Research for Type A

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An Analysis of the Active Duty Service Obligation (ADSO) for Navy Pilots
October 1, 1988
Because of persistent shortages of personnel to fill instructor billets in the aviator community, the Active Duty Service Obligation (ADSO) for naval aviation officers was increased on 1 July 1987. Newly commissioned officers in the aviation community are now required to make a six-year commitment to the Navy after receiving their wings. This change has prompted policymakers to ask about the optimal minimum service requirement. This research memorandum analyzes the ADSO for Navy pilots. The analysis included the development of a model that captures the effect of changes in the ADSO on the total compensation and training costs of pilots through the first 15 years of service.
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A Comparison of Models for Determining Spares Requirements for Aircraft Battle Damage Repair
October 1, 1988
As part of the Aircraft Battle Damage Repair (ABDR) Project, CNA analysts performed research into finding an appropriate model for determining ABDR spares requirements. The analysis focuses on the relative performance of four spares requirements models, given uncertainties associated with predicting battle damage rates.
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The Effect of Sea/Shore Rotation on Enlisted Skill Utilization
September 1, 1988
This research memorandum examines one of the major constraints on skill utilization for Navy enlisted personnel: the requirements for sea/shore rotation. It presents a simple model of the relationship between the rotation policy for a skill community and the utilization rate for that skill. The model can be used to calculate the number of people needed to keep requirements filled while maintaining the prescribed rotation patterns. The model is applied both to ratings and to Navy Enlisted Classification codes (NECs).
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A-School Attrition: Reasons and Results
September 1, 1988
Navy A-school training provides the basic skills necessary for new recruits to become qualified in their ratings. Not all students successfully complete the A-school pipeline they start. This research memorandum examines the reasons for attrition and provides some preliminary evidence on the effectiveness of reclassifying those students.
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Performance of Non-Prior-Service Navy Recruits: 1978 - 1986
August 1, 1988
This research memorandum describes measures of recruit success in the Navy using five performance indicators: desertion, demotion, first-term attrition, promotion, and retention. The CNA data base used here includes all non-prior-service accessions between FY 1978 and December 1986.
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Surface Warfare Community Structure: The First Eight Years of Service
July 1, 1988
This research memorandum describes the career paths for Surface Warfare Officers (SWOs) during their first eight years of active duty. Longitudinal history files were created for each of four year groups and were then used to determine summary statistics for the movement of officers into and out of the SWO community, attainment of SWO qualifications, and selection for department head.
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An Analysis of Navy Enlisted Tour Lengths
July 1, 1988
The Navy experiences a substantial amount of turnover among enlisted personnel. Some of this is unplanned (precontract attrition), but much of the turnover is the result of rotation or losses upon the completion of an enlistment contract. This research memorandum summarizes information on the actual length of completed tours for a sample of more than 10,000 tours completed in 1985 and 1986.
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Who Stays and Who Leaves? Identifying Successful Navy Recruits
June 1, 1988
This research memorandum examines the relationship between recruit characteristics and recruit success. The analysis uses three related measures of recruit performance and several recruit characteristics obtained from enlistment applications to determine the characteristics of recruits who are more likely to be successful. Indexes of recruit-success propensity for recruits with different characteristics are calculated for each of the three performance measures.
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Determining Continuation Rates for Pilots from the Officer Master File
June 1, 1988
This research memorandum examines how the definition of the continuation rate for Naval officers is implemented using data from the Officer Master File. Continuation rates are measured for a cohort of officers defined by their designator and year group. Several conceptual and data problems arise because the simple definition of the continuation rate does not account for various inflows and outflows for specific cohorts. The effect of including or excluding various subgroups within a cohort is considered using pilots from year groups 73 through 78 for the period from 1980 through 1986.
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Retention of Navy Veterans in the Selected Reserve
May 1, 1988
This analysis develops and estimates a model of retention during the first year of affiliation in the Selected Reserve. Estimates of the effects of pay and personal characteristics are provided for 11 Navy rating groups. The results should be useful for forecasting Selected Reserve manpower levels and for evaluating the effects of affiliation and retention bonuses.
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