Comes, Russia Could Disconnect From the Internet. Yes, the Entire Country"

  • March 8, 2018

    According to CNA report, China's Military Support Facility in Djibouti, China's military facility, "will have the capacity to support at least five mission areas: counterpiracy, intelligence collection, non-combat evacuation operations, peacekeeping operations and counterterrorism."

    The Cipher Brief: "China's Military Revolution: Smarter, Better, Faster, Smaller"

  • March 8, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "This Nuclear Posture Review is the first real attempt to start undoing the Presidential Nuclear Initiative of President [George H. W.] Bush because it tries to revive and proposes new, non-strategic nuclear weapons."

    Miles O'Brien Productions: "Analysis: How Does the U.S. See Itself in a Nuclear World?"

  • March 7, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Pyongyang will have its own demands, some of which may be hard to swallow. It depends on whether North Korea is truly willing to enter talks on denuclearization without preconditions, such as making demands on the back side."

    Yonhap News Agency: "N. Korea's Offer Marks Progress in Nuclear Standoff With U.S."

  • March 7, 2018

    Michael McDevitt, Catherine Lea, Douglas Jackson, and Nilanthi Samaranayake participated in the 5th Annual RSIS-CNA Workshop on East Asian Maritime Issues in Singapore.

    RSIS: "Indo-Pacific Maritime Issues: Connectivity, Balance and Cooperation"

  • March 6, 2018

    Jonathan Schroden says, "There are no precise numbers in Afghanistan, it's the nature of what you're dealing with over there."

    Stars and Stripes: "Data on U.S. Counterterrorism Efforts in Afghanistan Doesn't Add Up"

  • March 4, 2018

    Ken Gause speaks to Brazilian media on Kim Jong Un's fake passport.

    TV Globo: "Passport Investigation of North Korean Leaders Reveals Global Plot" [Portuguese]

  • March 3, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "Keeping capacity alive. Not letting top talent die out, that means the feeding defense industry and S&T [science and technology]. Even if you don't really have missions."

    The National Interest: "Why is Russia Building Nuclear Powered Cruise Missiles? The Answer: 'Capacity'"

  • March 3, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "The stabilizing arrangements we made during the Cold War, for that nuclear age, are falling apart one after the other."

    War is Boring: "Russia's New Doomsday Weapons Can Beat U.S. Missile Defenses"

  • March 2, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "No existing or prospective missile defense had any chance in making a dent in Russia's ability to retaliate against the United States with nuclear weapons."

    Vice News: "No Need to Be Scared of Putin's New Nukes (Any More Than the Old Ones)"

  • March 2, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "Missile defense may intercept a large percentage of a second [retaliatory] strike arsenal, not today, but 20–30 years from now."

    The National Interest: "We Now Know Why Russia Wants a 100-Megaton Nuclear Torpedo"

  • March 1, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "The use of multiple shots, timed ever-more-closely together, appears destined to rehearse saturating a defensive system by presenting it with an overwhelmingly complex radar picture."

    Task and Purpose: "Russia Claims Its New ICBM Can Evade U.S. Defenses. Don't Worry, We Couldn't Stop The Old Ones Either"

  • March 1, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Presidents Moon and Trump apparently have come to an agreement on the ground rules for establishing an inter-Korean dialogue."

    NK News: "South Korea to Send Special Envoy to North Korea: Blue House"

  • March 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "There is no reason given how advanced Russian technology is in nuclear energy and how advanced they are in missile technology, they can't marry the two."

    CNN: "Putin Rolls out New Weapons"

  • March 1, 2018

    The CNA study Development of the Squad: Historical Analysis says, "the U.S. Army was unable to field an effective LMG as a replacement for the BAR. This was to prove a critical weakness, particularly in light of the conference attendees' observations that in order to fire or maneuver, the squad needed to be equipped with the suppressive fire of an organic LMG. Rifle fire, even if automatic, was inadequate."

    Marine Corps Gazette: "The 15-Marine Rifle Squad"

  • March 1, 2018

    Zack Gold says that President Sisi's vow has been prominent, "but it wouldn't be the first self-imposed deadline for victory that comes and goes."

    The Wall Street Journal: "Egypt Prolongs Campaign Against Islamic State"

  • February 28, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "We know that Kim Jong Un has had fake passports in the past, he travelled to Japan, we believe in the early 1990's, on a fake Brazilian passport, so it's not unheard of."

    CNN: "Kim Jong Un's Fake Passport"

  • February 28, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "It's easier to make a stealthier missile than a stealth bomber. So with a super long range missile, why do you need a new bomber?"

    The National Interest: "Russia's New PAK-DA Stealth Bomber Might Have a Fatal Flaw"

  • February 28, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says that private military companies in Syria allow a "degree of deniability from Moscow should things go wrong."

    The World Weekly: "The Mercenaries Fighting for the Kremlin"

  • February 27, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "This UAV is still 'in development' so we might guess that a prototype can be unveiled next year and a flying concept could be unveiled by 2020."

    The National Interest: "Russia Is Developing a New Long-Range Supersonic Strike Aircraft. No Pilot Needed."

  • February 26, 2018

    Rear Admiral Michael McDevitt says, "I think the odds are very low that either Japan or China is looking for a fight over the Senkakus, and I'm quite certain the United States is not looking for a fight with China over the Senkakus"

    NHK: "China's Maritime Strategy"

  • February 26, 2018

    Rear Admiral Michael McDevitt: "I think the odds are very low that either Japan or China is looking for a fight over the Senkakus, and I'm quite certain the United States is not looking for a fight with China over the Senkakus"

    NHK: "China's Maritime Strategy"

  • February 26, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russia considers American satellites a significant threat when it comes to potential confrontation, and is actively working to counter U.S. technologies in space."

