Research for Sea Shore Rotation

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February 1, 1983
This paper presents a research design to measure the hidden costs imposed on the Navy by policies that require Navy families to relocate about every two years. Supersedes 05-821784.10
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March 1, 1982
This paper assesses the effects of sea duty on both the location and the elasticity of the reenlistment supply curve.
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February 1, 1981
Two models are developed. One is an aggregate model based on a simplified force structure and steady-state assumption; the other is an expanded model based on a more detailed dynamic simulation of personnel flows in a rating or detailing community.
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November 1, 1979
The Sea/Shore Rotation Study developed two models of the relationships among sea/shore rotation, billet structure, continuation, and personnel inventory. The aggregate model determines the necessary relationships between rotation and continuation for a stable first-term and career force and is useful for policy analysis. The expanded model dynamically simulates personnel flows and is useful in managing rating and detailing communities.
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October 1, 1979
This guide describes a dynamic model which simulates personnel flows in a Navy detailing community. Using historical accessions, continuation rates and promotion probabilities, the model projects an initial inventory to future periods. In each projection period the historical data can be updated to reflect posible changes. Sea/shore rotation patterns can be altered to produce a desired personnel distribution between sea, shore and neutral duty. All computer programs are listed, and some flow charts are provided.
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August 1, 1979
This guide describes a model of the relations between lengths of sea and shore tours, continuation behavior of personnel, and the numbers of first-term and career personnel at sea and ashore. Equations are developed to represent sea/shore rotation systems in which the number of persons in each of these four groups remains the same. This mathematical representation (developed further in CNA Professional Paper 256) was programmed for the computer, and the use and operations of the computer routine, MOSES, are treated here. Listing and flowcharts of the main routine and subroutines are included.
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