Research for Research Memoranda

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July 1, 1996
The Consolidated Automated Support System (CASS) is a computerized Automatic Test Equipment (ATE) systems that is currently being fielded by the Department of the Navy. Over the next several years, CASS will replace existing ATE systems and help the Navy standardize test and training procedures. The Director of the Navy' s Air Warfare Division (N88) and the Support Equipment Program Office (PMA-260) asked CNA to review the Navy s current plans for CASS implementation within the fleet. These plans call for the phase integration of CASS into both Navy and Marine Corps maintenance facilities. This paper examines CASS requirements for supporting avionics components at shore-based Regional Maintenance Centers (RMCs). Specifically, our sponsor wanted to know: how many CASS stations do RMCs need; and how many of each type of CASS stations do they need? We address these questions by examining the planned RMC support for (only) F/A-18 and F-14 aircraft at Oceana.
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July 1, 1996
The Commanding General, Marine Corps Combat Development Command (MCCDC) asked the Center for Naval Analyses to assess the general applicability of the new science to land warfare. 'New Sciences' is a catch-all phrase that refers to the tools and methodologies used in nonlinear dynamics and complex systems theory to study physical dynamical systems exhibiting a 'complicated dynamics.' This report concludes that the concepts, ideas, theories, tools and general methodologies of nonlinear dynamics and complex systems theory show enormous, almost unlimited, potential for not just providing better solutions for certain existing problems of land combat, but for fundamentally altering our general understanding of the basic processes of war, at all levels. Indeed, the new sciences' greatest legacy may, in the end, prove to be not just a set of creative answers to old questions but and entirely new set of questions to be asked of what really happens on the battlefield. The central thesis of this paper is that land combat is a complex adaptive system. That is to say, that land combat is essentially a nonlinear dynamical system composed of many interacting semi-autonomous and hierarchically organized agents continuously adapting to a changing environment. See also CIM 461.10.
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July 1, 1996
Outsourcing is one way, although not the only way, to increase efficiency. Outsourcing, or more generally, competition (whether public or private) provides cost visibility - customers begin to see what they pay for goods and services. It also can provide alternative sources, enhance flexibility, introduce better business practices, and take advantage of emerging technologies and innovations. Outsourcing and competition are sometimes considered something new and untested, as experiments. In fact, they are not. The public sector has relied on the private sector for years. Although it is hard to write contacts for something as risky as developing and manufacturing a major weapon system, the Department of Defense (DOD) has done it repeatedly. DOD has outsourced successfully functions as complex as acquisition, and as straightforward as laundry services. This is not uncharted territory. The purpose of this paper is to take a first look at what outsourcing opportunities exist and what types of cost savings are possible. To glean some insights into implementation, we look at how one naval technical center has outsourced various functions. We consulted several databases to quantify good candidates.
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June 1, 1996
This study, originally suggested by the Chief of Naval Operations and sponsored by the Chief of Naval Personnel, took a look at several issues that fit broadly under two topics: are there better ways of doing business, and; can we improve our sailors' Quality of Life (QOL)? CNA's task was to do some 'out-of-the-box' thinking and come up with a variety of issues for further study, such as organizational changes, more cost-efficient approaches, and ways to improve sailors' QOL. Our mission was to probe topics that weren' t being adequately addressed because organizational responsibility was not clear-cut. This research memorandum provides a review of the issues examined and the conclusions drawn. Cleared for Open Publication by CNO ltr Ser 09N2/6U532301 of 15 Jul 1996; CNO Case No. 96-187.
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May 1, 1996
In a period of shrinking resource, the Navy is searching for ways to reduce the costs of operating and supporting its forces. Those savings can be used to help recapitalize the Navy as the turn of the century approaches. Past efforts at reducing support costs have often focused on outsourcing or privatizing work that can be done commercially. Evidence from past research indicates that savings are available form outsourcing work and from public-private competitions. The evidence indicates that the pressure of competition, among private sector firms and between government activities and the private sector, is the source of those savings. In the Program Objectives Memorandum (POM) process, resource sponsors pay a price for each billet they authorize. The Navy has begun to include more explicit personnel costs in the POM process. This paper considers the potential for how that cost information may improve manpower resource decisions and examines broader decision-making frameworks as well.
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April 1, 1996

In response to a request from the Commander in Chief, Atlantic Fleet (CINCLANTFLT), for options regarding hemisphere naval cooperation, CNA conducted a study of the mid- and long-range importance of Latin America for U.S. Navy and CINCLANTFLT strategic planning. The study considered the full range of navy-to-navy relations and projected developments in light of the changing international security environment, new roles and missions, and the roles that Latin Americans can play within U.S. Navy plans. We developed a framework for evaluating the U.S. Navy's cooperative programs with Latin America in terms of their scope and impact on a continuum of U.S. national security objectives that range from goodwill through broad foreign policy objectives, to national defense goals, and specific military goals. We examined the evolving Latin American national security environment, developed a typology of naval roles and missions, and projected force structure to the year 2000. Finally, we cataloged the U.S. Navy's programs, evaluated their scope and impact, and assessed their contribution to national security goals.

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April 1, 1996
The purpose of military Humanitarian Assistance Operations (HAO) is to relieve the suffering of populations affected by a natural or man-made disaster. But the military rarely provides relief on its own throughout an operation. Civilian humanitarian relief organizations are often on the ground when the military deploys to an area, or they follow soon after. These relief organizations, many with significant resources and experienced staffs, specialize in providing relief. Whoever is in charge of an operation as a whole, the military and relief organizations usually develop the same relationship. The relief organizations provide the actual relief and the military supports their efforts by providing assets and conducting operations. This relationship make perfect sense, given the expertise of the relief workers and the resources of the military. To support these relief organizations, the military must coordinate its efforts with them. Past operations and exercises, however, have shown that military coordination with relief organizations has been vital, but difficult. This paper covers two types of HAOs -- those in response to a natural disaster and those that are a result of civil strife. The latter types of HAOs, which often cause, exacerbate, or do not allow the mitigation of starvation -- are called complex humanitarian emergencies.
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April 1, 1996
During the 1990s the Department of Defense set out on a path to reengineer many of its functions in order to reduce cost and improve efficiency. In 1993, in the area of civilian personnel management, the Office of the Secretary of Defense took the lead in coordinating a Defense-wide effort to reduce the number of personnelists - the staff that provides and manages civilian personnel services - to a servicing ratio (personnelists per civilian employee) of 1:85 by the end of FY99, and of 1:100 by the end of FY01. At the beginning of FY95, the servicing ration stood at 1:67. Real reductions are forthcoming for the civilian personnel management world. By the end of FY01, personnel management resources will be reduced by over 40 percent. Consolidation of operations and technical modernization will accompany the resources reduction. Personnel services delivery will be split into small onsite units and offsite hubs. We consider the DoN s proposed regional consolidation of the system of civilian personnel management. We ask: By the end of FY99, will efficiency increase as expected?
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April 1, 1996
The Marine Corps Combat Development Command asked the Center for Naval Analyses to analyze how the Marine Cops could improve its ability to conduct humanitarian assistance operations. We identified changes to doctrine, equipment, organization and training that would support Marine Corps commanders and troops tasked to perform these missions. This research memorandum identifies issues, requirements, and alternatives in the area of command and control. The focus is on command relationships and coordination.
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