    Defense One: "Russia Claims It Now Has Lasers to Shoot Satellites"

  • February 26, 2018

    Vice Admiral Lee Gunn says, "The demand for water will not be linear, the demand for water will increase as well."

    New Security Beat: "The Role of Water Stress in Instability and Conflict"

  • February 25, 2018

    David Finkelstein says, "China feels it is on the road to great power status and they want to perpetuate the trajectory they are on."

    The New York Times: "President Xi's Strongman Rule Raises New Fears of Hostility and Repression"

  • February 25, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "Those are figures for combined casualties, referencing 3 companies of Wagner involved in support of Syrian forces."

    The National Interest: "U.S. Military Battle with Possible Russian Mercenaries: 'Our Strikes Were Done out of Self-Defense'"

  • February 23, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "North Koreans will feel the pinch. North Korea will cry foul. But [Kim Jong-un] will not change his calculus with respect to nuclear weapons. He sees them as vital to his own and the regime's survival."

    Quartz: "Trump Announced Sanctions on 55 North Korea-Related Ships and Companies"

  • February 23, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "We've got several case studies looking at Kim Jong Un as a rational actor: In every one of the case studies, he has acted in a rational way."

    FiveThirtyEight: "Even Dictators Like Kim Jong Un Need To Keep Some People Happy"

  • February 22, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "At this point, inter-Korean dialogue is timely. There is no time to waste anymore. Of course, the US government is not willing to talk with North Korea until North Korea gives up its nuclear weapons."

    RFA: "U.S. Experts Say 'North-South and United States Dialogue'" [Translated, Korean]

  • February 22, 2018

    Samuel Bendett was quoted in the Russian daily RBC publication on the arrival of Russia's newest Su-57 stealth aircraft to the Russian based in Syria.

    RBC: "Why the Newest Su-57 Fighter Flew to Khemeymim"[Russian] [Viewable on an unfettered device]

  • February 21, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, "What we are doing in our new center is looking at how to prepare for the future of war and make things a little less scary."

    WSVA: "Dr. Larry Lewis-Artificial Intelligence and Warmaking"

  • February 21, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "Some policymakers believe Russia has an offensive nuclear strategy, but there is nothing to support this since asymmetric escalation when you're winning is not really credible."

    Defense News: "Out of Moscow: Washington Got the Basics of Russian Nuclear Strategy All Wrong"

  • February 20, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "North Korea's motives for the charm campaign are twofold: 1) drive a wedge between the U.S. and South Korea and 2) relieve the economic pressure caused by the sanctions."

    The Korea Herald: "Will Inter-Korean Detente Continue After Olympics?"

  • February 20, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The key here is that the Russians are starting to move away from 'regular' UAV designs and are beginning to experiment with a variety of UAV design and applications."

    The National Interest: "Here Is How Russia Hopes to Dominate the Drone Market"

  • February 19, 2018

    Ken Gause "forecast recently that Kim will reinstate Hwang in order to keep Choe in check."

    The Chosunilbo: "Purged N.Korean Apparatchik Reappears in Public"

  • February 18, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "PMCs have shown that they can make the difference on distant battlefields and are a useful offset when Russia wants to keep its own military footprint small. They are also an effective tool in support of state-sponsored insurgency or unconventional warfare because they are deniable and disposable."

    The Cipher Brief: "Deniability and De-Escalation: Russia's Use of Military Contractors in Proxy Wars"

  • February 18, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "We don't know concretely who is paying [the mercenaries], but they are supported, deployed and moved about by Russian military, so we can draw some conclusions from that,"

    Los Angeles Times: "Russia's Shadowy World of Military Contractors: Independent Mercenaries, or Working for the Kremlin?"

  • February 16, 2018

    Jonathan Schroden says, "There has been an uptick in drone strikes in the tribal areas of Pakistan going back to the fall of last year and continuing since then."

    Military Times: "DOD IG: Too Soon to Tell If Trump's South Asia Strategy Will Break the Taliban"

  • February 16, 2018

    Vera Zakem says, "We have to look beyond these 13 individuals and we really have to be looking at the very expansive and comprehensive effort Russians have engaged in the interference of the United States election."

    BBC: "Russians Indicted for Meddling in U.S. Election"

  • February 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "This can only be achieved by engagement or the military option. I prefer the former to the calamity that could come with the latter. ... I absolutely do believe the US and North Korea should talk without preconditions. Diplomacy is the art of the possible, not the art of the perfect."

    The Korea Herald: "Trump Should Give Talk With North Korea a Chance"

  • February 13, 2018

    Michael Kofman says Damascus "needs these oil and gas facilities to sustain whatever rump state that is left and let it survive. The key fault line now, and the reason for the fighting, is energy resources."

    The Wall Street Journal: "Russians Among Those Killed in U.S. Airstrike in Eastern Syria"

  • February 10, 2018

    VOA: Umida Hashimova: Uzbekistan Is Interested in Our Presence in the United States [Uzbeck]

  • February 9, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Accidents of birth have also worked in Ms. Kim's favor. Kim Jong Un has an older brother, Kim Jong Chol, but a Korean emphasis on age-based seniority makes it hard for him to play a public supporting role to the leader."

    The Wall Street Journal: "Sister Act: Rapid Rise of North Korean Leader's New Top Aide"

  • February 9, 2018

    Zack Gold says, “What we need to be looking for is whether this is a large-scale offensive that will end tomorrow, or whether the Egyptian military is really intent on invading and clearing territory and holding that territory for a longer time.”

