News and Information

The experts at CNA are often asked to comment on issues in the news. The views expressed in these articles are their own.

2018 News Archive

  • December 14, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “According to the developers, the drone can use nets to intercept quadcopters; can carry several types of fragmentation and high-explosive ammunition, as well as reconnaissance equipment. Currently, according to Mikran, the prototype is undergoing factory flight tests.”

    C4ISRNET: “Russia’s Carnivora Is Designed for a Drone-Eat-Drone World”

  • December 13, 2018

    Denise Rodriguez says, “In total, we currently work with over 340 police agencies on a number of other policing issues (i.e. violent crime reduction, body-worn camera technology, precision policing, police-research partnerships, critical incident review).”

    Charleston City Paper: “Virginia Firm Likely to Get $159,000 Contract to Study Racial Bias in the Charleston Police Department”

  • December 12, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The Pantsir didn’t perform miserably, it simply doesn’t have a radar suitable for tracking small slow-flying targets. It was not built with that mission in mind.”

    War Is Boring: “Can Russia’s Pantsir Air-Defense System Handle Drone Swarms?”

  • December 11, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Russia views the Arctic as an area vital to its national security — for the defense of the nation, for the economic development and for environmental factors.”

    Defense One: “Russia’s New Arctic Drones Are Built to Spot Ships”

  • December 4, 2018

    According to the CNA report, China’s Military Support Facility in Djibouti: The Economic and Security Dimensions of China’s First Overseas Base, “China’s naval facility in Djibouti will support four other key missions: intelligence collection, non-combat evacuation operations, peacekeeping operation support, and counterterrorism.”

    The Diplomat: “China’s Djibouti Base: A One Year Update”

  • November 30, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, “Destroying 60 buildings in a month means that twice a day, international forces are conducting the riskiest kind of strikes for civilians: structures where there is uncertainty of who may be inside them.”

    Just Security: “Uptick in U.S. Air Strikes on Buildings in Afghanistan Raises Questions”

     

  • November 29, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Russia, in particular, was working on several versions of exoskeletons, including one that it tested recently in Syria.”

    Reuters: “Pentagon Looks to Exoskeletons to Build 'Super-Soldiers'”

  • November 27, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “It would seem to me that there is a delicate diplomatic dance going on between the US and North Korea at the moment. Neither side is willing to fully invest itself in the engagement because both sides are sticking firmly to their positions (denuclearization vs. sanctions relief).”

    The Korea Herald: “NK Release of American Detainee Loses Spotlight as Nuclear Talks Stall”

  • November 27, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “MOD is running many technical competitions among students of various levels - from middle school to university level. The key theme here is the preparation of ‘personnel reserve’- the capacity to grow technical expertise over the course of an entire generation.”

    C4ISRNET: “How Russian Robots Take After Peter the Great”

  • November 26, 2018

    According to the CNA report, Distributed Operations: Manpower Policies for Developing Small Unit Leaders, “For the Marine Corps to meet the Commandant’s directive for institutionalizing the distributed operations concept, there needs to be a holistic reconsideration of specific manpower management policies that do not support fulfilling the fifth through seventh-year requirement for the Rifle Squad Leader.”

    Marine Corps Gazette: “Close Combat Victory in 2030”

  • November 26, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “I have to say I wasn’t actually surprised. Russia’s been trying to assert control over the Sea of Azov for some time, and the Russian Navy has always been very aggressive at sea. It's clear from the video of the Russian ships attacking the Ukrainian tugboat that this is a clear signal to Ukraine that Russia wants control over the Sea of Azov.”
    BBC Today: “26/11/2018” [Interview at 1:09]

     

  • November 26, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “I think this could be an inflection point, where things get much more violent” between Russia and Ukraine.

    Foreign Policy: “Putin Pushes Russia-Ukraine Tensions to a Four-Year High”

  • November 26, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Russia’s border service “wanted to give Ukraine a bloody nose and remind them the true balance of power.”

    The Wall Street Journal: “Haley Calls Russia Reckless in Tense Standoff With Ukraine”

  • November 24, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The question is not whose fighter is stealthier, the question is how stealthy are our aircraft relative to their long-wave UHF/VHF radars, designed more to return a holistic signature image of low observable aircraft.”

    The National Interest: “What the Marines Think of the F-35: It ‘Kills Everything’”

  • November 23, 2018

    Zack Gold says, “Does killing the top leaders really decapitate the group or affect its long-term capacities? I frankly can't determine any difference in the way the group operates after these killings – why is it still able to lay down roadside IEDs on a near daily basis?”

    Qantara.de: “A Bloody Year in Sinai”

  • November 17, 2018

    Roger Cliff says, “China’s redundant ASCM and UAV programs are under development not just by state-owned entities, such as AVIC, CASC, CASIC, and CETC, but also by a variety of start-ups and university-based companies.”

    The National Interest: “Why Is China Building So Many Different Types of Weapons?”

  • November 17, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Russia has been using a UAV-mounted cellphone jammer for a number of years now.”

    C4ISRNET: “Russian Drones Can Jam Cellphones 60 Miles Away”

  • November 16, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “This threat was judged to be great enough to introduce training to counter such small drones with small fires across so many Russian services.”

    Defense One: “Russia Has Started to Train Its Entire Military to Fight Drones”

  • November 15, 2018

    Soo Kim says, “A clear-eyed North Korea watcher would say there was a violation and you can no longer say they haven’t tested.”

    Wall Street Journal: “North Korea Touts New ‘Ultramodern Tactical Weapon’ Test”

  • November 9, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The question is not who’s fighter is stealthier, the question is how stealthy are our aircraft relative to their long-wave UHF/VHF radars, designed more to return a holistic signature image of low observable aircraft.”

    The National Interest: “The Marines Love the F-35 So Much They Gave it a Nickname: Velociraptor”

  • November 9, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says, “It's hard to imagine President Sirisena did not foresee the international reaction to his decision. The international community is now watching and waiting to see what will happen next, especially when parliament reconvenes.”

    Nikkei Asian Review: “Sri Lanka's Crisis Deepens as Parliamentary Speaker Cries ‘Coup’”

  • November 8, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Low observation is far short of invisibility, but if this element of fifth-generation aircraft technology is 'paper fiction,' then why is Russia building the PAK-FA, dreaming about the PAK-DA, and the same can be said of Chinese prototypes in development.”

    The National Interest: “Russia Thinks Stealth Fighters Like the F-22 and F-35 are ‘Paper Fiction’”

  • November 8, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The question is not who’s fighter is stealthier, the question is how stealthy are our aircraft relative to their long-wave UHF/VHF radars, designed more to return a holistic signature image of low observable aircraft.”

    The National Interest: “The Marines Love the F-35 So Much They Gave it a Nickname: Velociraptor”

  • November 8, 2018

    Soo Kim says, “the portrait’s unveiling might suggest that Kim believes he’s entering a new stage in his leadership. “It suggests he’s confident enough in his consolidation of power,” she said, and feels he is “no longer just in the shadows of father and grandfather.”

    The Washington Post: “Kim Jong Un Just Unveiled a New Portrait of Himself. Here’s What It Tells Us About Him.”

  • November 5, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg says, “NATO’s primary concern is with Russian submarines in the Mediterranean, not as much in Black Sea. Of course, military planners are concerned about the layered air/maritime defenses that would make any kind of conflict in the region very difficult for NATO forces.”

    Breaking Defense: “Russian Intercept Underscores Tensions in Black Sea”

  • November 5, 2018

    Zack Gold says, “There are obviously diplomatic and political factors but to their minds (the Egyptians) the situation is a security one."

    France 24: “Egypt Treads Carefully as Gaza Broker”

  • November 4, 2018

    Zack Gold says, “The U.S. is correct that a regional grouping should include the entire GCC [Gulf Cooperation Council], If [the Americans] are sending the message of not joining an organization that doesn’t include Qatar, it’s an important message to send.”

    Al-Monitor: “Middle East Upheaval Casts a Shadow Over ‘Arab NATO” 

  • October 30, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The greatest danger a Russian ship faces is not from adversaries at sea, but from Russia’s own shipbuilding and overhaul facilities, where many a ship has been lost or damaged in such accidents over the years.”

    Los Angeles Times: “Russia's Only Aircraft Carrier, in Port for Upgrades, Is Damaged in Dock Accident”

  • October 29, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says that the presence of two centers of power in Colombo meant policies would not be “as streamlined as they could be, especially on clear messaging to India.”

    South China Morning Post: “What Rajapaksa’s Return Means for China-India Tug of War Over Sri Lanka”

  • October 29, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “What’s interesting is that Russian designers are thinking creatively about UAV applications. Biomimicry allows UAVs to operate in areas where a ‘regular’-looking UAV would have been sighted and eliminated.”

    C4ISRNET: “New Russian Owl Drone Will Hunt Tanks in Northern Warfare”

  • October 26, 2018

    Michael Kofman says that recent events make it look like GRU officers “can’t tie their own shoelaces.”

    The Washington Post: “New Blow to Gru: More Russian Military Spies Exposed”

  • October 25, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “The U.S. should back away from denuclearization as the focus of the North Korean policy and replace it with a peace regime whereby denuclearization becomes a part of a reciprocal process of CBMs.”

    VOA News: “Experts: Inducements Unlikely to Help North Korea Denuclearize”

  • October 24, 2018

    Based on data from CNA report Unconstrained Foreign Direct Investment: An Emerging Challenge to Arctic Security, “Chinese foreign direct investment now accounts for an eye-popping 11.6 percent of Greenland’s economy, as well as nearly 6 percent of Iceland’s GDP.”

    War on the Rocks: “Gray Zones in a Blue Arctic: Grappling With China’s Growing Influence”

  • October 22, 2018

    Based on data from CNA Report, The Navy at a Tipping Point: Maritime Dominance at Stake?, "From 2008-2011, carrier strike group deployments averaged 6.4 months, which then climbed to 8.2 months in the next three years."

    CIMSEC: "How the Fleet Forgot to Fight, Pt. 5: Material Condition and Availability"

  • October 22, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Cruise missiles, in particular, can use terrain following features to mask their approach, whereas intermediate-range ballistic missiles have very little notice from the time they launch to the time they actually strike their target.”

    CNN: “Russia Fires Back After Trump Threatens to Ditch Nuclear Arms Treaty”

  • October 22, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The treaty always favored the U.S., which was able to stockpile large quantities of intermediate-range cruise missiles at sea or in the air while denying Russia the ability to base similar systems on land.”

    Los Angeles Times: “Bolton Meets With Moscow After Trump Threatens to Exit Landmark Nuclear Weapons Treaty”

  • October 22, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “One of the biggest lessons learned from Syria, and from the Arab Spring writ large, was the need for Russia to have more robust information warfare capabilities, especially for its military.”

    Defense One: “Russian Intel Chief: Internet Should Be Controlled by ‘Proper Authorities’”

  • October 19, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg says, “It’s still true that Russia is more interested in cooperation in this region than anywhere else, because it needs it. For that reason, it is continuing to work through institutions like the Arctic Council.”

    U.S. Naval War College: “Emerging Issues, Emerging Sea-Lanes in the Arctic: NWC Hosts Second Newport Arctic Scholars Initiative”

  • October 16, 2018

    Michael McDevitt says, “What this suggests to me is that Beijing is fed up with freedom of navigation operations and elected to violate the memorandum of understanding that the US and China agreed to three years ago about how they behave when warships are around each other.”

    The Guardian: “U.S.-China Tensions Soar as 'New Cold War' Heats Up”

  • October 15, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “The US military recognizes that Russian electronic warfare capabilities are evolving to the point where they can pose a threat to US systems.”

    Al-Monitor: “Pentagon Looks to Thwart Russian Tech Attacks in Syria”

  • October 15, 2018

    Zack Gold says, “Al-Ashmawy broke ties with militants in Sinai when they chose to align with ISIS in late 2014, so his capture will have no impact on intelligence for Egyptian operations in North Sinai.”

    Daily News Egypt: “Al-Ashmawy’s Apprehension Is ‘Big Win for Cairo’ but ‘Not Enough to Boost Sinai Operations”

  • October 12, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The relatively unprecedented step of taking [away] a project of this scale and magnitude shows how concerned [Russia's Ministry of Defense, or MOD] is with actual results, given that several Russian design bureaus are also working on long-range ISR and combat UAVs, competing for the same pot of funds that recently fed the Altius project."

    Defense One: "Ukrainian Armed-Drone Makers Sprint Ahead as Russian Effort Hits Snag"

  • October 8, 2018

    According to CNA report The U.S.-India Defense Relationship, “In the case of the P-8Is, the absence of secure voice, Link-11, and Link 16 prevented Indian aircraft from participating in secure voice networks or having a common tactical picture during exercises or other operations with U.S. forces or other regional forces that that operate over these voice and data links.”

    The Geopolitics: “India-US COMCASA: Some Details on Technology Sharing”

  • October 8, 2018

    Zack Gold says, “Ashmawy was a boogeyman for the Egyptian army, so there is potentially a morale factor to his capture after more than five years.”

    The Wall Street Journal: “Libyan Forces Detain Former Egyptian Army Commander Wanted in Attacks”

  • October 8, 2018

    Zack Gold says, “Certainly, this could be seen as a morale boost for Egypt, after blaming Ashmawy for major attacks — especially against security force and government officials — for over five years. However, it’s unlikely to have any impact in the short term on Egypt’s counterterrorism fight. Egypt still faces its biggest threat from ISIS, which itself was battling Ashmawy in Libya.”

    The Washington Post: “Libyan Forces Capture Egypt’s Most Wanted Militant”

  • October 7, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg says, “Russian foreign policy has actually been in some ways really constant, actually since before Putin became President.. in terms of what their goals are, and those goals are about regaining the lost respect that they felt they had as a superpower in the Soviet Days.”

    Midrats: “Russia's Red Banner Year, With Dr. Dmitry Gorenburg”

  • October 3, 2018

    David Kaufman says, “People turn to the places of support in disasters that they turn to in everyday situations.”

    NEMA: “NEMA: Annual Forum”

  • October 3, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “There is an understanding in the Russian military that as the technology it uses becomes more hi-tech and sophisticated, it needs to attract potential talent as the next generation to manage and operate such technology.”

    C4ISRNET: “Will Russian Students Design Underwater Robots to Protect the Coasts?”

  • October 2, 2018

    "When China looks at South Asia it sees opportunity in countries such as Sri Lanka or Bangladesh, which may be a 'connectivity bandwagon' for international trade – from transshipping automobiles to bunkering fuel for tankers and cargo carriers, Nilanthi Samaranayake, an analyst at CNA on China and Indo-Pacific Security, said at the event."

    USNI News: “Panel: Chinese Investments to Boost Trade Come as U.S. Commercial Shipping in Decline”

  • September 29, 2018

    Michael Kofman says while China and Russia did not specify an antagonist during the Vostok exercises, “the reality is that what they’re training and practicing against is still mostly an attack by the U.S.”

    The National Interest: “America Is Determined to Fight the World”

  • September 28, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “I think the actual exercise was considerably smaller than advertised. That’s to be expected — the numbers for Vostok exercises are dramatically inflated.” 

    Defense and Aerospace Report: “Threat Report: CNA’s Kofman and Bendett on Vostok Exercise”

  • September 28, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “There was a surprising amount of diversity and detail in the Russian media. In other words, anybody could follow the exercises, the components, the forces deployed, the technology deployed, so a variety of publications covered Vostock in great detail.”

    Defense and Aerospace Report: “Threat Report: CNA’s Kofman and Bendett on Vostok Exercise”

  • September 27, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “North Korea with an arrested nuclear program kept under wraps is better than a North Korea actively testing and improving its program in the midst of a brinksmanship strategy that raises tensions on the peninsula and in the region.”

    The Japan Times: “Trump Backs off Timetable for North Korean Denuclearization as Top U.S. Diplomat Announces Trip to Pyongyang Next Month”

  • September 25, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “I think it’s unlikely that the Syrians will be ready to operate this without Russian advisers and support for the immediate future.”

    The National Interest: “Russia's S-300 Play in Syria Is Creating Geopolitical Waves”

  • September 25, 2018

    Paul Schwartz says, “I don't think you can definitively say that the program has been canceled.”

    NPR: “Russia's Nuclear Cruise Missile Is Struggling To Take Off, Imagery Suggests”

  • September 24, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, The S-300, especially the PMU2 variant, “is a substantial upgrade over the capability offered by S-200. It has a much more capable acquisition and fire control radar, together with a package of missiles that offer much greater probability kill against high maneuverability targets and some missile defense capability.”

    Breaking Defense: “White House & Pentagon Warn Russia, Iran on Syria”

  • September 24, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “This was also a command and control exercise to see whether new Russian technologies will be utilized to properly manage these forces.”

