Research for Tar

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November 1, 1988
The Navy Selected Reserve (SELRES) has experienced enormous growth during the 1980s. The need to meet manpower goals with limited personnel resources places a premium on the effective utilization of the personnel resources within the Selected Reserve. Tools for managing personnel resources include the allocation of recruiters and the efficient use of affiliation and retention bonuses. This memorandum summarizes a series of studies analyzing recruiting and retention in the Naval Reserve, with the objective of helping the Navy meet its manpower requirements at minimal cost.
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December 1, 1987
The results of the Surface-Expansion TAR Retention Study is documented in this research memorandum. It investigates retention behavior of TAR and regular active-duty personnel in surface-expansion ratings in an effort to discern any significant differences between them. It also examines the background characteristics of enlisted TARs in surface-expansion ratings, summarizes their retention decisions, and models first-term TAR and regular active-duty enlisted retention behavior.
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August 1, 1987
The growth of the surface Reserve forces has created a need for more Training and Administration of the Reserve (TAR) personnel. This research memorandum investigates whether enlisted personnel inventories of the TAR surface-expansion program can meet required goals. Historical trends in accessions and retention are analyzed and the composition of requirements is discussed. An inventory projection model is developed and used to predict whether future requirements can be met in a base case, or if they can be met if various policies are adopted.
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September 1, 1982
This Research Contribution describes a methodology for assessing enemy ability to trail friendly ships at sea. It consists of four parts. The first part treats the search for a lost quarry by shipborne helicopter or long-range reconnaissance aircraft. The second describes a Markov model yielding the fraction of time the ship is free of trail. The third part estimates enemy aircraft requirements to achieve specific search results. The last part presents and documents an APL program, TRAIL, that performs all required calculations.
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