    The Wall Street Journal: "Egypt Starts Anti-ISIS Operation in Restive Sinai"

  • February 8, 2018

    Julia McQuaid says, “Iran is one example of water stress triggering unrest on the low end, whether those are riots, protests or strikes. Cape Town could potentially be another example.”

    CNA: “Water Stress a Compounding Factor in Global Unrest and Terrorism”

  • February 7, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Kim Yo Jong's power exists because of proximity to the leader himself, she is the person that he trust more than anyone else in the regime."

    CNN: "Kim Jong Un's Powerful Sister Going to the Olympics"

  • February 5, 2018

    CNA's Military Advisory Board writes, "As senior military officers, we see water stress—the lack of adequate fresh water—as a growing factor in the world's hotspots and conflict areas, many of vital interest to the United States."

    New Security Beat: "The Role of Water Stress in Instability and Conflict"

  • February 5, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "It certainly makes the system more robust, a layered defense is always better than a single defense layer."

    Business Insider: "Russia's Newest Anti-Air Missile Shows How Its Air Defenses Outpace America's"

  • February 5, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "I don't think Priboy is anything other than a model ship, same goes for the Lavina."

    The National Interest: "Russia's New Helicopters Are Preparing for War"

  • February 5, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "It's principally a third strike weapon designed to ensure that Russia has a viable nuclear deterrent which cannot be intercepted by missile defenses."

    WTOP: "Russia Building Devastating Nuclear Weapon; Pentagon Seeks to Counter"

  • February 3, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "Both from Trump's point of view and from the Russians point of view, the passing of sanctions by Congress confirmed for both that there was one large bureaucratic body here in the United States that is not very favorable when it comes to Russia."

    Deutsche Welle: "U.S. Congress Could Clash With Trump Administration on New Russia Sanctions"

  • February 3, 2018

    Zack Gold says, "The Israeli strikes inside of Egypt are almost at the same level, every time anyone says anything about the nuclear program, they have to jokingly add 'according to the foreign press.' Israel's main strategic interest in Egypt is stability, and they believe that open disclosure would threaten that stability."

    The New York Times: "Secret Alliance: Israel Carries Out Airstrikes in Egypt, With Cairo's O.K."

  • February 1, 2018

    "Brian McCue's U-Boats In the Bay of Biscay: An Essay on Operations Analysis is a classic. After World War II intelligence was declassified in the 1980s, McCue used these files to show quantitatively the advantage of breaking the enemy code by determining how many attacks days U-boats achieved in the Battle of the Atlantic."

    Proceedings Magazine, Feb 2018: "The Master of Fleet Tactics Unleashed"

  • February 1, 2018

    CNA Military Advisory Board member Brigadier General Gerald Galloway [Ret] says, "Have you solved the problem of the inequities that might exist over the use of that water at the lowest level? Is the farmer at the end of the irrigation canal going to get any water?"

    New Security Beat: "A Matter of Survival: Learning to Cooperate Over Water"

  • February 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "The Russian military is incredibly good at killing things if it can find them, but it always historically struggles at seeing on the battlefield."

    Breaking Defense: "Electronic Warfare Trumps Cyber For Deterring Russia"

  • February 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "There are quite few T-90s in the force and the T-90 does not dramatically improve on the capabilities of the T-72B3M."

    The National Interest: "Get Ready, NATO: The Russian Army Is Getting New T-90M Main Battle Tanks"

  • February 1, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "This unmanned helicopter will enhance the military capabilities of the nation's armed forces, as well as serve as a useful addition to the civilian sector such as emergency and first responders."

    The National Interest: "Is the Russian Military Going Robot?"

  • February 1, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "What's evident now is that Russia's plan to more closely integrate their EW forces with air/missile defenses is coming to fruition."

    Breaking Defense: "Electronic Warfare Trumps Cyber For Deterring Russia"

  • February 1, 2018

    Vera Zakem says, "Dezinformatsiya, as Russians call it, is meant to instill fear and confuse audiences, blurring the lines between truth, falsehood, and reality."

    The Wilson Quarterly: "Putin's Postmodern War With the West"

  • January 30, 2018

    Michael Kofman says the Russians are "also investing in capacity and how they can spread it across the force," when it comes to electronic warfare.

    USNI News: "Russian Operations, Exercises Have Better Integrated Electronic Warfare"

  • January 24, 2018

    Alarik Fritz says, "The submarine force that they have is essentially their capital ships. They're a concern for us and they're highly capable—and they're a very agile tool of the Russian military."

    The National Interest: "Why Are Russian Nuclear Attack Submarines Firing Torpedoes At Each Other?"

  • January 23, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "This dashed any hopes in the Kremlin of getting back to business as usual with the United States. Fortified the belief among Russia's elite, and its population for that matter, that there is a large contingent within the U.S. government that is anti-Russian and Trump doesn't have the power to overcome it."

    Newsweek: "What Did Putin Want From Trump and What Did He Actually Get?"

  • January 22, 2018

    Dov Zakheim says, "If you don't come up with a strategy, you are never going to justify getting the money."

    Ecommerce-Journal: "New National Defense Strategy Lists China, Russia as Threats"

  • January 22, 2018

    Paul Schwartz says, "Since 2014, Russia has clearly emerged as NATO's most significant state-based security challenge."

    Marine Corps Times: "Peer Competitors Ready to 'Hand It to Us,' Marine General Says"

  • January 21, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Soratnik testing in Syria may have in fact taken place considering the mine clearing UGVs that Russia has tested there and is planning to use from now on."