    C4ISRNET: “Combat Robots and Cheap Drones Obscure the Hidden Triumph of Russia’s Wargame”

  • September 23, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The R-37 was a dedicated missile for wiping out ISR assets that was developed and tested in the 1990s.”

    The National Interest: “Yes, China or Russia Could Beat the Air Force In a War. This Is How”

  • September 23, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says, “If President Yameen loses, China will be able to work with the next leader, as it has shown in the case of Sri Lanka after the 2015 election.”

    The New York Times: “Maldives Opposition Declares Election Victory”

  • September 22, 2018

    Michael McDevitt says, “China is essentially, through the use of this historic rights claim, trying to snatch 60% of the resources that ought to belong to Vietnam and the Philippines.”

    BBC World News: “The Chinese Government’s Ambition in the South China Sea” [Interview at 37:00]

  • September 20, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, “The actions that [the State Department is] talking about in the memo are not the kinds of things that actually help reduce civilian casualties.”

    PBS News Hour: “Yemen War’s Civilian Casualties Trigger Questions on Capitol Hill About U.S. Support Role”

  • September 20, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Three submarines of the Lada class were begun, but after difficulties with the AIP plant only the lead unit, the Sankt Peterburg, was completed in 2010—with conventional diesel-electric propulsion. She now is in the Northern Fleet.”

    The National Interest: “Russia's Lada-Class Submarine Is Making a Comeback. But a Big Problem Remains”

  • September 20, 2018

    Michael McDevitt says, “As China’s military power grows relative to the United States, and it will, questions will also grow regarding America’s ability to deter Beijing’s use of force in settling its unresolved territorial issues.”

    The New York Times: “China’s Sea Control Is a Done Deal, ‘Short of War With the U.S.’”

  • September 19, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “Kim Yo-jong is not in a position to discuss key strategy with Kim Jong-un.”

    The Korea Times: “Kim Yo-Jong Busy Assisting Two Leaders”

     

  • September 18, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “This is the first Russian casualty in the Israeli-Iranian war of attrition.”

    The National Interest: “Who Really Shot Down Russia's Plane?”

  • September 18, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “There is a lot of development and lots of R&D work in this area, and Russia sees itself in a technological race against the United States/NATO.”

    C4ISRNET: “Russian Roboticist Sees All-But-Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems by 2030”

  • September 17, 2018

    David Finkelstein says, “China wants the seas and skies of the Western Pacific to be contested territory. And even if Chinese technology is not as good right now, they are cranking out a lot of ships, and the PLA force is flying over water for the first time. So there are concerns.”

    NPR: “Air Force Seeks Huge Increase In Planes, Personnel”

  • September 16, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “At most, the inter-Korean summit can help facilitate a second U.S.-North Korea summit."

    Yonhap News Agency: “Experts Eye Inter-Korean Summit in Terms of U.S.-N.K. Talks”

  • September 15, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “I think the safest way to count is to divide the official number by three. It’s still a very large exercise, but I suspect it’ll be less than 100,000.”

    POLITICO: “Russia's Military Dalliance With China”

  • September 14, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “They sound very impressive to a domestic audience, because they make it seem like Russia is a great power that in many ways has been restored in terms of military capability.”

    PBS: “Russia Aims to Impress and Intimidate With Its Largest Military Exercise in Decades”  

  • September 13, 2018

    Jonathan Schroden says that CNA is helping special operations forces “think about what role they might play in [non-counterterrorism] settings.”

    Yahoo News: “Special Operations Boom Years May Be Coming to a Close” 

  • September 12, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “Both militaries are definitely benefiting from learning to work together. They are learning how to share intelligence, how to operate together, they are basically understanding each other better militarily, and that could definitely benefit either country, whether together or separately, in any potential conflict with the United States.”

    CNN: “Russia and China Combine Forces in Show of Military Power”

  • September 12, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The reason why [Russia is] flexing its muscles is both as large-scale training for its own military...and also to establish coercive credibility vis-a-vis any potential adversaries, namely the United States and the West.”

    BBC News Hour: “Russia Launches Biggest War Games Since Cold War” [Segment begins at 9:20]

  • September 11, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “It's very hard to tell beforehand just how big these exercises are going to be.”

    VOA News: “Analysts: Russia's Vostok '18 Troop Numbers, 'China Alliance' Claims Questionable”

  • September 11, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The point of the exercise is really to test Russia's ability to conduct a large-scale conflict, and one that may involve a nuclear component.”

    VOA News: “Analysts: Russia's Vostok '18 Troop Numbers, 'China Alliance' Claims Questionable”

  • September 11, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says that China’s plans in the plantation sector are likely “to aid Sri Lanka’s goal of increasing its sagging exports through investment in the rubber industry.”

    The Diplomat: “China Expands Its Footprint in Sri Lanka”

  • September 7, 2018

    Zack Gold says, “There is a belief that this money is needed to maintain a good working relationship with Egypt. In many ways, it has created a dependency, an expectation of assistance.”

    Al Monitor: “Pentagon Revamps Egypt War Games in Trust-Building Exercise”

  • September 4, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “I suspect there’s a lot of P.R. here, and the influx of Russian ships has more to do with planned operations against Idlib.”

    The National Interest: “Why Is a Russian Naval Fleet Gathering Near Syria?”

  • September 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says that the Vostok exercise “involves a lot of forces from the eastern and central military districts, all airborne forces, long-range forces, parts of the northern fleet. It involves a lot of tanks, a lot of armored cars, a lot of armored vehicles. It involves up to a thousand or so aircraft of all types. So certainly the Russians are making it a very massive and large-scale attempt at an exercise.”

    Defense and Aerospace Report: “Threat Report: CNA’s Bendett on Russian and Chinese Vostock Exercise”

  • September 1, 2018

    Michael Connell says, “Russian hackers appear to be broadening their target set, but I think tying it to the midterm elections is pure speculation at this point.”

    The Associated Press: “As Elections Approach, What Is the Risk of Russian Meddling?”

  • August 30, 2018

    Jonathan Schroden, who directs the Special Operations program at the CNA defense think tank, said the changes could be anything from unconventional warfare and information operations to high-risk missions against near peers.”

    Al-Monitor: “Pentagon Adjusts War Games to Cope With Iran Threat”

  • August 30, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “It was interesting that the Russian announcement during Army-2018 stated that the exoskeleton was ‘tested in combat,’ though without any specific details. It’s likely that it was tried in Syria, though the press and media did not cover that development.”

    Defense One: “Russia, U.S. Are In a Military Exoskeleton Race”

  • August 29, 2018

    Alan Burns says, “I would argue that over several years, the PLANMC has been developing into a rapid response force that could be tasked with conducting a variety of expeditionary missions to defend China's overseas interests.”

    The National Interest: “China is Tripling the Size of Its Marine Corps”

  • August 29, 2018

    James “Chips” Stewart says the IRB report “should be treated as new evidence. These agencies … should then use it to re-investigate to see whether these are in fact meritorious and warrants a change in their findings or classifications.”

    The Baltimore Sun: “Baltimore Police Commissioner Says Detective’s Death Not a Closed Case, Despite Report’s Finding of Suicide”

  • August 29, 2018

    Ken Gause says that the only way to have North Korea denuclearize is to “couch it in terms of confidence-building measures toward a peace regime."

    VOA News: “Pompeo's Nixed N. Korea Trip Exposes Denuclearization Rift”

  • August 28, 2018

    “The Independent Review Board was co-chaired by James “Chips” Stewart, a law enforcement consultant who sat on two prior such review boards that looked at controversial Baltimore Police cases in 2011 and 2013.”

    The Baltimore Sun: “Panel Report: Baltimore Police Det. Suiter Had 'Every Incentive' to Make Suicide Appear to Be Murder”

  • August 25, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “North Korea never agreed to unilateral denuclearization at the Singapore summit, no matter how much we want to believe that they did.”

    Yonhap News Agency: “Trump Cancels Pompeo Trip to North Korea”

  • August 24, 2018

    Ken Gause says Washington and Seoul are taking two “fundamentally different points of view…on what gets North Korea to take serious steps to denuclearization.”

    VOA News: “U.S., South Korea Rift Grows on How to Denuclearize North Korea”

  • August 24, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Shoigu said it would be the largest exercise since Zapad, but not necessarily on that scale. The MoD has a tendency to inflate the participant count, particularly for exercises in the Far East.”

    The National Interest: “Vostok-2018: Russia (with China Making a Guest Appearance) Set for Largest Wargames in over Three Decades”

  • August 24, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says The Orion “most closely resembles America’s Predator/Gray Eagle UAV in its technical characteristics.”

    Defense News: “Russian Firm May Sell a Drone Resembling the U.S. Predator to a Mideast Customer”

  • August 24, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “The Ministry of Defence is holding competitions among students of various ages to generate new ideas and to get young people interested in emerging hi-tech.”

    C4ISRNET: “Russian Student Competitions Are Rebuilding a Military-Industrial Pipeline”

  • August 22, 2018

    Mark Rosen says, “Almost to a person, there seems to be unanimity among all the people at the conference — very senior officers and so forth — that we are really behind in terms of as a nation in recognizing the enormous resource potential of the Arctic as well as some of the challenges that are occurring today in other parts of the Arctic because the legal structure in many respects is not sufficiently robust.”

    Alaska Journal of Commerce: “Gaps in Arctic Strategy Leave Room for Trouble”

  • August 21, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “The Korea-watching community is stuck on a particular narrative of looking at North Korea. I’m not saying it's necessarily wrong, but it is based on assessments and assumptions that are largely based on a narrative that goes back at least to the 1990's, if not further.”

    NSI Podcast: “The Singapore Summit and Understanding North Korea’s Calculus”

  • August 20, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says that Russian want to, “put an unmanned package on the most widespread tank chassy they own  which is a T-72.”

    Defense and Aerospace Report: “CNA’s Bendett on Russia’s Storm UGV Concept, Cephalopod UUV, 2018 Falcon Hunt UAV Competition”

  • August 20, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “This UAV is a step in the right direction for close-combat [unmanned aerial vehicle, or UAV], though much will depend on its actual battlefield performance”

    Defense One: “Ukraine Startup Building Drones with Grenade Launchers”

  • August 17, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “If North Korea decides to give Pompeo anything (even a declaration), it will be done as a goodwill gesture for which North Korea will expect something in return.”

    RFA: “RFA Survey; Experts’ Answers” [Korean]

  • August 16, 2018

    “Using 2016 data from this CNA Corporation report, Stacker listed the states sending the most young people to the military. All 50 states, as well as the District of Columbia, are ranked according to their relative representation ratios: each state’s percentage of the nation’s 18-to-24-year olds weighed against their percentage of the military’s enlistees in the same age range.”

    MSN: “States Sending the Most Young People to the Military”

  • August 16, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says that for the Russians, “the most important part of space is what it contributes to information dominance and information warfare. They spend a lot of energy on that.”

    Breaking Defense: “Space Mystery: Are Russian Doll Satellites a Threat?”

  • August 16, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “A lot of our image surveillance reconnaissance  means are space-based, so it’s really more the United States' ability to see in support of its forces that potentially is threatened.”

    CNN: “‘Russian Nesting Doll’ Satellite Worries Military Analysts”

  • August 16, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Mobility is key in Electronic Warfare (EW), and Russian forces have a wide variety of wheeled EW systems that could deploy in as little as 15 minutes.”

    Breaking Defense: “Army Tests Jamming MRAPs: New Electronic Warfare Vehicle”

  • August 15, 2018

    “The Pentagon tasked the Center for Naval Analyses — an organization, per congressional instruction, without strong affiliations to the Air Force — to undertake the study.”

    War on the Rocks: “Make It So: Putting Space Force in Context”

  • August 15, 2018

    Jonathan Schroden says, “From Al-Qaida’s perspective, I don’t know why they would replace senior people in Afghanistan anymore when they are killed when Yemen and Syria are much more permissive for their purposes.”

    Politico: “Whatever Happened to Al Qaeda in Afghanistan?”

  • August 14, 2018

    Jonathan Schroden says, “The National Defense Strategy has become a bumper sticker, and the bumper sticker is great power conflict.”

    Al Monitor: “Pentagon Budget Leaves Uncertain Future for Middle East”

  • August 13, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, “It’s not enough for them to identify problems. You have to make changes to operations” that will avoid similar problems in the future.

    The Washington Post: “U.S. General Urges Saudi Arabia to Investigate Airstrike That Killed Dozens of Children in Yemen”

  • August 13, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The sanctions are principally an alibi for not having a Russia policy  or a Russia strategy in Washington DC.”

    Defense and Aerospace Report: “CNA's Kofman on Deterring Russia, US Sanctions Over Skripal Attack”

  • August 13, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Russian Ministry of Defense already has a center for unmanned aerial vehicle training ? it’s the 924th Center, outside of Moscow ? and it’s been operating for about five years at this point and is dedicated to teaching soldiers and officers the operation of various UAVs,”

    C4ISRNET: “Russia Wants Universities to Design Robots for War”

  • August 11, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, “There are two main mechanisms for civilian causalities. One is indeed collateral damage. There is a military engagement of what they consider to be a valid target, and then there are civilians who are inadvertently in the area. The other is misidentification, so a military force believes that the target is valid, however, it makes a mistake and inadvertently targets civilians.”

    BBC World: “Yemen Air Strike”

  • August 10, 2018

    “The two-day dialogue was a collaborative initiative between KDU and the Center for Naval Analysis (CNA), USA. This year’s Track 1.5 Dialogue focused on how bilateral relations between Sri Lanka and the USA could be further improved in a variety of spheres and how the global security concerns are influencing the relations between the two countries.”

    Daily News: “Lanka-U.S. Naval Cooperation Strengthens”

  • August 10, 2018

    Roger Cliff lists “four scenarios in which Beijing could ostensibly use force against Taiwan.”


    ANI: “How Will China Conquer Taiwan?”

  • August 7, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “Gause said that since the North Koreans have "a very strong rationale for deterrence and survival to keep the nuclear program."

    VOA News: “Caution Urged on Possible Second US-North Korea Summit”

  • August 6, 2018

    “CNA Corp. is looking into the creation of a Space Force. Will it make similar recommendations?”

    Defense One: “5 Unanswered Questions About Space Force”

  • August 5, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Current concerns on Chinese IP theft should be placed in the context of that 1990s history, that much of Chinese reverse engineering was really done with access to technologies from other republics, and China’s ability to piece together the different parts of the puzzle.”

    Defense One: “Russia Is Slowly Declining As a Space Superpower”

  • August 5, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Estonia is a surprising pioneer in [unmanned ground vehicle] technology — its unmanned ground vehicles represent the growing segment of logistics, support and close combat designs that will become ubiquitous in near- to midterm combat.”

    Defense One: “Who’s Leading the Western Response to Russia’s Warbots? Estonia”

  • August 2, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “It’s easy to keep shipyards full of corvette and light frigate orders.”

    The Daily Beast: “Russia’s Building Warships Faster Than America—or Even China”

  • August 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The KSSO is a relatively new addition to the Russian toolkit. The command's core philosophy is training a cohesive team rather than individual fighters.”

    The National Interest: “Russia Has Its Own Deadly 'Delta Force'”

  • July 31, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “As far as FEDOR's humanoid appearance, a wide range of human activity in the future will have androids either replacing a person or become his reliable assistants.”

    How Stuff Works: “Russia Sending Humanoid FEDOR Robot Into Space”

  • July 30, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “Regime survival and perpetuation of Kim family rule are Kim’s guiding principles.”

    The Washington Post: “U.S. Spy Agencies: North Korea Is Working on New Missiles”

  • July 30, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Turkey has for a long time been trying various schemes to extort technology transfer in the domain of air defense from Western companies.”

    Defense News: “The S-400 Deal, From Russia’s Perspective”

  • July 26, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “I don’t think that is North Korea’s intention (to weaken the South Korea-U.S. alliance through the declaration), but I do agree that we need to be aware that such actions would be something that support China’s national interests. The U.S. should refrain from any discussion about removing troops from the peninsula.”

    The Korea Herald: “Experts Advise Caution Over Rush to Declare End to Korean War”

  • July 25, 2018

    "According to expert analyst Samuel Bendett, there appears to be consensus that humans will be kept in the loop [with autonomous weapons], at least for the near future. However, it remains to be seen how Russia’s approach may evolve as the underlying technologies advance."

    Center for a New American Security: “Strategic Competition in an Era of Artificial Intelligence”

  • July 25, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “In terms of establishing viable air defenses against opponents with fifth generation aircraft, it's quite clear how Russia is trying to tackle the problem of stealth."

    The National Interest: “War in the Sky: Russia's S-400 vs. America's Stealth F-35 and F-22 (Who Wins?)”

