Research for Strategy

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August 1, 1987
Volume II lists the articles alphabetically by key words in the title. See Also CRC 563.
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August 1, 1987
Soviet military writings are a valuable source of insight into true Soviet beliefs regarding military capabilities and intentions--their own and those of their adversaries. This research contribution lists all the articles published in the Soviet journal, Morskoy sbornik (Naval Digest) from 1980 to 1985. Volume I lists the articles in chronological order, and alphabetical order by author. See Also CRC 568.
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April 1, 1987
The leadership of the U.S. Navy has recommended that the United States seriously consider the option of attacking Soviet ballistic missile submarines during the conventional phase of a major war. While the vocal debate rages on in the United States, the allies of the U.S. in Europe and elsewhere have been publically silent. This paper addresses some of the questions which might be at the center of the debate. Its purpose is not to seek conclusive answers, but to clarify--for example to point out that the U.S. has no interest in attacking Soviet missile-carrying submarines except on behalf of the security and integrity of the Alliance.
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September 1, 1986
A plausible Soviet approach to the problem of securing control of the Arctic Ocean Theater of Military Operations (TVD) during a war fought entirely with conventional weapons is laid out in this research memorandum. The focus is primarily on the strategic aspects of the problem. Those aspects of the Soviet solution which may appear unorthodox, but which effectively compensate for some of the Soviet Navy's main weaknesses are highlighted.
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October 1, 1985
The strategic outlook in the Pacific is discussed in this research memorandum. In doing so, it looks at the Asia-Pacific region in historical perspective, examines the area's role in deterrence and a global conflict, and touches on current problems in the region.
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July 1, 1985
The role of the Pacific theater in a NATO-Warsaw Pact War is considered. The paper argues that the Pacific theater has been neglected in such a conflict because most war scenarios envision a struggle lasting no more than 30 to 60 days. As a result, the conflict is over too quickly in most scenarios for the interrelationships between the NATO and Pacific theaters to develop conceptually. However, in a long-war scenario, the Pacific theater's importance in the course and outcome of such a conflict becomes apparent. The military, industrial, and technological potential of the Pacific nations, especially China and Japan, combined with the U.S., constitute a reserve of strength capable of containing or reversing any Soviet success in a conventional conflict in Europe. This paper concludes that (a) current strategy or doctrine based on the refusal to repudiate the 'first use' of nuclear weapons has lost much of its credibility as a deterrent, and (b) the tacit or explicit adoption of a long-war strategy to counter Soviet capabilities in a short war should be considered.
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September 1, 1981
This paper discusses AAW defense of ships in general, identifies problem areas, and presents possible solutions to outer air, point defense, and area defense problems.
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July 1, 1974
This paper provides discussion on two points: 1) that the character of Soviet naval operations has changed significantly over the last few years, and these changes reflect a modification of the Navy's mission structure, and 2) that the West should be more aware of this change and its implications than we are at the present.
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June 1, 1974
In a large class of decision problems under uncertainty, death, disability, and reductions in wealth enter the analysis as crucial arguments in the utility function. Much of the literature in public health and safety programs, insurance programs, and clinical decision-making concerns itself with optimal behavior in the presence of risk in these variables. This paper sets out, primarily, to describe the assumptions which typically underlie these analyses and demonstrate why they may be too restrictive for models which deal with death, disability, and disbursement variables. An alternative scheme is proposed.
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June 1, 1974
Diagnosis and treatment strategy options are evaluated by calculating the expected disutility of each. The axions upon which this criterion is grounded are presented in this paper in nonformalistic language, and the analysis is demonstrated using a problem quite common in the clinical setting.
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