    The National Interest: "Russia Tests New "Unmanned Ground Combat Vehicle" in Near Combat Conditions"

  • January 18, 2018

    Julia McQuaid says while water stress doesn't lead straight to conflict, "It can be catalyst, It can be a thing that breaks the system."

    The New York Times: "Warming, Water Crisis, Then Unrest: How Iran Fits an Alarming Pattern"

  • January 18, 2018

    Ken Gause says the only way to stop North Korea from putting a miniaturized nuke on top of a missile is "to have some carrots along with the sticks."

    OZY: "Get a Sneak Peek at Trump's Year Two Checklist"

  • January 18, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “In terms of establishing viable air defenses against opponents with fifth generation aircraft, it's quite clear how Russia is trying to tackle the problem of stealth."

    The National Interest: “Could Russia's S-400 Do the Unthinkable: Kill a F-22, F-35 or B-2 Bomber?”

  • January 18, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Russian intelligence gathering ships don’t come around for port of call visits or flag waving.”

    CNN: “Military: Russian Spy Ship Moving Toward U.S.”

  • January 17, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "We are talking about a very wide aperture for a drone-borne attack—from small quadrocopters, to plane-like UAVs that attacked Hmeimim, to potential coordinated swarms made up of small and large drones."

    The National Interest: "'Swarm' Strikes Are the U.S. Military's Worst Fear"

  • January 16, 2018

    David Knoll says, "Looking at non-state actor drone operations in the last 2-3 years, I would expect to see more efforts to launch swarm drone attacks by non-state groups in the future."

    The National Interest: "Could This be the U.S. Military's Secret Weapon to Stop a 'Swarm' Strike?"

  • January 16, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Robust EW defenses—in fact, the Russians are already talking about bolstering their EW even more following this Syria attack."

    The National Interest: "Could This Be the U.S. Military's Secret Weapon to Stop a 'Swarm' Strike?"

  • January 12, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "sophisticated UAV education and knowledge is spreading and more and more people are starting to get access to what was once very classified and proprietary data, including technologies that enable UAV flight and operation."

    The National Interest: "Who Attacked a Russian Military Base With a 'Swarm' Strike?"

  • January 11, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "The most effective resource is an organization that doesn't know it's being used."

    The Moscow Times: "The Specter of Kaspersky Looms Over Russian Cybersecurity Firms"

  • January 10, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg says, "We often overestimate how much governments in capitals have control over the rebel groups they sponsor."

    Business Insider: "Russia Is Blaming Turkey for Attacks on Its Military Bases in Syria — After Hinting the U.S. Was Responsible"

  • January 10, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "There's a lot of money to be made on that border, and there are a lot of connections between the operators on the border and their patrons back in Beijing."

    The New York Times: "Businesswoman's Fate a Test of China's Resolve on North Korea"

  • January 8, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Its strategy exists in a gray zone. Therefore, engagement is vital to moving forward and not falling back into the hole we found ourselves in 2017, when we relied on pressure and preconditions to solve the North Korea problem."

    Yonhap News Agency: "Koreas Sit Down for Talks Amid Hopes for Better Ties"

  • January 8, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The Seventh Party Congress welcomed the rise of many new faces, and that indicates that it has appointed its loyalists."

    El Mundo: "Kim Jong-Un, a Very Skillful Dictator and a Little Erratic" [Spanish]

  • January 8, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "It's very likely that such parts were most likely acquired commercially, in which case we are entering a dangerous terra incognita with respect to unsanctioned UAV use by non-state and terrorist organizations."

    The National Interest: "Russia Came Under Attack by a 'Swarm' In Syria, Says Report"

  • January 8, 2018

    Sarah Vogler says, "After all that's been said, the war of words between the two men over the course of the past few weeks and months; it would be very difficult for Kim Jong Un to meet with Donald Trump one on one at this point. Korean culture is very rooted in respect and the legitimacy of the ruler."

    CNN: "Rare North and South Korea Peace Talks Begin Soon"

  • January 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "[Russians] are seeking to rapidly develop new UAV with strike capabilities and this new drone could be a test bed for that platform."

    The National Interest: "Russia Is Developing a Mysterious Unmanned Strike Aircraft"

  • January 3, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "There's nowhere in the world that I know of where there is a button. Since [Kim Jong Un] doesn't sit at his desk 24 hours a day, I'm pretty sure he's got some kind of command and control arrangement that follows him around, the same as the U.S. president and the Russian president."

    Vice News: "Kim Jong Un Kicked off 2018 by Pressing Trump's Buttons"

  • January 3, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "The Delta IIIs, for sure, have to go, and Delta IV by the end of the 2020s. How many they actually build will depend in great deal on the state of arms control agreements and overall composition of Russian nuclear forces."

    The National Interest: "Russia Is Getting Ready to Build a New Set of Deadly Nuclear Missile Submarines"

  • January 3, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "This is part of an overall Russian strategy to bolster its conventional deterrence, and ability to retaliate with long range conventional weapons."

    The National Interest: "The Russian Navy's Master Plan to 'Sink' the U.S. Navy Is Now Clear"

  • January 1, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "By taking a mixed approach to Seoul and Washington, North Korea seems likely to continue with its strategy of trying to drive a wedge in the alliance."

    Yonhap News: "N.K.'s Olive Branch Toward Seoul Targets Breakthrough Amid Sanctions: Experts"

  • July 18, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake and Michael McDevitt participated in the International Conference on Security of the Indian Ocean Region and contributed to policy recommendations for a more stable security environment in the region.