  • July 25, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “It’s important to remember that military veterans are those who served in the military and were sent to war. These are mercenaries to whom the state does not necessarily owe any obligation, and who signed a commercial contract to deploy into a conflict zone.”

    The National: “Russia’s Covert Mercenaries in Syria Want Kremlin Recognition”

     

  • July 25, 2018

    Vice Adm. Michael Franken, Nilanthi Samaranayake, and Alexander Powell participated in a bilateral discussion in Sri Lanka about naval and maritime issues in the Indo-Pacific.

    Kotelawala Defence University: 3rd Annual KDU-CNA Dialogue

  • July 24, 2018

    “Congress is waiting for one Pentagon report on the topic, due next month, that it mandated in the last NDAA and another from the Center for Naval Analyses by year’s end on a possible road map to establish a separate space service. Congress might then incorporate its recommendations into future NDAAs.”

    Defense News: “No Space Force for Trump in Big Pentagon Policy Bill”

  • July 23, 2018

    “Tschuna Patterson, Senior Research Specialist for CNA Corporation, discussed her experiences with Fulbright, as well as internships with the Public Policy and International Affairs program and the Peace Corps. She reminded students that opportunities in consulting offer exposure to many different types of agencies and fields.”

    APSIA: “2018 Diversity Workshop Inspires Students and Young Professionals”

  • July 23, 2018

    According to a 2006 CNA report, “the M249 scored worst of all shoulder-fired U.S. Army small arms. Among the complaints of soldiers issued the weapon were complaints it was large, heavy and unreliable.”

    The National Interest: “The Race Is on to Replace the Army's M249 Squad Automatic Weapon”

  • July 23, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “There are two things here. First is President’s Trump’s inability to disassociate meddling in the election with his own worries of collusion, and what bothers me there is basically we’re saying he can’t put the core interest of national security first. The second part of this is he thinks something [controversial is] out there.”

    CNN: “One Week Later, Still No Information on What Happened During Trump-Putin Meeting” [11:51-11:58]

  • July 23, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “In terms of establishing viable air defenses against opponents with fifth generation aircraft, it's quite clear how Russia is trying to tackle the problem of stealth."

    The National Interest: “War in the Sky: Russia's S-400 vs. America's Stealth F-35 and F-22 (Who Wins?)”

  • July 23, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Most importantly, this will be an expensive endeavor, further pushing Russian designers and the Ministry of Defense to be more selective in approving the final aircraft specs.”

    Defense One: “This Stealthy Drone May Be The Future of Russian Fighter Jets”

  • July 20, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “I think when you boil it down, the Iranian concern over Israel outweighs its concern over its relationship with Russia... It’s not as if the Russians are going to in some way downgrade their relationship with Iran because they’re not going to pull back these militias.”

    The Arab Weekly: “U.S.-Russia Deal Could Force Iranians out of Southern Syria”

  • July 20, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “Putin sees an opportunity here. Trump is weak, and provides [Putin] an opportunity to really communicate to the Russian people and the world overall that Russia is back as a great power again.”

    CNN The Situation Room: “Russia Plays up Putin's Success After Summit”

  • July 20, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “It does make for a very effective military ‘android’ in official videos where its shooting guns, but ultimately it’s a dual-use work frame for hard-to-do projects like working in space or in other hazardous environments.”

    Defense One: “Russia Is Gearing up to Send Androids Into Space as Part of ISS Crew”

  • July 19, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says of Maria Butina, “She’s not expensive, she doesn’t take years to cultivate, it doesn’t take her a lot of money to get in here...and it didn’t seem like it was hard to get her in the right circles.”

    CNN Tonight: “How Did an Alleged Russian Agent Get Access to Top Politicians?”

  • July 19, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “The central task facing socialist economic construction this year is to enhance the independence and Juche character of the national economy and improve the people’s standard of living.”

    Council on Foreign Relations: “North Korea’s Power Structure”

  • July 19, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Even some Russian commentators were concerned that the triumph of Vladimir Putin at this meeting would cost Moscow too much. Russia will become even more toxic in Washington, and there will be even less hope for a conversation, in spite of the personal relationship between the two presidents."

    Kommersant: "Russia's Expensive Victory"

  • July 18, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says that for President Trump “to reject the intelligence community assessment is to dismiss hours of work by selfless servants who are not political and who worked very hard."

    CNN Newsroom: “President Trump’s Remarks at Helsinki Summit”

  • July 17, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “The Russian side will have planned and mapped out every way this conversation could go.”

    CSPAN: “Jeffrey Edmonds on President Trump's Meeting With Russian President Vladimir Putin”

  • July 17, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “If this was Russian, domestic technology, then Zala would have named it — in fact, Russian military and industry are now making a point in specifically stating when certain domestic high-tech is used in new and upgraded systems.”

    C4ISRNET: “Russia Announces Its First Drones Equipped With LIDAR”

  • July 16, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “I’m not sure [President Trump is] reading his briefings. It’s very clear why the Russians [interfered in our elections]. They’ve always believed that we’ve meddled in their elections.”

    MSNBC: “GOP Strategist: Trump’s Actions Today ‘Represent a Pivotal Turn in Our Nation’s History’”

  • July 16, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “The Russian side will have planned and mapped out every way this conversation could go.”

    CSPAN: “Jeffrey Edmonds on President Trump's Meeting With Russian President Vladimir Putin”

  • July 14, 2018

    Peter Perla defines a wargame as, “A warfare model or simulation that does not involve the operation of actual forces, in which the flow of events affects and is affected by decisions made during the course of those events by players representing the opposing sides.”

    The Strategy Bridge: “Wargaming in Professional Military Education: A Student's Perspective”

  • July 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “Instead of focusing on CVID, as the U.S. would prefer, North Korea prefers to focus on building good relations and confidence building measures.”

    The Korea Herald: “Trump Tweets Letter From NK Leader”

  • July 12, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “This is a typical Russian reference to some futuristic weapon which they always imagine will come down the line 25-30 years from now.”

    The National Interest: “Russia's Armata Tank: Armed With Lasers and Railguns?”

  • July 11, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “What’s interesting is the extent to which the Russian government and especially the Ministry of Defense is marshaling resources for the development of AI for its military.”

    Defense One: “China, Russia, and the U.S. Are All Building Centers for Military AI”

  • July 10, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “The operator still has to be relatively close by to operate this UGV - up to 1000 feet which may be a liability in and of itself.”

    C4ISRNET: “Belarus Shows off ‘Praying Mantis,‘ a Tank Hunting Robot”

  • July 3, 2018

    “Kim Jong Un cut his political teeth back in 2007 working with the GPB. He has used a number of former GPB alums as a personnel-feeder for top positions throughout the DPRK’s national security community, what Ken Gause calls the ‘GPB Mafia.’”

    38 North: “Recent Changes in Kim Jong Un’s High Command”

  • July 2, 2018

    According to the CNA report Unconstrained Foreign Direct Investment: An Emerging Challenge to Arctic Security, “from 2012-2017, China invested $47.3 billion in Canada, which amounted to 2.4 per cent of Canada’s entire GDP during that timeframe.”

    Diplomat & International Canada: “China’s Ambitions in the North American Arctic”

  • July 2, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Russia's advanced radar, variety of capable missiles and systems that try to integrate large amounts of data for a more potent air defense will increasingly segregate Western air forces into two benches.”

    The National Interest: “Air Battle Royal: Air Force F-22 and F-35s vs. Russia Deadly S-400 (Who Wins?)”

  • June 29, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, “Harnessing the strengths of industry and academia (is crucial) and that is explicitly called out, it’s not necessarily going to be easy, but including the discussion about ethics and AI safety (so prominently) is going to be an important piece of that.”

    Defense & Aerospace Report: “CNA’s Bendett on Russia’s Hunter UAV, Uran-9 UGV, Submarine and UUV Innovation Outlook”

  • June 29, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Within the Russian Ministry of Defense, there are now two centers responsible for the development of the latest breakthrough technologies, such as autonomous weapons, but no specific agency-wide effort to develop AI center like JAIC.”

    Breaking Defense: “Joint Artificial Intelligence Center Created Under DoD CIO”

  • June 28, 2018

    James ‘Chips’ Stewart says, “We have talked to a number of people in the police department, a number of people outside the police department, and we’ve talked to a few people from Harlem Park.”

    Baltimore Brew: “Homicide or Suicide? Board Probing Det. Suiter’s Death Promises an Answer”

  • June 28, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, “I know that Putin will have minimalist and maximalist goals that he’ll have going into the summit.”

    I24 News: “Trump & Putin to Meet July 16 in Helsinki”

  • June 27, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Syria is now the good war, designed to bloody the Russian armed forces and a sustainable training pipeline for senior officers.”

    The National Interest: “How Russia's Military Is Becoming Even Deadlier”

  • June 27, 2018

    Michael McDevitt says, “What vital U.S. interest has been compromised? Shipping continues uninterrupted, the U.S. continues to ignore… their requirement for prior approval, our MDT with Manila remains in force…”

    CIMSEC: “False Assumptions May Lead to Counterproductive U.S. Policy in the South China Sea”

  • June 27, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “If this UAV will, in fact, be 20 tons in weight it could probably take up to several tons in useful weight, so rockets, missiles, bombs, maybe other equipment.”

    Defense & Aerospace Report: “CNA’s Bendett on Russia’s Hunter UAV, Uran-9 UGV, Submarine and UUV Innovation Outlook”

  • June 26, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says that in a meeting with President Trump, President Putin, “might play to the fear that Trump has of looking stupid or of not being powerful.”

    CNN: “Will a Trump-Putin Meeting Be Dangerous for U.S.?”

  • June 22, 2018

    Michael Kofman says that Russia “got stuck in a fitful escalation where they kept trying to find the leverage to get the political concessions they wanted from Ukraine.”

    CEPA's Power Vertical Podcast : “Raiders of the Lost Empire”

  • June 21, 2018

    “We also wanted to know what it would look like, how it would be implemented, and the cost,’ Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Ala.). That is the subject of a separate study by the Center for Naval Analyses that is due in December.”

    Space News: “Rep. Mike Rogers: Space Force Will Be Done ‘Responsibly’ With Minimal Disruption”

  • June 21, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The reason for Russia’s integration, is that the ISR capabilities required for air defense, missile defense, and anti-satellite missions are closely related and multirole.”

    Defense News: “As Trump Pushes for Separate Space Force, Russia Moves Fast the Other Way”

  • June 20, 2018

    “A study ordered by Congress in the 2018 defense policy bill — to examine options for reorganizing the Air Force with a separate space branch — could provide guidance. But that report — outsourced to the government-funded think tank Center for Naval Analyses — is not expected to be completed until the end of the year.”

    Space News: “Space Force: Pentagon Navigates the Way Ahead and Awaits Direction From Congress”

  • June 19, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Russia’s Baltic Fleet is not much of a naval force, but it can blockade Baltic ports for a while, mine them, and effect sea denial.”

    The National Interest: “Would Navy Aircraft Carriers Be Useless in a War Against Russia?”

  • June 19, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Russia’s military is not configured to occupy large amounts of land or replace combat losses in offensive operations.”

    The National Interest: “The Rise of Russia's Military”

  • June 18, 2018

    “[The CNA] report could make its way to Congress in time to consider for next year’s NDAA negotiations.”

    Wired: “Trump Hasn't Signed a Space Force Into Being—Yet”

  • June 18, 2018

    “A potentially more interesting study, due in September, was to be completed by the Center for Naval [Analyses].”

    Defense One: “What Trump’s Space Force Announcement Means”

  • June 18, 2018

    According to the CNA report The South China Sea: Assessing US Policy and Options for the Future, "in the past 40 years, China has been able to take other nations' territory only in two instances."

    The Manila Times: "Yes, Senate Must Investigate How Aquino, Trillanes and Del Rosario Lost Panatag"

  • June 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I will give a B, probably B+, to this summit. The outcome of the talks is exactly what I expected."

    Radio Free Asia: "U.S. News: More to Watch" [Korean]

  • June 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Is denuclearization completely verifiable, irreversible? We need to wait and see."

    VN Express: "Experts Are Concerned Trump Gave More Than Kim Jong-Un" [Vietnamese]

  • June 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The idea is to try and lure North Korea into an engagement and sustained investment into this process and that will, hopefully lead North Korea to start to take measure towards denuclearization."

    Voice of America: "International Edition"

  • June 12, 2018

    Jonathan Schroden says, “Al-Qaeda today is a much larger, more geographically dispersed, in many ways more capable and certainly more resilient organization than it was 17 years ago at 9/11.”

    VOA News: “International Edition”

  • June 12, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “I suspect the best we can hope for is a general agreement on denuclearization (to be followed by a phased process to work out the details) and maybe some statement on the end of the Korean conflict.”

    Quartz: “North Korea Experts Watching the Summit Will Breathe a Sigh of Relief If…”

  • June 12, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “There has not been such automation of Russian weapons before of the kind described here—‘self-learning’ is a new concept that is a result of more advanced software and hardware developments dealing with AI.”

    C4ISRNET: “Russia Prepares for a Future of Making Autonomous Weapons”

  • June 11, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “China worries that NK will begin to lean toward the US as this process unfolds.”

    The Korea Herald: “Trump-Kim Summit a Watershed Moment in Geopolitics of East Asia”

  • June 11, 2018

    Ken Gause says, “Even if this is just a meet-and-greet, it’s going to be a huge event simply because the president of the United States and the head of North Korea actually sat at the same table.”

    The Washington Post: “For Kim Jong Un, Meeting Trump Is About Cementing Power at Home”

  • June 8, 2018

    According to the CNA report The South China Sea: Assessing US Policy and Options for the Future “China resolved the sovereignty dispute with the Philippines over Scarborough Shoal in 2012 when it established control over the shoal. Again, it is unlikely to relinquish it.”

    The Manila Times: “Two Aquinos Lost Us Philippine Territory, Marcos Acquired Territory”

  • June 8, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Given budgetary constraints [Russia] will hold on to more equipment either to modernize or hand down to the National Guard.”

    The National Interest: “Coming Soon to Russia's Army: 6,000 More Tanks”

  • June 8, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “Russia is investing in military high-tech development, and especially in domestically produced software and hardware.”

    Defense One: “Russia, Too, Is Building a Giant War Cloud”

  • June 4, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The people that Kim is putting into key position of power now, really are people who will follow the rules in terms of paying the loyalty payments to the Kim family."

    CNN: "Kim Jong Un Purges Three Top Generals"

  • June 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russian Electronic Warfare is a developed, mature technology that has continued to develop after the collapse of the Soviet Union."

    C4ISRNET: "What's the Frequency, Putin? 5 Questions About Russia's Electronic Warfare Capability"

  • June 3, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "If Kim Jong Un is set on making peace with the U.S. and South Korea and dealing away at least part of the nuclear program, he will have to put the KPA's influence in a box and keep it there."

    Reuters: "North Korea Shakes up Top Military Brass Ahead of Trump Summit - U.S. Official"

  • June 1, 2018

    Megan McBride and Kate Hammerberg discuss their latest paper Exploring the Utility of Memes for U.S. Government Influence Campaigns on The Loopcast podcast.

    The Loopcast: “Exploring the Utility of Memes for U.S. Government Influence Campaigns”

  • May 31, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Kim, knowing that a complete, verifiable and irreversible denuclearization is impossible unless his regime collapses or is invaded, could try to hide a part of the program while declaring that the North has dismantled its program."

    VOA: "Denuclearization of N. Korea Probably Unachievable"

  • May 31, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Uran-9 is certainly a unique UGV, since it's one of the biggest weapons of its kind tested anywhere."

    Al Bawaba: "Russia is Weapons Testing Unmanned Ground Vehicles in Syria"

  • May 30, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says that while AI is being developed in the U.S. private sector, "In Russia, we have a reverse of that almost, where the Ministry of Defence says, 'This is what we're going to do. We have all these departments and military schools, we have all these forums, we have all this investment. Let's put together some kind of framework where we can develop entirely and maybe get some stuff from the private sector.'"

    National Defense Magazine: "Pentagon Eyeing AI Center for Tech Development"

  • May 29, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russians also said they are going to show a lot more unmanned capabilities at the 2019 Victory Day Parade and this was kind of like the first run."

    Defense & Aerospace Report: "CNA's Bendett on Military-Capability Insights from Russia's 2018 Victory Day Parade"

  • May 27, 2018

    Michael Kofman says that even the forthcoming Su-57 PAK-FA incorporates the 101KS-V infrared search and track system, "every Russian plane has a giant IRST pod in the front for the past 30 years."

    The National Interest: "Bad News: Russia And China Could Soon Shoot Down Stealth F-22s and F-35s"

  • May 24, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “These robots most likely will not engage in live-fire exercises, as the main goal for student designers will be navigating an obstacle course with growing complexity. On the other hand, similar contests among various design bureaus, when held in the near future, may feature such live-fire exercise.”

