Research for SRV

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March 1, 1996
The Commander, Seventh Fleet, asked CNA to assess the security environment of the Asia-Pacific Region (APR) between now and 2010. This research memorandum focuses on the most probable trends relating to Southeast Asia and Australia during this period. It discusses a few countries and issues at somewhat disproportionate length where circumstances appeared to warrant it - Vietnam because of its long isolation, Australia because of its long alliance relationship with the United States, and South China Sea territorial claims because of the complexity of the issues.
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June 1, 1983
This paper examines means by which the U.S. can influence Sino-Soviet crises and orchestrate its politico-military instruments, especially naval ones, in such crises.
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December 1, 1966
This study presents data and OEG analyses relevant to MARKET TIME operations as of the early spring of 1966, and describes the infiltration threat, the forces involved, and their method of operation. Estimates of the Viet Cong infiltration rate and their significance are discussed. Barrier design and effectiveness estimates, when a few inflitrators must be distinguished from many innocent ships, are considered. The probability of detecting and identifying steel infiltrators is determined to be high because their presence near the South Vietnamese coast is conspicuous. Steel hull ships within 3 miles of the coast are generally boarded, inspected from close aboard, or kept under surveillance. Viet Cong junks transship small quantities of arms, supplies, and people between points within South Vietnam and present tactics are capturing many such transshipments. With present MARKET TIME tactics, using 3 offshore patrol rings, infiltration by sea appears to be quite low, although present tactics are not the most efficient ones for the specific purpose of preventing infiltration by junk from outside South Vietnam.
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