    The Sasakawa Peace Foundation: “Policy Recommendations by the Quadripartite Commission on the Indian Ocean Regional Security”

  • June 8, 2018

    CNA analysts Satu Limaye and Mary Ellen Connell discussed Indonesia’s maritime interests with Dr. Rizal Ramli, founder of ECONIT Advisory Group and former Coordinating Minister for Maritime Affairs under President Joko Widodo.

  • May 4, 2018

    Eric Thompson, Rear Adm. Michael McDevitt, Satu Limaye, Nilanthi Samaranayake, and Adm. William Fallon attend a bilateral discussion on power-plays and responses of the U.S., China, India, and Japan within the Indo-Pacific.

    National Maritime Foundation: 9th NMF-CNA Bilateral Dialogue

  • March 13, 2018

    In 2018, CNA's Executive Sessions on Policing will take a look at Innovative Approaches to Reducing Violent Crime. On March 13, experts will convene to review how local police agencies are using innovative approaches in the use of technology, intelligence, and analytics to support their efforts to reduce violent crime.
    Learn more and register here.

  • March 7, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russians have publicly stated that they like the fact that NATO military assets have been in and around the Baltic Sea conducting their operations, giving Russians the ability to collect data on sensors, on communications and all kinds of electronic signatures."

    Defense One: "Genius Machines: The Next Decade of Artificial Intelligence" [Panel begins at 2:10:30]

  • January 31, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says, “Smaller Indian Ocean countries are getting sucked into a discourse about strategic competition. We’re increasingly seeing the politicization of infrastructure, especially in maritime domain.”

    American Center New Delhi: Panel Discussion on Maritime Security in the Indo-Pacific

  • January 18, 2018

    At a CNA roundtable, Nilanthi Samaranayake and Mary Ellen Connell discussed France's strategic interests in the Indian Ocean region with Dr. Iskander Rehman of the Pell Center for International Relations and Public Policy.

    CNA: “CNA Roundtable Proceedings: France’s Strategic Interests in the Indian Ocean”

  • July 18, 2018

    Kasey Stricklin writes, “Income inequality, gaps in women’s career trajectories and women’s disproportionate role in housework and childcare inherently place them at a disadvantage in earnings-related pension schemes.”

    Bear Market Brief: “No Rest for the Weary Babushka: Would Pension Reform Benefit Older Russian Women?”

  • July 18, 2018

    Michael McDevitt writes in chapter 7, “On any given day, the PLA Navy (PLAN) has an average of between 4-5 warships (including on occasion a submarine) and two support vessels, organized into two independent Task Forces, operating somewhere in the Indian Ocean.”

    The Sasakawa Peace Foundation: “Policy Recommendations by the Quadripartite Commission on the Indian Ocean Regional Security”

  • July 18, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes in chapter 5, “The Indian Ocean is the lifeline of the world’s economy. Half of all container traffic transits this body of water, and 30% of the world’s trade flows through its ports.”

    The Sasakawa Peace Foundation: “Policy Recommendations by the Quadripartite Commission on the Indian Ocean Regional Security”

  • July 18, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, “The Russian government has long expressed concern that their reliance on imported IT products creates major security vulnerabilities.”

    CAAI Blog: “Russian Kryptonite to Western Hi-Tech Dominance”

  • July 17, 2018

    Steven Wills writes, “The NATO Alliance must return to a deterrent posture similar to that of the Cold War in order to prevent potential Russian aggression.”

    CIMSEC: “A New Gap in the High North and Forward Defense Against Russian Naval Power”

  • July 5, 2018

    Christopher Steinitz writes, “The Trump administration released more details this week of how it plans to slap sanctions back on Iran. It is an ambitious and aggressive policy to change Iran’s behavior, but it is premised on faulty assumptions, and ultimately may be counterproductive.”

    The Hill: “Why New U.S. Sanctions on Iran Won’t Work — and Might Backfire”

  • July 5, 2018

    Satu Limaye says, “On the one hand, China is part of major elements of the international order such as the UN and WTO. On the other, it is pursuing new efforts such as Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and BRI that offer different models, tools and institutions that have mixed responses and results.”

    Khmer Times: “The Effects of Global Politics on Cambodia and Asia-Pacific”

  • July 1, 2018

    Mark Rosen writes, “Diego Garcia has been a refuge for mariners for centuries because of the availability of freshwater and ample fish and has been a valued military installation since World War II.”

    The National Interest: “How Diego Garcia Can Play a Pivotal Role in America's Relationship with India”

  • June 29, 2018

    Larry Lewis writes, “Even though many civilians encounter the humanitarian tolls of war, there is no public conversation on how applying artificial intelligence to waging war could help ease its tragedies.”

    Breaking Defense: “AI for Good in War; Beyond Google’s ‘Don’t Be Evil’”

  • June 27, 2018

    Jeffrey Becker and Erica Downs write, “The fact that China is expanding its base in Djibouti is not particularly surprising. China has growing interests in East Africa and the Indian Ocean.”

    East Asia Forum: “China’s Djibouti Military Base the First of Many”

  • June 25, 2018

    Frederick Thompson writes, “Exercises are among the most realistic operations we conduct. Our investigations of what really happened in an exercise yield valuable insights into problems, into solutions, and into promising tactical ideas.”

    CIMSEC: “Did We Learn Anything From That Exercise? Could We?” (Reprint of 1982 July-August edition of Naval War College Review)

  • June 25, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, “Russia is also busy designing and testing many unmanned maritime and ground vehicles for various missions with diverse payloads.”