    C4ISRNET: “Why the U.S. Should Care About Russia’s Robot Biathlon”

  • May 23, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I think [North Korea] will need a peace treaty, ratified by Congress, and a Chinese security guarantee in order to ensure the U.S. doesn't do regime change in the future."

    VOA News: "Can Trump Guarantee Kim Will Stay if North Korea Denuclearizes?"

  • May 22, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The summit process has run into a rough patch ... Trump is likely growing concerned that the breach in the two sides over how to define and proceed with denuclearization is wide and for political reasons on both sides narrowing that gap is proving difficult."

    NK News: "Trump Casts Doubt on Whether Summit With Kim Jong Un Will Go Ahead"

  • May 22, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, "When people think about AI and autonomy as it applies to war, I think it's helpful to see what's actually out there as opposed to what we might see in Hollywood."

    Salem Radio Seattle: "Live From Seattle, Interview with Dr. Larry Lewis"

  • May 21, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "John Bolton's suggestion of [complete denuclearization] before North Korea receives any economic or security incentives and guarantees is a recipe for failure.”

    The Korea Times: “Moon to Help Trump Narrow Opinion Gap With Kim”

  • May 21, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "We have begun to see some discussion of guaranteeing the Kim family regime and vague guarantees of economic aid. But if that aid is not institutionalized (such as a Marshall Plan) and is dependent on various pieces coming together, it might not work."

    The Korea Herald: "'Moon, the Mediator' Seeks Coordination Before Kim-Trump Summit"

  • May 18, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “In their official statements, Russian position their unmanned underwater vehicles as extensions of their military capabilities in the ‘World Ocean.’”

    C4ISRNET: “Russia Hints at a Nuclear-Armed Drone Submarine for 2027”

  • May 17, 2018

    Ken Gause says that Kim Jong Il’s “negotiating strategy was very tactical, it was getting short-term concessions from the international community.”

    CNN: “Trump: Kim Will ‘Get Protections’ If He Makes a Nuclear Deal”

  • May 17, 2018

    Samuel Bendett speaks on AI development and the news about Google employees protesting their company's involvement with DoD's Project Maven.

    Voice of America (Russia Service): "Instrument of the Pentagon"

  • May 16, 2018

    Ken Gause says North Korea is "worried that they had the U.S. on board for an agreement to ease sanctions, [which] seems to have gone south over the weekend."

    Quartz: "White House Chaos Is the Reason North Korea Talks Are Faltering, Not a Fickle Dictator"

  • May 16, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The U.S. and South Korea hold an exercise, which contains some strategic strike elements to it. U.S. officials can't seem to get on the same page regarding denuclearization and what is required of North Korea."

    The Dallas Morning News: "North Korea Threatens to Dump Summit Over Nuke Talks, Drills"

  • May 12, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "In reality, [the] Uran-9 tests in Syria should have garnered major attention from all major Russian news outlets, given how proud Russian [sic] are of their remote-controlled tank."

    The National Interest: "Russia Confirms a Revolutionary New Tank Was Sent to Syria"

  • May 10, 2018

    "According to Michael Kofman, Russia's 2016 military spending had been artificially inflated by a one-time loan payment of $13.8 billion from Russia's Ministry of Finance. The loan was to help the military reduce defense sector debt. It is unclear if SIPRI's data accounted for this loan or not."

    The National Interest: "These 5 Nations Account for 60 Percent of All Military Spending on the Planet"

  • May 10, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The question is whether they have privately, through back channels, reached ... broad parameters of some sort of an agreement. Otherwise, I don't think they'd have a summit if they did not have that worked out."

    Voice of America: "Speed of Denuclearization Emerging as Key Summit Issue"

  • May 10, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Despite modest reductions to the defense budget since 2015, the Russian military has suffered the least in state cuts relative to other government services."

    The Moscow Times: "Parades and Pomp: What Do Russia's Armed Forces Have to Celebrate?"

  • May 9, 2018

    Michael Connell says that moving U.S. military resources away from the Middle East is, "going to be tougher if Iran is misbehaving," as a result of the U.S. withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal.

    The Washington Post: "Mattis, Who Supported Staying in Iran Deal, Holds out Hope for Curtailing Tehran"

  • May 8, 2018

    Michael Kofman says that there are two types of Russian experts, "There are the nice missionaries who knock on your door and say, 'Hey, have you heard the good news about democracy, freedom and liberalism?' And then there are the crusaders who are trying to claim the heathen Eastern European lands for democracy and freedom."

    The New York Times Magazine: "The Quiet Americans Behind the U.S.-Russia Imbroglio"

  • May 7, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "I think what you are going to see is the continuation of this very negative trend in the U.S. Russia relationship, [Putin] is very much convinced that the West is out to get him and undermine Russia and that we are just standing in the way of Russia's greatness."

    CNN: "Putin Inaugurated for Another Term"

  • May 7, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "If President Trump could ignore the Libyan model and agree to reach a gradual but decentralized denuclearization with North Korea and achieve a peace treaty that would allow the US military presence in the Korean peninsula, it will be significantly strengthened."

    Radio Free Asia: "U.S.-North Korea Summit: 14 U.S. Experts 'U.S.-North Talks, Partially Successful Reality Show'" (Korean)

  • May 7, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The defense ministry announced that the robotic Uran-6 complexes designed for mine clearance were well-proven in Syria, as well as Uran-9 multifunctional reconnaissance and fire support systems."

    C4ISRNET: "Russia Confirms Its Armed Robot Tank Was in Syria"

  • May 1, 2018

    According to the CNA report Distributed Operations: Manpower Policies for Developing Small Unit Leaders, "the small unit leader—in this case, the sergeant Rifle Squad Leader—will require skills and experiences that the average squad leader today does not possess."

    Marine Corps Gazette: "Rifle Squad Leader Staffing"

  • April 30, 2018

    According to the CNA report Population Representation in the Military Services (FY16 Summary), "Most members of the military come from middle-class neighborhoods. A neighborhood affluence study found that the middle three quintiles were overrepresented among enlisted recruits."

    Council on Foreign Relations: "Demographics of the U.S. Military"

  • April 30, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I think Kim has a lot riding on this. I think that part of his personality syncs very well with President Moon. It will be interesting to see how well it jives with President Trump."

    Stars and Stripes: "Rebranding Kim: North Korean Leader Shows World His Lighter Side"

  • April 27, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "I don't see any drive or desire to attain a new carrier in Russia. Russia has no practical need of a carrier, it is simply for symbolic purposes to project status."

    The National Interest: "Could China Build Aircraft Carriers for Russia?"

  • April 26, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "North Korea's pledge to dismantle nuclear site sounds good, but verification will be tough."

    Reuters: "North Korea's Pledge to Dismantle Nuclear Site Sounds Good, but Verification Will Be Tough"

  • April 26, 2018

    Michael Connell says, "When we did Stuxnet, it was designed to achieve a very specific purpose. We designed it to be non-lethal and restricted, to affect only the centrifuges associated with Iran's nuclear program. Its effects were designed to be tactical in nature."

    Real Clear Politics: "Cyber Adversaries: It's Not Just Russia"

  • April 25, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "If Gomzin's case becomes more complicated and the work at Simonov Design Bureau slows down, this may also open the door to other competitors who were so far behind."

    Defense One: "The Designer of Russia's First Armed Drone Is Under Arrest"

  • April 24, 2018

    Denise Rodriguez says, "Sometimes officers put themselves in a position where they have no other choice but to use force."

    The New York Times: "When Toronto Suspect Said 'Kill Me,' an Officer Put Away His Gun"

  • April 24, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "I'm not at all convinced Kim Jong Un has any interest in discussing his nuclear arsenal with anyone else. He's made his move and we can take it or leave it."

    VOA News: "Trump: North Korea's Kim 'Very Honorable'"

  • April 24, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The freeze on testing was expected. The question is — how long will the freeze last and is it conditional on successful summits with (South Korea) and the U.S.?"

    VOA News: "Skepticism, Optimism Color Analysts' Response to Kim's Suspension of N. Korea's Nuclear, Weapons Testing"

  • April 24, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The inter-Korean summit is very important for setting the groundwork for the U.S.-North Korea summit."

    Yonhap News Agency: "Inter-Korean Summit Seen as Tone-Setter for Trump-Kim Meeting"

  • April 23, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "For the North Koreans, the principle of denuclearization of the Korean peninsula does not mean unilateral disarmament."

    The Guardian: "U.S. and North Korea Expectations Over Denuclearization Appear to Collide"

  • April 23, 2018

    Zack Gold says, "As the Human Rights Watch report manages to document, the general population of north Sinai continues to be stuck in between the battle between Isis-Sinai and Egypt."

    The Guardian: "Egyptians in Sinai Living Under Siege Due to Anti-Militant Campaign, Says HRW"

  • April 22, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "What North Korea is trying to do here is set an environment where if the summit does not come to a successful conclusion, that they can't be blamed for it, that they are being reasonable here by saying they would freeze the program."

    Australian Broadcast Corporation: "Will North Korea Work Towards Denuclearisation?"

  • April 20, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I think the Trump administration is very eager to find out, what is the North Korean view of denuclearization and how that should take place."

    VOA News: "Pompeo-Kim Meeting 'Very Positive Sign' for U.S.-North Korea Talks"

  • April 20, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Until a grand bargain has been achieved and Kim has something tangible to show for denuclearization, I expect he will not make any fundamental policy shift."

    Yonhap News Agency: "NK-Party Meeting"

  • April 20, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Over the past couple years Russians have been developing and using a lot of UAVs, UUVs, and UGVs in combat."

    Defense and Aerospace Report: "CNA's Bendett on Russia's Use of Unmanned Systems"

  • April 18, 2018

    Highlighting new training implemented with CNA's help, the Hennepin County Sheriff's Office says, "New programs have included crisis intervention training, classroom training on initiative, implicit bias and procedural justice, cultural awareness training, and deputy wellness programs."

    The Laker and Pioneer: "Sheriff Highlights Community Policing Efforts"

  • April 17, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg says, "The main problem with the ship is that it has a very problematic propulsion system."

    Business Insider: "Russia Is Desperately Trying to Save Its Only Aircraft Carrier — That's Outdated and Plagued With Problems"

  • April 17, 2018

    Michael McDevitt says, "China is pursuing a 'places, not bases,' strategy."

    Foreign Policy: "One Belt, One Road, One Happy Chinese Navy"

  • April 16, 2018

    Ken Gause says North Korean Foreign Minster Ri Su Yong is, "Someone who can facilitate information, money, goods into and out of the regime."

    OZY.com: "Life Beyond Kim: Meet the Dictator's Most Trusted Adviser"

  • April 16, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "The Russian armed forces are rethinking the role of the IFV [infantry fighting vehicles] on the battlefield, and looking at options for armored vehicles to support armor advances."

    The National Interest: "Russia Just Built a 'Terminator' (And It Could Go to War in Syria)"

  • April 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I can see how [Ri Sol Ju] probably ingratiated himself with Kim."

    OZY.com: "Life Beyond Kim: Meet Rocket Man's Own Rocket Man"

  • April 13, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Syria was a major laboratory...for the Russian military technologies."

    National Defense Magazine: "Russia Rolling Ahead With Unmanned Ground Combat Vehicles"

  • April 12, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg says, "The Russian conventional forces just aren't as strong as the U.S. forces."

    Business Insider: "Trump Reportedly Has 8 Targets in Mind for a Syria Missile Strike — and Russia Said War Could Be Coming"

  • April 12, 2018

    James "Chips" Stewart says, "It takes a person away from their family, it takes him away from the Police Department, and it also is trauma for the community. We're going to follow where the evidence leads us."

    Baltimore Sun: "Panel to Study Baltimore Police Det. Suiter Killing Includes Policing Experts, Retired Detectives"

  • April 12, 2018

    James "Chips" Stewart says, "The evidence is what the evidence is. And what we're trying to take a look at is to see whether with fresh eyes that there's any assistance that we can provide."

    CBS Baltimore (WJZ): "Police Announce Panel Members Reviewing Det. Sean Suiter's Murder Case"

  • April 12, 2018

    James "Chips" Stewart says, "This is a complicated case, and we're going to take a thorough look at this."

    NBC Baltimore (WBAL): "Independent Review Board Takes on Suiter Investigation"

  • April 12, 2018

    James "Chips" Stewart says, "We have convened a board of nationally recognized experts who have lots of experience in investigating very difficult and challenging cases."

    Baltimore Fishbowl: "BPD Announces Independent Review Board to Look Into Suiter Case"

  • April 12, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds writes, "In order to counter the perceived policies of the West, Russia has aggressively pursued military and non-military capabilities across domains that it believes target Western vulnerabilities."

    The Mark News: "Through the Looking Glass"

  • April 12, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "In the U.S. debate over enemy ICBM development in the late 1990s, it was explicitly assumed that 'initial threat availability' took place after the first successful flight-test."

    NK News: "North Korean ICBMs: Does a Window of Opportunity Still Exist for Washington?"

  • April 12, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The big issue is how both sides define denuclearization. Trump this morning was talking about wanting firm and verifiable steps six months to a year after the summit."

    NK News: "Trump Praises China for Help With North Korea"

  • April 12, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation has taken the lead right now in marshalling academic, military industrial resources, it is creating forums, it is putting people together to work on developing artificial intelligence."

    Defense and Aerospace Report: "CNA's Bendett on Russia's Use of AI, Electronic Warfare, Weapons Development"

  • April 11, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "A layered defense is always better than a single defense layer."

    Business Insider: "Russia's Newest Anti-Air Defenses Are in Syria — and the U.S. Should Be Worried"

  • April 10, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "I don't see North Korea mentioning denuclearization at the SPA meeting. This is the beginning of a journey with an uncertain future."

    Yonhap News: "N.K.'s Parliament to Meet This Week Ahead of Summit With S. Korea, U.S."

  • April 10, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "They don't want to separate AI into good or bad, for them it is not about ethics. It is about what they can actually build."

    SIGNAL: "Russia Strengthening Focus on AI Technologies"

  • April 9, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds provides expertise on the U.S. position on the conflict in Syria.

    RTVI: video clip

  • April 9, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "In terms of establishing viable air defenses against opponents with fifth generation aircraft, it's quite clear how Russia is trying to tackle the problem of stealth."

    The National Interest: "Air Showdown: America's F-22 & F-35 Stealth Fighters vs. Russia's S-400 (Who Wins?)"

  • April 7, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds provided expertise on Russian influence and intentions in Belarus and the Baltics.

    Belsat TV: "Belarus in the New Cold War" [Jeff speaks at 3:12, segment in Belarusian]

  • April 6, 2018

    According to the CNA report The Role of Water Stress in Instability and Conflict, "Water stress can empower violent extremist organizations and place stable governments at risk."

    Pacific Standard: "Which Cities Are Most Vulnerable to Climate Change Conflict?"

  • April 6, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "At the core of every plane is the engine — it's all about the engine."

    Business Insider: "11 Photos of the J-20, China's First Stealth Fighter Jet That 'Could Soon Surpass' the F-22 Raptor"

  • April 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russians are years away from developing UGVs that can go up against Abrams tanks."

    Breaking Defense: "Russian Robots Attack! West Point Comic's (Plausible) Future War"

  • April 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "There is a massive Chinese military-industrial complex behind Chinese UAV developments."

    The National Interest: "China's Army and Navy Have Big Plans to Dominate and Win the Next War"

  • April 3, 2018

    According to a 2013 CNA study of female and minority retention in the Navy, “women tend to value non-monetary incentives more than monetary incentives.”

    Federal News Radio: “Why DoD Thinks the Career Intermission Program Can Help Solve Its Personnel Problem”

  • April 3, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “No tank is invincible, it is only more survivable. It's somewhat unclear how effective these defensive systems are against top-down attack missiles like the FGM-148 Javelin, which is expensive but effective.”

    Business Insider: “Russia Has Ordered 2 Battalions of T-14 Armata Tanks — Here's Everything We Know About the Next-Generation Platform”

  • April 2, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "This points to one of the biggest problems that the MOD [Ministry of Defense] and its military industrial complex have to overcome."

    SOFREP News: "Despite Touting Advanced Missiles, Russia's Drone Program Lags Behind Competitors"

  • April 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "Without any powers to contest American influence for two decades, Washington rightfully took advantage to build what it wanted, but all expansion of influence and power must eventually come with increasing cost."

    BBC: "Russia vs the West: Is This a New Cold War?"

  • March 30, 2018

    According to the CNA Military Advisory Board report Advanced Energy and U.S. National Security, "nations leading in new energy options and energy efficiency stand to gain advantage in the world market and that if the U.S. sits on the sidelines, it does so at risk to its economic security."

