Research for Requirements

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Integration of Navy R&D Program Data: Are There 'Families' of R&D Profiles
July 1, 1990
This paper, undertaken as part of CNA's Quo Vadis II project, examines alternative statistical models for the cumulative distribution of cost and time of Navy Research and Development (R&D) projects.
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Cost Minimization and Uncertainty in Defense Manufacturing
March 1, 1990
This paper presents a mathematical model for two purposes. First, it extends the theoretical analysis of annual contracting to the more general case of uncertainty as to the magnitude of year-two procurement, as opposed simply to its cancellation. The second is to assign parameter values having at least some empirical grounding to the Utgoff-Thaler model, thereby providing a basis for assessing quantitatively the consequences of the theoretical results for both annual and multiyear contracting.
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Analysis of the Size of the Joint Duty Assignment List
January 1, 1990
Title IV of the Department of Defense Reorganization Act of 1986 (also known as the Goldwater-Nichols Act) requires officers to serve in a billet on the Joint Duty Assignment List (JDAL) before being promoted to flag rank. This research memorandum examines whether this requirement can be executed for all naval officers promoted to flag. The size of the JDAL and average tour length are used to calculate the average number of officers per cohort who can be expected to achieve this requirement in each officer community. Various modifications in the requirement are also explored to determine their effect on the percentage of officers likely to achieve the requirement.
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Some Design Requirements for a Steady-State Force Model
August 1, 1989
This research memorandum describes the approach being used to develop an executable and cost-effective steady-state force. The issues that need to be incorporated into the derivation of a steady-state force model are addressed. The memorandum highlights, by way of examples, numerous ways in which personnel policies and billet structure may be inconsistent, thus making it impossible to execute all policies simultaneously and obtain the required force structure.
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THE OPTIMUM SPEED LIMIT
March 1, 1984
This paper describes an improved method of measuring the private and social benefits and costs associated with speed, and gives some simplified numerical examples of this method. Revises 55 000312.
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U.S. Price Controls on Energy and the International Petrochemical Market
October 1, 1983
Analyzes the effects of price control programs to determine if they subsidized U.S. petrochemical exports, and if so, what were the effects on world petrochemical prices and U.S. and foreign production levels.
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CNA's Conceptual Design and Cost Models for High-Speed Surface Craft
May 1, 1983
This paper discusses CNA's need for conceptual cost and design models and where the models fit relative to the typical acquisition process.
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An Empirical Study of Production Inefficiency in the Presence of Errors-in-the-Variables
April 1, 1982
This paper illustrates a method for estimating a frontier production relation when output is poorly measured -- leading to errors-in-the-variables. The technique is meant to avoid not only spurious findings of inefficiency but also an overestimate of scale economies.
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The Economics of Multiyear Contracting
April 1, 1982
This paper analyzes the effects of legislative changes sought by DoD on the price of weapons systems. Budgeting and funding practices are also discussed because these practices play an important role in choosing the best type of contract.
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Estimation and Analysis of Navy Shipbuilding Program Disruption Costs
March 1, 1982
This paper tests the feasibility of a statistical method for fully pricing shipbuilding change manhours.
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