Research for Type A

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May 1, 1988
This research memorandum documents the Center for Naval Analyses' assessment of the Price Waterhouse shore base facility condition readiness model. The accuracy and reasonableness of the model's predictions are assessed. Suggestions are made for revising the presentation of the model's results and for refining the model.
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March 1, 1988
This research memorandum reviews the history of Industrial Preparedness Planning (IPP) as revealed in government directives, past studies, and budget documents. IPP policy development, planning methods, and organizations are summarized, and alternative planning methods proposed by other researchers are presented. The paper identifies problems that impede good planning and presents conclusions that help to explain the dilemma of IPP today. Recommendations from other studies are presented. Navy options for IPP will be presented in a future research memorandum concluding the study.
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March 1, 1988
The Joint-Service Performance Measurement Project was initiated in 1981 at the request of Congress to validate the selection test used by the services against measures of job performance. The charter for the project called for an annual report to Congress describing the progress of each service. An additional requirement was for each service to outline its research effort to link its job performance data to the determination of enlistment standards. The material presented in this research memorandum formed the basis for the Marine Corps submission to the sixth annual report.
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February 1, 1988
Navy Enlisted Classification (NEC) codes identify an individual's particular skills in more detail than the Navy occupational or rating structure. This research memorandum summarizes an analysis to determine the timeliness of the NEC reports to the Enlisted Master Record(EMR). Using quarterly EMR files from June 1983 to June 1984 and from June 1986 to June 1987, analysts estimated the NEC reporting lags (i.e., time between the date the NEC is awarded and the date the NEC is posted to an individual's EMR record). The results indicate that NEC reporting lags are relatively rare. Over 90 percent of the NECs appeared on the quarterly EMR within four months of their being awarded. Looking ahead only one quarter, therefore, seems to be sufficient for achieving a relatively complete count, whether one is estimating the number of new awards or determining the total count.
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February 1, 1988
This research memorandum investigates continuation rates in the Naval Reserve Force by tracking individuals' records from quarter to quarter. The nature and timing of attrition are analyzed. Tests are performed for differences in continuation rates by geographical area, paygrade, length of service, rating, program of entry into the Reserve, and type of ship.
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February 1, 1988
Navy enlisted specialized skill training has increased consistently throughout the 1980s. This research memorandum examines the increase in the inventory of Navy Enlisted Classifications (NECs) between 1979 and 1986. Factors that explain the increase are considered. Trends in the utilization of NECs are examined for several alternative definitions of utilization. These trends are examined at the aggregate level and for samples disaggregated by rating and experience.
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December 1, 1987
The results of the Surface-Expansion TAR Retention Study is documented in this research memorandum. It investigates retention behavior of TAR and regular active-duty personnel in surface-expansion ratings in an effort to discern any significant differences between them. It also examines the background characteristics of enlisted TARs in surface-expansion ratings, summarizes their retention decisions, and models first-term TAR and regular active-duty enlisted retention behavior.
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December 1, 1987
The Marine Integrated Fire and Air Support System (MIFASS) was in development for many years before the Commandant terminated the program in May 1987. This research memorandum discusses the problems that are apparent from the MIFASS program and describes some recommended changes intended to prevent their recurrence in subsequent efforts.
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December 1, 1987
Although many studies of military enlistment have been conducted during the last two decades, few have analyzed the reserve component. This research memorandum develops and estimates an econometric model of enlistments for the Naval Reserve. The analysis incorporates factors such as size of recruiting force, Navy veteran population, local unemployment rates, civilian wages, and recruiting goals.
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