    Fortune: "How Rolling Back Fuel Standards Could Crush America's Auto Industry"

  • March 30, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Kim is looking for a phased process that is conditional on U.S. and [South Korea] providing incentives that meet the requirement of creating an atmosphere of peace and stability."

    VOA News: "Kim Jong Un's China Visit Exposes Pitfalls for Nuclear Talks"

  • March 30, 2018

    Michael Kofman says that the Russians "are doing their homework and, in the event of a crisis or conflict with them, they might do rotten things to us."

    Associated Press: "Could Enemies Sabotage Undersea Cables Linking the World?"

  • March 30, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says that in Russia, "The government has taken a very active role in trying to define how artificial intelligence, unmanned systems and high-tech weapons are to be used."

    Defense One: "AI: The Pros, Cons, and What To Really Fear"

  • March 30, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Both countries present this as a partnership of equals. But yes, for now, it's still Russia selling advanced weapons to China."

    The National Interest: "Russia and China Are Now Building Weapons Together"

  • March 30, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "They are currently focused on developing a range of prototypes, from the smallest tracked and wheeled logistics and ISR (intelligence, surveillance, & reconnaissance) robots to the tank-sized Vihr and Uran-9 armored UGVs."

    Breaking Defense: "Skeptics Ask: Can the Army Field Armed Robots by 2024?"

  • March 28, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "Comparing the Chinese and North Korean readouts of the meeting, I'm struck once again by the absence of any mention of the nuclear issue in the North Korean version."

    CNBC: "China Says North Korea Wants Denuclearization, but Kim Jong Un's Motives Remain Shrouded in Mystery as Trump Meeting Approaches"

  • March 28, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "This would be a step by step (or phase by phase) process that in time could include verification and other denuclearization measures after a period of confidence building on both sides."

    Yonhap News Agency: "Kim Seeks China's Backing Ahead of S. Korea, U.S. Summits"

  • March 28, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The new technology Gerasimov discusses would allow Russia to conduct deep-strikes within enemy territory."

    Defense One: "Russian Military Chief Lays out the Kremlin's High-Tech War Plans"

  • March 27, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "The South Koreans have been pushing the North Koreans to interact with the Americans, so it may be the case that Kim made the gesture of an invitation to demonstrate his good faith to the South Koreans, not expecting that it would go anywhere."

    CNBC: "North Korea Is Quiet While the White House Scrambles to Coordinate Talks Between President Trump and Kim Jong Un"

  • March 27, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "It must have become clear that the summit could go very badly, Kim Jong Un needs to be sure that China has his back."

    The Wall Street Journal: "Arrival of North Korean Train in Beijing Triggers Speculation"

  • March 27, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Seoul will be more willing to offer incentives up front in order to get North Korea to buy into a diplomatic process that will conclude in the future with denuclearization."

    VOA News: "U.S., South Korea Differ on Expectations for U.S.-North Korea Summit"

  • March 27, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The big takeaway is that Russia is finally and openly acknowledging the importance and irreplaceability of unmanned systems in future conflicts."

    The National Interest: "Russia Just Revealed How It Will Fight the Wars of the Future (And It's Shocking)"

  • March 27, 2018

    Vera Zakem says, "Russia may choose to take actions at a time of their choosing and we cannot forget that, so it may be expulsion of diplomats in a month, in two months, next week, but it may be cyber-attacks."

    BBC: "Russian Diplomat Expulsions"

  • March 26, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "These confrontations don't happen as a bolt out of the blue, first you have to have a crisis and then people make choices and those choices eventually lead to people shooting at each other."

    The National Interest: "Stumbling Into a War With Russia"

  • March 24, 2018

    Zack Gold says, "Egypt is doing a really good job controlling the narrative. Even ISIS has been challenged to put out statements. This suggests Egypt is in control."

    The Times of Israel: "Quick Victory Unlikely in Egypt Assault on IS in the Sinai"

  • March 20, 2018

    According to the CNA report Shining a Light on the Western Balkans, "Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia—have internal vulnerabilities including dangerous strains of nationalism, historical grievances, corruption, weakened state institutions, weak media, economic instability, terrorism and radicalization, and transnational organized crime."

    Foreign Policy Research Institute: "Rallying the West: The Case for Coordinated Leadership to Counter Instability in the Balkans"

  • March 20, 2018

    The CNA Military Advisory Board report The Role of Water Stress in Instability and Conflict details, "the very real security threats that global water scarcity could pose to the U.S. and our allies over the coming years i.e., the next water-exacerbated conflicts like Syria and Yemen."

    The Hill: "Water Has Experienced a Decade of Bipartisan Success"

  • March 19, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "They've had plenty of opportunities to kill Skripal, and there are, frankly, a myriad of much simpler and more practical ways of doing it."

    The Verge: "The Nerve Agent Poisoning in England Was a Message to the Rest of the World"

  • March 18, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "The Russians see themselves as up against an international order that they believe seeks to surround and weaken Russia."

    CSPAN: "Jeffrey Edmonds on Trump Administration Russia Policy"

  • March 16, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "If diplomacy fails, the voices in the U.S. calling for military strikes will gain momentum. The voices for diplomacy will be drowned out."

    Voice of America: "U.S., North Korea Heading for Collision Over Meaning of 'Denuclearization'"

  • March 16, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "I think that people continually underestimate Russia's ability to sustain operations abroad. It is always weak but its mythos, its exceptionalism is based on its resilience."

    PBS News Hour: "What to Watch in Russia's Presidential Election"

  • March 16, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake "noted, France has a range of territorial, economic, and security interests in the Indian Ocean."

    Pell Center: "Rehman on the Indian Ocean in France's Global Defense Strategy"

  • March 15, 2018

    Asked if there was any chance that Moscow would field the weapon by 2019, Michael Kofman says, "None."

    The National Interest: "Russia Says It Will Place Avangard Hypersonic Weapon on 'High Alert' in 2019"

  • March 15, 2018

    CNA Military Advisory Board member Lieutenant General Ken Eickmann says, "We think that reliance or over-reliance on oil entangles relationships with nations that do not have the United States' best interest."

    Times-Mail: "Ret. Air Force General Visits Battery Innovation Center"

  • March 14, 2018

    CNA Military Advisory Board member Lieutenant General Ken Eickmann says, "I think that the revolution towards advanced energy is going to take place in the world, whether the U.S. plays a major part or not."

    Inside Indiana Business: "Indiana 'Well-Postured' to be Advanced Energy Leader"

  • March 14, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "I think this is an attempt to deter any U.S. machinations for a larger strike against the Syrian regime."

    The National Interest: "Russia Sends a Chilling Warning to America Over Syria"

  • March 14, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Gerasimov stressed that [Russia's] forces are publicly present in the capital city and no attack from any quarter would be tolerated—or he was limiting the 'attack vector' to Damascus only and not on field conditions."

    The National Interest: "Russia Sends a Chilling Warning to America Over Syria"

  • March 14, 2018

    Zack Gold says of Hisham al-Ashmawy, "He is a ghost. He is a boogeyman. Every major attack, he either has been behind it or has been blamed for it."

    The Washington Post: "Militant Threat Emerges in Egyptian Desert, Opening New Front in Terrorism Fight"

  • March 13, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "After the successful identification of VX by the Malaysian authorities, anyone using a battlefield nerve agent for a high-profile assassination has to know it will be detected."

    Business Insider: "Putin 'Wants Everyone to Know It's Him' With Brazen Nerve Agent Attack in the UK, Experts Say"

  • March 13, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Indonesia is definitely keeping its options open as it eyes China's rise and as it sees the Russians becoming more active in international conflicts and engagements."

    The National Interest: "Russia's Lethal Su-35 Is Coming to Indonesia"

  • March 12, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Kim Jong Un would no doubt take a huge hit inside the regime if he gave up the nuclear program."

    The Japan Times: "Trump-Kim Summit Expectations High, but North Korea Unlikely to Part With Its 'Treasured Nuclear Sword' Any Time Soon"

  • March 10, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds speaks to Russian language media about Vladimir Putin's recent announcement on Russia's nuclear capabilities.

    VOA News: "The Present With Julia Savchenko" (Edmonds speaks at 11:20)

  • March 10, 2018

    Ken Gause calls the planned meeting between Kim Jong-Un and Donald Trump "extraordinary and historical."

    Voice of America: "Trump Expects North Korea to Honor Pledge on Missile Tests"

  • March 9, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "This is Trump's advisors trying to walk this back a bit. The intelligentsia and a large segment of the advisors around the president are scared to death we are somehow going to get taken if we enter into talks."

    NK News: "'Concrete Actions' Required Before Trump, Kim Meet: White House"

  • March 9, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The key phrase here is that it would be a 'painful process' were that to happen in the first place. He is saying that the Russian military and government have their own closed Internet systems."

    Defense One: "If War Comes, Russia Could Disconnect From the Internet. Yes, the Entire Country"

  • March 8, 2018

    According to CNA report, China's Military Support Facility in Djibouti, China's military facility, "will have the capacity to support at least five mission areas: counterpiracy, intelligence collection, non-combat evacuation operations, peacekeeping operations and counterterrorism."

    The Cipher Brief: "China's Military Revolution: Smarter, Better, Faster, Smaller"

  • March 8, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "This Nuclear Posture Review is the first real attempt to start undoing the Presidential Nuclear Initiative of President [George H. W.] Bush because it tries to revive and proposes new, non-strategic nuclear weapons."

    Miles O'Brien Productions: "Analysis: How Does the U.S. See Itself in a Nuclear World?"

  • March 7, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Pyongyang will have its own demands, some of which may be hard to swallow. It depends on whether North Korea is truly willing to enter talks on denuclearization without preconditions, such as making demands on the back side."

    Yonhap News Agency: "N. Korea's Offer Marks Progress in Nuclear Standoff With U.S."

  • March 7, 2018

    Michael McDevitt, Catherine Lea, Douglas Jackson, and Nilanthi Samaranayake participated in the 5th Annual RSIS-CNA Workshop on East Asian Maritime Issues in Singapore.

    RSIS: "Indo-Pacific Maritime Issues: Connectivity, Balance and Cooperation"

  • March 6, 2018

    Jonathan Schroden says, "There are no precise numbers in Afghanistan, it's the nature of what you're dealing with over there."

    Stars and Stripes: "Data on U.S. Counterterrorism Efforts in Afghanistan Doesn't Add Up"

  • March 4, 2018

    Ken Gause speaks to Brazilian media on Kim Jong Un's fake passport.

    TV Globo: "Passport Investigation of North Korean Leaders Reveals Global Plot" [Portuguese]

  • March 3, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "Keeping capacity alive. Not letting top talent die out, that means the feeding defense industry and S&T [science and technology]. Even if you don't really have missions."

    The National Interest: "Why is Russia Building Nuclear Powered Cruise Missiles? The Answer: 'Capacity'"

  • March 3, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "The stabilizing arrangements we made during the Cold War, for that nuclear age, are falling apart one after the other."

    War is Boring: "Russia's New Doomsday Weapons Can Beat U.S. Missile Defenses"

  • March 2, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "No existing or prospective missile defense had any chance in making a dent in Russia's ability to retaliate against the United States with nuclear weapons."

    Vice News: "No Need to Be Scared of Putin's New Nukes (Any More Than the Old Ones)"

  • March 2, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "Missile defense may intercept a large percentage of a second [retaliatory] strike arsenal, not today, but 20–30 years from now."

    The National Interest: "We Now Know Why Russia Wants a 100-Megaton Nuclear Torpedo"

  • March 1, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "The use of multiple shots, timed ever-more-closely together, appears destined to rehearse saturating a defensive system by presenting it with an overwhelmingly complex radar picture."

    Task and Purpose: "Russia Claims Its New ICBM Can Evade U.S. Defenses. Don't Worry, We Couldn't Stop The Old Ones Either"

  • March 1, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Presidents Moon and Trump apparently have come to an agreement on the ground rules for establishing an inter-Korean dialogue."

    NK News: "South Korea to Send Special Envoy to North Korea: Blue House"

  • March 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "There is no reason given how advanced Russian technology is in nuclear energy and how advanced they are in missile technology, they can't marry the two."

    CNN: "Putin Rolls out New Weapons"

  • March 1, 2018

    The CNA study Development of the Squad: Historical Analysis says, "the U.S. Army was unable to field an effective LMG as a replacement for the BAR. This was to prove a critical weakness, particularly in light of the conference attendees' observations that in order to fire or maneuver, the squad needed to be equipped with the suppressive fire of an organic LMG. Rifle fire, even if automatic, was inadequate."

    Marine Corps Gazette: "The 15-Marine Rifle Squad"

  • March 1, 2018

    Zack Gold says that President Sisi's vow has been prominent, "but it wouldn't be the first self-imposed deadline for victory that comes and goes."

    The Wall Street Journal: "Egypt Prolongs Campaign Against Islamic State"

  • February 28, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "We know that Kim Jong Un has had fake passports in the past, he travelled to Japan, we believe in the early 1990's, on a fake Brazilian passport, so it's not unheard of."

    CNN: "Kim Jong Un's Fake Passport"

  • February 28, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "It's easier to make a stealthier missile than a stealth bomber. So with a super long range missile, why do you need a new bomber?"

    The National Interest: "Russia's New PAK-DA Stealth Bomber Might Have a Fatal Flaw"

  • February 28, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says that private military companies in Syria allow a "degree of deniability from Moscow should things go wrong."

    The World Weekly: "The Mercenaries Fighting for the Kremlin"

  • February 27, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "This UAV is still 'in development' so we might guess that a prototype can be unveiled next year and a flying concept could be unveiled by 2020."

    The National Interest: "Russia Is Developing a New Long-Range Supersonic Strike Aircraft. No Pilot Needed."

  • February 26, 2018

    Rear Admiral Michael McDevitt says, "I think the odds are very low that either Japan or China is looking for a fight over the Senkakus, and I'm quite certain the United States is not looking for a fight with China over the Senkakus"

    NHK: "China's Maritime Strategy"

  • February 26, 2018

    Rear Admiral Michael McDevitt: "I think the odds are very low that either Japan or China is looking for a fight over the Senkakus, and I'm quite certain the United States is not looking for a fight with China over the Senkakus"

    NHK: "China's Maritime Strategy"

  • February 26, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russia considers American satellites a significant threat when it comes to potential confrontation, and is actively working to counter U.S. technologies in space."

    Defense One: "Russia Claims It Now Has Lasers to Shoot Satellites"

  • February 26, 2018

    Vice Admiral Lee Gunn says, "The demand for water will not be linear, the demand for water will increase as well."

    New Security Beat: "The Role of Water Stress in Instability and Conflict"

  • February 25, 2018

    David Finkelstein says, "China feels it is on the road to great power status and they want to perpetuate the trajectory they are on."

    The New York Times: "President Xi's Strongman Rule Raises New Fears of Hostility and Repression"

  • February 25, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "Those are figures for combined casualties, referencing 3 companies of Wagner involved in support of Syrian forces."

    The National Interest: "U.S. Military Battle with Possible Russian Mercenaries: 'Our Strikes Were Done out of Self-Defense'"

  • February 23, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "North Koreans will feel the pinch. North Korea will cry foul. But [Kim Jong-un] will not change his calculus with respect to nuclear weapons. He sees them as vital to his own and the regime's survival."

    Quartz: "Trump Announced Sanctions on 55 North Korea-Related Ships and Companies"

  • February 23, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "We've got several case studies looking at Kim Jong Un as a rational actor: In every one of the case studies, he has acted in a rational way."

    FiveThirtyEight: "Even Dictators Like Kim Jong Un Need To Keep Some People Happy"

  • February 22, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "At this point, inter-Korean dialogue is timely. There is no time to waste anymore. Of course, the US government is not willing to talk with North Korea until North Korea gives up its nuclear weapons."

    RFA: "U.S. Experts Say 'North-South and United States Dialogue'" [Translated, Korean]

  • February 22, 2018

    Samuel Bendett was quoted in the Russian daily RBC publication on the arrival of Russia's newest Su-57 stealth aircraft to the Russian based in Syria.

    RBC: "Why the Newest Su-57 Fighter Flew to Khemeymim"[Russian] [Viewable on an unfettered device]

  • February 21, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, "What we are doing in our new center is looking at how to prepare for the future of war and make things a little less scary."

    WSVA: "Dr. Larry Lewis-Artificial Intelligence and Warmaking"

  • February 21, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "Some policymakers believe Russia has an offensive nuclear strategy, but there is nothing to support this since asymmetric escalation when you're winning is not really credible."

    Defense News: "Out of Moscow: Washington Got the Basics of Russian Nuclear Strategy All Wrong"

  • February 20, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "North Korea's motives for the charm campaign are twofold: 1) drive a wedge between the U.S. and South Korea and 2) relieve the economic pressure caused by the sanctions."

    The Korea Herald: "Will Inter-Korean Detente Continue After Olympics?"