    Mad Scientist Blog (U.S. Army): “Russian Ground Battlefield Robots: A Candid Evaluation and Ways Forward”

  • June 18, 2018

    Anthony Braga, James Coldren, and Denise Rodriguez write, "Our experimental analyses found statistically significant reductions in complaints and officer use of force reports for treatment officers relative to control officers."

    Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology: "The Effects of Body-Worn Cameras on Police Activity and Police-Citizen Encounters: A Randomized Controlled Trial"

  • June 14, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “No one knows if the next six years of Vladimir Putin’s reign will be his last, but signs suggest they will be the most difficult for Washington to navigate in what is now widely acknowledged on both sides as a long-term confrontation between Russia and the West.”

    War on the Rocks: “Raiding and International Brigandry: Russia’s Strategy for Great Power Competition”

  • June 13, 2018

    Christopher Steinitz writes, "Rather than mandating a precise road to denuclearization, the Singapore statement, in conjunction with Trump's remarks, emphasizes a resetting of the U.S.-North Korea relationship through a process of building confidence."

    The Hill: "The Trump-Kim Summit Advances a Unique Rapprochement"

  • June 8, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake and Satu Limaye write, “China can pursue its ‘long game’ in the Himalayas because India, for both military and diplomatic reasons, hasn’t pushed back hard.”

    War on the Rocks: “Doklam, One Year Later: China’s Long Game in the Himalayas”

  • May 23, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Russian defense spending is alive and well, with cuts limited to single digits. The announcement about its steep decline by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, or SIPRI, was erroneous."

    Russian Military Analysis: "The Collapsing Russian Defense Budget and Other Fairy Tales"

  • May 22, 2018

    Ken Gause writes, “Only through a clear-eyed approach to North Korea can we hope to develop strategies that will have resonance and traction and make the most of the opportunity that we may now be presented with.”

    The National Interest: "We Need to Test Our Assumptions About North Korea"

  • May 22, 2018

    Zack Gold writes, "Since 2011, jihadi militants in Egypt's North Sinai governorate, who declared their allegiance to the Islamic State in November 2014, have threatened the security of both Egypt and Israel."

    World Politics Review: "The Consequences of Israel and Egypt's Alliance of Convenience Against ISIS"

  • May 15, 2018

    Larry Lewis writes, "It would be worthwhile to think more deeply about how to use AI to reduce the humanitarian tolls of warfare."

    Just Security: "AI-4-Good in Warfare"

  • May 11, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Despite modest reductions to the defense budget since 2015, the Russian military has suffered the least in state cuts relative to other government services."

    The Moscow Times: "Parades and Pomp: What Do Russia's Armed Forces Have to Celebrate?"

  • May 9, 2018

    Dov Zakheim writes, "Trump seems to believe that his action against Iran strengthens his negotiating hand against North Korea. The opposite may be the case."

    The Hill: "Now What? Trump Could Make a Deal With Europe Regarding Iran"

  • May 1, 2018

    Joshua Pollack writes, "Contrary to claims that the deal required Iran to 'come clean' and be truthful about its past weapons research, it required only that Iran implement an agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)."

    Defense One: "Netanyahu and Iran's Atomic Archive: What's New and What's Not"

  • April 24, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "Soloviev made the argument that Russia needs to become more active in defending itself against soft power attacks."

    Russian Military Reform: "MCIS Soft Power Panel"

  • April 20, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "The panel was led off by Lt. General Stanislav Gadzhimagomedov, the Deputy Chief of the Main Operational Directorate of the Russian General Staff."

    Russian Military Reform: "MCIS slides on Regional Security in the Middle East and North Africa"

  • April 20, 2018

    Mark Rosen writes, "Recent work by CNA and CSIS makes clear that China is both making substantial investments in the Arctic region and is constructing more icebreakers."

    IPP Review: "China's New Arctic Policy Needs Close Analysis"

  • April 19, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "All technology displayed on parade was/is in regular use, so it was probably just a matter of time before Russians started showing off their unmanned military systems."

    CAAI Blog: "For the First Time, Russia Is Showcasing Unmanned Military Systems at a Military Parade"

  • April 18, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "One more set of slides today, this one from a speech by Vice Admiral Igor Kostyukov, the first deputy chief of the Main Directorate of the Russian General Staff, on the topic of security in the Asia-Pacific region."

    Russian Military Reform: "MCIS Presentation on Asia-Pacific Security Problems"

  • April 18, 2018

    Kasey Stricklin writes, "Women in Russia are entering STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) fields at a higher rate than many of their Western counterparts, but there are still far less Russian women than men."

    Bear Market Brief: "Where STEM Girls at: Russian Women in STEM"

  • April 16, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "Syria's ability to make and use chemical weapons was largely unaffected, because what they are using now is chlorine gas, rather than the sarin that was made in its chemical weapons program prior to 2013."

    Russian Military Reform: "Quick Thoughts on Syria Strike"

  • April 12, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "Today's installment of slides comes from the speech of Belarusian Defense Minister Andrei Ravkov."

    Russian Military Reform: "MCIS 2018 Belarusian Defense Minister Slides"

  • April 12, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, "You can actually create better humanitarian outcomes with AI."

    CNA: "CNA Expert Speaks to U.N. Representatives About Lethal Autonomous Weapons"

  • April 12, 2018

    Michael McDevitt says, "The Soviets sought naval access arrangements with nations around the western Indian Ocean, just as China is doing today."

    CNA: "Is the Past Prologue in the Indian Ocean?"

  • April 10, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "It's time once again for the annual slide show of presentations from the Moscow Conference on International Security."

