Research for Stability

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Strategic Realities in Irregular Conflict
January 10, 2013

This book seeks to answer two questions: Why is irregular conflict so hard? Can we do it better? The concept of “strategic realities” applies to both questions. Problems arise in the irregular conflict arena that generally do not arise in either conventional conflict or classic development, yet irregular conflict also requires understanding each of those domains—and something more besides. When we undertake responses to an irregular conflict, we do so with organizations that are designed, educated, and trained for other purposes. Jerry-rigged solutions can work and sometimes have, but success usually comes only because of stellar ad hoc efforts, and not because of a focused systemic approach.

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National Security Strategy and Forward Presence: Implications for Acquisition and Use of Forces
March 1, 1994
The post-Cold War national security strategy engages U.S. power in all its form to shape a more secure world. Overseas presence--operating forces forward to influence what foreign governments think and do--is the most important and challenging of the tasks this strategy assigns the Armed Forces. This paper looks at the political and strategic case for presence and discusses some of its costs and risks. It draws conclusions about: (1) what presence means in our use of the forces we have now; and (2) what forces to buy for the future. It also suggests ways to make presence operations more efficient and issues deserving study in that regard.
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State of the Union
March 1, 1992
This report highlights events in a seminar regarding a recent trip to the former Soviet Union, by representatives of the Center for Naval Analysese (R. Murray, H. Gaffney, and L. VanMetre).
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Implications of Global Economics Forces for Political Instability in Selected Third World Countries
July 1, 1985
This study assesses the economic forces which are most likely to become sources of political instability in developing countries. Emphasis is given to those countries in which the U.S. has important national security interests, the protection of which could potentially require military intervention. Supersedes Working Paper 85-1242 This paper is cleared for public release, but it is to have no distribution per Warren Rodgers.
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