  • February 20, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "The key here is that the Russians are starting to move away from 'regular' UAV designs and are beginning to experiment with a variety of UAV design and applications."

    The National Interest: "Here Is How Russia Hopes to Dominate the Drone Market"

  • February 19, 2018

    Ken Gause "forecast recently that Kim will reinstate Hwang in order to keep Choe in check."

    The Chosunilbo: "Purged N.Korean Apparatchik Reappears in Public"

  • February 18, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "PMCs have shown that they can make the difference on distant battlefields and are a useful offset when Russia wants to keep its own military footprint small. They are also an effective tool in support of state-sponsored insurgency or unconventional warfare because they are deniable and disposable."

    The Cipher Brief: "Deniability and De-Escalation: Russia's Use of Military Contractors in Proxy Wars"

  • February 18, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "We don't know concretely who is paying [the mercenaries], but they are supported, deployed and moved about by Russian military, so we can draw some conclusions from that,"

    Los Angeles Times: "Russia's Shadowy World of Military Contractors: Independent Mercenaries, or Working for the Kremlin?"

  • February 16, 2018

    Jonathan Schroden says, "There has been an uptick in drone strikes in the tribal areas of Pakistan going back to the fall of last year and continuing since then."

    Military Times: "DOD IG: Too Soon to Tell If Trump's South Asia Strategy Will Break the Taliban"

  • February 16, 2018

    Vera Zakem says, "We have to look beyond these 13 individuals and we really have to be looking at the very expansive and comprehensive effort Russians have engaged in the interference of the United States election."

    BBC: "Russians Indicted for Meddling in U.S. Election"

  • February 13, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "This can only be achieved by engagement or the military option. I prefer the former to the calamity that could come with the latter. ... I absolutely do believe the US and North Korea should talk without preconditions. Diplomacy is the art of the possible, not the art of the perfect."

    The Korea Herald: "Trump Should Give Talk With North Korea a Chance"

  • February 13, 2018

    Michael Kofman says Damascus "needs these oil and gas facilities to sustain whatever rump state that is left and let it survive. The key fault line now, and the reason for the fighting, is energy resources."

    The Wall Street Journal: "Russians Among Those Killed in U.S. Airstrike in Eastern Syria"

  • February 10, 2018

    VOA: Umida Hashimova: Uzbekistan Is Interested in Our Presence in the United States [Uzbeck]

  • February 9, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Accidents of birth have also worked in Ms. Kim's favor. Kim Jong Un has an older brother, Kim Jong Chol, but a Korean emphasis on age-based seniority makes it hard for him to play a public supporting role to the leader."

    The Wall Street Journal: "Sister Act: Rapid Rise of North Korean Leader's New Top Aide"

  • February 9, 2018

    Zack Gold says, “What we need to be looking for is whether this is a large-scale offensive that will end tomorrow, or whether the Egyptian military is really intent on invading and clearing territory and holding that territory for a longer time.”

    The Wall Street Journal: "Egypt Starts Anti-ISIS Operation in Restive Sinai"

  • February 8, 2018

    Julia McQuaid says, “Iran is one example of water stress triggering unrest on the low end, whether those are riots, protests or strikes. Cape Town could potentially be another example.”

    CNA: “Water Stress a Compounding Factor in Global Unrest and Terrorism”

  • February 7, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Kim Yo Jong's power exists because of proximity to the leader himself, she is the person that he trust more than anyone else in the regime."

    CNN: "Kim Jong Un's Powerful Sister Going to the Olympics"

  • February 5, 2018

    CNA's Military Advisory Board writes, "As senior military officers, we see water stress—the lack of adequate fresh water—as a growing factor in the world's hotspots and conflict areas, many of vital interest to the United States."

    New Security Beat: "The Role of Water Stress in Instability and Conflict"

  • February 5, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "It certainly makes the system more robust, a layered defense is always better than a single defense layer."

    Business Insider: "Russia's Newest Anti-Air Missile Shows How Its Air Defenses Outpace America's"

  • February 5, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "I don't think Priboy is anything other than a model ship, same goes for the Lavina."

    The National Interest: "Russia's New Helicopters Are Preparing for War"

  • February 5, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "It's principally a third strike weapon designed to ensure that Russia has a viable nuclear deterrent which cannot be intercepted by missile defenses."

    WTOP: "Russia Building Devastating Nuclear Weapon; Pentagon Seeks to Counter"

  • February 3, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "Both from Trump's point of view and from the Russians point of view, the passing of sanctions by Congress confirmed for both that there was one large bureaucratic body here in the United States that is not very favorable when it comes to Russia."

    Deutsche Welle: "U.S. Congress Could Clash With Trump Administration on New Russia Sanctions"

  • February 3, 2018

    Zack Gold says, "The Israeli strikes inside of Egypt are almost at the same level, every time anyone says anything about the nuclear program, they have to jokingly add 'according to the foreign press.' Israel's main strategic interest in Egypt is stability, and they believe that open disclosure would threaten that stability."

    The New York Times: "Secret Alliance: Israel Carries Out Airstrikes in Egypt, With Cairo's O.K."

  • February 1, 2018

    "Brian McCue's U-Boats In the Bay of Biscay: An Essay on Operations Analysis is a classic. After World War II intelligence was declassified in the 1980s, McCue used these files to show quantitatively the advantage of breaking the enemy code by determining how many attacks days U-boats achieved in the Battle of the Atlantic."

    Proceedings Magazine, Feb 2018: "The Master of Fleet Tactics Unleashed"

  • February 1, 2018

    CNA Military Advisory Board member Brigadier General Gerald Galloway [Ret] says, "Have you solved the problem of the inequities that might exist over the use of that water at the lowest level? Is the farmer at the end of the irrigation canal going to get any water?"

    New Security Beat: "A Matter of Survival: Learning to Cooperate Over Water"

  • February 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "The Russian military is incredibly good at killing things if it can find them, but it always historically struggles at seeing on the battlefield."

    Breaking Defense: "Electronic Warfare Trumps Cyber For Deterring Russia"

  • February 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "There are quite few T-90s in the force and the T-90 does not dramatically improve on the capabilities of the T-72B3M."

    The National Interest: "Get Ready, NATO: The Russian Army Is Getting New T-90M Main Battle Tanks"

  • February 1, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "This unmanned helicopter will enhance the military capabilities of the nation's armed forces, as well as serve as a useful addition to the civilian sector such as emergency and first responders."

    The National Interest: "Is the Russian Military Going Robot?"

  • February 1, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "What's evident now is that Russia's plan to more closely integrate their EW forces with air/missile defenses is coming to fruition."

    Breaking Defense: "Electronic Warfare Trumps Cyber For Deterring Russia"

  • February 1, 2018

    Vera Zakem says, "Dezinformatsiya, as Russians call it, is meant to instill fear and confuse audiences, blurring the lines between truth, falsehood, and reality."

    The Wilson Quarterly: "Putin's Postmodern War With the West"

  • January 30, 2018

    Michael Kofman says the Russians are "also investing in capacity and how they can spread it across the force," when it comes to electronic warfare.

    USNI News: "Russian Operations, Exercises Have Better Integrated Electronic Warfare"

  • January 24, 2018

    Alarik Fritz says, "The submarine force that they have is essentially their capital ships. They're a concern for us and they're highly capable—and they're a very agile tool of the Russian military."

    The National Interest: "Why Are Russian Nuclear Attack Submarines Firing Torpedoes At Each Other?"

  • January 23, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds says, "This dashed any hopes in the Kremlin of getting back to business as usual with the United States. Fortified the belief among Russia's elite, and its population for that matter, that there is a large contingent within the U.S. government that is anti-Russian and Trump doesn't have the power to overcome it."

    Newsweek: "What Did Putin Want From Trump and What Did He Actually Get?"

  • January 22, 2018

    Dov Zakheim says, "If you don't come up with a strategy, you are never going to justify getting the money."

    Ecommerce-Journal: "New National Defense Strategy Lists China, Russia as Threats"

  • January 22, 2018

    Paul Schwartz says, "Since 2014, Russia has clearly emerged as NATO's most significant state-based security challenge."

    Marine Corps Times: "Peer Competitors Ready to 'Hand It to Us,' Marine General Says"

  • January 21, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Soratnik testing in Syria may have in fact taken place considering the mine clearing UGVs that Russia has tested there and is planning to use from now on."

    The National Interest: "Russia Tests New "Unmanned Ground Combat Vehicle" in Near Combat Conditions"

  • January 18, 2018

    Julia McQuaid says while water stress doesn't lead straight to conflict, "It can be catalyst, It can be a thing that breaks the system."

    The New York Times: "Warming, Water Crisis, Then Unrest: How Iran Fits an Alarming Pattern"

  • January 18, 2018

    Ken Gause says the only way to stop North Korea from putting a miniaturized nuke on top of a missile is "to have some carrots along with the sticks."

    OZY: "Get a Sneak Peek at Trump's Year Two Checklist"

  • January 18, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “In terms of establishing viable air defenses against opponents with fifth generation aircraft, it's quite clear how Russia is trying to tackle the problem of stealth."

    The National Interest: “Could Russia's S-400 Do the Unthinkable: Kill a F-22, F-35 or B-2 Bomber?”

  • January 18, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Russian intelligence gathering ships don’t come around for port of call visits or flag waving.”

    CNN: “Military: Russian Spy Ship Moving Toward U.S.”

  • January 17, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "We are talking about a very wide aperture for a drone-borne attack—from small quadrocopters, to plane-like UAVs that attacked Hmeimim, to potential coordinated swarms made up of small and large drones."

    The National Interest: "'Swarm' Strikes Are the U.S. Military's Worst Fear"

  • January 16, 2018

    David Knoll says, "Looking at non-state actor drone operations in the last 2-3 years, I would expect to see more efforts to launch swarm drone attacks by non-state groups in the future."

    The National Interest: "Could This be the U.S. Military's Secret Weapon to Stop a 'Swarm' Strike?"

  • January 16, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Robust EW defenses—in fact, the Russians are already talking about bolstering their EW even more following this Syria attack."

    The National Interest: "Could This Be the U.S. Military's Secret Weapon to Stop a 'Swarm' Strike?"

  • January 12, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "sophisticated UAV education and knowledge is spreading and more and more people are starting to get access to what was once very classified and proprietary data, including technologies that enable UAV flight and operation."

    The National Interest: "Who Attacked a Russian Military Base With a 'Swarm' Strike?"

  • January 11, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "The most effective resource is an organization that doesn't know it's being used."

    The Moscow Times: "The Specter of Kaspersky Looms Over Russian Cybersecurity Firms"

  • January 10, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg says, "We often overestimate how much governments in capitals have control over the rebel groups they sponsor."

    Business Insider: "Russia Is Blaming Turkey for Attacks on Its Military Bases in Syria — After Hinting the U.S. Was Responsible"

  • January 10, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "There's a lot of money to be made on that border, and there are a lot of connections between the operators on the border and their patrons back in Beijing."

    The New York Times: "Businesswoman's Fate a Test of China's Resolve on North Korea"

  • January 8, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "Its strategy exists in a gray zone. Therefore, engagement is vital to moving forward and not falling back into the hole we found ourselves in 2017, when we relied on pressure and preconditions to solve the North Korea problem."

    Yonhap News Agency: "Koreas Sit Down for Talks Amid Hopes for Better Ties"

  • January 8, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "The Seventh Party Congress welcomed the rise of many new faces, and that indicates that it has appointed its loyalists."

    El Mundo: "Kim Jong-Un, a Very Skillful Dictator and a Little Erratic" [Spanish]

  • January 8, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "It's very likely that such parts were most likely acquired commercially, in which case we are entering a dangerous terra incognita with respect to unsanctioned UAV use by non-state and terrorist organizations."

    The National Interest: "Russia Came Under Attack by a 'Swarm' In Syria, Says Report"

  • January 8, 2018

    Sarah Vogler says, "After all that's been said, the war of words between the two men over the course of the past few weeks and months; it would be very difficult for Kim Jong Un to meet with Donald Trump one on one at this point. Korean culture is very rooted in respect and the legitimacy of the ruler."

    CNN: "Rare North and South Korea Peace Talks Begin Soon"

  • January 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "[Russians] are seeking to rapidly develop new UAV with strike capabilities and this new drone could be a test bed for that platform."

    The National Interest: "Russia Is Developing a Mysterious Unmanned Strike Aircraft"

  • January 3, 2018

    Joshua Pollack says, "There's nowhere in the world that I know of where there is a button. Since [Kim Jong Un] doesn't sit at his desk 24 hours a day, I'm pretty sure he's got some kind of command and control arrangement that follows him around, the same as the U.S. president and the Russian president."

    Vice News: "Kim Jong Un Kicked off 2018 by Pressing Trump's Buttons"

  • January 3, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "The Delta IIIs, for sure, have to go, and Delta IV by the end of the 2020s. How many they actually build will depend in great deal on the state of arms control agreements and overall composition of Russian nuclear forces."

    The National Interest: "Russia Is Getting Ready to Build a New Set of Deadly Nuclear Missile Submarines"

  • January 3, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, "This is part of an overall Russian strategy to bolster its conventional deterrence, and ability to retaliate with long range conventional weapons."

    The National Interest: "The Russian Navy's Master Plan to 'Sink' the U.S. Navy Is Now Clear"

  • January 1, 2018

    Ken Gause says, "By taking a mixed approach to Seoul and Washington, North Korea seems likely to continue with its strategy of trying to drive a wedge in the alliance."

    Yonhap News: "N.K.'s Olive Branch Toward Seoul Targets Breakthrough Amid Sanctions: Experts"

  • November 6, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, “What does human control mean? If it means that humans pull the trigger, that's not always going to have the best outcome because humans make mistakes. For the most humanitarian outcome, you want to leverage both human and machine strengths.”

    American University Washington College of Law: “The Fusion of Drones and Artificial Intelligence”

  • October 3, 2018

    David Kaufman says, “People turn to the places of support in disasters that they turn to in everyday situations.”

    NEMA: “NEMA: Annual Forum”

  • October 1, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says, “The more that the U.S. can offer Sri Lanka, the Maldives, and other countries in the region in terms of trade and infrastructure, the less they have to rely on China."

    CSIS: “China's Belt and Road at Five” [Panel begins at 17:00]

  • July 18, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake and Michael McDevitt participated in the International Conference on Security of the Indian Ocean Region and contributed to policy recommendations for a more stable security environment in the region.

    The Sasakawa Peace Foundation: “Policy Recommendations by the Quadripartite Commission on the Indian Ocean Regional Security”

  • June 8, 2018

    CNA analysts Satu Limaye and Mary Ellen Connell discussed Indonesia’s maritime interests with Dr. Rizal Ramli, founder of ECONIT Advisory Group and former Coordinating Minister for Maritime Affairs under President Joko Widodo.

  • May 4, 2018

    Eric Thompson, Rear Adm. Michael McDevitt, Satu Limaye, Nilanthi Samaranayake, and Adm. William Fallon attend a bilateral discussion on power-plays and responses of the U.S., China, India, and Japan within the Indo-Pacific.

    National Maritime Foundation: 9th NMF-CNA Bilateral Dialogue

  • March 13, 2018

    In 2018, CNA's Executive Sessions on Policing will take a look at Innovative Approaches to Reducing Violent Crime. On March 13, experts will convene to review how local police agencies are using innovative approaches in the use of technology, intelligence, and analytics to support their efforts to reduce violent crime.
    Learn more and register here.

  • March 7, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, "Russians have publicly stated that they like the fact that NATO military assets have been in and around the Baltic Sea conducting their operations, giving Russians the ability to collect data on sensors, on communications and all kinds of electronic signatures."

    Defense One: "Genius Machines: The Next Decade of Artificial Intelligence" [Panel begins at 2:10:30]

  • January 31, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake says, “Smaller Indian Ocean countries are getting sucked into a discourse about strategic competition. We’re increasingly seeing the politicization of infrastructure, especially in maritime domain.”

    American Center New Delhi: Panel Discussion on Maritime Security in the Indo-Pacific

  • January 18, 2018

    At a CNA roundtable, Nilanthi Samaranayake and Mary Ellen Connell discussed France's strategic interests in the Indian Ocean region with Dr. Iskander Rehman of the Pell Center for International Relations and Public Policy.

    CNA: “CNA Roundtable Proceedings: France’s Strategic Interests in the Indian Ocean”

  • December 14, 2018

    Eric Downs writes, “The China-Russia energy relationship is more robust than it has been at any other time over the past decade.”

    The National Bureau of Asian Research: “China-Russia Energy Relations: Better Than Ever” (Page 17)

  • December 12, 2018

    Scott Truver writes, “The Department of the Navy should make a strategic shift in its stewardship of unmanned systems.”

