Research for SAM

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June 1, 1987
The structure and development of the Total Force Enlistment Program Simulation is described in this Research Memorandum. The simulation analyzes changes in inventories of enlisted active-duty and reserve personnel associated with changes in the number of active-duty accessions and their distribution among enlistment programs. The simulation is based on continuation and affiliation behavior of individuals in six enlistment programs as observed in recent years. Total accessions and their distribution among enlistment programs and ratings are inputs to the simulation. The effects of changing these inputs are simulated by comparing the future inventories associated with two different accession profiles.
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June 1, 1987
This Research Memorandum presents technical appendixes to supplement the Total Force Enlistment Programs Simulation. It is divided into four sections. Appendix A contains a guide to assist users of the simulation methodology. In addition to a detailed example of the use of the simulation, it discusses some of the potential uses not explored in Volume I. Appendix B is a description of the methods used in computing the active-duty inventories and continuation behavior. It also lists some of the important active-duty data elements used in the simulation, as well as the major computer programs used to generate these data. Appendix C presents similar descriptions for the SELRES data. A flowchart of the simulation methodology and annotated versions of the simulation programs appear in Appendix D.
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May 1, 1986
This research contribution reports on the development of the Selected Reserves (SELRES) Force Structure Model, a new tool used to analyze manpower inventories and costs in the Navy Selected Reserve. For a given set of manpower requirements, the model projects a best obtainable manpower inventory by 69 rating groups and two pay-grade groups. By choosing from among the different mixes of accession programs that could produce this inventory, the model then finds the least-cost method of achieving it.
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