Research for Type A

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June 1, 1989
One possible contributor to Navy Medicine's current manpower problem is the low retention rates of physicians. This research memorandum examines the retention of Navy physicians between FY 1984 and FY 1988 in the aggregate, by career phase, and by specialty.
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June 1, 1989
In recent years, the Navy has indicated concern for the retention patterns observed for physicians. Some specialties show relatively low retention compared to others, and the aggregate retention rate for specialists has declined. This research memorandum discusses the derivation of a model to estimate the influence of various factors on unobligated physicians' decisions to stay in or leave the Navy. The main analytical issue is the quantification of the role of the positive and growing civilian-military pay differential on the retention of Navy physicians.
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June 1, 1989
Many uncertainties associated with exercise reconstruction may be modeled as random processes; however, many other uncertainties in exercise reconstruction are not due to random processes but are due to imprecise or ambiguous information. Fuzzy sets and possibility theory have been developed over the last 20 years for the analysis of nonrandom, imprecise events. This research memorandum explores the possible use of fuzzy-set techniques in exercise reconstruction. Fuzzy sets are defined and examples are given.
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May 1, 1989
In recent years, the income gap between civilian and military physicians has widened. At the same time, income dispersion has increased for civilian physicians and remained narrow for military physicians. As a consequence, some military specialists are compensated at levels very close to the civilian level, whereas others receive relatively low compensation. In addition, retention is quite low for some specialties, and consistently high for others. This research memorandum explores the relationship between civilian-military pay gaps and retention for fully trained specialist physicians in the Navy. Three pay plans proposed to diminish the civilian-military pay gap are evaluated with regard to expected cost, projected impact on retention of physicians by specialty, and long-run implications for force management in the Navy.
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May 1, 1989
The number of recruits enlisted from a target population varies significantly by aptitude score. This memorandum calculates the ratio of recruits to population by AFQT category for the fiscal years 1980 to 1987.
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April 1, 1989
A series of recent events indicates that the correlation of domestic forces has been turning against the Soviet military. This has been reflected in an unprecedented, wide-scale press assault on the Soviet military. Linked with the criticism are signs that the economic aspects of national security are being pushed to the forefront.
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April 1, 1989
This research memorandum expands upon earlier CNA work on ship material readiness, as measured by mission-degrading casualty reports. In the earlier work, tobit models were used to estimate the relationships between ship material readiness and resource variables like crew turnover, months since last overhaul, steaming hours, and commanding officer tenure for KNOX-, SPRUANCE-, and ADAMS-Class ships. This memorandum extends the models used in the earlier work to include the effects of enlisted crew 'quality' on readiness. Crew quality is measured as the proportion of the enlisted crew that were both regular high school diploma graduates and high scorers on the Armed Forces Qualifying Test.
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April 1, 1989
This research memorandum examines the capability of a deployed aircraft carrier's Aviation Consolidated Allowance List (AVCAL) to meet the goal of supporting wartime operations for 90 days without resupply.
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April 1, 1989
The Marine Corps views the physical fitness of every Marine as essential to its overall effectiveness. This research memorandum reviews the Physical Fitness Test (PFT), estimates the effect of height and weight measures on the PFT scores of recruits, assesses the need for minimum and maximum weight standards, and forecasts the impact of alternative accession standards on physical fitness.
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March 1, 1989
A preliminary review is made of fees, enrollment loads, and program costs of Marine Corps child care centers. The funding of and participation in the centers and how changes in fee policies might affect program costs are examined.
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