    War on the Rocks: “The U.S. Navy’s Amphibious Assault Renaissance: It’s More Than Ships and Aircraft”

  • December 4, 2018

    Erin Mohres writes, “The case for building and maintaining a CI program certainly is evident to most public safety officials.”

    Homeland Security Today: “Perspective: 3 Steps to Forging a More Resilient Critical Infrastructure Program”

  • November 28, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg and Michael Kofman write, “During the events on Sunday, Ukraine sought to demonstrate that Russia is not the master of the Sea of Azov, while Russia sought to communicate that it indeed was.”

    The Washington Post: “Russia and Ukraine Had a Short Naval Battle. Here’s What You Need to Know.”

  • November 28, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “Ukraine likely sought to contest Russian efforts to impose a new status quo, establishing sovereignty over the strait and steadily clinching its grip over the Sea of Azov. Moscow wanted a public demonstration of the true balance of power.”

    Russia Military Analysis: “The Kerch Strait Naval Skirmish”

  • November 26, 2018

    Dov Zakheim writes, “The only way that America can maintain its technological superiority is through a partnership with its high-tech industries.”

    The Hill: “It’s High Time for the High-Tech Sector to Support DOD”

  • November 19, 2018

    Dov Zakheim writes, “At 483,000 troops, the Army today is indeed at its lowest force levels since 1940; the Navy’s 288 ships are the lowest since 1915, and the Air Force is the smallest ever.”

    The Hill: “Leon Panetta’s Nightmare Is Today's National Security Crisis”

  • November 12, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “The Ministry of Defense, or MOD, has opened several departments within the institution that specifically deal with the emergence of unmanned military systems and their acquisition, testing and evaluation for the Russian military.”

    Bionic Bug Podcast: “Interview with Samuel Bennett”

  • November 9, 2018

    Michael Kofman says that the Trident Juncture exercise, “clearly demonstrates to Russia the ability of the United States together with NATO allies to appear in the high north, on that part of Russia’s flank.”

    Defense and Aerospace Report: “CNA’s Kofman, Bendett on Russian Perception of Trident Juncture”

  • November 9, 2018

    Samuel Bendett says, “The Russian Federation looks to practice its con-opts and tactics, techniques and procedures on a regular basis. There’s no better way to do that than in full sight of NATO and United States Navy.”

    Defense and Aerospace Report: “CNA’s Kofman, Bendett on Russian Perception of Trident Juncture”

  • November 8, 2018

    Soo Kim writes, “Pyongyang’s cancellation of the meeting shouldn’t come as a shock. It’s an oft-used tactic by the DPRK in negotiations – the element of surprise. Additionally, in the current state of affairs, there has been little headway between the two sides grappling over the nuclear issue, sanctions, and a declaration to end the Korean War.”

    NK News: “Don’t Panic! Why the Kim Yong Chol Meeting Cancellation Is Par for the Course”

  • November 2, 2018

    Soo Kim writes, “When considered within the broader contours of U.S.-ROK relations and the situation with North Korea, the Security Consultative Meeting makes us second-guess the state of our alliance with South Korea.

    The Hill: Troubling signs in U.S.-South Korea Alliance”

  • November 1, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “To be held in Norway through Nov. 23, the Trident Juncture exercise is designed to improve NATO’s ability to defend member states and to strengthen the alliance’s credibility as a deterrent force against potential aggression.”

    Russia Matters: “NATO’s Trident Juncture Exercise as a Deterrence Signal to Russia”

  • November 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “The crux of my argument remains that a U.S. division on Poland’s borders will not positively contribute to deterrence, has little relevance to a prospective war with Russia — given the current character of war, and is unnecessary when considering Russian force posture.”

    War on the Rocks: “Revise and Resubmit: An Unconvincing Proposal for Permanent U.S. Troops in Poland”

  • October 30, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “Kuznetsov is the Russian Navy’s most unlucky ship. The vessel has a reputation for killing carrier aviation, breaking down, lethal accidents on board, and major spills.”

    Russian Military Analysis: “Admiral Kuznetsov’s Bad Luck Strikes Again – or How Russia May Have Lost Its Largest Dry Dock in the North”

  • October 29, 2018

    Micheal Kofman says, “Syria is the principle transformative conflict for Russia today and for the Russian military.”

    Center for the National Interest: “Russia's Intervention in Syria”

  • October 26, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “Russian experts and officials have long argued that the treaty that Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev signed with President Ronald Reagan in 1987 was disadvantageous — first to the Soviet Union and then to Russia.”

    The Washington Post: “Here’s What the Russians Think About the Trump Administration’s Decision to Withdraw From a Nuclear Arms Treaty”

  • October 26, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “For years, Washington pursued an ill-fated policy to get Moscow back into compliance with the treaty. Frustration with that failure has led to a seemingly rash, though understandable, political decision to part with the INF Treaty.”

    War on the Rocks: “Under the Missile’s Shadow: What Does the Passing of the INF Treaty Mean?”

  • October 12, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "The United States does need more forces in Europe with capabilities relevant to deterring Russia, but an armored division in Poland is not the right answer."

    War On The Rocks: “Permanently Stationing U.S. Forces in Poland Is a Bad Idea, But One Worth Debating”

  • October 6, 2018

    Sarah Vogler writes, “Despite the seemingly cordial relations between President Trump and Kim, North Korea and the United States do not trust each other, their definitions of what ‘denuclearization of the Korean peninsula’ means are different, and neither side agrees to the other’s opening negotiating position.”

    The Hill: “More Than Symbolic Gestures Needed in U.S.-North Korea Talks”

  • October 4, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “Russia made a case [that it] poses a threat.”

    USNI: “Panel: Military Tensions in Europe Continue to Run High Between NATO, Moscow”

  • September 30, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “It can be reasonably argued that over the last decade, the Russian government has had no higher priority than restoring its military as a potent force that can both strike fear into its adversaries and be capable of being used to achieve state goals in an armed conflict.”

    Russian Military Reform: “Review of Bettina Renz’s New Book on Russia’s Military Revival”

  • September 28, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “Vostok-2018 strategic manoeuvers illustrate that while much progress remains to be made in improving the capability and capacity of the Russian armed forces, the military as a whole is increasingly greater than the sum of its parts, and certainly much improved from its relatively raw state in 2012-2013.”

    Russian Military Analysis: “Assessing Vostok-2018”

  • September 24, 2018

    Christopher Steinitz writes, “The foremost reason that we should consider a peace declaration is that there is no utility in perpetuating the 1953 armistice.”

    The Hill: “How and When to End the Korean War”

  • September 24, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes, “Even without overseas bases, the Indian Navy retains extensive access arrangements in ports throughout the Indian Ocean.”

    UPenn Center for the Advanced Study of India: “Asian Basing in Africa: India’s Setback in Seychelles Could Be Worse”

  • September 18, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “While the Russian government’s reaction included a strongly worded condemnation of the Israeli Air Force for its role in the incident, the reality is that the Israeli aircraft would not have had the ability or need to use a large, slow Russian turboprop aircraft as cover.”

    Russian Military Reform: “What Happened to the Russian Il-20?”

  • September 18, 2018

    Larry Lewis writes, “There are four specific actions listed in the memo: (1) use of a No Strike List (NSL), (2) a change to Rules of Engagement (ROE), (3) formation of the Joint Incident Assessment Team (JIAT), and (4) the Saudi government’s commitment to paying for a course on the Law of Armed Conflict (LOAC) and targeting practices.”

    Just Security: “Grading the Pompeo Certification on Yemen War and Civilian Protection: Time for Serious Reconsideration”

  • September 18, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “Vostok 2018 was designed to test the readiness of Russia’s armed forces and supporting civilian infrastructure to move units over large distances, coordination between ground forces and the Navy.”

    Russian Military Analysis: “Vostok 2018 Day 7 (September 17)”

  • September 15, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “Most of the exercises are taking place at Tsugol and Telemba, but there was word today of various live fire events from a few of the other ranges.”

    Russian Military Analysis: “Vostok 2018 Day 4 (September 14)”

  • September 14, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “Russian and Chinese leadership at Tsygol range opened up Phase 2 of the exercise with a large review of forces. The optics were clearly meant to rekindle the images of Zapad-1981.”

    Russian Military Analysis: “Vostok 2018 – Day 3 (September 13)”

  • September 13, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “The Vostok exercise is part of an annual rotating series of large-scale exercises that serve as the capstone to the Russian military’s annual training cycle.”

    Russian Military Reform: “5 Things to Know About Russia’s Vostok-2018 Military Exercises”

  • September 13, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “Russian forces plan to use the latest generation EW and drone systems during the exercise.”

    Russian Military Analysis: “Vostok 2018 – Day 2 (September 12)”

  • September 11, 2018

    Michael Kofman says, “The Chinese right now are sending a clear signal that one, they don’t see Russia as a threat, which already should be a concern to the United States.”

    The Washington Post: “War Games and Business Deals: Russia, China Send a Signal to Washington”

  • September 11, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “This year there’s an emphasis on logistics, organizing forces and moving them large distances across Russia, which is sort of the major challenge in the Eastern/Central MD.”

    Russian Military Analysis: “Vostok 2018 – Day 1 (September 11)”

  • September 10, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “Vostok 2018 is not being done in the format of typical annual exercises rotating between the four main strategic directions.”

    Russian Military Analysis: “Vostok 2018 Strategic Maneuvers: Exercise Plan”

  • September 8, 2018

    Scott Truver writes, “Enemy mines caused significant numbers of U.S. ship losses and damage during crisis and conflict.  Of the 19 U.S. Navy ships that have been seriously damaged or sunk by enemy action since September 1945, 15––nearly 80 percent––were mine victims.”

    Real Clear Defense: “A Modular MCM Vision”

  • September 4, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “In August 2008, the Russian military fought Georgian troops in a brief five-day war. Russia defeated the Georgian forces, but the war revealed profound deficiencies in the Russian armed forces.”

    War on the Rocks: “Russian Performance in the Russo-Georgian War Revisited”

  • September 1, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “Exercises reflect similar messages: recon-strike contour, combat arms, training between different types of companies, communication, drone and counter drone, integration of ground forces and aviation. There is a lot more ‘jointness’ being portrayed than last year.”

    Russian Military Analysis: “Vostok 2018: Pre-Exercise Review of Events”

  • August 31, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, “We have not had more progress in the past few years because we have not sufficiently defined the problem. States and other groups are still talking past one another.”

    CAAI Blog: “CNA Statement to UN Group of Government Experts on Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems, August 29 2018”

  • August 27, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, “Currently, the Russian military is working on incorporating elements of AI in its electronic warfare, missile, aircraft and unmanned systems technologies, with the aim of making battlefield decision-making and targeting faster and more precise.”

    CAAI Blog: “Efforts to Develop AI in the Russian Military”

  • August 24, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, “This week, Russia is hosting its biggest military exhibition —Army-2018. The exhibition is held at the recently established “Patriot” expo center not far from Moscow.  Dozens of nations, thousands of military technology samples and hundreds of thousands of visitors are expected to converge at the Patriot for the next several days.

    The National Interest: “Russia Is Giving the World a Preview of Some of Its Most Advanced Military Equipment”

  • August 24, 2018

    Thomas Woodmansee writes, “Introducing a BWC program to your organization and community is complex, which is why it is important to establish comprehensive, effective, and customized training for your agency, your officers, your criminal justice partners, the media, and the public.”

    BWC Training and Technical Assistance: “In View Commentary: The Importance of Developing Your Own BWC Training”

  • August 22, 2018

    Scott Truver says, “The U.S. Navy is poised to achieve a strategic objective in making America’s adversaries worry about U.S. mines and creating our own asymmetric anti-access/area-denial advantage.”

    Defense One: “Toward a 21st-Century U.S. Navy Mining Force”

  • August 17, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “The Russo-Georgian War, the August War, or for some simply the ‘five-day war,’ was an important departure point in U.S.-Russian relations, and in European security. Although few understood it at the time, this war heralded an important transition in international politics.”

    War on the Rocks: “The August War, Ten Years On: A Retrospective on the Russo-Georgian War”

  • August 2, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, “As great power rivalries intensify, China, Russia, and the United States are redoubling their pursuit of defense innovation in emerging technologies that could change the character, perhaps even the nature, of warfare.”

    The Strategy Bridge: “Chinese and Russian Defense Innovation, with American Characteristics? Military Innovation, Commercial Technologies, and Great Power Competition”

  • August 1, 2018

    Satu Limaye says, “ASEAN is the grouping that stands for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, which comprises 10 Southeast Asian countries. And China has had a big role.”

    NPR: “What Pompeo Wants In Southeast Asia Visit”

  • July 31, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “The situation changed radically after Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, with NATO leaders expressing concern that Russia could turn the Black Sea into a Russian lake by devoting significant resources to the modernization of the Black Sea Fleet”

    War On the Rocks: “Is a New Russian Black Sea Fleet Coming? Or Is It Here?”

  • July 23, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “The Russian leadership hoped this meeting would be the first step to stabilizing relations between the two countries, but the press conference turned the summit into a political fiasco.”

    War on the Rocks: “Stranger Things in Helsinki”

  • July 20, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "The Russian Ministry of Defense is pursuing artificial intelligence with an urgency that has only grown since Vladimir Putin's "rule the world" speech in September."

    Defense One: "Here's How the Russian Military Is Organizing to Develop AI"

  • July 18, 2018

    Kasey Stricklin writes, “Income inequality, gaps in women’s career trajectories and women’s disproportionate role in housework and childcare inherently place them at a disadvantage in earnings-related pension schemes.”

    Bear Market Brief: “No Rest for the Weary Babushka: Would Pension Reform Benefit Older Russian Women?”

  • July 18, 2018

    Michael McDevitt writes in chapter 7, “On any given day, the PLA Navy (PLAN) has an average of between 4-5 warships (including on occasion a submarine) and two support vessels, organized into two independent Task Forces, operating somewhere in the Indian Ocean.”

    The Sasakawa Peace Foundation: “Policy Recommendations by the Quadripartite Commission on the Indian Ocean Regional Security”

  • July 18, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake writes in chapter 5, “The Indian Ocean is the lifeline of the world’s economy. Half of all container traffic transits this body of water, and 30% of the world’s trade flows through its ports.”

    The Sasakawa Peace Foundation: “Policy Recommendations by the Quadripartite Commission on the Indian Ocean Regional Security”

  • July 18, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, “The Russian government has long expressed concern that their reliance on imported IT products creates major security vulnerabilities.”

    CAAI Blog: “Russian Kryptonite to Western Hi-Tech Dominance”

  • July 17, 2018

    Steven Wills writes, “The NATO Alliance must return to a deterrent posture similar to that of the Cold War in order to prevent potential Russian aggression.”

    CIMSEC: “A New Gap in the High North and Forward Defense Against Russian Naval Power”

  • July 5, 2018

    Christopher Steinitz writes, “The Trump administration released more details this week of how it plans to slap sanctions back on Iran. It is an ambitious and aggressive policy to change Iran’s behavior, but it is premised on faulty assumptions, and ultimately may be counterproductive.”

    The Hill: “Why New U.S. Sanctions on Iran Won’t Work — and Might Backfire”

  • July 5, 2018

    Satu Limaye says, “On the one hand, China is part of major elements of the international order such as the UN and WTO. On the other, it is pursuing new efforts such as Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and BRI that offer different models, tools and institutions that have mixed responses and results.”

    Khmer Times: “The Effects of Global Politics on Cambodia and Asia-Pacific”

  • July 1, 2018

    Mark Rosen writes, “Diego Garcia has been a refuge for mariners for centuries because of the availability of freshwater and ample fish and has been a valued military installation since World War II.”

    The National Interest: “How Diego Garcia Can Play a Pivotal Role in America's Relationship with India”

  • June 29, 2018

    Larry Lewis writes, “Even though many civilians encounter the humanitarian tolls of war, there is no public conversation on how applying artificial intelligence to waging war could help ease its tragedies.”

    Breaking Defense: “AI for Good in War; Beyond Google’s ‘Don’t Be Evil’”

  • June 27, 2018

    Jeffrey Becker and Erica Downs write, “The fact that China is expanding its base in Djibouti is not particularly surprising. China has growing interests in East Africa and the Indian Ocean.”

    East Asia Forum: “China’s Djibouti Military Base the First of Many”

  • June 25, 2018

    Frederick Thompson writes, “Exercises are among the most realistic operations we conduct. Our investigations of what really happened in an exercise yield valuable insights into problems, into solutions, and into promising tactical ideas.”

    CIMSEC: “Did We Learn Anything From That Exercise? Could We?” (Reprint of 1982 July-August edition of Naval War College Review)

  • June 25, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, “Russia is also busy designing and testing many unmanned maritime and ground vehicles for various missions with diverse payloads.”