    Russian Military Reform: "Moscow Conference on International Security 2018 Sergei Rudskoi Slides"

  • April 10, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, "Rather than focusing on the human control in the final engagement decision, the U.N. should develop a comprehensive safety net woven from existing best practices."

    CNA: "Building a Safety Net for Autonomous Weapons"

  • April 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "Russia's annual domestic investment in AI is probably around 700 million rubles ($12.5 million) – a paltry sum next to the billions being spent by American and Chinese companies."

    Defense One: "In AI, Russia Is Hustling to Catch Up"

  • March 29, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "The technopolis will feature all available social comforts for young specialists and their families, including shopping venues, schools, kindergartens and public transport – just like the Soviet 'secret cities' did."

    War is Boring: "Russia Wants to Build a Whole City for Developing Weapons"

  • March 28, 2018

    Erica Downs writes, "Russia will likely face competition from other oil exporters seeking to sell more to the world's largest net oil importer. In 2018 and 2019, Brazil, Iraq and the United States are likely to increase their shares of China's crude oil imports."

    China Policy Institute: "Russia Not Saudi Arabia Is China's Main Source of Oil"

  • March 22, 2018

    Larry Lewis writes, "Many groups recommend steps for the U.S. military to bolster its own capabilities to detect civilian casualties post-strike or to work more closely with independent groups to better consider external information to complement its assessments."

    Just Security: "Civilian Casualties: We Need Better Estimates—Not Just Better Numbers"

  • March 19, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "How will Russia's combat UGVs perform in battle? It's currently not clear. Russian systems – like practically all combat UGVs – are vulnerable to enemy fire."

    The National Interest: "Is Russia Building an Army of Robots?"

  • March 17, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "Russia hasn't yet announced officially if its combat UGVs will be expendable devices, or if it plans to make them permanent fixtures in operations."

    War is Boring: "What Moscow Thinks About When It Thinks About War Robots"

  • March 8, 2018

    Kasey Stricklin writes, "While parity is still elusive, the gender pay gap in Russia has significantly decreased over the last decade."

    Bear Market Brief: "Who Run the World? Not Women, Yet"

  • March 7, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "The Foundation of Advanced Studies (FAS) stays busy these days with a variety of projects that include unmanned and robotic technologies."

    War is Boring: "The Russian Military Wants Students to Design Its New Underwater Drone"

  • March 6, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "I don't believe that Russia either needs these weapons to ensure the viability of its deterrent, or that their acquisition fundamentally changes anything in the military balance with the U.S."

    Russian Military Analysis: "Emerging Russian Weapons: Welcome to the 2020s (Part 2 – 9M730?, Status-6, Klavesin-2R)"

  • March 5, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "most of these 'new weapons' are long running projects, systems thought to be in development, or testing."

    Russian Military Reform: "Emerging Russian Weapons: Welcome to the 2020s (Part 1 – Kinzhal, Sarmat, 4202)"

  • March 4, 2018

    Mark Rosen writes, "China's State Council Information Office issued a new Arctic Policy on January 26, 2018. It asserts that China is an 'important stakeholder in Arctic Affairs'."

    The National Interest: "U.S. Arctic Policy: The Video and the Audio Are Out of Synch"

  • March 4, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "most of these 'new weapons' are long running projects, systems thought to be in development, or testing."

    Russian Military Reform: "Emerging Russian Weapons: Welcome to the 2020s (Part 1 – Kinzhal, Sarmat, 4202)"

  • February 19, 2018

    Alison Kaufman writes, "Chinese scholars and statesmen have long used all three of these meanings of civilization, to varying degrees, as a measuring stick for China's progress, domestically and internationally"

    The ASAN Forum: "China's Discourse of "Civilization": Visions of Past, Present, and Future"

  • February 16, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds writes, "The National Security Strategy (NSS) and the National Defense Strategy (NDS) describe the United States as coming to terms with an emerging new world order, one fraught with great power competition, populism and terrorism."

    Tampa Bay Times: "Perspective: A National Security Strategy of Coming to Terms With Competition"

  • February 14, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "the story of Russian casualties among supporting PMCs (mercenaries belonging to private military companies) has proliferated across the internet and newspaper articles, with many of the facts and figures inaccurate."

    Russian Military Analysis: "U.S. Strikes and Russian PMC Casualties in Syria – Fact vs Fiction"

  • February 7, 2018

    Steven Klein writes, "The frequency spectrum is of vital importance to the military; many warfighting systems including radars, communications and other sensors depend on unfettered access to spectrum for their successful operation in combat."

    CHIPS: "Spectrum Management: Competition for a Scarce Resource"

  • February 7, 2018

    Vincent Manzo writes, “By treating North Korea’s push toward an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) as a crisis rather than a component of a long-term challenge, the Trump team is stumbling toward an unnecessary war.”

    Texas National Security Review: “The Least Bad Option: Damage Limitation and U.S. Deterrence Strategy Toward North Korea”

  • February 6, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds writes, "United States and Western commentary on Russian nuclear doctrine often focuses on Russia's intention to use low-yield nuclear weapons in a conventional conflict, raising the stakes for the West."

    The National Interest: "How America Could Accidentally Push Russia into a Nuclear War"

  • February 6, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Russia's Aerospace Forces have shown dramatic progress compared to their performance in the 2008 Russia-Georgia war. Military reforms launched that same year and a large modernization program in 2011 have left their mark."

    The Moscow Times: "Starving Wolf No Longer: Can Russia Sustain Its Military? (Op-ed)"

  • February 2, 2018

    Paul Saunders writes, "All in all, the U.S.-Qatar Strategic Dialogue and the public statements accompanying it were necessary and constructive correctives."

