Research for Sociology

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February 1, 1993
In April 1991, the Director of Naval Intelligence asked CNA to undertake a formal study that would define the character of the future Soviet or Russian Navy. In July 1991, we launched the Future Russian Navy project. This annotated briefing provides an overview of the study's findings. It summarizes the research memoranda that document the elements of the project, and reports on the overall findings in anticipation of the study's final report.
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December 1, 1992
In this research memorandum, we present the findings of one portion of CNA's Future Russian Navy project, which was requested by the Director of Naval Intelligence. We examine what Russians commonly call 'the human factor' in naval affairs, or the set of issues concerned with attracting and retaining personnel and creating conditions that enable and encourage them to perform their missions. We look at three aspects of the human factor in turn: personnel procurement policy, day-to-day military economics, and the navy's relationship with society and local civilian officials. We discuss how the former Soviet Union traditionally approached each challenge and why the old approaches are failing today. We also describe the way the navy is functioning today, living with the residue of the old system, and adapting to cope with the changed environment. We conclude with an assessment of possible remedies to the Navy's human factor problem, and a discussion of current and prospective trends.
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December 1, 1987
The results of the Surface-Expansion TAR Retention Study is documented in this research memorandum. It investigates retention behavior of TAR and regular active-duty personnel in surface-expansion ratings in an effort to discern any significant differences between them. It also examines the background characteristics of enlisted TARs in surface-expansion ratings, summarizes their retention decisions, and models first-term TAR and regular active-duty enlisted retention behavior.
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September 1, 1983
This paper presents estimates of how labor demand was affected by changing production technology in five U.S. industries - steel, auto, aluminum, coal mining, and iron ore.
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January 1, 1983
This paper examines the effects of veteran status on civilian earnings and personnel hiring rates.
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April 1, 1982
This paper examines the degree to which screening reduces unemployment and whether the screening procedures used are appropriately targeted on individuals who have little interest in returning to work. The primary focus is on the 'work test' which is a form of screening designed to determine if an otherwise qualified individual is actively seeking suitable work.
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March 1, 1982
This paper derives a probability model which analyzes multiple spell data by taking into account both the probability of changing states and the length of time an individual remains in each state.
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June 1, 1981
The government can not base the amount it pays its employees on the market value of the services it provides. Instead, it tries to set pay for each job at a level equal to pay for comparable work in private employment. Although a survey of pay for private sector workers is taken each year, there are indications that the survey is faulty and that government pay levels are too high. One indication is that quit rates are considerably lower in the government than in the private sector. Quit rates are a function of pay levels. The estimating equations in this study are derived from a simple model of labor market behavior.This model makes it clear that efficient behavior for the government does not imply either the same pay or total compensation as the private sector.
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May 1, 1981
This paper focuses on imports as a distinct cause of output change. It tests the hypothesis that employment reacts more rapidly to output changes when they are due to changes in imports than when they are due to the business cycle or other influences.
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February 1, 1981
This brief paper reinforces an hypothesis that workers respond to incentives provided by partial unemployment insurance and suggests that these incentive effects are widespread.
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