    Mad Scientist Blog (U.S. Army): “Russian Ground Battlefield Robots: A Candid Evaluation and Ways Forward”

  • June 18, 2018

    Anthony Braga, James Coldren, and Denise Rodriguez write, "Our experimental analyses found statistically significant reductions in complaints and officer use of force reports for treatment officers relative to control officers."

    Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology: "The Effects of Body-Worn Cameras on Police Activity and Police-Citizen Encounters: A Randomized Controlled Trial"

  • June 14, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, “No one knows if the next six years of Vladimir Putin’s reign will be his last, but signs suggest they will be the most difficult for Washington to navigate in what is now widely acknowledged on both sides as a long-term confrontation between Russia and the West.”

    War on the Rocks: “Raiding and International Brigandry: Russia’s Strategy for Great Power Competition”

  • June 13, 2018

    Christopher Steinitz writes, "Rather than mandating a precise road to denuclearization, the Singapore statement, in conjunction with Trump's remarks, emphasizes a resetting of the U.S.-North Korea relationship through a process of building confidence."

    The Hill: "The Trump-Kim Summit Advances a Unique Rapprochement"

  • June 8, 2018

    Nilanthi Samaranayake and Satu Limaye write, “China can pursue its ‘long game’ in the Himalayas because India, for both military and diplomatic reasons, hasn’t pushed back hard.”

    War on the Rocks: “Doklam, One Year Later: China’s Long Game in the Himalayas”

  • June 1, 2018

    Vince Manzo writes, “If a conflict breaks out in Asia or Europe, an adversary of the United States and its allies may believe it can conduct limited nuclear strikes and, rather than precipitate its own destruction, win the war.”

    Survival: “After Nuclear First Use, What?”

  • May 23, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Russian defense spending is alive and well, with cuts limited to single digits. The announcement about its steep decline by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, or SIPRI, was erroneous."

    Russian Military Analysis: "The Collapsing Russian Defense Budget and Other Fairy Tales"

  • May 22, 2018

    Ken Gause writes, “Only through a clear-eyed approach to North Korea can we hope to develop strategies that will have resonance and traction and make the most of the opportunity that we may now be presented with.”

    The National Interest: "We Need to Test Our Assumptions About North Korea"

  • May 22, 2018

    Zack Gold writes, "Since 2011, jihadi militants in Egypt's North Sinai governorate, who declared their allegiance to the Islamic State in November 2014, have threatened the security of both Egypt and Israel."

    World Politics Review: "The Consequences of Israel and Egypt's Alliance of Convenience Against ISIS"

  • May 15, 2018

    Larry Lewis writes, "It would be worthwhile to think more deeply about how to use AI to reduce the humanitarian tolls of warfare."

    Just Security: "AI-4-Good in Warfare"

  • May 11, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Despite modest reductions to the defense budget since 2015, the Russian military has suffered the least in state cuts relative to other government services."

    The Moscow Times: "Parades and Pomp: What Do Russia's Armed Forces Have to Celebrate?"

  • May 9, 2018

    Dov Zakheim writes, "Trump seems to believe that his action against Iran strengthens his negotiating hand against North Korea. The opposite may be the case."

    The Hill: "Now What? Trump Could Make a Deal With Europe Regarding Iran"

  • May 1, 2018

    Joshua Pollack writes, "Contrary to claims that the deal required Iran to 'come clean' and be truthful about its past weapons research, it required only that Iran implement an agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)."

    Defense One: "Netanyahu and Iran's Atomic Archive: What's New and What's Not"

  • April 24, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "Soloviev made the argument that Russia needs to become more active in defending itself against soft power attacks."

    Russian Military Reform: "MCIS Soft Power Panel"

  • April 20, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "The panel was led off by Lt. General Stanislav Gadzhimagomedov, the Deputy Chief of the Main Operational Directorate of the Russian General Staff."

    Russian Military Reform: "MCIS slides on Regional Security in the Middle East and North Africa"

  • April 20, 2018

    Mark Rosen writes, "Recent work by CNA and CSIS makes clear that China is both making substantial investments in the Arctic region and is constructing more icebreakers."

    IPP Review: "China's New Arctic Policy Needs Close Analysis"

  • April 19, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "All technology displayed on parade was/is in regular use, so it was probably just a matter of time before Russians started showing off their unmanned military systems."

    CAAI Blog: "For the First Time, Russia Is Showcasing Unmanned Military Systems at a Military Parade"

  • April 18, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "One more set of slides today, this one from a speech by Vice Admiral Igor Kostyukov, the first deputy chief of the Main Directorate of the Russian General Staff, on the topic of security in the Asia-Pacific region."

    Russian Military Reform: "MCIS Presentation on Asia-Pacific Security Problems"

  • April 18, 2018

    Kasey Stricklin writes, "Women in Russia are entering STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) fields at a higher rate than many of their Western counterparts, but there are still far less Russian women than men."

    Bear Market Brief: "Where STEM Girls at: Russian Women in STEM"

  • April 16, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "Syria's ability to make and use chemical weapons was largely unaffected, because what they are using now is chlorine gas, rather than the sarin that was made in its chemical weapons program prior to 2013."

    Russian Military Reform: "Quick Thoughts on Syria Strike"

  • April 12, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "Today's installment of slides comes from the speech of Belarusian Defense Minister Andrei Ravkov."

    Russian Military Reform: "MCIS 2018 Belarusian Defense Minister Slides"

  • April 12, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, "You can actually create better humanitarian outcomes with AI."

    CNA: "CNA Expert Speaks to U.N. Representatives About Lethal Autonomous Weapons"

  • April 12, 2018

    Michael McDevitt says, "The Soviets sought naval access arrangements with nations around the western Indian Ocean, just as China is doing today."

    CNA: "Is the Past Prologue in the Indian Ocean?"

  • April 10, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "It's time once again for the annual slide show of presentations from the Moscow Conference on International Security."

    Russian Military Reform: "Moscow Conference on International Security 2018 Sergei Rudskoi Slides"

  • April 10, 2018

    Larry Lewis says, "Rather than focusing on the human control in the final engagement decision, the U.N. should develop a comprehensive safety net woven from existing best practices."

    CNA: "Building a Safety Net for Autonomous Weapons"

  • April 4, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "Russia's annual domestic investment in AI is probably around 700 million rubles ($12.5 million) – a paltry sum next to the billions being spent by American and Chinese companies."

    Defense One: "In AI, Russia Is Hustling to Catch Up"

  • March 29, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "The technopolis will feature all available social comforts for young specialists and their families, including shopping venues, schools, kindergartens and public transport – just like the Soviet 'secret cities' did."

    War is Boring: "Russia Wants to Build a Whole City for Developing Weapons"

  • March 28, 2018

    Erica Downs writes, "Russia will likely face competition from other oil exporters seeking to sell more to the world's largest net oil importer. In 2018 and 2019, Brazil, Iraq and the United States are likely to increase their shares of China's crude oil imports."

    China Policy Institute: "Russia Not Saudi Arabia Is China's Main Source of Oil"

  • March 22, 2018

    Larry Lewis writes, "Many groups recommend steps for the U.S. military to bolster its own capabilities to detect civilian casualties post-strike or to work more closely with independent groups to better consider external information to complement its assessments."

    Just Security: "Civilian Casualties: We Need Better Estimates—Not Just Better Numbers"

  • March 19, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "How will Russia's combat UGVs perform in battle? It's currently not clear. Russian systems – like practically all combat UGVs – are vulnerable to enemy fire."

    The National Interest: "Is Russia Building an Army of Robots?"

  • March 17, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "Russia hasn't yet announced officially if its combat UGVs will be expendable devices, or if it plans to make them permanent fixtures in operations."

    War is Boring: "What Moscow Thinks About When It Thinks About War Robots"

  • March 8, 2018

    Kasey Stricklin writes, "While parity is still elusive, the gender pay gap in Russia has significantly decreased over the last decade."

    Bear Market Brief: "Who Run the World? Not Women, Yet"

  • March 7, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "The Foundation of Advanced Studies (FAS) stays busy these days with a variety of projects that include unmanned and robotic technologies."

    War is Boring: "The Russian Military Wants Students to Design Its New Underwater Drone"

  • March 6, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "I don't believe that Russia either needs these weapons to ensure the viability of its deterrent, or that their acquisition fundamentally changes anything in the military balance with the U.S."

    Russian Military Analysis: "Emerging Russian Weapons: Welcome to the 2020s (Part 2 – 9M730?, Status-6, Klavesin-2R)"

  • March 5, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "most of these 'new weapons' are long running projects, systems thought to be in development, or testing."

    Russian Military Reform: "Emerging Russian Weapons: Welcome to the 2020s (Part 1 – Kinzhal, Sarmat, 4202)"

  • March 4, 2018

    Mark Rosen writes, "China's State Council Information Office issued a new Arctic Policy on January 26, 2018. It asserts that China is an 'important stakeholder in Arctic Affairs'."

    The National Interest: "U.S. Arctic Policy: The Video and the Audio Are Out of Synch"

  • March 4, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "most of these 'new weapons' are long running projects, systems thought to be in development, or testing."

    Russian Military Reform: "Emerging Russian Weapons: Welcome to the 2020s (Part 1 – Kinzhal, Sarmat, 4202)"

  • February 19, 2018

    Alison Kaufman writes, "Chinese scholars and statesmen have long used all three of these meanings of civilization, to varying degrees, as a measuring stick for China's progress, domestically and internationally"

    The ASAN Forum: "China's Discourse of "Civilization": Visions of Past, Present, and Future"

  • February 16, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds writes, "The National Security Strategy (NSS) and the National Defense Strategy (NDS) describe the United States as coming to terms with an emerging new world order, one fraught with great power competition, populism and terrorism."

    Tampa Bay Times: "Perspective: A National Security Strategy of Coming to Terms With Competition"

  • February 14, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "the story of Russian casualties among supporting PMCs (mercenaries belonging to private military companies) has proliferated across the internet and newspaper articles, with many of the facts and figures inaccurate."

    Russian Military Analysis: "U.S. Strikes and Russian PMC Casualties in Syria – Fact vs Fiction"

  • February 7, 2018

    Steven Klein writes, "The frequency spectrum is of vital importance to the military; many warfighting systems including radars, communications and other sensors depend on unfettered access to spectrum for their successful operation in combat."

    CHIPS: "Spectrum Management: Competition for a Scarce Resource"

  • February 7, 2018

    Vincent Manzo writes, “By treating North Korea’s push toward an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) as a crisis rather than a component of a long-term challenge, the Trump team is stumbling toward an unnecessary war.”

    Texas National Security Review: “The Least Bad Option: Damage Limitation and U.S. Deterrence Strategy Toward North Korea”

  • February 6, 2018

    Jeffrey Edmonds writes, "United States and Western commentary on Russian nuclear doctrine often focuses on Russia's intention to use low-yield nuclear weapons in a conventional conflict, raising the stakes for the West."

    The National Interest: "How America Could Accidentally Push Russia into a Nuclear War"

  • February 6, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Russia's Aerospace Forces have shown dramatic progress compared to their performance in the 2008 Russia-Georgia war. Military reforms launched that same year and a large modernization program in 2011 have left their mark."

    The Moscow Times: "Starving Wolf No Longer: Can Russia Sustain Its Military? (Op-ed)"

  • February 2, 2018

    Paul Saunders writes, "All in all, the U.S.-Qatar Strategic Dialogue and the public statements accompanying it were necessary and constructive correctives."

    The National Interest: "Trump Leans Toward Qatar in the Saudi Spat"

  • January 30, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "The National Defense Strategy's urgency is valid and its desire to focus on inter-state conflict meritorious. It's tone and framing is, in many ways, a good start. But it betrays a poor understanding of the nature of the problem and the adversaries with whom we are competing."

    War on the Rocks: "Searching for Strategy in Washington's Competition With Russia"

  • January 25, 2018

    Samuel Bendett writes, "In certain aspects of the field of unmanned military systems, Russia may be inching ahead of its competition in designing and testing a wide variety of systems and conceptualizing their future use."

    Defense One: "Russia Is Poised to Surprise the U.S. in Battlefield Robotics"

  • January 24, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, "The Russian Air Force has been substantially modernized and upgraded as part of the current State Armament Program (SAP-2020)."

    Russian Military Reform: "Russian Air Force Procurement Plans"

  • January 24, 2018

    Michael Kofman writes, "Syria has tested every world leader individually and collectively, and has laid bare the failure of international institutions to deal effectively with the problems those institutions were designed to manage and prevent."

    Military Review: "What Kind of Victory for Russia in Syria?"

  • January 22, 2018

    Vincent Manzo writes, “Lowering the yield on some SLBMs would be a modest force structure change, not a major departure from the United States’ approach to nuclear deterrence.”

    Defense One: “Give the Low-Yield SLBM its Day in Court”

  • January 18, 2018

    Admiral James Foggo III writes, “The strong relationship between the U.S. and France is a natural “fit” for us to lead and promote the tenets of maritime security and greater freedom of navigation throughout the Indian Ocean.”

    CNA: Statement on U.S.- France Naval Cooperation

  • January 18, 2018

    Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “Kazakhstan’s size would make Russia reluctant to undertake a full-scale military intervention. Still, there are circumstances under which the Russian leadership would feel pressure to use force to intervene in Kazakhstan.”
    Russian Military Reform: “Russian Military Intervention in Kazakhstan”

  • January 17, 2018

    Umida Hashimova says, "When Uzbekistanis elected Shavkat Mirziyaev as their president on December 4, 2016, they entered 2017 with a healthy dose of skepticism that real change would follow."

    The Jamestown Foundation: "A Year in Review: Uzbekistan Pursues Liberalization at Home, Neighborly Relations Abroad"

  • January 12, 2018

    Rear Admiral Paul Becker writes, "Securing interests in the Indo-Pacific will require Washington's strategic communications to be consistent, coherent and focused."

    The Cipher Brief: "The 'Indo-Pacific': Redrawing the Map to Counter China"

  • January 11, 2018

    Steven Wills writes, "[The Littoral Combat Ship] makes an ideal patrol platform for counternarcotics and counterpiracy missions because of its shallow draft, high speed, and large helicopter, unmanned aircraft and boat facilities."

    Real Clear Defense: "LCS: Beyond the Modules"

  • January 9, 2018

    Brian McCue writes, "The Department of Defense is committed to lowering the prevalence of sexual assaults and increasing the proportion of these assaults that are reported."

    Phalanx: "The Prevalence of Sparsely Reported Events" [Page 17]

  • June 19, 2018

    CNA today announced that it has completed the appointment of a Space Advisory Council of national experts with institutional knowledge of space programs, operations and policy to advise the CNA research team working with the Department of Defense (DOD) to develop a plan to create a Military Department of Space. Read more.

  • May 15, 2018

    On May 15, CNA and the Center for International Maritime Security (CIMSEC) will host the fourth annual CIMSEC Forum for Authors and Readers (CFAR). Read more.

  • May 7, 2018

    CNA launches ISAAC, a new predictive tool that will help government agencies manage large IT project schedules and budgets. Read more.

  • April 25, 2018

    The speed at which information spreads today presents challenges to the United States, as state and non-state adversaries use this capability to spread disinformation. As the U.S. government looks for ways to counter adversarial disinformation campaigns, it is overlooking a potentially valuable tool: memes. Read more.

  • April 23, 2018

    Contrary to popular belief, recruits from low-income neighborhoods do not make up the majority of enlisted accessions across the military branches, according to the 43rd annual Population Representation in the Military Services report (also known as the “PopRep”). Read more.

  • April 13, 2018

    The Baltimore Police Department announced that CNA will lead an Independent Review Board to review the department's handling of the murder of Detective Sean Suiter on November 15, 2017. Read more.

  • April 12, 2018

    A new CNA analysis looks back at the Cold War to gain insights on the future of the Indian Ocean. Read more.

  • April 12, 2018

    At the U.N. Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW), Dr. Larry Lewis warned that human intervention at the "trigger pull" will not eliminate the risks of autonomous weapons. Read more.

  • April 10, 2018

    A new CNA report by Dr. Larry Lewis recommends a comprehensive approach on lethal autonomous weapons to limit civilian casualties. Read more.

  • February 13, 2018

    In a new report, CNA analysts have undertaken an effort to map the Russian media environment and examine Russian decision-making as it relates to the media through a series of scenarios that range from crisis to steady state. Read more.

  • February 8, 2018

    An elite advisory group of retired admirals and generals from across the military services has warned that water stress will play an increasingly important role in global security. Read more.


Contact

Fiona Gettinger
Communications Specialist
703.824.2388
gettingerf@cna.org

communications@cna.org
3003 Washington Boulevard
Arlington, VA 22201

Note to Reporters and Editors

Note to writers and editors: CNA is not an acronym and is correctly referenced as "CNA, a research organization in Arlington, VA."