    The National Interest: "Trump Leans Toward Qatar in the Saudi Spat"

  • January 30, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "The National Defense Strategy's urgency is valid and its desire to focus on inter-state conflict meritorious. It's tone and framing is, in many ways, a good start. But it betrays a poor understanding of the nature of the problem and the adversaries with whom we are competing."

    War on the Rocks: "Searching for Strategy in Washington's Competition With Russia"

  • January 25, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "In certain aspects of the field of unmanned military systems, Russia may be inching ahead of its competition in designing and testing a wide variety of systems and conceptualizing their future use."

    Defense One: "Russia Is Poised to Surprise the U.S. in Battlefield Robotics"

  • January 24, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "The Russian Air Force has been substantially modernized and upgraded as part of the current State Armament Program (SAP-2020)."

    Russian Military Reform: "Russian Air Force Procurement Plans"

  • January 24, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Syria has tested every world leader individually and collectively, and has laid bare the failure of international institutions to deal effectively with the problems those institutions were designed to manage and prevent."

    Military Review: "What Kind of Victory for Russia in Syria?"

  • January 22, 2018

    Vincent Manzo writes, “Lowering the yield on some SLBMs would be a modest force structure change, not a major departure from the United States’ approach to nuclear deterrence.”

    Defense One: “Give the Low-Yield SLBM its Day in Court”

  • January 18, 2018

    Admiral James Foggo III writes, “The strong relationship between the U.S. and France is a natural “fit” for us to lead and promote the tenets of maritime security and greater freedom of navigation throughout the Indian Ocean.”

    CNA: Statement on U.S.- France Naval Cooperation

  • January 18, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “Kazakhstan’s size would make Russia reluctant to undertake a full-scale military intervention. Still, there are circumstances under which the Russian leadership would feel pressure to use force to intervene in Kazakhstan.”
    Russian Military Reform: “Russian Military Intervention in Kazakhstan”

  • January 17, 2018

    Umida Hashimova says, "When Uzbekistanis elected Shavkat Mirziyaev as their president on December 4, 2016, they entered 2017 with a healthy dose of skepticism that real change would follow."

    The Jamestown Foundation: "A Year in Review: Uzbekistan Pursues Liberalization at Home, Neighborly Relations Abroad"

  • January 12, 2018

    Rear Admiral Paul Becker writes, "Securing interests in the Indo-Pacific will require Washington's strategic communications to be consistent, coherent and focused."

    The Cipher Brief: "The 'Indo-Pacific': Redrawing the Map to Counter China"

  • January 11, 2018

    Steven Wills writes, "[The Littoral Combat Ship] makes an ideal patrol platform for counternarcotics and counterpiracy missions because of its shallow draft, high speed, and large helicopter, unmanned aircraft and boat facilities."

    Real Clear Defense: "LCS: Beyond the Modules"

  • January 9, 2018

    Brian McCue writes, "The Department of Defense is committed to lowering the prevalence of sexual assaults and increasing the proportion of these assaults that are reported."

    Phalanx: "The Prevalence of Sparsely Reported Events" [Page 17]

  • June 19, 2018

    CNA today announced that it has completed the appointment of a Space Advisory Council of national experts with institutional knowledge of space programs, operations and policy to advise the CNA research team working with the Department of Defense (DOD) to develop a plan to create a Military Department of Space. Read more.

  • May 15, 2018

    On May 15, CNA and the Center for International Maritime Security (CIMSEC) will host the fourth annual CIMSEC Forum for Authors and Readers (CFAR). Read more.

  • May 7, 2018

    CNA launches ISAAC, a new predictive tool that will help government agencies manage large IT project schedules and budgets. Read more.

  • April 25, 2018

    The speed at which information spreads today presents challenges to the United States, as state and non-state adversaries use this capability to spread disinformation. As the U.S. government looks for ways to counter adversarial disinformation campaigns, it is overlooking a potentially valuable tool: memes. Read more.

  • April 23, 2018

    Contrary to popular belief, recruits from low-income neighborhoods do not make up the majority of enlisted accessions across the military branches, according to the 43rd annual Population Representation in the Military Services report (also known as the “PopRep”). Read more.

  • April 13, 2018

    The Baltimore Police Department announced that CNA will lead an Independent Review Board to review the department's handling of the murder of Detective Sean Suiter on November 15, 2017. Read more.

  • April 12, 2018

    A new CNA analysis looks back at the Cold War to gain insights on the future of the Indian Ocean. Read more.

  • April 12, 2018

    At the U.N. Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW), Dr. Larry Lewis warned that human intervention at the "trigger pull" will not eliminate the risks of autonomous weapons. Read more.

  • April 10, 2018

    A new CNA report by Dr. Larry Lewis recommends a comprehensive approach on lethal autonomous weapons to limit civilian casualties. Read more.

  • February 13, 2018

    In a new report, CNA analysts have undertaken an effort to map the Russian media environment and examine Russian decision-making as it relates to the media through a series of scenarios that range from crisis to steady state. Read more.

  • February 8, 2018

    An elite advisory group of retired admirals and generals from across the military services has warned that water stress will play an increasingly important role in global security. Read more.


Contact

Fiona Gettinger
Communications Associate
703.824.2388
gettingerf@cna.org

communications@cna.org
3003 Washington Boulevard
Arlington, VA 22201

Note to Reporters and Editors

Note to writers and editors: CNA is not an acronym and is correctly referenced as "CNA, a research organization in Arlington, VA."